İnceleme Makalesi
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Power, strategy and potentials: A study on the factors and key capabilities of China’s military

Yıl 2019, , 100 - 110, 31.12.2019
https://doi.org/10.38154/cjas.13

Öz

This article summarises an analyses the development of China's military power, strategies and key capabilities over the last 10 years, and for the next 10 years. The article focuses on China’s ground combat capabilities and their implications for China’s regional and international rivals. The article puts forward a two-part theoretical framework for the study of the development of China's military power, strategy and potentials (1) to identify and forecast the political, economic, demographic and societal factors underlying the Chinese military, and (2) to evaluate the possible past, present and future advances in the main military capability zones. This article is based on open sources, including official Chinese government documents, and official budgets, laws and public statements, and on a range of detailed open-source reports about the Chinese military, issued by government, government-sponsored and non-governmental research institutions, such as the US Defense Intelligence Agency, the Swedish Defense Research Agency, the Foreign Military Studies Office and RAND, among others. The Chinese and Western news media also provided reporting on China’s military developments and operations.

Kaynakça

  • Adam P. Liff ve Andrew S. Erickson. 2013. “Demystifying China's Defence Spending: Less Mysterious in the Aggregate.” The China Quarterly, 216, 805-830.
  • Asan Forumu. 2014. “Bu Zamandaki Bütçe: Çin’in Savunma Harcamalarını Ölçmek.” Erişim tarihi: 10.07.2019. http://www.theasanforum.org/the-budget-this-time-taking-the-measure-of-chinas-defense-spending/.
  • Axe, David. 2019. “Naval Showdown: Is China's Navy Catching Up to America?“ The National Interest, Erişim tarihi: 05.07.2019. https://nationalinterest.org/blog/buzz/naval-showdown-chinas-navy-catching-america-55592.
  • China Sing Post. 2011. “Çin'in Yeni Projesi 718 / J-20 Avcısı: Gelişme görünümleri ve stratejik uygulamalar“.
  • Defense Intelligence Agency. 2019. “China Military Power: Modernizing a Force to Fight and Win.” USA: Defense Intelligence Agency, Erişim tarihi: 10.07.2019. https://www.dia.mil/Portals/27/Documents/News/Military%20Power%20Publications/China_Military_Power_FINAL_5MB_20190103.pdf.
  • Dennis M. Gormley, Andrew S. Erickson ve Jingdong Yuan. 2014. A Low-Visibility Force Multiplier: Assessing China’s Cruise Missile Ambitions. USA: National Defense University Press.
  • Department of Defense. 2019. “Annual Report to Congress: Military and Security Developments Involving the People’s Republic of China 2019.” USA: Office of the Secretary of Defense, Erişim tarihi: 07 Temmuz 2019, https://media.defense.gov/2019/May/02/2002127082/-1/-1/1/2019_CHINA_MILITARY_POWER_REPORT.pdf.
  • Elsa, Kania B. 2018. The PLA’s Unmanned Aerial Systems – New Capabilities for a “New Era” of Chinese Military Power. USA: U.S. Air Force China Aerospace Studies Initiative.
  • Erickson, Andrew S. 2019. “The Pentagon Reports: China’s Military Power.” The National Interest, Erişim tarihi: 08.07.2019. https://nationalinterest.org/blog/buzz/pentagon-reports-china%E2%80%99s-military-power-56542.
  • Erickson, Andrew, S. 2017. Chinese Naval Shipbuilding: An Ambitious and Uncertain Course (Studies in Chinese Maritime Development). Maryland: Naval Institute Press.
  • Erickson, Andrew, S., Evan Braden Montgomery, Craig Neuman, Stephen Biddle ve İvan Oelrich. 2017. “How Good Are China's Antiaccess/Area-Denial Capabilities?”, International Security, 41 (4), 202-213.
  • Erickson, Andrew. S. 2015. “Academy of Military Science Researchers: Why We had to Develop the Dongfeng-26 Ballistic Missile”. http://www.andrewerickson.com/2015/12/academy-of-military-science-researchers-why-we-had-to-develop-the-dongfeng-26-ballistic-missile-bilingual-text-analysis-links/
  • Erickson, Andrew. S. 2018. “The China Anti-Ship Ballistic Missile (ASBM) Bookshelf.” Erişim tarihi:25.12.2018. http://www.andrewerickson.com/2018/12/the-china-anti-ship-ballistic-missile-asbm-bookshelf.
  • Erickson, Andrew. S. 2019. “The China Anti-Piracy Bookshelf: Statistics & Implications from Ten Years’ Deployment… & Counting” Erişim tarihi: 10.07.2019. http://www.andrewerickson.com/2019/01/the-china-anti-piracy-bookshelf-statistics-implications-from-ten-years-deployment-counting/.
  • Global Fire Power. 2019. “China Military Strenght“ Erişim tarihi: 10.07.2019. https://www.globalfirepower.com/country-military-strength-detail.asp?country_id=china. http://www.chinasignpost.com/wp-content/uploads/2011/01/China-SignPost_18_J20-analysis_17- Ocak-2011 -11 pdf.
  • Wuthnow, Joel ve Phillip C. Saunders. 2017. Chinese Military Reforms in the Age of Xi Jinping: Drivers, Challenges, and Implications. USA: NDU Press.
  • Xinhua. 2017. ‘‘Xi Jinping's report at 19th CPC National Congress’’ http://www.xinhuanet.com/english/special/2017-11/03/c_136725942.htm.
  • Xinhua. 2017. “China Focus: "Be ready to win wars," China's Xi orders reshaped PLA” Erişim tarihi: 09.07.2019. http://www.xinhuanet.com//english/2017-08/01/c_136491455.htm.

