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On the Dynamics of the Agricultural Trade of Turkey

Cilt: 8 Sayı: 1 1 Ocak 2019
Abreg S. Çelem , H. Alper Güzel
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On the Dynamics of the Agricultural Trade of Turkey

Öz

In this study, the dynamics of the agricultural trade of Turkey are empirically analyzed within a gravity model framework. Using a panel of 33 countries over the period 1993-2015, we found that the economic magnitude of the partner country, the real exchange rate volatility and common borders are significant factors determining the agricultural trade of Turkey. Furthermore, after the global crisis in 2008, the agricultural trade volume of Turkey exhibits a positive shift unlike the decline in the world agricultural trade. The results also indicate that Turkey’s agricultural trade with the European Union tends to decrease after 2008 although the EU countries are still important trade partners.

Anahtar Kelimeler

Agricultural Trade of Turkey, Gravity Model, 2008 Crisis, Panel Data Analysis

Kaynakça

  1. Atıcı, C., Armağan, G., Tunalıoğlu, R., and Çınar, G. (2011), “Does Turkey’s Integration into the European Union Boost Its Agricultural Exports?” Agribusiness, 27(3), 280-291. https://doi.org/10.1002/agr
  2. Atıcı, C., and Güloğlu, B. (2006), “Gravity Model of Turkey’s Fresh and Processed Fruit and Vegetable Export to the EU,” Journal of International Food & Agribusiness Marketing, 18(3–4), 7-21. https://doi.org/10.1300/J047v18n03_02
  3. Bahmani-Oskooee, M., and Hegerty, S. W. (2007), “Exchange rate volatility and trade flows: A review article”, Journal of Economic Studies, 34(3). https://doi.org/10.1108/01443580710772777
  4. Cho, G., Sheldon, I. M., and McCorriston, S. (2002), “Exchange Rate Uncertainty and Agricultural Trade,” Amer. J. Agr. Econ., 20(1), 115-122.
  5. Erdal, G., Erdal, H., and Esengün, K. (2012), “The effects of exchange rate volatility on trade: Evidence from Turkish agricultural trade,” Applied Economics Letters, 19(3), 297-303. https://doi.org/10.1080/13504851.2011.576996
  6. Erdem, E., Nazlıoğlu, S., and Erdem, C. (2010), “Exchange rate uncertainty and agricultural trade: panel cointegration analysis for Turkey,” Agricultural Economics, 41(6), 537-543. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1574-0862.2010.00469.x
  7. Kepaptsoglou, K., Karlaftis, M. G., and Tsamboulas, D. (2010), “The Gravity Model Specification for Modeling International Trade Flows and Free Trade Agreement Effects: A 10-Year,” Review of Empirical Studies. The Open Economics Journal, 3(1), 1-13. https://doi.org/10.2174/1874919401003010001
  8. Perée, E., and Steinherr, A. (1989), “Exchange rate uncertainty and foreign trade,” European Economic Review, 33(6), 1241-1264.
  9. Peters, M., Shane, M., and Torgerson, D. (2009), “What the 2008/2009 world economic crisis means for global agricultural trade,” Economic Research Service, U.S.Department of Agriculture, Outlook Report No. WRS-09-05, Washington, D.C.
  10. Sever, E. (2012), “Döviz kuru dalgalanmalarının tarımsal dış ticarete etkisi: Türkiye örneği,” Akademik Araştırmalar ve Çalışmalar Dergisi, 4(7), 17-35.

Kaynak Göster

APA
Çelem, A. S., & Güzel, H. A. (2019). On the Dynamics of the Agricultural Trade of Turkey. Ekonomi-tek, 8(1), 1-10. https://izlik.org/JA57GZ97RN
AMA
1.Çelem AS, Güzel HA. On the Dynamics of the Agricultural Trade of Turkey. Ekonomi-tek. 2019;8(1):1-10. https://izlik.org/JA57GZ97RN
Chicago
Çelem, Abreg S., ve H. Alper Güzel. 2019. “On the Dynamics of the Agricultural Trade of Turkey”. Ekonomi-tek 8 (1): 1-10. https://izlik.org/JA57GZ97RN.
EndNote
Çelem AS, Güzel HA (01 Ocak 2019) On the Dynamics of the Agricultural Trade of Turkey. Ekonomi-tek 8 1 1–10.
IEEE
[1]A. S. Çelem ve H. A. Güzel, “On the Dynamics of the Agricultural Trade of Turkey”, Ekonomi-tek, c. 8, sy 1, ss. 1–10, Oca. 2019, [çevrimiçi]. Erişim adresi: https://izlik.org/JA57GZ97RN
ISNAD
Çelem, Abreg S. - Güzel, H. Alper. “On the Dynamics of the Agricultural Trade of Turkey”. Ekonomi-tek 8/1 (01 Ocak 2019): 1-10. https://izlik.org/JA57GZ97RN.
JAMA
1.Çelem AS, Güzel HA. On the Dynamics of the Agricultural Trade of Turkey. Ekonomi-tek. 2019;8:1–10.
MLA
Çelem, Abreg S., ve H. Alper Güzel. “On the Dynamics of the Agricultural Trade of Turkey”. Ekonomi-tek, c. 8, sy 1, Ocak 2019, ss. 1-10, https://izlik.org/JA57GZ97RN.
Vancouver
1.Abreg S. Çelem, H. Alper Güzel. On the Dynamics of the Agricultural Trade of Turkey. Ekonomi-tek [Internet]. 01 Ocak 2019;8(1):1-10. Erişim adresi: https://izlik.org/JA57GZ97RN