ANALYSIS OF THE EFFECT OF APPLICATION CHANGE IN REQUIRED EQUIPMENT RATIOS ON BIST BANK INDEX
Yıl 2023,
Cilt: 11 Sayı: 2, 267 - 284, 26.12.2023
Şenol Kandemir
,
Elif Sanlı
Öz
In this study, the effect of the Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey (CBRT) announcement numbered 2022-24 on 23.04.2022 and the application of required reserves to the active side of the required reserves, which were applied to the liabilities side of the banks' balance sheets, on the share prices of the banks in the BIST Bank Index were analyzed using the case study method.
Average abnormal returns (AAR), t-test statistics and p-values were calculated to measure the reaction of share prices to the change in reserve requirement applications dated April 23, 2022. The result of the study shows that the announcement of the change in the reserve requirement application causes abnormal returns in BIST bank shares and the market is not efficient in semi-strong form.
Kaynakça
- Altuntaş, D. ve Ersoy, E. (2020). The Causal Relationship between CDS Premiums and BIST
30 and BIST Banks Index. Journal of Economics and Financial Researches, 2(2), 144-
155.
- Athanasoglou, P., Delis, M. ve Staikouras, C. (2006). Determinants of Bank Profitability in the
South Eastern European Region. Bank of Greece Working Paper, 47, September 1.
Benninga, S. (2014). Financial Modeling. Cambridge, Massachusetts: MIT Press.
- BIST. (2020). BIST Pay Endeksleri Temel Kuralları. https://www.borsaistanbul.com/files/bistpay-endeksleri-temel-kurallari2020.pdf
- Bollerslev, T. (1986). Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity. Journal of
Econometrics, 37, 307-327.
- Brown, S. J. ve Warner, J. B. (1985). Using Daily Stock Returns. Journal of Financial
Economics, 14, 3-31.
- Brown, S.J. ve Warner, J.B. (1980). Measuring Security Price Performance. Journal of
Financial Economics, 8, 205-258.
- Burki, A. A., ve Niazi, G. S. K. (2009). Impact of Financial Reforms on Efficiency of State
Owned, Private and Foreign H.R. Managers in Pakistan. Applied Economics, 42, 3147-
3160.
- Elyasiani, E. ve Mansur, I. (1998). Sensitivity of Bank Stock Returns Distribution to Changes
in the Level and Volatility of Interest Rates: A GARCH-M Model. Journalof Banking
& Finance, 22, 535-563.
- Elyasiani, E., ve Mansur, I. (2004). Bank Stock Return Sensitivities to the Long-term and Shortterm Interest Rates: A Multivariate GARCH Approach. Managerial Finance, 30 (9),
32-55.
- Engle, R. F. (1982). Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity with Estimates of the
Variance of the United Kingdom Inflation. Econometrica, 50(4), July, 987-1007.
- Gray, S. (2011). Central Bank Balances and Reserve Requirements. International Monetary
Fund WP, 11/36.
- Jaffe, J. F. (1974). Special Information and Insider Trading. The Journal of Business, 47(3),
410-428.
- Kane, E.J. ve Ünal, H. (1988). Change in Market Assessment of Deposit Institution Riskiness.
Journal of Financial Services Research, 2, 201-229.
- MacKinlay, A. C. (1997). Event Studies in Economics And Finance. Journal Of Economic
Literature, 35(1), 13-39.
- Malede, M. (2014). Determinants of Commercial Banks Lending: Evidence from Ethiopian
Commercial Banks. European Journal of Business and Management, 6(20).
- Mazgit, İ. (2013). Endeks Kapsamında Olmanın Hisse Senedi Getirilerine Etkisi: BIST Temettü
25 Endeksi Üzerine Bir Uygulama. Sosyo Ekonomi Dergisi, 2013/2.
- Mcgee, R. W. ve Tarangelo, T. (2008). Corporate Governance, The Timeliness of Financial
Reporting and The Russian Banking System: An Empirical Study. Florida International
University Working Paper, June.
