Araştırma Makalesi
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Türkiye’de Ticari Kredi Kanalı İşliyor mu? TCMB Sektör İstatistikleri ile Bir Analiz

Yıl 2019, Cilt: 19 Sayı: 4, 437 - 455, 26.10.2019
https://doi.org/10.21121/eab.486249

Öz

Bu
çalışma, Türkiye Cumhuriyet Merkez Bankası (TCMB) istatistiklerinin toplam
hesaplarından elde edilen iki sektör düzeyinde veri setini kullanarak, 2008'den
2016'ya kadar olan süreçte Türkiye'de ticari kredi kanalını test etmeyi
amaçlamaktadır. İlk örneklem 7 ana sektörden ve diğer örneklem 12 imalat alt
sektöründen oluşmaktadır. Ticari kredilerin parasal ve parasal olmayan
faktörlerinin hem brüt hem de net ticari kredi durumu üzerinde bir etkisi olup
olmadığını test etmek için dinamik panel veri yöntemleri uygulanmıştır. Alınan
ticaret kredisi (brüt) ile ilgili analiz sonuçlarına göre, para politikası
kısıtlamaları küçük firma sınıflarının ticari kredi kullanımını artırmıştır.
Net ticaret kredisi (net) için bulgular, ana sektör KOBİ ölçekli firma
gruplarının net ticari kredi alıcısı olduğunu, büyük ölçekli firma grubunun net
ticaret kredi sağlayıcısı olduğunu ve imalat alt sektörlerinde ise KOBİ'lerin
net ticari kredi sağlayıcısı olduğunu göstermiştir. Bu bulgulardan elde edilen
üç ana sonuç; i) Ticari kredi kanalı, en güçlü etkisi küçük firmalar üzerinde
olmak üzere, faaliyet göstermiştir. ii) Ticari krediler, imalat sanayindeki
KOBİ'lerden tüm sektörlerdeki KOBİ'lere akma eğilimindedir. iii) Tüm sektörler
genelinde, büyük firmalar ticari krediler yoluyla KOBİ'lere fon aktarmaya
meyillidir.  

