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The Relationship between Trade Openness-Foreign Direct Investment and Economic Growth: The Case of BRICS-T Countries

Yıl 2022, Cilt: 6 Sayı: 1, 109 - 146, 29.08.2022
https://doi.org/10.33399/biibfad.937591

Öz

With globalization, the volume of goods and capital moving across borders has increased worldwide. In order to benefit from this increase, countries that implement export-oriented growth policies and policies that facilitate the inflow of foreign direct investment (FDI) can achieve high economic growth rates. This study aims to contribute to the literature by investigating the trade openness, foreign direct investment and growth nexus in the group of emerging market economies called BRICS-T (Brazil, Russia, India, China, South Africa and Turkey) for the period 1992-2019 using panel data analysis methods. As a result of the analysis, a bidirectional Granger causality was found between trade openness and growth and a one-way Granger causality relationship from growth to foreign direct investments. However, causality relationships between trade openness and foreign direct investment are only found in India and South Africa. In addition, one-way causality relationships, running from growth to trade openness and from growth to foreign direct investment, were found for Turkey. The findings of the study imply that trade openness may have an indirect effect on foreign direct investment through economic growth.

Kaynakça

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  • Basu, P. & Guariglia, A. (2007). Foreign direct İnvestment, inequality, and growth. Journal of Macroeconomics, 29(4), 824-839.
  • Basu, P., Chakraborty, C., & Reagle, D. (2003). Liberalization, FDI, and growth in developing countries: a panel cointegration approach. Economic Inquiry, 41(3), 510-516.
  • Belloumi, M. (2014). The relationship between trade, FDI and economic growth in Tunisia: An application of the autoregressive distributed lag model. Economic Systems, (38), 269–287.
  • Bhagwati, J. N. (1978). Anatomy and Consequences of Exchange Control Regimes, Vol. I, Studies in International Economic Relations, No. I0, New York: National Bureau of Economic Research.
  • Breusch, T. S. & Pagan, A. R. (1980). The lagrange multiplier test and its applications to model specification in econometrics. The Review of Economic Studies, 47(1), 239-253.
  • Christophe, E. & M. Llorca, (2017). Fiscal sustainability in Central And Latin America countries: evidence from a panel cointegration approach. Economics Bulletin, 37(4): 2292-2300.
  • Çevik, E.İ., Atukeren, E. & Korkmaz, T. (2019). Trade openness and economic growth in turkey: a rolling frequency domain analysis. Economies 7 (2): 41, https://doi.org/10.3390/economies7020041
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  • Dinh T.T-H., Vo D.H., The Vo A. & Nguyen T.C (2019). Foreign Direct Investment and Economic Growth in the Short Run and Long Run: Empirical Evidence from Developing Countries. Journal of Risk and Financial Management. 12(4): 176. https://doi.org/10.3390/jrfm12040176.
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  • Encinas-Ferrer, C. & Villegas-Zermeño, E. (2015). Foreign direct investment and gross domestic product growth. International Conference on Applied Economics. Procedia Economics and Finance, 24, 198-207.
  • Erataş, F., Başcı Nur, H., & Özçalık, M. (2013). Feldstein-Horioka bilmecesinin gelişmiş ülke ekonomileri açısından değerlendirilmesi: panel veri analizi. Çankırı Karatekin Üniversitesi İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Fakültesi Dergisi, 3(2), 18-33.
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Ticari Dışa Açıklık-Doğrudan Yabancı Yatırımlar-Ekonomik Büyüme İlişkisi: BRICS-T Ülkeleri Örneği

Yıl 2022, Cilt: 6 Sayı: 1, 109 - 146, 29.08.2022
https://doi.org/10.33399/biibfad.937591

Öz

Küreselleşme ile birlikte tüm dünyada sınırlararası hareket eden malların ve sermayenin hacmi artmıştır. Bu artıştan faydalanmak için ihracat odaklı büyüme ve doğrudan yabancı yatırımların girişini kolaylaştıran politikalar uygulayan ülkeler yüksek bir ekonomik büyüme hızı yakalayabilmektedirler. Bu çalışma BRICS-T (Brezilya, Rusya, Hindistan, Çin, Güney Afrika ve Türkiye) olarak adlandırılan yükselen piyasa ekonomilerinde ticari açıklığın ve doğrudan yabancı yatırım ve büyüme ilişkisini 1992-2019 dönemi için panel veri analizi yöntemleri ile inceleyerek literatüre katkı sağlamayı amaçlamaktadır. Analiz sonucunda, BRICS-T ülkelerinden oluşan panel için çalışma döneminde ticari açıklık ve büyüme arasında çift yönlü bir nedensellik ilişkisi ve büyümeden doğrudan yabancı yatırımlara doğru tek yönlü nedensellik ilişkisi bulunmuştur. Bununla birlikte, sadece Hindistan ve Güney Afrika için ticari açıklık ve doğrudan yabancı yatırımlar arasında nedensellik ilişkilerine rastlanmıştır. Türkiye için büyümeden ticari açıklığa ve büyümeden doğrudan yabancı yatırımlara doğru tek yönlü nedensellik ilişkileri bulunmuştur. Çalışmanın bulguları panel için ticari dışa açıklığın doğrudan yabancı yatırımları dolaylı olarak büyüme üzerinden etkileyebileceğine işaret etmektedir.