Güç, strateji ve potansiyeller: Çin ordusunun temel yetenekleri ve unsurları üzerine bir inceleme

Yıl 2019, , 100 - 110, 31.12.2019
https://doi.org/10.38154/cjas.13

Öz

Bu makale, Çin’in askeri gücünün, stratejisinin ve temel kabiliyetlerinin son on yıl içerisindeki ve önümüzdeki on yıldaki gelişimini -kara savaşına odaklanarak- ve bu gelişmenin Çin ve Çin’in bölgesel ve uluslararası rakiplerine yönelik politika etkilerini analiz etmektedir. Bu amaçla, Çin’in askeri gücü, stratejisi ve potansiyellerindeki değişimi analiz etmek için iki bölümlü bir teorik çerçeve tasarlanmıştır: (1) Çin askeri gücünün altında yatan siyasi, ekonomik, demografik ve toplumsal faktörleri tespit etmek ve çıkarsamak ve (2) kilit askeri yetenek alanlarının geçmiş, şimdiki ve gelecekteki olası gelişimini değerlendirmek. Makale, resmi Çin hükümet belgeleri, resmi bütçeler, yasalar ve basın açıklamaları dahil olmak üzere açık kaynaklara ve Savunma İstihbarat Ajansı, İsveç Savunma Araştırma Ajansı, Dış Askeri Araştırmalar Ofisi, RAND ve benzeri resmi, hükümet destekli ve hükümet dışı araştırma kurumları tarafından Çin ordusu hakkında yazılan bir dizi ayrıntılı açık kaynak rapora dayanmaktadır. Çin ve Batı medyası da, Çin’in askeri gelişmeleri ve operasyonları hakkında kaynak sağlamıştır.

