Araştırma Makalesi
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SEÇİM, DARBE, KRİZ: MYANMAR’IN BİTMEYEN DEMOKRASİ DENEYİ

Yıl 2025, Cilt: 2 Sayı: 2 , 152 - 164 , 27.12.2025
https://izlik.org/JA83GK79KK

Öz

Myanmar, 1948’de İngiliz sömürgesinden bağımsızlığını kazanmıştır. Bu araştırmanın amacı, 2020 seçimleriyle demokratik meşruiyet kazanan sivil yöneticilerin 2021 askeri darbesiyle görevden uzaklaştırılmasının Myanmar’ın demokrasi deneyimi üzerindeki etkilerini incelemektir. Hipotez, sivil yönetime geçen iktidarın 2021 darbesiyle geçersiz kılınarak demokratikleşme sürecinin engellendiği yönündedir. Çalışmada nitel yöntem kullanılmış, veri kaynakları olarak akademik makaleler, kitaplar, uluslararası raporlar ve güvenilir haberler değerlendirilmiştir. Veriler belge ve içerik analizi yöntemleriyle yorumlanmıştır. Myanmar’ın siyasal tarihi, sömürgecilik, kısa süreli demokrasi deneyimleri ve askeri darbelerle şekillenmiştir. Ordu, demokratik geçişleri engellemiş ve 2008 Anayasası ile milletvekili kontenjanının %25’ini kontrolünde tutmuştur. 2011’de başlayan demokrasi süreci 2015 ve 2020 seçimleriyle ilerlemiş, ancak 2021 darbesiyle kesintiye uğramıştır. Darbe, iç savaş, kitlesel gösteriler, gözaltılar ve milyonlarca göçle sonuçlanmıştır. Silahlı muhalifler “Üç Kardeşler İttifakı” altında birleşmiştir. Araştırma, 2011–2025 dönemini kapsayarak 28 Aralık 2025 seçimlerine etkilerini incelemiştir

Etik Beyan

B u araştırmada etik beyanı yoktur.

Destekleyen Kurum

Bu araştırmayı destekleyen kurum yoktur.