Kaynakça

  • Arslan, B. T., & Ergeç, E. T. (2011). Türkiye ekonomisinde para politikasının sektörel etkileri. Anadolu Üniversitesi Sosyal Bilimler Dergisi, 11 (1), 89-103.
  • Atanasova, C. V., & Wilson, N. (2003). Bank borrowing constraints and the demand for trade credit: Evidence from panel data. Managerial and Decision Economics, 24, 503–514.
  • Baltagi, B. H. (2005). Econometric analysis of panel data (3rd edition). Chichester: Wiley. ISBN: 13-978-0-470-01456-1.
  • Bernanke, B.S., & Gertler, M. (1995). Inside the black box: The credit channel of monetary policy transmission. Journal of Economic Perspective, 9(4), 27-48.
  • Brechling, F. P. R., & Lipsey, R. G. (1963). Trade credit and monetary policy. The Economic Journal, 73(292), 618-641.
  • Carbo-Valverde, S., Mansilla-Fernandez, J. M., & Rodriguez-Fernandez, F. (2017). Monetary policy, implicit interest rate, and relative net trade credit. Revista De Economia Aplicada, 25(73), 21-54.
  • Chiplin, B., & Wright, M. (1985). Inter-industry differences in the response of trade credit to changes in monetary policy. Journal of Business Finance & Accounting, 12(2), 221-248.
  • Choi, W.G., & Kim, Y. (2003). Trade credit and the effects of macro-financial shocks: Evidence from US panel data. International Monetary Fund Working Paper No. 03/127.
  • Dai, B., & Yang, F. (2015). Monetary policy, accounting conservatism and trade credit. China Journal of Accounting Research, 8, 295-313.
  • De Blasio (2003). Does trade credit substitute for bank credit? Evidence from firm-level data. International Monetary Fund Working Paper No. 03/166.
  • Demirgunes, K. (2016). Determinants of access to trade credit for small and medium sized enterprises in Turkey after the 2008 global crisis. Journal of Economics, Finance and Accounting, 4(3), 266-284.
  • Eroğlu, N. (2009). Türkiye’de 1990’lı ve 2000’li yıllarda para politikaları. Marmara Üniversitesi, İ.İ.B.F Dergisi, 26(1), 23-42.
  • Fisman, R., & Love, I. (2003). Trade credit, financial intermediary development and industry growth. Journal of Finance 58, 353–374.
  • Gaiotti, E., & Generale, A. (2002). Does monetary policy have asymmetric effects? A Look at the investment decision of Italian firms. Giornale degli Economisti e Annali di Economia, 61 (1), 29-59.
  • Gama, M., Paula, A., & Van Auken, H. (2015). The interdependence between trade credit and bank lending: Commitment in intermediary firm relationships. Journal of Small Business Management, 53(4), 886–904.
  • Gertler, M.& Gilchrist, S. (1993). The role of credit market imperfections in the monetary transmission mechanism: Arguments and evidence. The Scandinavian Journal of Economics, (1), 43-64.
  • Gertler, M.& Gilchrist, S. (1994). Monetary policy, business cycles, and the behaviour of small manufacturing firms. The Quarterly Journal of Economics, (2), 309-340.
  • Guariglia, A., & Mateut, S. (2006). Credit channel, trade credit channel, and inventory investment: Evidence from a panel of UK firms. Journal of Banking & Finance, 30(10), 2835–2856.
  • Herbst, F. (1974). Some empirical evidence on the determinants of trade credit at the industry level of aggregation, Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, 377–394.
  • Hong, B.P. (2017). The impact of monetary policy on bank credit and trade credit for the UK’s SMEs: A disequilibrium model of credit rationing. PhD Dissertation. The University of Leeds.
  • Kohler, M., Britton, E., & Yates, T. (2000). Trade credit and the monetary transmission mechanism. Discussion Paper, Bank of England.
  • Laffer, A. B. (1970). Trade credit and the money market. Journal of Political Economy, (2), 239-267.
  • Marotta (1997), Does trade credit redistribution thwart monetary policy? Evidence from Italy, Applied Economics, 29(12), 1619–1629.
  • Mateut, S., & Mizen, P. (2003). Trade credit and bank lending: An investigation into the determinants of UK manufacturing firms' access to trade credit. EUI Working Paper ECO, No. 2003/3.
  • Mateut, S., Bougheas, S., & Mizen, P. (2006). Trade credit, bank lending and monetary policy transmission. European Economic Review, 50 (3), 603-629.
  • Meltzer, A.H. (1960). Mercantile credit, monetary policy, and size of firms. The Review of Economics and Statistics, (4), 429-437.
  • Nadiri, M. I. (1969). The determinants of trade credit in the U.S. Total manufacturing sector. Econometrica, (3), 408-423.
  • Ng, C.K., Smith, J.K & Smith, R.L. (1999). Evidence on the determinants of credit terms used in interfirm trade, The Journal of Finance, 54 (3), 1109-1129.
  • Nilsen, J. H. (2002). Trade credit and the bank lending channel. Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, 34(1), 226–253.
  • Petersen, M. A., & Rajan, R.G. (1997). Trade credit: Theories and evidence. The Review of Financial Studies, (3), 661-691.
  • Reilly, D., & Sarte, P. G. (2010). Changes in monetary policy and the variation in interest rate changes across credit markets. Economic Quarterly (10697225), 96(2), 201-229.
  • Romer, C.D. & Romer, D.H. (1993). Credit channel or credit actions? An Interpretation of the Postwar Transmission Mechanism. NBER Working Paper No. 4485.
  • Saiz, C.M., Azofra, S.S., Olmo, B.T, & Gutierrez, C.L. (2017). Trade credit, sovereign risk and monetary policy in Europe. International Review of Economics & Finance, 52, 39-54.
  • Şahin A. (2018). Firmalar arası ticari alacak kredisini açıklayan teoriler: Borsa İstanbul’da bir uygulama, Maliye ve Finans Yazıları, 110, 37-70.
  • Schwartz, Robert A. (1974). An economic model of trade credit. The Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, (4), 643-657.
  • Tatoğlu, F. Y. (2012). İleri panel veri analizi (1. basım). İstanbul: Beta Basım A.Ş. ISBN: 978-605-377-721-2.
  • Özlü, P. & Yalçın, C. (2012). The trade credit channel of monetary policy transmission: Evidence from nonfinancial manufacturing firms in Turkey. Emerging Markets Finance & Trade, 48(4), 102–117.
  • Walker, D. A. (1985). Trade credit supply for small businesses. American Journal of Small Business, 9(3), 30-40.
  • http://www.tcmb.gov.tr (04.04.2018 - 10.11.2018)
  • http://www3.tcmb.gov.tr (04.11.2018- 17.11.2018)

