The effects of market interest rate on Islamic Indices? An Heterogeneous Panel Data Analysis on Participation 30 Index Companies
Yıl 2019,
Cilt: 6 Sayı: 1, 35 - 50, 15.02.2019
Salih Ülev
,
Mücahit Aydın
Öz
The aim of this article is to investigate the
influence of market interest rate on Participation 30 index companies. The
interest rate of Turkish goverment bonds traded in the secondary market were
used for representing market interest rate. The study uses a data panel of 41
Participation index companies from 2011 to 2017. Using LM
bootstrap panel cointegration test, we
obtain results showing that the market interest rate affects the stock prices
of P30 index companies. This effect is negative for ALBARAKA, KONYA, BAGFS, KOZAL and PRKME, but positive
for all other companies. The least affected company from market interest rate
is TTKOM, while the most affected company is LOGO. Moreover, it is noteworthy
that 5 of the 10 companies with the lowest long-run coefficient are operating
in the construction-raw material industry.
Kaynakça
- AAOIFI. (2015). Shari’ah Standards. Manama: Dar Almaiman.Abdul Rahim, F., Ahmad, N., & Ahmad, I. (2009). Information transmission between Islamic stock indices in South East Asia. International Journal of Islamic and Middle Eastern Finance and Management, 2(1), 7–19.Abu-Alkheil, A., Khan, W. A., Parikh, B., & Mohanty, S. K. (2017). Dynamic co-integration and portfolio diversification of Islamic and conventional indices: Global evidence. Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, 66, 212–224. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.qref.2017.02.005Akhtar, S., Akhtar, F., Jahromi, M., & John, K. (2017). Impact of interest rate surprises on Islamic and conventional stocks and bonds. Journal of International Money and Finance, 79(2017), 218–231. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jimonfin.2017.09.003Al-Khazali, O., Lean, H. H., & Samet, A. (2014a). Do Islamic stock indexes outperform conventional stock indexes? A stochastic dominance approach. Pacific Basin Finance Journal, 28, 29–46. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.pacfin.2013.09.003Al-Khazali, O., Lean, H. H., & Samet, A. (2014b). Do Islamic stock indexes outperform conventional stock indexes? A stochastic dominance approach. Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, 28, 29–46.Al-Khazali, O. M., Leduc, G., & Alsayed, M. S. (2015). A Market Efficiency Comparison of Islamic and Non-Islamic Stock Indices. Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, 938(November), 1–19. https://doi.org/10.1080/1540496X.2014.998572Ata, H. A., & Buğan, M. F. (2015). Comparison of the Performances Islamic and Conventional Market Indices and their Causal Relationship. International Journal of Business Management and Economic Research(IJBMER), 6(6), 455–462. Retrieved from http://www.ijbmer.com/docs/volumes/vol6issue6/ijbmer2015060612.pdfBreusch TS, Pagan, AR, (1980) The Lagrange multiplier test and its applications to model specification in econometrics. The Review of Economic Studies 47(1):239-253.El Khamlichi, A., Sarkar, K., Arouri, M., & Teulon, F. (2014). Are Islamic equity indices more efficient than their conventional counterparts? Evidence from major global index families. Journal of Applied Business Research (JABR), 30(4), 1137–1150.Elfakhani, S., Hassan, M. K., & Sidani, Y. (2005). Comparative performance of Islamic versus secular mutual funds. In 12th Economic Research Forum Conference in Cairo, Egypt (pp. 19–21).Elfakhani, S. M., Sidani, Y. M., & Fahel, O. A. (2004). Assessment of the Performance of Islamic Mutual Funds. The European Journal of Management and Public Policy, (March).Forte, G., & Miglietta, F. (2007). Islamic mutual funds as faith-based funds in a socially responsible context. Available at SSRN 1012813.Gamaleldin, F. (2015). Shariah-Compliant Stocks Screening and Purification. Research Gate, (October), 1–44. https://doi.org/10.13140/RG.2.1.3063.0249Girard, E., & Hassan, K. (2008). Is there a cost to faith-based investing: Evidence from FTSE Islamic indices. The Journal of Investing, 17(4), 112–121.Girard, E., & Hassan, M. K. (2005). Faith-Based Ethical Investing: The Case of Dow Jones Islamic Indexes. FMA