Kaynakça

  • Brenner, D. (2024). Misunderstanding Myanmar through the lens of democracy. International Affairs, 100(2), 751–769.
  • Brenner, D., & Schulman, S. (2019). Myanmar’s transition and contentious politics. IDS Bulletin, 50(3), 17–36.
  • Bünte, M., & Jörn, D. (2015). Myanmar: Political reforms and the recalibration of external relations. Journal of Current Southeast Asian Affairs, 34(2), 3–19.
  • Bünte, M., Köllner, P., & Roewer, R. (2019). Journal of Current Southeast Asian Affairs, 38(3), 249–264.
  • Dahl, R. A. (1989). Democracy and its critics. Yale University Press.
  • Myoe, M. A. (2016). Myanmar’s foreign policy under the USDP government: Continuities and changes. Journal of Current Southeast Asian Affairs, 35(1), 123–150.
  • Nakanishi, Y., & Osada, N. (2016). The 2015 Myanmar general election: A historic victory for the National League for Democracy (ss. 2–4). Institute of Developing Economies.
  • O’Donnell, G. (1994). Delegative democracy. Journal of Democracy, 5(1), 55–69.
  • O’Donnell, G. (1996). Illusions about consolidation. Journal of Democracy, 7(2), 34–51.
  • Reny, M. E. (2020). Myanmar’s transition and the resurgence of Buddhist nationalism. Asian Survey, 60(6), 1072–1089.
  • Yüce, M. (2022). Güneydoğu Asya’da bölgesel siyasetin temel dinamikleri kapsamında Myanmar dış politikasının analizi. Kastamonu Üniversitesi İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Fakültesi Dergisi, 24(2), 260–279
  • Akcan, I. (2024, January 31). Myanmar'da askeri darbenin 3. yılında çatışmalar ve taraflar arası gerginlik devam ediyor. Anadolu Ajansı. https://www.aa.com.tr/tr/dunya/myanmarda-askeri-darbenin-3-yilinda-catismalar-ve-taraflar-arasi-gerginlik-devam-ediyor/3123619
  • BBC News. (2020, November 13). Myanmar: Aung San Suu Kyi's party wins majority in election. https://www.bbc.com/news/world-asia-54899170
  • BBC Türkçe. (2022, September 25). Myanmar’da darbe karşıtı dört aktivist idam edildi. https://www.bbc.com/turkce/articles/cn0gr01g8rko
  • Brookings. (2023, February 13). The civil war in Myanmar: No end in sight. Yun Sun. https://www.brookings.edu/articles/the-civil-war-in-myanmar-no-end-in-sight/
  • Civil War in Myanmar. (n.d.). Council on Foreign Relations. https://www.cfr.org/global-conflict-tracker/conflict/rohingya-crisis-myanmar
  • Constitution Net. (n.d.). Myanmar. https://constitutionnet.org/country/myanmar
  • Faruk Yıldız, Ö. (2021, July 27). Myanmar askeri yönetimi, 2020 genel seçim sonuçlarını geçersiz saydı. Anadolu Ajansı. https://www.aa.com.tr/tr/dunya/myanmar-askeri-yonetimi-2020-genel-secim-sonuclarini-gecersiz-saydi/2315110
  • Freedom House. (2024). Freedom in the world: Myanmar. https://freedomhouse.org/country/myanmar/freedom-world/2024
  • Freedom House. (2024). Freedom on the net: Myanmar. https://freedomhouse.org/country/myanmar/freedom-net/2024
  • Horsey, R. (2024, May 31). Myanmar is fragmenting—but not falling apart. Foreign Affairs. https://www.foreignaffairs.com/burma-myanmar/myanmar-fragmenting-not-falling-apart
  • Human Rights Council. (2025, April 3). Report on Myanmar (ss. 1–14).
  • IDEA. (2025, August 11). From protest to purpose: How Myanmar’s youth are shaping a democratic future. Nathalie Ebead. https://www.idea.int/news/protest-purpose-how-myanmars-youth-are-shaping-democratic-future
  • NTV. (2025, August 18). Myanmar yıl sonunda sandık başına gidiyor. https://www.ntv.com.tr/dunya/myanmar-yil-sonunda-sandik-basina-gidiyor,4JWRcRuYyki1LHBUyuQ_AQ
  • Paliwal, A. (2024, January 24). Could Myanmar come apart? As the rebels gain ground and the junta reels, the country’s future is in doubt. Foreign Affairs. https://www.foreignaffairs.com/east-asia/could-myanmar-come-apart
  • Report of the Independent Investigative Mechanism for Myanmar. (2025, July 14). Report on Myanmar (ss. 1–16).
  • Swift, D., & Turnell, S. (2025, September 30). The chance to save Myanmar: U.S. economic tools can counter both the junta and China. Foreign Affairs. https://www.foreignaffairs.com/china/chance-save-myanmar
  • The Guardian. (2025, March 10). Myanmar junta’s promise of elections denounced as ‘sham’ by experts. https://www.theguardian.com/world/2025/mar/10/myanmar-juntas-promise-of-elections-denounced-as-sham-by-experts
  • The UN High Commissioner for Human Rights. (2025, May). Report on Myanmar (pp. 1–15).
  • United Nations General Assembly. (2024, December 17). Resolution 79/182 (ss. 1–18).
  • Turkey Ministry of Foreign Affairs. (n.d.). Myanmar siyasi görünümü. https://www.mfa.gov.tr/myanmar-siyasi-gorunumu.tr.mfa
  • AP News. (2025, July 30). Myanmar’s military government enacts a tough new electoral law ahead of year-end vote. https://apnews.com/article/myanmar-election-democracy-law-vote-military-fc36d312dafb24a7a30e201a612239c9
  • Chairman’s Statement. (2021, April 21). ASEAN Leaders’ Meeting (ss. 1–4).
  • Chairman’s Statement. (2024, October 9). The 44th and 45th ASEAN Summits, Vientiane, Lao PDR (ss. 1–44).