Does Trade Credit Channel Operate in Turkey? An Analysis with CBRT Sector Statistics

Yıl 2019, Cilt: 19 Sayı: 4, 437 - 455, 26.10.2019
https://doi.org/10.21121/eab.486249

Öz

This paper aims to test trade credit channel in Turkey
over the period from 2008 to 2016 using two sector level data sets obtained
from the aggregated accounts of Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey (CBRT)
statistics. First sample consists of 7 main sectors and other sample involves
12 manufacturing-sub sectors. Dynamic
panel data methods were applied to test
whether monetary and nonmonetary factors of trade credit have an impact
on both gross and net trade credit status.  According to analysis results about trade
credit received (gross), monetary policy restrictions has increased the trade
credit usage of small firm classes. Findings for net trade credit (net) showed
that main-sectors SME sized firm groups became net trade credit receiver while
large sized firm group was net trade credit extender and in manufacturing
sub-sectors, SMEs samples were net trade credit extender. Three main
conclusions derived from these findings are; i) Trade credit channel has
operated with the strongest effects on small firms. ii) Trade credits tend to
flow from SMEs in manufacturing industry to the SMEs in all sectors. iii)
Across all sectors, large firms tend to transfers funds to SMEs through trade
credit.

Kaynakça

  • Arslan, B. T., & Ergeç, E. T. (2011). Türkiye ekonomisinde para politikasının sektörel etkileri. Anadolu Üniversitesi Sosyal Bilimler Dergisi, 11 (1), 89-103.
  • Atanasova, C. V., & Wilson, N. (2003). Bank borrowing constraints and the demand for trade credit: Evidence from panel data. Managerial and Decision Economics, 24, 503–514.
  • Baltagi, B. H. (2005). Econometric analysis of panel data (3rd edition). Chichester: Wiley. ISBN: 13-978-0-470-01456-1.
  • Bernanke, B.S., & Gertler, M. (1995). Inside the black box: The credit channel of monetary policy transmission. Journal of Economic Perspective, 9(4), 27-48.
  • Brechling, F. P. R., & Lipsey, R. G. (1963). Trade credit and monetary policy. The Economic Journal, 73(292), 618-641.
  • Carbo-Valverde, S., Mansilla-Fernandez, J. M., & Rodriguez-Fernandez, F. (2017). Monetary policy, implicit interest rate, and relative net trade credit. Revista De Economia Aplicada, 25(73), 21-54.
  • Chiplin, B., & Wright, M. (1985). Inter-industry differences in the response of trade credit to changes in monetary policy. Journal of Business Finance & Accounting, 12(2), 221-248.
  • Choi, W.G., & Kim, Y. (2003). Trade credit and the effects of macro-financial shocks: Evidence from US panel data. International Monetary Fund Working Paper No. 03/127.
  • Dai, B., & Yang, F. (2015). Monetary policy, accounting conservatism and trade credit. China Journal of Accounting Research, 8, 295-313.
  • De Blasio (2003). Does trade credit substitute for bank credit? Evidence from firm-level data. International Monetary Fund Working Paper No. 03/166.
  • Demirgunes, K. (2016). Determinants of access to trade credit for small and medium sized enterprises in Turkey after the 2008 global crisis. Journal of Economics, Finance and Accounting, 4(3), 266-284.
  • Eroğlu, N. (2009). Türkiye’de 1990’lı ve 2000’li yıllarda para politikaları. Marmara Üniversitesi, İ.İ.B.F Dergisi, 26(1), 23-42.
  • Fisman, R., & Love, I. (2003). Trade credit, financial intermediary development and industry growth. Journal of Finance 58, 353–374.
  • Gaiotti, E., & Generale, A. (2002). Does monetary policy have asymmetric effects? A Look at the investment decision of Italian firms. Giornale degli Economisti e Annali di Economia, 61 (1), 29-59.
  • Gama, M., Paula, A., & Van Auken, H. (2015). The interdependence between trade credit and bank lending: Commitment in intermediary firm relationships. Journal of Small Business Management, 53(4), 886–904.