- McWilliams, A. ve Siegel, D. (1997). Event Studies in Management Research: Theoretical and
Empirical Issues. Academy of Management Journal, 40(3), 626-657.
- Menacer, A., ve Nurein, S. A. (2017). Macroeconomic Variables and Islamic Bank Stock
Returns: Panel Data Evidence from GCC Countries. Journal of Islamic Finance (Special
Issue), 1-13.
- Olokoyo, F. (2011). Determinant of Commercial Bank’s Lending Behavior in Nigeria.
International Journal of Financial Research, 2(2), 61-72.
- Olusanya, S., Oyebo A. ve Ohadebere E. (2012). Determinants of Lending Behavior of
Commercial Banks. A Cointegration Analysis, 5(5), 71-80.
- Ozbey, F., ve Paksoy, S. (2020). GARCH Ailesi Modelleri ve ANN Entegrasyonu ile BIST 100
Endeks Getirisinin Volatilite Tahmini. Business and Economics Research
Journal, 11(2), 385-396.
- Park, J. ve Choi, P.B. (2011). Interest Rate Sensitivity of US Property/Liability Insurer Stock
Returns. Managerial Finance, 7(3), 134-150.
- Peterson, P. P. (1989). Event Studies: A Review of Issues and Methodology. Quarterly Journal
of Business and Economics, 36-66.
- Santoni, G. J. (1985). The Monetary Control Act, Reserve Taxes and the Stock Prices of
Commercial Banks. Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Review, June/July, 12-20.
- Sharpe, W. F. (1963). A Simplified model for Portfolio Analysis. Management Science, 9(2),
277-293.
- Shuxia, J. ve Yuchan, C. (2012). Monetary Policy, Bank Capital and Risk-Taking. Journal of
Financial Research, 4, 1-15.
- Skander, J. V. (2011). Banking Conditions and the Effects of Monetary Policy: Evidence from
U.S. States. The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics, 12(2), 1-22.
- Slovin, M., Sushka, M. ve Bendeck, Y. (1990). The Market Valuation Effects of Reserve
Regulation. Journal of Afonetary Economics, January, 25, 3-19.
- Sorescu, A., Warren, N. L. ve Ertekin, L. (2017). Event Study Methodology in the Marketing
Literature: an Overview. Journal of the Academy of Marketing Science, 45, 186-207.
- Şenel, C. (2022). Mevduat Bankalarının Hisse Senedi Getirilerine Etki Eden Finansal Faktörler.
İşletme Araştırmaları Dergisi, 14(3), 1880-1889.
- Tarkun, S., Işığıçok, E. ve Akdamar, E. (2022). Türkiye’de Covid 19 Döneminde CDS
Oynaklığı Üzerinde BIST100 ve VIX Endekslerinin Etkilerinin Simetrik ve Asimetrik
Koşullu Değişen Varyans Modelleri ile Belirlenmesi. Uludağ Journal of Economy and
Society, 41(2), 203-223.
- Yıldız, B. (2016). Oynaklık Tahmininde Simetrik ve Asimetrik GARCH Modellerinin
Kullanılması: Seçilmiş BIST Alt Sektör Endeksleri Üzerine Bir Uygulama. Muhasebe
ve Finansman Dergisi, 72, 83-106.
- Yi, F., Shengmin, Z. ve Xiaowen, X. (2012). An Analysis of Bearing Bank Risks in Monetary
Policies: on the Coordination Betweenthe Monetary Policy and the Macro-Prudential
Policy. Management World, 11, 9-19.