Kaynakça

  • Aizenmann, J. & Noy, I. (2005). FDI and Trade - Two Way Linkages?, Working Paper, No. 598, University of California, Economics Department, Santa Cruz, CA
  • Aktan, C.C. & Vural, İ. (2013). Dolaysız yabancı yatırımların makroekonomik etkileri. Ekonomi Bilimleri Dergisi, 5(1), 44-62.
  • Asiedu, E. (2001). On the Determinants of foreign direct investment to developing countries: Is Africa different?. World Development, 30(1), 107-119.
  • Aytun, C. & Akın, C.S. (2014). OECD ülkelerinde telekomünikasyon altyapısı ve ekonomik büyüme: yatay kesit bağımlı heterojen panel nedensellik analizi. İktisat İşletme ve Finans, 29(340), 69-96.
  • Bakır, H. & Eryılmaz, F. (2015). Causal relationship between foreign direct investment and economic growth: Evidence from Turkey, Handbook of Research on Strategic Developments and Regulatory Practice in Global Finance (Ed. Özlem Olgu), USA: IGI-Global Publishing, 319- 330.
  • Balasubramanyam, V. N., Salisu, M. & Sapsford, D. (1996). Foreign direct ınvestment and growth in EP and IS countries. The Economic Journal, 106 (434), 92-105.
  • Basu, P. & Guariglia, A. (2007). Foreign direct İnvestment, inequality, and growth. Journal of Macroeconomics, 29(4), 824-839.
  • Basu, P., Chakraborty, C., & Reagle, D. (2003). Liberalization, FDI, and growth in developing countries: a panel cointegration approach. Economic Inquiry, 41(3), 510-516.
  • Belloumi, M. (2014). The relationship between trade, FDI and economic growth in Tunisia: An application of the autoregressive distributed lag model. Economic Systems, (38), 269–287.
  • Bhagwati, J. N. (1978). Anatomy and Consequences of Exchange Control Regimes, Vol. I, Studies in International Economic Relations, No. I0, New York: National Bureau of Economic Research.
  • Breusch, T. S. & Pagan, A. R. (1980). The lagrange multiplier test and its applications to model specification in econometrics. The Review of Economic Studies, 47(1), 239-253.
  • Christophe, E. & M. Llorca, (2017). Fiscal sustainability in Central And Latin America countries: evidence from a panel cointegration approach. Economics Bulletin, 37(4): 2292-2300.
  • Çevik, E.İ., Atukeren, E. & Korkmaz, T. (2019). Trade openness and economic growth in turkey: a rolling frequency domain analysis. Economies 7 (2): 41, https://doi.org/10.3390/economies7020041
  • Dao, A.T. (2015). Trade openness and economic growth, The Park Place Economist, 23(1), https://digitalcommons.iwu.edu/parkplace/vol23/iss1/11.
  • Dar, A. & Amirkhalkhali, S. (2003). On the impact of trade openness on growth: further evidence from OECD countries, Applied Economics, 35(16), 1761-1766, DOI: 10.1080/0003684032000129020.
  • De Mello, Jr., Luiz R. (1999). Foreign direct ınvestment-led growth: evidence from time series and panel data. Oxford Economic Papers, 51 (1), 133-151.
  • Dinh T.T-H., Vo D.H., The Vo A. & Nguyen T.C (2019). Foreign Direct Investment and Economic Growth in the Short Run and Long Run: Empirical Evidence from Developing Countries. Journal of Risk and Financial Management. 12(4): 176. https://doi.org/10.3390/jrfm12040176.
  • Dowrick, S. & Golley, J. (2004). Trade openness and growth: who benefits?. Oxford Review of Economic Policy, 20 (1), 38-56.
  • Dritsaki, M. & Dritsaki, C. (2020). Trade openness and economic growth: a panel data analysis of Baltic countries. Asian Economic and Finanial Review, 10(3), 313-324.
  • Dumitrescu, E. I., & Hurlin, C. (2012). Testing for Granger non-causality in heterogeneous panels. Economic Modelling, 29(4): 1450-1460.
  • Eğilmez, M.(2018), https://www.mahfiegilmez.com/2018/07/uluslararas-dogrudan-yatrmlar.html. Erişim Tarihi: 30.03.2021
  • Emirmahmutoglu, F. & N.Kose, (2011). Testing for Granger causality in heterogeneous mixed panels. Economic Modelling, 28 (3): 870-876.
  • Encinas-Ferrer, C. & Villegas-Zermeño, E. (2015). Foreign direct investment and gross domestic product growth. International Conference on Applied Economics. Procedia Economics and Finance, 24, 198-207.
  • Erataş, F., Başcı Nur, H., & Özçalık, M. (2013). Feldstein-Horioka bilmecesinin gelişmiş ülke ekonomileri açısından değerlendirilmesi: panel veri analizi. Çankırı Karatekin Üniversitesi İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Fakültesi Dergisi, 3(2), 18-33.
