Araştırma Makalesi
BibTex RIS Kaynak Göster

INFORMAL ECONOMIC ACTIVITY AND AIR POLLUTION: IS THERE A LINK?

Yıl 2024, Cilt: 2 Sayı: 1, 126 - 140, 31.07.2024

Öz

This study investigates the relationship between informal economic activity and carbon emissions in Turkey through the Environmental Kuznets Curve hypothesis. Implementation of second-generation econometric methods and procedures in consideration of multiple structural breaks in the series for the period 1970 to 2015, will be conducted an investigate the impact of the size of informal economic activity on environmental degradation. The findings imply that informal economic activity significantly contributes to CO2 emissions. Furthermore, this article indicates that both legal (formal) and illegal (informal) economies exert a notable influence on environmental quality. Nevertheless, the formal economy demonstrates a notably stronger positive influence on CO2 emissions in comparison to the informal economy. Turkish authorities must prioritize precautionary measures to reduce informal economic activities, thereby safeguarding environmental quality and leveraging growth in the official economy.

Kaynakça

  • Ang, J.B. (2009). Financial Development and the FDI-Growth Nexus. The Malaysian Experience. Applied Economics. 41, 1595–1601.
  • Carrion-İ-Silvestre, J. L., Kim, D. and Perron, P. (2009). Gls-Based Unit Root Tests With Multiple Structural Breaks Under Both the Null and the Alternative Hypotheses, Econometric Theory 25, 1754.
  • Chen, M-H. (2010). The Economy, Tourism Growth And Corporate Performance in the Taiwanese Hotel Industry. Tourism Management; 31, 665–675.
  • Çetintaş, H. and Vergil, H. (2003), Türkiye’de Kayıtdışı Ekonominin Tahmini. Doğuş Üniversitesi Dergisi 4(1), 15-30.
  • Dada, J. T., Olaniyi, C. O., Ajide, F. M., Adeiza, A., and Arnaut, M. (2022). Informal Economy and Ecological Footprint: The Case of Africa. Environmental Science and Pollution Research, 29(49), 74756-74771.
  • Davutyan, N. (2008). Estimating the Size of Turkey’s Informal Sector: An Expenditure-Based Approach, Journal of Economic Policy Reform, 11(4) 261-71.
  • De Vita, G., Katircioglu, S., Altinay, L., Fethi, S., and Mercan, M., (2015).Revisiting the Environmental Kuznets Curve Hypothesis in a Tourism Development Context: Environmental Science and Pollution Research, 22, 1-12.
  • Dell’ Anno, and F. Haliciolu. (2010). An ARDL Model of Recorded and Unrecorded Economies in Turkey: Journal of Economic Studies, 37(6), 627-646.
  • Elgin,C. and Öztunali,O. (2014). Environmental Kuznets Curve for the Informal Sector of Turkey: 1950-2009: Panoeconomicus; 61(4), 471–485.
  • Elgin C, and Öztunali O. (2015). Pollution and Informal Economy: Economic Systems, 38(3), 333–349.
  • Gregory, A.W. and Hansen, B.E. (1996a). Residual-Based Tests for Cointegration in Models with Regime Shifts: Journal of Econometrics, 70, 99-126.
  • Gregory, A.W. and Hansen, B.E. (1996b). Tests for Cointegration in Models with Regime and Trend Shifts: Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, 58, 555-560.
  • Gregory, A.W., Nason, J.M., and Watt, D.G. (1996). Testing For Structural Breaks in Cointegration Relationship: Journal of Econometrics, 71, 321-341.
  • Halicioglu, F. (1999). The Black Economy in Turkey: An Empirical İnvestigation, the Review of Political Sciences of Ankara University, 53, 175-91.
  • Halicioglu, F. (2009). An Econometric Study of CO2 Emissions, Energy Consumption, Income and Foreign Trade in Turkey: Energy Policy, 37(3), 1156–1164.
  • Hatemi-J, A. (2008) Tests For Cointegration with Two Unknown Regime Shifts with an Application to Financial Market Integration, Empirical Economics, 35, 497–505.
