Gelişmekte Olan Ülkelerde Küresel Rekabet ve Büyüme İlişkisi

Öz

Küreselleşmenin hız kazanmasıyla, dünya genelinde bir rekabet olgusu oluşmuş ve ekonomik büyümeyi sağlamak için ülkeleri yoğun bir rekabetle karşı karşıya bırakmıştır. Zaman içinde gelişen ilişkiler ağı, bu kavramın sadece ekonomik değil, sosyal, kültürel ve siyasal alanları da kapsamış ve dünya ülkelerinin ekonomik bağımlılıklarının ötesinde, zaman ve mekansal olarak bir dönüşümü ifade eden bir kavram olmuştur. Ülkeler için, ekonomiyi rekabet edebilir koşullara getirebilmek ve küresel risklerle sağduyulu ve akılcı bir yaklaşımla başa çıkabilmek önemli bir hedeftir. Dolayısıyla, küresel arenada konumunu korumak isteyen ülkeler kesinlikle rakiplerinden önde olmak durumundadır. Bu hedef, ancak rekabet gücünün yüksek olması ile mümkün olacaktır. Bu çalışmanın amacı, panel eşbütünleşme analizi ile 2009-2020 dönemi için küresel rekabet endeksinin gelişmekte olan ülkeler için büyüme üzerindeki etkisini ortaya koymaktır. Westerlund ve Edgerton'un (2007) eşbütünleşme testi sonucunda serilerin uzun vadede ilişkili olduğu belirlenmiştir. Uzun vadede küresel rekabetçilik endeksi değişkeninde %1’lik bir artışın GSYİH değişkeninde %7,3’lük bir artışa yol açacağı sonucuna varılmıştır. Görüldüğü gibi, rekabet arttıkça büyüme olumlu yönde etkilenmektedir. Ayrıca Boostrap Granger Nedensellik Analizi sonucunda büyüme ve küresel rekabetçilik endeksi için çift yönlü nedensellik belirlenmiştir.

Anahtar Kelimeler

• Küresel Rekabet
• Büyüme
• Panel Veri Analizi

Relationship between Global Competition and Growth in Developing Countries

Öz

With globalization, a phenomenon of competition has emerged throughout the world and countries have faced intense competition in order to achieve economic growth. The network of relations that developed over time has become a concept that covers not only economic, but also social, cultural and political areas of this concept and expresses a transformation in time and space beyond the economic dependence of the countries of the world. It is an important goal for countries to bring the economy to competitive conditions and to deal with global risks with a prudent and rational approach. Therefore, countries that want to maintain their position in the global arena must be ahead of their competitors. This target will only be possible with high competitive power. From this point of view, the aim of the study is to reveal the effect of the global competitiveness index on growth for the developing countries for the 2009-2020 period with panel cointegration analysis. As a result of the cointegration test of Westerlund and Edgerton (2007), it was determined that the series are related in the long run. It is concluded that a 1% increase in the global competitiveness index variable in the long run will lead to a 7.3% increase in the GDP variable. As can be seen, growth is positively affected as competition increases. In addition, as a result of the Boostrap Granger Causality Analysis, bi-directional causality was determined for growth and global competitiveness index.

Anahtar Kelimeler

• Global Competition
• Growth
• Panel Data Analysis

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