Araştırma Makalesi

Forecasting Road Freight and Passenger Transport Demands in Türkiye Using the Exponential Smoothing

Cilt: 7 Sayı: 3 15 Mayıs 2024
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Forecasting Road Freight and Passenger Transport Demands in Türkiye Using the Exponential Smoothing

Öz

Exponential smoothing is a popular technique used to analyze and forecast trends in various industries such as road transportation and passenger transportation. This method is used to calculate weighted averages using historical data and adjust forecasts based on recent trends. In the Turkish context, forecasting transportation demands using exponential smoothing provides valuable information for transportation planning and resource allocation. The increasing number of vehicles has caused many negative environmental consequences. This study analyzed ten years of data on road freight and passenger transportation on a regional scale in order to make future predictions. In the study, solution suggestions are presented based on the findings and the policies that should be implemented to solve the problem are evaluated.

Anahtar Kelimeler

Kaynakça

  1. Alshehrya AS, Belloumia M. 2016. Study of the environmental Kuznets curve for transport carbon dioxide emissions in Saudi Arabia. Renew Sustain Energy Rev, 75: 1339-1347. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rser.2016.11.122.
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  4. Bergmeir C, Hyndman RJ, Benítez JM. 2016. Bagging exponential smoothing methods using STL decomposition and Box–Cox transformation. Int J Forecast, 32: 303-312.
  5. Bowerman Bruce L, Richard TO. 1979. Time series and forecasting: An applied approach. Duxbury Press, New York, US, pp: 36.
  6. Djakaria I, Saleh S. 2021. Covid-19 forecast using Holt-Winters exponential smoothing. J Physics, 2021: 012033.
  7. Edenhofer O. 2015. Climate change 2014: mitigation of climate change (Vol. 3). Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK, pp: 147.
  8. Figueroa MJ, Ribeiro SK. 2013. Energy for road passenger transport and sustainable development: assessing policies and goals interactions. Curr Opin Environ Sustain, 5(2): 152-162.

Ayrıntılar

Birincil Dil

İngilizce

Konular

Altyapı Mühendisliği ve Varlık Yönetimi

Bölüm

Araştırma Makalesi

Yayımlanma Tarihi

15 Mayıs 2024

Gönderilme Tarihi

6 Mart 2024

Kabul Tarihi

8 Mayıs 2024

Yayımlandığı Sayı

Yıl 2024 Cilt: 7 Sayı: 3

Kaynak Göster

APA
Bolakar Tosun, H. (2024). Forecasting Road Freight and Passenger Transport Demands in Türkiye Using the Exponential Smoothing. Black Sea Journal of Engineering and Science, 7(3), 580-586. https://doi.org/10.34248/bsengineering.1447484
AMA
1.Bolakar Tosun H. Forecasting Road Freight and Passenger Transport Demands in Türkiye Using the Exponential Smoothing. BSJ Eng. Sci. 2024;7(3):580-586. doi:10.34248/bsengineering.1447484
Chicago
Bolakar Tosun, Hümeyra. 2024. “Forecasting Road Freight and Passenger Transport Demands in Türkiye Using the Exponential Smoothing”. Black Sea Journal of Engineering and Science 7 (3): 580-86. https://doi.org/10.34248/bsengineering.1447484.
EndNote
Bolakar Tosun H (01 Mayıs 2024) Forecasting Road Freight and Passenger Transport Demands in Türkiye Using the Exponential Smoothing. Black Sea Journal of Engineering and Science 7 3 580–586.
IEEE
[1]H. Bolakar Tosun, “Forecasting Road Freight and Passenger Transport Demands in Türkiye Using the Exponential Smoothing”, BSJ Eng. Sci., c. 7, sy 3, ss. 580–586, May. 2024, doi: 10.34248/bsengineering.1447484.
ISNAD
Bolakar Tosun, Hümeyra. “Forecasting Road Freight and Passenger Transport Demands in Türkiye Using the Exponential Smoothing”. Black Sea Journal of Engineering and Science 7/3 (01 Mayıs 2024): 580-586. https://doi.org/10.34248/bsengineering.1447484.
JAMA
1.Bolakar Tosun H. Forecasting Road Freight and Passenger Transport Demands in Türkiye Using the Exponential Smoothing. BSJ Eng. Sci. 2024;7:580–586.
MLA
Bolakar Tosun, Hümeyra. “Forecasting Road Freight and Passenger Transport Demands in Türkiye Using the Exponential Smoothing”. Black Sea Journal of Engineering and Science, c. 7, sy 3, Mayıs 2024, ss. 580-6, doi:10.34248/bsengineering.1447484.
Vancouver
1.Hümeyra Bolakar Tosun. Forecasting Road Freight and Passenger Transport Demands in Türkiye Using the Exponential Smoothing. BSJ Eng. Sci. 01 Mayıs 2024;7(3):580-6. doi:10.34248/bsengineering.1447484

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