  • Imamoglu, H. (2018). Is The Informal Economic Activity a Determinant of Environmental Quality?. Environmental Science and Pollution Research, 25, 29078-29088.
  • Imamoglu, H. (2016). Re-Estimation of the Size of Underground Economy in European Countries: MIMIC Approach: International Journal of Economic Perspectives, 10(1), 171-193.
  • Karanfil, F. (2008). Energy Consumption and Economic Growth Revisited: Does Size of Underground Economy Matter?, Energy Policy, 36, 3019-3025
  • Karanfil, F. and Ozkaya, A. (2007), Estimation of Real GDP And Unrecorded Economy in Turkey Based on Environmental Data, Energy Policy, 35(10) 4902-8.
  • Kasnakoğlu, Z. (1993). Monetary Approach to the Measurement of Unrecorded Economy in Turkey, METU Studies in Development, 20, 87-111.
  • Katircioğlu, S.T. (2014). Testing The Tourism-İnduced EKC Hypothesis : The Case of Singapore: Economic Modelling, 41, 383–391.
  • Katircioğlu, S.T. and Taşpinar, N. (2017). Testing The Moderating Role Of Financial Development İn An Environmental Kuznets Curve: Empirical Evidence From Turkey: Renewable And Sustainable Energy Reviews, 68, 572–586.
  • Kim, D. and Perron, P. (2009). Unit Root Tests Allowing for a Break in The Trend Function at an Unknown Time Under Both the Null and Alternative Hypotheses, Journal Of Econometrics, 148, 1–13.
  • Lumsdaine R.L. and Papell D.H. (1997). Multiple Trend Breaks and the Unit Root Hypothesis: The Review of Economics and Statistics; 79(2), 212–218.
  • Lee, J. and M. C. Strazicich, (2003). Minimum LM Unit Root Test with Two Structural Breaks: Review of Economics and Statistics, 85, 1082–1089.
  • Maki, D. (2012). Tests For Cointegration Allowing For An Unknown Number of Breaks: Economic Modelling; 29, 2011–2015.
  • Mazhar, U., and Egin, C. (2013). Environmental Regulation, Pollution and the Informal Economy: The State Bank of Pakistan (SBP) Research Bulletin; 9(1), 62–81.
  • Öğünç, F., and Yılmaz, G. (2000). Estimating the Underground Economy in Turkey. Research Department, Discussion Paper, September, the Central Bank of The Republic of Turkey.
  • Perron, P. (1989). The Great Crash, the Oil Price Shock, and the Unit Root Hypothesis: Econometrica; 57, 1361-1401.
  • Schneider, F. (2007). Shadow Economies and Corruption All Over The World: New Estimates for 145 Countries, Economics: Economics - The Open-Access, Open-Assessment E-Journal; Kiel Institute For The World Economy, 1(9).
  • Schneider, F. and Savasan F. (2007). Dymimic Estimates Of The Size Of Shadow Economies Of Turkey And Of Her Neighboring Countries: International Research Journal Of Finance And Economics; 9,126-144.
  • Stern, D.I. (2004). The Rise and Fall Of The Environmental Kuznets Curve: World Development; 32(8):1419–1439.
  • Sohail, M. T., Ullah, S., Majeed, M. T., Usman, A., and Andlib, Z. (2021). The Shadow Economy in South Asia: Dynamic Effects on Clean Energy Consumption and Environmental Pollution. Environmental Science and Pollution Research, 28, 29265-29275.
  • Temel, A., Şimşek, A., and Yazıcı, K., (1994). Kayıtdışı Ekonomi Tanımı, Tespit Yöntemleri ve Türk Ekonomisindeki Büyüklüğü, Arastirma Raporlari, Ekonomik Modeller ve Stratejik Araştırmalar Genel Müdürlüğü , DPT, Ankara.
  • Us, V. (2004). Kayıtdışı Ekonomi Tahmini Yöntem Önerisi: Türkiye Örneği, Araştirma Makalesi, Türkiye Ekonomi Kurumu, Ankara: No. 17.
  • World Data Bank (WDI) (2020). https://databank.worldbank.org/ adresinden alındı
  • Yayla, M. (1995). Unrecorded Economy in Turkey, Master’s Thesis, Middle East Technical University, Ankara.
  • Zivot, E. and Andrews, D.W.K. (1992). Further Evidence on the Great Crash, the Oil-Price Shock, and the Unit-Root Hypothesis: Journal of Business and Economic Statistics, 10, 251–270.

KAYIT DIŞI EKONOMİK FAALİYET VE HAVA KİRLİLİĞİ: BİR BAĞLANTI VAR MI?