ELECTION, COUP, CRISIS: MYANMAR’S UNENDING EXPERIMENT WITH DEMOCRACY

Yıl 2025, Cilt: 2 Sayı: 2 , 152 - 164 , 27.12.2025
https://izlik.org/JA83GK79KK

Öz

Myanmar gained independence from British colonial rule in 1948. The aim of this research is to examine the effects of the removal from office of civilian leaders, who gained democratic legitimacy in the 2020 elections, through the 2021 military coup on Myanmar's experience of democracy. The hypothesis is that the transition to civilian rule was invalidated by the 2021 coup, thereby obstructing the democratisation process. The study employed qualitative methods, with academic articles, books, international reports and reliable news sources serving as data sources. The data were interpreted using document and content analysis methods. Myanmar's political history has been shaped by colonialism, brief experiments with democracy and military coups. The military has obstructed democratic transitions and retained control over 25 per cent of parliamentary seats under the 2008 Constitution. The democratic process that began in 2011 progressed with the 2015 and 2020 elections, but was interrupted by the 2021 coup. The coup resulted in civil war, mass protests, detentions and millions of refugees. Armed opposition groups have united under the ‘Three Brothers Alliance’. The study covers the period 2011–2025 and examines its impact on the 28 December 2025 elections.

Kaynakça

  • Brenner, D. (2024). Misunderstanding Myanmar through the lens of democracy. International Affairs, 100(2), 751–769.
  • Brenner, D., & Schulman, S. (2019). Myanmar’s transition and contentious politics. IDS Bulletin, 50(3), 17–36.
  • Bünte, M., & Jörn, D. (2015). Myanmar: Political reforms and the recalibration of external relations. Journal of Current Southeast Asian Affairs, 34(2), 3–19.
  • Bünte, M., Köllner, P., & Roewer, R. (2019). Journal of Current Southeast Asian Affairs, 38(3), 249–264.
  • Dahl, R. A. (1989). Democracy and its critics. Yale University Press.
  • Myoe, M. A. (2016). Myanmar’s foreign policy under the USDP government: Continuities and changes. Journal of Current Southeast Asian Affairs, 35(1), 123–150.
  • Nakanishi, Y., & Osada, N. (2016). The 2015 Myanmar general election: A historic victory for the National League for Democracy (ss. 2–4). Institute of Developing Economies.
  • O’Donnell, G. (1994). Delegative democracy. Journal of Democracy, 5(1), 55–69.
  • O’Donnell, G. (1996). Illusions about consolidation. Journal of Democracy, 7(2), 34–51.
  • Reny, M. E. (2020). Myanmar’s transition and the resurgence of Buddhist nationalism. Asian Survey, 60(6), 1072–1089.
  • Yüce, M. (2022). Güneydoğu Asya’da bölgesel siyasetin temel dinamikleri kapsamında Myanmar dış politikasının analizi. Kastamonu Üniversitesi İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Fakültesi Dergisi, 24(2), 260–279
  • Akcan, I. (2024, January 31). Myanmar'da askeri darbenin 3. yılında çatışmalar ve taraflar arası gerginlik devam ediyor. Anadolu Ajansı. https://www.aa.com.tr/tr/dunya/myanmarda-askeri-darbenin-3-yilinda-catismalar-ve-taraflar-arasi-gerginlik-devam-ediyor/3123619
  • BBC News. (2020, November 13). Myanmar: Aung San Suu Kyi's party wins majority in election. https://www.bbc.com/news/world-asia-54899170
  • BBC Türkçe. (2022, September 25). Myanmar’da darbe karşıtı dört aktivist idam edildi. https://www.bbc.com/turkce/articles/cn0gr01g8rko