Papers.Hakim, S., & Rashidian, M. (2004). Risk & Return of Islamic Stock Market Indexes. Economic Research Forum Annual Meetings Sharjah UAE, (2), 1–13. Retrieved from http://www.iefpedia.com/english/wp-content/uploads/2009/09/Risk-Return-of-Islamic-Stock-Market-Indexes.pdfHashim, A. M., Habib, F., Isaacs, Z., Gadhoum, M. A., Hashim Isra, A. M., Lumpur, K., & Habib, M. F. (2017). ISRA International Journal of Islamic Finance For Authors ISRA-Bloomberg Sharīʿah stock screening and income cleansing methodologies: a conceptual paper. ISRA International Journal of Islamic Finance, 9(1), 27–42. https://doi.org/10.1108/IJIF-07-2017-004Hassan, M. K. (2002). Risk, return and volatility of faith-based investing: the case of Dow Jones Islamic Index. In paper in Proceedings of 5th Harvard University Forum on Islamic Finance, Harvard University.Hussein, K. (2004). Ethical investment: empirical evidence from FTSE Islamic index. Islamic Economic Studies, 12(1), 21–40.Hussein, K. (2007). Islamic investment: evidence from Dow Jones and FTSE indices. Islamic Economics and Finance, 387.Kok, S., Giorgioni, G., & Laws, J. (2009). Performance of Shariah-Compliant Indices in London and NY Stock Markets and their potential for diversification. International Journal of Monetary Economics and Finance, 2(3–4), 398–408.Majdoub, J., & Mansour, W. (2014). Islamic equity market integration and volatility spillover between emerging and US stock markets. The North American Journal of Economics and …. Retrieved from http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1062940814000710Participation 30 Index, http://www.katilimendeksi.org/subpage/115/index_rules, Accessed: 07.04.2018.Pesaran M, Hashem (2004) General Diagnostic Tests for Cross Section Dependence in Panels. CESifo Working Paper Series No. 1229; IZA Discussion Paper No. 1240. Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=572504Pesaran, M. H. (2007). A simple panel unit root test in the presence of cross‐section dependence. Journal of applied econometrics, 22(2), 265-312.Rizvi, S. A. R., & Arshad, S. (2018). Understanding time-varying systematic risks in Islamic and conventional sectoral indices. Economic Modelling, 70(August 2017), 561–570. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.econmod.2017.10.011Saraç, M., & Ülev, S. (2017). Investing in Islamic stocks: A wiser way to achieve genuine interest-free finance. Journal of King Abdulaziz University, Islamic Economics, 30(Specialissue), 61–72. https://doi.org/10.4197/Islec.30-SI.4Savaşan, F., Yardımoğlu, F., & Beşel, F. (2015). The Effect of Exogenous Shocks on Participation Index of Borsa Istanbul : Permanent or Temporary ? International Journal of Islamic Economics and Finance Studies, 1(1), 81–92.Seçme, O., Aksoy, M., & Uysal, Ö. (2016). Katılım Endeksi Getiri, Performans ve Oynaklığının Karşılaştırmalı Analizi. Muhasebe ve Finansman Dergisi, (72), 107–128. Retrieved from http://dergipark.gov.tr/mufad/issue/35669/396724Shamsuddin, A. (2014). Are Dow Jones Islamic equity indices exposed to interest rate risk? Economic Modelling, 39, 273–281. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.econmod.2014.03.007Umar, Z., Jawad, S., Shahzad, H., & Ferrer, R. (2018). Does Shariah compliance make interest rate sensitivity of Islamic equities lower ? An industry level analysis under different market states. Applied Economics, 0(0), 1–22. https://doi.org/10.1080/00036846.2018.1458191Westerlund, J., & Edgerton, D. L. (2007). A panel bootstrap cointegration test. Economics Letters, 97(3), 185-190.Yildirim, R., & Ilhan, B. (2018). Shari â€TM ah Screening Methodology - New Shari â€TM ah Compliant Approach -. Journal of Islamic Economics, Banking and Finance, 14(1), 168–191. Retrieved from http://ibtra.com/pdf/journal/v14_n1_article8.pdfYildiz, S. B. (2015). Katılım 30 Endeksi İle BİST 100 Endeksi ’nin Performanslarının D eğerlendirilmesi. Finans Politik ve Ekonomik Yorumlar, 52(606), 41–53.Yusof, R. M., & AbdulMajid, S. (2007). Stock market volatility transmission in Malaysia: Islamic versus conventional stock market. Islamic Economics, 20(2).Zandi, G., Razak, D. A., & Hussin, N. H. (2014). Stock Market Screening: An Analogical Study on Conventional and Shariah-Compliant Stock Markets. Asian Social Science, 10(22), p270.