ZORUNLU KARŞILIK ORANLARINDAKİ UYGULAMA DEĞİŞİKLİĞİNİN BIST BANKA ENDEKSİ ÜZERİNDEKİ ETKİSİNİN ANALİZİ
Yıl 2023,
Cilt: 11 Sayı: 2, 267 - 284, 26.12.2023
Şenol Kandemir
,
Elif Sanlı
Öz
Bu çalışmada Türkiye Cumhuriyet Merkez Bankası (TCMB)’ nın 23.04.2022 tarihinde yapılan 2022-24 sayılı duyurusu ile zorunlu karşılıkların bankaların bilançolarının pasif tarafına uygulanan zorunlu karşılıkların aktif tarafına da uygulanmaya başlanmasının BIST Banka Endeksinde yer alan bankaların pay fiyatlarına etkisi olay çalışması yöntemiyle analiz edilmiştir.
Pay fiyatlarının 23 Nisan 2022 tarihli zorunlu karşılık uygulamalarında meydana gelen değişime tepkisini ölçmek için ortalama anormal getirileri (AAR), t-test istatistikler ve p-değerleri hesaplanmıştır. Çalışma sonucu zorunlu karşılık uygulamasında meydana gelen değişim duyurusunun BIST banka paylarında anormal getirilere neden olduğu ve piyasanın yarı güçlü formda etkin olmadığını göstermektedir.
Kaynakça
- Altuntaş, D. ve Ersoy, E. (2020). The Causal Relationship between CDS Premiums and BIST
30 and BIST Banks Index. Journal of Economics and Financial Researches, 2(2), 144-
155.
- Athanasoglou, P., Delis, M. ve Staikouras, C. (2006). Determinants of Bank Profitability in the
South Eastern European Region. Bank of Greece Working Paper, 47, September 1.
Benninga, S. (2014). Financial Modeling. Cambridge, Massachusetts: MIT Press.
- BIST. (2020). BIST Pay Endeksleri Temel Kuralları. https://www.borsaistanbul.com/files/bistpay-endeksleri-temel-kurallari2020.pdf
- Bollerslev, T. (1986). Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity. Journal of
Econometrics, 37, 307-327.
- Brown, S. J. ve Warner, J. B. (1985). Using Daily Stock Returns. Journal of Financial
Economics, 14, 3-31.
- Brown, S.J. ve Warner, J.B. (1980). Measuring Security Price Performance. Journal of
Financial Economics, 8, 205-258.
- Burki, A. A., ve Niazi, G. S. K. (2009). Impact of Financial Reforms on Efficiency of State
Owned, Private and Foreign H.R. Managers in Pakistan. Applied Economics, 42, 3147-
3160.
- Elyasiani, E. ve Mansur, I. (1998). Sensitivity of Bank Stock Returns Distribution to Changes
in the Level and Volatility of Interest Rates: A GARCH-M Model. Journalof Banking
& Finance, 22, 535-563.
- Elyasiani, E., ve Mansur, I. (2004). Bank Stock Return Sensitivities to the Long-term and Shortterm Interest Rates: A Multivariate GARCH Approach. Managerial Finance, 30 (9),
32-55.
- Engle, R. F. (1982). Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity with Estimates of the
Variance of the United Kingdom Inflation. Econometrica, 50(4), July, 987-1007.
- Gray, S. (2011). Central Bank Balances and Reserve Requirements. International Monetary
Fund WP, 11/36.
- Jaffe, J. F. (1974). Special Information and Insider Trading. The Journal of Business, 47(3),
410-428.
- Kane, E.J. ve Ünal, H. (1988). Change in Market Assessment of Deposit Institution Riskiness.
Journal of Financial Services Research, 2, 201-229.
- MacKinlay, A. C. (1997). Event Studies in Economics And Finance. Journal Of Economic
Literature, 35(1), 13-39.
- Malede, M. (2014). Determinants of Commercial Banks Lending: Evidence from Ethiopian
Commercial Banks. European Journal of Business and Management, 6(20).