  • Brookings. (2023, February 13). The civil war in Myanmar: No end in sight. Yun Sun. https://www.brookings.edu/articles/the-civil-war-in-myanmar-no-end-in-sight/
  • Civil War in Myanmar. (n.d.). Council on Foreign Relations. https://www.cfr.org/global-conflict-tracker/conflict/rohingya-crisis-myanmar
  • Constitution Net. (n.d.). Myanmar. https://constitutionnet.org/country/myanmar
  • Faruk Yıldız, Ö. (2021, July 27). Myanmar askeri yönetimi, 2020 genel seçim sonuçlarını geçersiz saydı. Anadolu Ajansı. https://www.aa.com.tr/tr/dunya/myanmar-askeri-yonetimi-2020-genel-secim-sonuclarini-gecersiz-saydi/2315110
  • Freedom House. (2024). Freedom in the world: Myanmar. https://freedomhouse.org/country/myanmar/freedom-world/2024
  • Freedom House. (2024). Freedom on the net: Myanmar. https://freedomhouse.org/country/myanmar/freedom-net/2024
  • Horsey, R. (2024, May 31). Myanmar is fragmenting—but not falling apart. Foreign Affairs. https://www.foreignaffairs.com/burma-myanmar/myanmar-fragmenting-not-falling-apart
  • Human Rights Council. (2025, April 3). Report on Myanmar (ss. 1–14).
  • IDEA. (2025, August 11). From protest to purpose: How Myanmar’s youth are shaping a democratic future. Nathalie Ebead. https://www.idea.int/news/protest-purpose-how-myanmars-youth-are-shaping-democratic-future
  • NTV. (2025, August 18). Myanmar yıl sonunda sandık başına gidiyor. https://www.ntv.com.tr/dunya/myanmar-yil-sonunda-sandik-basina-gidiyor,4JWRcRuYyki1LHBUyuQ_AQ
  • Paliwal, A. (2024, January 24). Could Myanmar come apart? As the rebels gain ground and the junta reels, the country’s future is in doubt. Foreign Affairs. https://www.foreignaffairs.com/east-asia/could-myanmar-come-apart
  • Report of the Independent Investigative Mechanism for Myanmar. (2025, July 14). Report on Myanmar (ss. 1–16).
  • Swift, D., & Turnell, S. (2025, September 30). The chance to save Myanmar: U.S. economic tools can counter both the junta and China. Foreign Affairs. https://www.foreignaffairs.com/china/chance-save-myanmar
  • The Guardian. (2025, March 10). Myanmar junta’s promise of elections denounced as ‘sham’ by experts. https://www.theguardian.com/world/2025/mar/10/myanmar-juntas-promise-of-elections-denounced-as-sham-by-experts
  • The UN High Commissioner for Human Rights. (2025, May). Report on Myanmar (pp. 1–15).
  • United Nations General Assembly. (2024, December 17). Resolution 79/182 (ss. 1–18).
  • Turkey Ministry of Foreign Affairs. (n.d.). Myanmar siyasi görünümü. https://www.mfa.gov.tr/myanmar-siyasi-gorunumu.tr.mfa
  • AP News. (2025, July 30). Myanmar’s military government enacts a tough new electoral law ahead of year-end vote. https://apnews.com/article/myanmar-election-democracy-law-vote-military-fc36d312dafb24a7a30e201a612239c9
  • Chairman’s Statement. (2021, April 21). ASEAN Leaders’ Meeting (ss. 1–4).
  • Chairman’s Statement. (2024, October 9). The 44th and 45th ASEAN Summits, Vientiane, Lao PDR (ss. 1–44).
Toplam 34 adet kaynakça vardır.

Ayrıntılar

Birincil Dil Türkçe
Konular Asya Toplumu Çalışmaları
Bölüm Araştırma Makalesi
Yazarlar

Kadir Şahin 0000-0002-6848-2152

Gönderilme Tarihi 9 Aralık 2025
Kabul Tarihi 25 Aralık 2025
Yayımlanma Tarihi 27 Aralık 2025
IZ https://izlik.org/JA83GK79KK
Yayımlandığı Sayı Yıl 2025 Cilt: 2 Sayı: 2

Kaynak Göster

APA Şahin, K. (2025). SEÇİM, DARBE, KRİZ: MYANMAR’IN BİTMEYEN DEMOKRASİ DENEYİ. Bozok İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Dergisi, 2(2), 152-164. https://izlik.org/JA83GK79KK