Yıl 2019,
Cilt: 6 Sayı: 1, 35 - 50, 15.02.2019
Salih Ülev
,
Mücahit Aydın
Kaynakça
- AAOIFI. (2015). Shari’ah Standards. Manama: Dar Almaiman.Abdul Rahim, F., Ahmad, N., & Ahmad, I. (2009). Information transmission between Islamic stock indices in South East Asia. International Journal of Islamic and Middle Eastern Finance and Management, 2(1), 7–19.Abu-Alkheil, A., Khan, W. A., Parikh, B., & Mohanty, S. K. (2017). Dynamic co-integration and portfolio diversification of Islamic and conventional indices: Global evidence. Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, 66, 212–224. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.qref.2017.02.005Akhtar, S., Akhtar, F., Jahromi, M., & John, K. (2017). Impact of interest rate surprises on Islamic and conventional stocks and bonds. Journal of International Money and Finance, 79(2017), 218–231. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jimonfin.2017.09.003Al-Khazali, O., Lean, H. H., & Samet, A. (2014a). Do Islamic stock indexes outperform conventional stock indexes? A stochastic dominance approach. Pacific Basin Finance Journal, 28, 29–46. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.pacfin.2013.09.003Al-Khazali, O., Lean, H. H., & Samet, A. (2014b). Do Islamic stock indexes outperform conventional stock indexes? A stochastic dominance approach. Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, 28, 29–46.Al-Khazali, O. M., Leduc, G., & Alsayed, M. S. (2015). A Market Efficiency Comparison of Islamic and Non-Islamic Stock Indices. Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, 938(November), 1–19. https://doi.org/10.1080/1540496X.2014.998572Ata, H. A., & Buğan, M. F. (2015). Comparison of the Performances Islamic and Conventional Market Indices and their Causal Relationship. International Journal of Business Management and Economic Research(IJBMER), 6(6), 455–462. Retrieved from http://www.ijbmer.com/docs/volumes/vol6issue6/ijbmer2015060612.pdfBreusch TS, Pagan, AR, (1980) The Lagrange multiplier test and its applications to model specification in econometrics. The Review of Economic Studies 47(1):239-253.El Khamlichi, A., Sarkar, K., Arouri, M., & Teulon, F. (2014). Are Islamic equity indices more efficient than their conventional counterparts? Evidence from major global index families. Journal of Applied Business Research (JABR), 30(4), 1137–1150.Elfakhani, S., Hassan, M. K., & Sidani, Y. (2005). Comparative performance of Islamic versus secular mutual funds. In 12th Economic Research Forum Conference in Cairo, Egypt (pp. 19–21).Elfakhani, S. M., Sidani, Y. M., & Fahel, O. A. (2004). Assessment of the Performance of Islamic Mutual Funds. The European Journal of Management and Public Policy, (March).Forte, G., & Miglietta, F. (2007). Islamic mutual funds as faith-based funds in a socially responsible context. Available at SSRN 1012813.Gamaleldin, F. (2015). Shariah-Compliant Stocks Screening and Purification. Research Gate, (October), 1–44. https://doi.org/10.13140/RG.2.1.3063.0249Girard, E., & Hassan, K. (2008). Is there a cost to faith-based investing: Evidence from FTSE Islamic indices. The Journal of Investing, 17(4), 112–121.Girard, E., & Hassan, M. K. (2005). Faith-Based Ethical Investing: The Case of Dow Jones Islamic Indexes. FMA Papers.Hakim, S., & Rashidian, M. (2004). Risk & Return of Islamic Stock Market Indexes. Economic Research Forum Annual Meetings Sharjah UAE, (2), 1–13. Retrieved from http://www.iefpedia.com/english/wp-content/uploads/2009/09/Risk-Return-of-Islamic-Stock-Market-Indexes.pdfHashim, A. M., Habib, F., Isaacs, Z., Gadhoum, M. A., Hashim Isra, A. M., Lumpur, K., & Habib, M. F. (2017). ISRA International Journal of Islamic Finance For Authors ISRA-Bloomberg Sharīʿah stock screening and income cleansing