  • Gertler, M.& Gilchrist, S. (1993). The role of credit market imperfections in the monetary transmission mechanism: Arguments and evidence. The Scandinavian Journal of Economics, (1), 43-64.
  • Gertler, M.& Gilchrist, S. (1994). Monetary policy, business cycles, and the behaviour of small manufacturing firms. The Quarterly Journal of Economics, (2), 309-340.
  • Guariglia, A., & Mateut, S. (2006). Credit channel, trade credit channel, and inventory investment: Evidence from a panel of UK firms. Journal of Banking & Finance, 30(10), 2835–2856.
  • Herbst, F. (1974). Some empirical evidence on the determinants of trade credit at the industry level of aggregation, Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, 377–394.
  • Hong, B.P. (2017). The impact of monetary policy on bank credit and trade credit for the UK’s SMEs: A disequilibrium model of credit rationing. PhD Dissertation. The University of Leeds.
  • Kohler, M., Britton, E., & Yates, T. (2000). Trade credit and the monetary transmission mechanism. Discussion Paper, Bank of England.
  • Laffer, A. B. (1970). Trade credit and the money market. Journal of Political Economy, (2), 239-267.
  • Marotta (1997), Does trade credit redistribution thwart monetary policy? Evidence from Italy, Applied Economics, 29(12), 1619–1629.
  • Mateut, S., & Mizen, P. (2003). Trade credit and bank lending: An investigation into the determinants of UK manufacturing firms' access to trade credit. EUI Working Paper ECO, No. 2003/3.
  • Mateut, S., Bougheas, S., & Mizen, P. (2006). Trade credit, bank lending and monetary policy transmission. European Economic Review, 50 (3), 603-629.
  • Meltzer, A.H. (1960). Mercantile credit, monetary policy, and size of firms. The Review of Economics and Statistics, (4), 429-437.
  • Nadiri, M. I. (1969). The determinants of trade credit in the U.S. Total manufacturing sector. Econometrica, (3), 408-423.
  • Ng, C.K., Smith, J.K & Smith, R.L. (1999). Evidence on the determinants of credit terms used in interfirm trade, The Journal of Finance, 54 (3), 1109-1129.
  • Nilsen, J. H. (2002). Trade credit and the bank lending channel. Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, 34(1), 226–253.
  • Petersen, M. A., & Rajan, R.G. (1997). Trade credit: Theories and evidence. The Review of Financial Studies, (3), 661-691.
  • Reilly, D., & Sarte, P. G. (2010). Changes in monetary policy and the variation in interest rate changes across credit markets. Economic Quarterly (10697225), 96(2), 201-229.
  • Romer, C.D. & Romer, D.H. (1993). Credit channel or credit actions? An Interpretation of the Postwar Transmission Mechanism. NBER Working Paper No. 4485.
  • Saiz, C.M., Azofra, S.S., Olmo, B.T, & Gutierrez, C.L. (2017). Trade credit, sovereign risk and monetary policy in Europe. International Review of Economics & Finance, 52, 39-54.
  • Şahin A. (2018). Firmalar arası ticari alacak kredisini açıklayan teoriler: Borsa İstanbul’da bir uygulama, Maliye ve Finans Yazıları, 110, 37-70.
  • Schwartz, Robert A. (1974). An economic model of trade credit. The Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, (4), 643-657.
  • Tatoğlu, F. Y. (2012). İleri panel veri analizi (1. basım). İstanbul: Beta Basım A.Ş. ISBN: 978-605-377-721-2.
  • Özlü, P. & Yalçın, C. (2012). The trade credit channel of monetary policy transmission: Evidence from nonfinancial manufacturing firms in Turkey. Emerging Markets Finance & Trade, 48(4), 102–117.
  • Walker, D. A. (1985). Trade credit supply for small businesses. American Journal of Small Business, 9(3), 30-40.
  • http://www.tcmb.gov.tr (04.04.2018 - 10.11.2018)
  • http://www3.tcmb.gov.tr (04.11.2018- 17.11.2018)
Toplam 40 adet kaynakça vardır.