Kaynakça

  • Adam P. Liff ve Andrew S. Erickson. 2013. “Demystifying China's Defence Spending: Less Mysterious in the Aggregate.” The China Quarterly, 216, 805-830.
  • Asan Forumu. 2014. “Bu Zamandaki Bütçe: Çin’in Savunma Harcamalarını Ölçmek.” Erişim tarihi: 10.07.2019. http://www.theasanforum.org/the-budget-this-time-taking-the-measure-of-chinas-defense-spending/.
  • Axe, David. 2019. “Naval Showdown: Is China's Navy Catching Up to America?“ The National Interest, Erişim tarihi: 05.07.2019. https://nationalinterest.org/blog/buzz/naval-showdown-chinas-navy-catching-america-55592.
  • China Sing Post. 2011. “Çin'in Yeni Projesi 718 / J-20 Avcısı: Gelişme görünümleri ve stratejik uygulamalar“.
  • Defense Intelligence Agency. 2019. “China Military Power: Modernizing a Force to Fight and Win.” USA: Defense Intelligence Agency, Erişim tarihi: 10.07.2019. https://www.dia.mil/Portals/27/Documents/News/Military%20Power%20Publications/China_Military_Power_FINAL_5MB_20190103.pdf.
  • Dennis M. Gormley, Andrew S. Erickson ve Jingdong Yuan. 2014. A Low-Visibility Force Multiplier: Assessing China’s Cruise Missile Ambitions. USA: National Defense University Press.
  • Department of Defense. 2019. “Annual Report to Congress: Military and Security Developments Involving the People’s Republic of China 2019.” USA: Office of the Secretary of Defense, Erişim tarihi: 07 Temmuz 2019, https://media.defense.gov/2019/May/02/2002127082/-1/-1/1/2019_CHINA_MILITARY_POWER_REPORT.pdf.
  • Elsa, Kania B. 2018. The PLA’s Unmanned Aerial Systems – New Capabilities for a “New Era” of Chinese Military Power. USA: U.S. Air Force China Aerospace Studies Initiative.
  • Erickson, Andrew S. 2019. “The Pentagon Reports: China’s Military Power.” The National Interest, Erişim tarihi: 08.07.2019. https://nationalinterest.org/blog/buzz/pentagon-reports-china%E2%80%99s-military-power-56542.
  • Erickson, Andrew, S. 2017. Chinese Naval Shipbuilding: An Ambitious and Uncertain Course (Studies in Chinese Maritime Development). Maryland: Naval Institute Press.
  • Erickson, Andrew, S., Evan Braden Montgomery, Craig Neuman, Stephen Biddle ve İvan Oelrich. 2017. “How Good Are China's Antiaccess/Area-Denial Capabilities?”, International Security, 41 (4), 202-213.
  • Erickson, Andrew. S. 2015. “Academy of Military Science Researchers: Why We had to Develop the Dongfeng-26 Ballistic Missile”. http://www.andrewerickson.com/2015/12/academy-of-military-science-researchers-why-we-had-to-develop-the-dongfeng-26-ballistic-missile-bilingual-text-analysis-links/
  • Erickson, Andrew. S. 2018. “The China Anti-Ship Ballistic Missile (ASBM) Bookshelf.” Erişim tarihi:25.12.2018. http://www.andrewerickson.com/2018/12/the-china-anti-ship-ballistic-missile-asbm-bookshelf.
  • Erickson, Andrew. S. 2019. “The China Anti-Piracy Bookshelf: Statistics & Implications from Ten Years’ Deployment… & Counting” Erişim tarihi: 10.07.2019. http://www.andrewerickson.com/2019/01/the-china-anti-piracy-bookshelf-statistics-implications-from-ten-years-deployment-counting/.
  • Global Fire Power. 2019. “China Military Strenght“ Erişim tarihi: 10.07.2019. https://www.globalfirepower.com/country-military-strength-detail.asp?country_id=china. http://www.chinasignpost.com/wp-content/uploads/2011/01/China-SignPost_18_J20-analysis_17- Ocak-2011 -11 pdf.
  • Wuthnow, Joel ve Phillip C. Saunders. 2017. Chinese Military Reforms in the Age of Xi Jinping: Drivers, Challenges, and Implications. USA: NDU Press.
  • Xinhua. 2017. ‘‘Xi Jinping's report at 19th CPC National Congress’’ http://www.xinhuanet.com/english/special/2017-11/03/c_136725942.htm.
  • Xinhua. 2017. “China Focus: "Be ready to win wars," China's Xi orders reshaped PLA” Erişim tarihi: 09.07.2019. http://www.xinhuanet.com//english/2017-08/01/c_136491455.htm.
Toplam 18 adet kaynakça vardır.

Ayrıntılar

Birincil Dil Türkçe
Konular Uluslararası İlişkiler, Bölgesel Çalışmalar
Bölüm Görüş yazıları
Yazarlar

Md Nazmul Islam Bu kişi benim

Yayımlanma Tarihi 31 Aralık 2019
Yayımlandığı Sayı Yıl 2019

Kaynak Göster

Chicago Nazmul Islam, Md. “Güç, Strateji Ve Potansiyeller: Çin Ordusunun Temel Yetenekleri Ve Unsurları üzerine Bir Inceleme”. Cappadocia Journal of Area Studies 1, sy. 1 (Aralık 2019): 100-110. https://doi.org/10.38154/cjas.13.