Causality Analysis Between Airline Industry and Economic Growth: An Empirical Application on Turkey

Yıl 2018, Cilt: 33 Sayı: 1, 197 - 216, 20.04.2018

Kasım Kiracı

https://doi.org/10.24988/deuiibf.2018331710

Öz

Unlike other means of transport, airline industry provides space and time benefits for consumers. Due to this feature, it is seen that the demand for airline industry is in a continuous increase trend. Academic research shows that the most important factor influencing airline demand is income. Therefore, income is assumed to be an important determinant of airline industry. In this study, the relationship between the demand for the airline in Turkey and the GDP was examined empirically for the period 1960-2015. As a method of study, we used Toda and Yamamoto (1995) causality and Hatemi-J (2012) asymmetric causality tests. Findings of the study show that there is a significant causality relationship between demand for airline and economic growth

Anahtar Kelimeler

Airline Industry, GDP, Causality, Toda & Yamamoto, Hatemi-J

Havayolu Taşımacılığı ile Ekonomik Büyüme Arasındaki Nedensellik Analizi: Türkiye Üzerine Ampirik Bir Uygulama

Öz

Havayolu taşımacılığı, diğer ulaşım araçlarından farklı olarak tüketicilere yer ve zaman faydası sağlamaktadır. Bu özellikleri sayesinde, havayolu taşımacılığına olan talebin sürekli bir artış trendi içerisinde olduğu görülmektedir. Akademik araştırmalar havayolu talebini etkileyen en önemli faktörün gelir olduğunu ortaya koymaktadır. Dolayısıyla, gelirin havayolu taşımacılığının önemli bir belirleyicisi olduğu varsayılmaktadır. Bu çalışmada Türkiye’de havayoluna olan talep ile GSYH arasındaki ilişki 1960-2015 dönemi için ampirik incelenmiştir. Çalışmada yöntem olarak Toda ve Yamamoto (1995) nedensellik ve Hatemi-J (2012) asimetrik nedensellik analizleri kullanılmıştır. Çalışmanın bulguları, havayoluna olan talep ile ekonomik büyüme arasında anlamlı nedensellik ilişkisinin olduğunu göstermektedir.

Anahtar Kelimeler

Havayolu, GSYH, Nedensellik, Toda & Yamamoto, Hatemi-J

Kaynakça

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