  • Fetahi-Vehapi, M., Sadiku, L. & Petkovski, M. (2015). Empirical Analysis of the Effects of Trade Openness on Economic Growth: An Evidence for South East European Countries, presented at The Economies of Balkan and Eastern Europe Countries in the changed world, EBEEC 2014, Nis, Serbia, Procedia Economics and Finance, 19, 17 – 26.
  • Göçer, İ., Mercan, M. & Hotunluoğlu, H. (2012). Seçilmiş OECD ülkelerinde cari işlemler açığının sürdürülebilirliği: yatay kesit bağımlılığı altında çoklu yapısal kırılmalı panel veri analizi, Maliye Dergisi, 163 (Temmuz-Aralık), 449-467.
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  • Lee, C.C. & Chang, C.P. (2009). FDI, financial development, and economic growth: international evidence. Journal of Applied Economics, 12(2), 249-271.
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  • Mehrara, M., Rahmani, T. & Vajari, A.N. (2013). Economic growth, openness and foreign direct investment in oil-rich countries, Hyperion Economic Journal, I(3-1), 3-8.
  • Menyah, K., Nazlioglu, S. & Wolde-Rufael, Y. (2014). Financial development, trade openness and economic growth in African countries: New insights from a panel causality approach, Economic Modelling, 27, 386-394.
  • Miller, S. M., & Upadhyay, M. P. (2000). The effects of trade orientation and human capital on total factor productivity. Journal of Development Economics, 63(2), 399-423.
  • Mina, W. (2007). The location determinants of FDI in the GCC countries. Journal of Multinational Financial Management,(17), 336-348.
  • Moudatsou, A. & Kyrkilis, D. (2011). FDI and economic growth: causality for the EU and ASEAN, Journal of Economic Integration, 26(3), 554-577.
  • Musila, J.W. & Yiheyis, Z. (2015). The impact of trade openness on growth: The case of Kenya, Journal of Policy Modeling, 37, 342-354.
  • Nannicini, T. & Billmeier, A. (2011). Economies in transition: how ımportant is trade openness for growth?. Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, 73: 287-314. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1468-0084.2010.00626.x
  • Noyan Yalman, İ. & Koşaroğlu, Ş.M (2017). Doğrudan yabancı yatırımların ekonomik büyüme ve işsizlik üzerindeki etkisi. Uluslararası Ekonomi, İşletme ve Politika Dergisi, 1(2), 191-205.
  • Okuyan H.A & Erbaykal E. (2008). Gelişmekte olan ülkelerde doğrudan yabancı yatırımlar ve ekonomik büyüme ilişkisi. Ekonomik Yaklaşım, 19(67), 47-58.
  • Omisakin, O., Adeniyi, O. & Omojolaibi, A. (2009). Foreign direct ınvestment, trade openness and growth in Nigeria. Journal of Economics Theory, 3: 13-18.
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  • Pesaran, M.H. (2007). A simple panel unit root test in the presence of cross-section dependence, Journal of Applied Econometrics, 22, 265-312.
  • Pesaran, M.H. and T. Yamagata, (2008). Testing slope homogeneity in large panels. Journal of Econometrics, 142: 50-93.
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  • Sakyi, D. & Egyir, J. (2017) Effects of trade and FDI on economic growth in Africa: an empirical investigation. Transnational Corporations Review, 9:2, 66-87, DOI: 10.1080/19186444.2017.1326717
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  • Seetanah, B. (2009). Is foreign direct ınvestment growth conducive? new evidences from Sub-Saharan African countries, 1980-2005. Applied Econometrics and International Development, 9(2), 185-201.
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  • Vergil, H. & Karaca, C. (2010), Gelişmekte olan ülkelere yönelik uluslararası sermaye hareketlerinin ekonomik büyüme üzerindeki etkisi: panel veri analizi. Ege Akademik Bakış, 10(4), 1207-1216.
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Toplam 87 adet kaynakça vardır.

Ayrıntılar

Birincil Dil Türkçe
Konular Ekonomi
Bölüm Makaleler
Yazarlar

Tuğba Karaca Bu kişi benim 0000-0001-7955-138X

Nermin Güney 0000-0002-5744-6746

Sertaç Hopoğlu 0000-0002-9541-2352

Erken Görünüm Tarihi 29 Ağustos 2022
Yayımlanma Tarihi 29 Ağustos 2022
Gönderilme Tarihi 17 Mayıs 2021
Yayımlandığı Sayı Yıl 2022 Cilt: 6 Sayı: 1

Kaynak Göster

APA Karaca, T., Güney, N., & Hopoğlu, S. (2022). Ticari Dışa Açıklık-Doğrudan Yabancı Yatırımlar-Ekonomik Büyüme İlişkisi: BRICS-T Ülkeleri Örneği. Bingöl Üniversitesi İktisadi Ve İdari Bilimler Fakültesi Dergisi, 6(1), 109-146. https://doi.org/10.33399/biibfad.937591


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