Yıl 2024, Cilt: 2 Sayı: 1, 126 - 140, 31.07.2024

Öz

Bu çalışma, Türkiye'de kayıt dışı ekonomik faaliyet ile karbon emisyonları arasındaki ilişkiyi Çevresel Kuznets Eğrisi hipotezi aracılığıyla incelemektedir. Kayıt dışı ekonomik faaliyet boyutunun hava kirliliği üzerindeki etkisini incelemek için 1970 ila 2015 dönemi için zaman serilerindeki çoklu yapısal kırılmayı dikkate alan ikinci nesil ekonometrik prosedürler uygulanacaktır. Bulgular, kayıt dışı ekonomik faaliyetin CO2 emisyonlarına önemli ölçüde katkıda bulunduğunu göstermektedir. Ayrıca bu makale hem resmi hem de kayıt dışı ekonomik aktivitelerin çevre kalitesi üzerinde dikkate değer bir etkiye sahip olduğunu göstermektedir. Bununla birlikte resmi ekonomi, kayıtdışı ekonomiyle karşılaştırıldığında CO2 emisyonları üzerinde belirgin şekilde daha güçlü bir olumlu etki göstermektedir. Otoritelerin kayıt dışı ekonomik faaliyetleri azaltmaya yönelik ihtiyati tedbirlere öncelik vermesi, böylece çevre kalitesinin korunması ve resmi ekonomideki büyümenin desteklenmesi gerekiyor.

