TÜRKİYE EKONOMİSİNDE POZİTİF VE NEGATİF PARA POLİTİKASI ŞOKLARININ ASİMETRİK ETKİLERİ

Yıl 2009, Sayı: 23, - , 20.06.2015

Etem Hakan Ergeç

Öz

The aim of this paper is to investigate the asymmetric effects of positive and negative monetary policy shocks on output and prices in Turkish economy for the period of 1990-2006. Using two-step OLS method, it is found that the negative shocks have grater effects on output and prices than positive shocks. This result supports the view of demand side asymmetry

Anahtar Kelimeler

Asymmetric effects, positive and negative shock asymmetry, monetary policy shocks, monetary policy

TÜRKİYE EKONOMİSİNDE POZİTİF VE NEGATİF PARA POLİTİKASI ŞOKLARININ ASİMETRİK ETKİLERİ

Öz

Bu çalışmanın amacı, Türkiye ekonomisinde 1990–2006 döneminde pozitif ve negatif para politikası şoklarının, çıktı ve fiyatlar üzerindeki asimetrik etkilerini incelemektir. Çalışmada iki aşamalı OLS yöntemi kullanılmıştır. Negatif şokların, çıktı ve fiyatlar üzerinde pozitif şoklara göre daha güçlü etkileri olduğu tespit edilmiştir. Bu sonuç, talep yönlü asimetri görüşünü desteklemektedir

Anahtar Kelimeler

Asimetrik etki, pozitif ve negative şok asimetrisi, para politikası şoku .para politikası

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• Değişkenlere ilişkin t değerleri parantez içinde gösterilmiştir. *, **, *** sırasıyla %10, %5 ve %1 anlam düzeylerinde anlamlı değişkenleri göstermektedir. Aynı bilgi, fiyatlara ilişkin denklemler için de geçerlidir. Para Politikası Şoklarının Fiyatlar Üzerindeki Etkisi i Şokları 2001-2006 i Şokları 1990-2006 Değişkenler Katsayı
• Değişkenlere ilişkin t değerleri parantez içinde gösterilmiştir. *, **, *** sırasıyla %10, %5 ve %1 anlam düzeylerinde anlamlı değişkenleri göstermektedir. Aynı bilgi, fiyatlara ilişkin denklemler için de geçerlidir.