Ayrıntılar

Birincil Dil İngilizce
Konular Ekonomi, İşletme
Bölüm Araştırma Makalesi
Yazarlar

Arzu Şahin 0000-0002-9944-1791

Yayımlanma Tarihi 26 Ekim 2019
Kabul Tarihi 8 Ekim 2019
Yayımlandığı Sayı Yıl 2019 Cilt: 19 Sayı: 4

Kaynak Göster

APA Şahin, A. (2019). Does Trade Credit Channel Operate in Turkey? An Analysis with CBRT Sector Statistics. Ege Academic Review, 19(4), 437-455. https://doi.org/10.21121/eab.486249
AMA Şahin A. Does Trade Credit Channel Operate in Turkey? An Analysis with CBRT Sector Statistics. eab. Ekim 2019;19(4):437-455. doi:10.21121/eab.486249
Chicago Şahin, Arzu. “Does Trade Credit Channel Operate in Turkey? An Analysis With CBRT Sector Statistics”. Ege Academic Review 19, sy. 4 (Ekim 2019): 437-55. https://doi.org/10.21121/eab.486249.
EndNote Şahin A (01 Ekim 2019) Does Trade Credit Channel Operate in Turkey? An Analysis with CBRT Sector Statistics. Ege Academic Review 19 4 437–455.
IEEE A. Şahin, “Does Trade Credit Channel Operate in Turkey? An Analysis with CBRT Sector Statistics”, eab, c. 19, sy. 4, ss. 437–455, 2019, doi: 10.21121/eab.486249.
ISNAD Şahin, Arzu. “Does Trade Credit Channel Operate in Turkey? An Analysis With CBRT Sector Statistics”. Ege Academic Review 19/4 (Ekim 2019), 437-455. https://doi.org/10.21121/eab.486249.
JAMA Şahin A. Does Trade Credit Channel Operate in Turkey? An Analysis with CBRT Sector Statistics. eab. 2019;19:437–455.
MLA Şahin, Arzu. “Does Trade Credit Channel Operate in Turkey? An Analysis With CBRT Sector Statistics”. Ege Academic Review, c. 19, sy. 4, 2019, ss. 437-55, doi:10.21121/eab.486249.
Vancouver Şahin A. Does Trade Credit Channel Operate in Turkey? An Analysis with CBRT Sector Statistics. eab. 2019;19(4):437-55.