Kaynakça

  • Ang, J.B. (2009). Financial Development and the FDI-Growth Nexus. The Malaysian Experience. Applied Economics. 41, 1595–1601.
  • Carrion-İ-Silvestre, J. L., Kim, D. and Perron, P. (2009). Gls-Based Unit Root Tests With Multiple Structural Breaks Under Both the Null and the Alternative Hypotheses, Econometric Theory 25, 1754.
  • Chen, M-H. (2010). The Economy, Tourism Growth And Corporate Performance in the Taiwanese Hotel Industry. Tourism Management; 31, 665–675.
  • Çetintaş, H. and Vergil, H. (2003), Türkiye’de Kayıtdışı Ekonominin Tahmini. Doğuş Üniversitesi Dergisi 4(1), 15-30.
  • Dada, J. T., Olaniyi, C. O., Ajide, F. M., Adeiza, A., and Arnaut, M. (2022). Informal Economy and Ecological Footprint: The Case of Africa. Environmental Science and Pollution Research, 29(49), 74756-74771.
  • Davutyan, N. (2008). Estimating the Size of Turkey’s Informal Sector: An Expenditure-Based Approach, Journal of Economic Policy Reform, 11(4) 261-71.
  • De Vita, G., Katircioglu, S., Altinay, L., Fethi, S., and Mercan, M., (2015).Revisiting the Environmental Kuznets Curve Hypothesis in a Tourism Development Context: Environmental Science and Pollution Research, 22, 1-12.
  • Dell’ Anno, and F. Haliciolu. (2010). An ARDL Model of Recorded and Unrecorded Economies in Turkey: Journal of Economic Studies, 37(6), 627-646.
  • Elgin,C. and Öztunali,O. (2014). Environmental Kuznets Curve for the Informal Sector of Turkey: 1950-2009: Panoeconomicus; 61(4), 471–485.
  • Elgin C, and Öztunali O. (2015). Pollution and Informal Economy: Economic Systems, 38(3), 333–349.
  • Gregory, A.W. and Hansen, B.E. (1996a). Residual-Based Tests for Cointegration in Models with Regime Shifts: Journal of Econometrics, 70, 99-126.
  • Gregory, A.W. and Hansen, B.E. (1996b). Tests for Cointegration in Models with Regime and Trend Shifts: Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, 58, 555-560.
  • Gregory, A.W., Nason, J.M., and Watt, D.G. (1996). Testing For Structural Breaks in Cointegration Relationship: Journal of Econometrics, 71, 321-341.
  • Halicioglu, F. (1999). The Black Economy in Turkey: An Empirical İnvestigation, the Review of Political Sciences of Ankara University, 53, 175-91.
  • Halicioglu, F. (2009). An Econometric Study of CO2 Emissions, Energy Consumption, Income and Foreign Trade in Turkey: Energy Policy, 37(3), 1156–1164.
  • Hatemi-J, A. (2008) Tests For Cointegration with Two Unknown Regime Shifts with an Application to Financial Market Integration, Empirical Economics, 35, 497–505.
  • Imamoglu, H. (2018). Is The Informal Economic Activity a Determinant of Environmental Quality?. Environmental Science and Pollution Research, 25, 29078-29088.
  • Imamoglu, H. (2016). Re-Estimation of the Size of Underground Economy in European Countries: MIMIC Approach: International Journal of Economic Perspectives, 10(1), 171-193.
  • Karanfil, F. (2008). Energy Consumption and Economic Growth Revisited: Does Size of Underground Economy Matter?, Energy Policy, 36, 3019-3025
  • Karanfil, F. and Ozkaya, A. (2007), Estimation of Real GDP And Unrecorded Economy in Turkey Based on Environmental Data, Energy Policy, 35(10) 4902-8.
  • Kasnakoğlu, Z. (1993). Monetary Approach to the Measurement of Unrecorded Economy in Turkey, METU Studies in Development, 20, 87-111.
  • Katircioğlu, S.T. (2014). Testing The Tourism-İnduced EKC Hypothesis : The Case of Singapore: Economic Modelling, 41, 383–391.
  • Katircioğlu, S.T. and Taşpinar, N. (2017). Testing The Moderating Role Of Financial Development İn An Environmental Kuznets Curve: Empirical Evidence From Turkey: Renewable And Sustainable Energy Reviews, 68, 572–586.
  • Kim, D. and Perron, P. (2009). Unit Root Tests Allowing for a Break in The Trend Function at an Unknown Time Under Both the Null and Alternative Hypotheses, Journal Of Econometrics, 148, 1–13.
  • Lumsdaine R.L. and Papell D.H. (1997). Multiple Trend Breaks and the Unit Root Hypothesis: The Review of Economics and Statistics; 79(2), 212–218.
  • Lee, J. and M. C. Strazicich, (2003). Minimum LM Unit Root Test with Two Structural Breaks: Review of Economics and Statistics, 85, 1082–1089.
  • Maki, D. (2012). Tests For Cointegration Allowing For An Unknown Number of Breaks: Economic Modelling; 29, 2011–2015.
  • Mazhar, U., and Egin, C. (2013). Environmental Regulation, Pollution and the Informal Economy: The State Bank of Pakistan (SBP) Research Bulletin; 9(1), 62–81.
  • Öğünç, F., and Yılmaz, G. (2000). Estimating the Underground Economy in Turkey. Research Department, Discussion Paper, September, the Central Bank of The Republic of Turkey.
  • Perron, P. (1989). The Great Crash, the Oil Price Shock, and the Unit Root Hypothesis: Econometrica; 57, 1361-1401.
  • Schneider, F. (2007). Shadow Economies and Corruption All Over The World: New Estimates for 145 Countries, Economics: Economics - The Open-Access, Open-Assessment E-Journal; Kiel Institute For The World Economy, 1(9).
  • Schneider, F. and Savasan F. (2007). Dymimic Estimates Of The Size Of Shadow Economies Of Turkey And Of Her Neighboring Countries: International Research Journal Of Finance And Economics; 9,126-144.
  • Stern, D.I. (2004). The Rise and Fall Of The Environmental Kuznets Curve: World Development; 32(8):1419–1439.
  • Sohail, M. T., Ullah, S., Majeed, M. T., Usman, A., and Andlib, Z. (2021). The Shadow Economy in South Asia: Dynamic Effects on Clean Energy Consumption and Environmental Pollution. Environmental Science and Pollution Research, 28, 29265-29275.
  • Temel, A., Şimşek, A., and Yazıcı, K., (1994). Kayıtdışı Ekonomi Tanımı, Tespit Yöntemleri ve Türk Ekonomisindeki Büyüklüğü, Arastirma Raporlari, Ekonomik Modeller ve Stratejik Araştırmalar Genel Müdürlüğü , DPT, Ankara.
  • Us, V. (2004). Kayıtdışı Ekonomi Tahmini Yöntem Önerisi: Türkiye Örneği, Araştirma Makalesi, Türkiye Ekonomi Kurumu, Ankara: No. 17.
  • World Data Bank (WDI) (2020). https://databank.worldbank.org/ adresinden alındı
  • Yayla, M. (1995). Unrecorded Economy in Turkey, Master’s Thesis, Middle East Technical University, Ankara.
  • Zivot, E. and Andrews, D.W.K. (1992). Further Evidence on the Great Crash, the Oil-Price Shock, and the Unit-Root Hypothesis: Journal of Business and Economic Statistics, 10, 251–270.
Toplam 39 adet kaynakça vardır.

Ayrıntılar

Birincil Dil İngilizce
Konular Kayıt Dışı Ekonomi, Makro İktisat (Diğer)
Bölüm Araştırma Makalesi
Yazarlar

Hatice İmamoğlu 0000-0002-3299-499X

Yayımlanma Tarihi 31 Temmuz 2024
Gönderilme Tarihi 21 Nisan 2024
Kabul Tarihi 16 Temmuz 2024
Yayımlandığı Sayı Yıl 2024 Cilt: 2 Sayı: 1

Kaynak Göster

APA İmamoğlu, H. (2024). INFORMAL ECONOMIC ACTIVITY AND AIR POLLUTION: IS THERE A LINK?. Bitlis Eren Sosyal Araştırmalar Dergisi, 2(1), 126-140.