- Mazgit, İ. (2013). Endeks Kapsamında Olmanın Hisse Senedi Getirilerine Etkisi: BIST Temettü
25 Endeksi Üzerine Bir Uygulama. Sosyo Ekonomi Dergisi, 2013/2.
- Mcgee, R. W. ve Tarangelo, T. (2008). Corporate Governance, The Timeliness of Financial
Reporting and The Russian Banking System: An Empirical Study. Florida International
University Working Paper, June.
- McWilliams, A. ve Siegel, D. (1997). Event Studies in Management Research: Theoretical and
Empirical Issues. Academy of Management Journal, 40(3), 626-657.
- Menacer, A., ve Nurein, S. A. (2017). Macroeconomic Variables and Islamic Bank Stock
Returns: Panel Data Evidence from GCC Countries. Journal of Islamic Finance (Special
Issue), 1-13.
- Olokoyo, F. (2011). Determinant of Commercial Bank’s Lending Behavior in Nigeria.
International Journal of Financial Research, 2(2), 61-72.
- Olusanya, S., Oyebo A. ve Ohadebere E. (2012). Determinants of Lending Behavior of
Commercial Banks. A Cointegration Analysis, 5(5), 71-80.
- Ozbey, F., ve Paksoy, S. (2020). GARCH Ailesi Modelleri ve ANN Entegrasyonu ile BIST 100
Endeks Getirisinin Volatilite Tahmini. Business and Economics Research
Journal, 11(2), 385-396.
- Park, J. ve Choi, P.B. (2011). Interest Rate Sensitivity of US Property/Liability Insurer Stock
Returns. Managerial Finance, 7(3), 134-150.
- Peterson, P. P. (1989). Event Studies: A Review of Issues and Methodology. Quarterly Journal
of Business and Economics, 36-66.
- Santoni, G. J. (1985). The Monetary Control Act, Reserve Taxes and the Stock Prices of
Commercial Banks. Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Review, June/July, 12-20.
- Sharpe, W. F. (1963). A Simplified model for Portfolio Analysis. Management Science, 9(2),
277-293.
- Shuxia, J. ve Yuchan, C. (2012). Monetary Policy, Bank Capital and Risk-Taking. Journal of
Financial Research, 4, 1-15.
- Skander, J. V. (2011). Banking Conditions and the Effects of Monetary Policy: Evidence from
U.S. States. The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics, 12(2), 1-22.
- Slovin, M., Sushka, M. ve Bendeck, Y. (1990). The Market Valuation Effects of Reserve
Regulation. Journal of Afonetary Economics, January, 25, 3-19.
- Sorescu, A., Warren, N. L. ve Ertekin, L. (2017). Event Study Methodology in the Marketing
Literature: an Overview. Journal of the Academy of Marketing Science, 45, 186-207.
- Şenel, C. (2022). Mevduat Bankalarının Hisse Senedi Getirilerine Etki Eden Finansal Faktörler.
İşletme Araştırmaları Dergisi, 14(3), 1880-1889.
- Tarkun, S., Işığıçok, E. ve Akdamar, E. (2022). Türkiye’de Covid 19 Döneminde CDS
Oynaklığı Üzerinde BIST100 ve VIX Endekslerinin Etkilerinin Simetrik ve Asimetrik
Koşullu Değişen Varyans Modelleri ile Belirlenmesi. Uludağ Journal of Economy and
Society, 41(2), 203-223.
- Yıldız, B. (2016). Oynaklık Tahmininde Simetrik ve Asimetrik GARCH Modellerinin
Kullanılması: Seçilmiş BIST Alt Sektör Endeksleri Üzerine Bir Uygulama. Muhasebe
ve Finansman Dergisi, 72, 83-106.
- Yi, F., Shengmin, Z. ve Xiaowen, X. (2012). An Analysis of Bearing Bank Risks in Monetary
Policies: on the Coordination Betweenthe Monetary Policy and the Macro-Prudential
Policy. Management World, 11, 9-19.