methodologies: a conceptual paper. ISRA International Journal of Islamic Finance, 9(1), 27–42. https://doi.org/10.1108/IJIF-07-2017-004Hassan, M. K. (2002). Risk, return and volatility of faith-based investing: the case of Dow Jones Islamic Index. In paper in Proceedings of 5th Harvard University Forum on Islamic Finance, Harvard University.Hussein, K. (2004). Ethical investment: empirical evidence from FTSE Islamic index. Islamic Economic Studies, 12(1), 21–40.Hussein, K. (2007). Islamic investment: evidence from Dow Jones and FTSE indices. Islamic Economics and Finance, 387.Kok, S., Giorgioni, G., & Laws, J. (2009). Performance of Shariah-Compliant Indices in London and NY Stock Markets and their potential for diversification. International Journal of Monetary Economics and Finance, 2(3–4), 398–408.Majdoub, J., & Mansour, W. (2014). Islamic equity market integration and volatility spillover between emerging and US stock markets. The North American Journal of Economics and …. Retrieved from http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1062940814000710Participation 30 Index, http://www.katilimendeksi.org/subpage/115/index_rules, Accessed: 07.04.2018.Pesaran M, Hashem (2004) General Diagnostic Tests for Cross Section Dependence in Panels. CESifo Working Paper Series No. 1229; IZA Discussion Paper No. 1240. Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=572504Pesaran, M. H. (2007). A simple panel unit root test in the presence of cross‐section dependence. Journal of applied econometrics, 22(2), 265-312.Rizvi, S. A. R., & Arshad, S. (2018). Understanding time-varying systematic risks in Islamic and conventional sectoral indices. Economic Modelling, 70(August 2017), 561–570. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.econmod.2017.10.011Saraç, M., & Ülev, S. (2017). Investing in Islamic stocks: A wiser way to achieve genuine interest-free finance. Journal of King Abdulaziz University, Islamic Economics, 30(Specialissue), 61–72. https://doi.org/10.4197/Islec.30-SI.4Savaşan, F., Yardımoğlu, F., & Beşel, F. (2015). The Effect of Exogenous Shocks on Participation Index of Borsa Istanbul : Permanent or Temporary ? International Journal of Islamic Economics and Finance Studies, 1(1), 81–92.Seçme, O., Aksoy, M., & Uysal, Ö. (2016). Katılım Endeksi Getiri, Performans ve Oynaklığının Karşılaştırmalı Analizi. Muhasebe ve Finansman Dergisi, (72), 107–128. Retrieved from http://dergipark.gov.tr/mufad/issue/35669/396724Shamsuddin, A. (2014). Are Dow Jones Islamic equity indices exposed to interest rate risk? Economic Modelling, 39, 273–281. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.econmod.2014.03.007Umar, Z., Jawad, S., Shahzad, H., & Ferrer, R. (2018). Does Shariah compliance make interest rate sensitivity of Islamic equities lower ? An industry level analysis under different market states. Applied Economics, 0(0), 1–22. https://doi.org/10.1080/00036846.2018.1458191Westerlund, J., & Edgerton, D. L. (2007). A panel bootstrap cointegration test. Economics Letters, 97(3), 185-190.Yildirim, R., & Ilhan, B. (2018). Shari â€TM ah Screening Methodology - New Shari â€TM ah Compliant Approach -. Journal of Islamic Economics, Banking and Finance, 14(1), 168–191. Retrieved from http://ibtra.com/pdf/journal/v14_n1_article8.pdfYildiz, S. B. (2015). Katılım 30 Endeksi İle BİST 100 Endeksi ’nin Performanslarının D eğerlendirilmesi. Finans Politik ve Ekonomik Yorumlar, 52(606), 41–53.Yusof, R. M., & AbdulMajid, S. (2007). Stock market volatility transmission in Malaysia: Islamic versus conventional stock market. Islamic Economics, 20(2).Zandi, G., Razak, D. A., & Hussin, N. H. (2014). Stock Market Screening: An Analogical Study on Conventional and Shariah-Compliant Stock Markets. Asian Social Science, 10(22), p270.