Fotovoltaik Verilerin Tahminlemesinde Hiper Parametre Etkisinin İncelenmesi

Fikriye Ataman

Fotovoltaik Verilerin Tahminlemesinde Hiper Parametre Etkisinin İncelenmesi

Öz

Günümüzde yenilebilir enerji kaynaklarına olan ihtiyaç her gün biraz daha artmaktadır. Bu çalışmanın amacı yenilebilir enerji kaynağı olan fotovoltaik enerji üretiminde, kullanılan tahminleme modelleri için uygun hiper parametre seçiminin tespit edilmesidir. Çalışma kapsamında gerçek bir fotovoltaik veri seti üzerinde tahminleme yapılmaktadır. Tahminleme için kullanılan dört model seçilmiş ve bu modellerin başarımına etki eden hiper parametrelerin bulunarak modellerin fotovoltaik veriler için alan adaptasyonu araştırılmıştır. Seçilen modeller Gause Süreç Regresyonu(GSR), Ridge Çekirdek Regresyonu(RÇR), Destek Vektör Regresyonu (DVR), Çok Katmanlı Algılayıcı (ÇKA)’dır. Yapılan çalışma sonucunda fotovoltaik verilerde kullanılan tahmin modellerinde hiper parametre optimizasyonunun model başarısına önemli bir etkisi olduğu bulgusuna ulaşılmıştır. GSR modeli %99.9, RÇR modeli %99.9, SVR modeli %99.4 ve ÇKA modeli %89.3 başarı göstermiştir. Bu çalışma ile, modellerde kullanılan hiper parametre seçiminin, model tahmin başarısını doğrudan etkilediği ve fotovoltaik verilerin tahminlemesinde kullanılması gereken hiper parametreler ortaya konulmuştur. Bu çalışma, fotovoltaik veri tahmini üzerinde çalışan diğer çalışmalara önemli bir katkı sağlayacaktır

Anahtar Kelimeler

Kaynakça

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Ayrıntılar

Birincil Dil

Türkçe

Konular

Fotovoltaik Güç Sistemleri, Elektrik Mühendisliği (Diğer)

Bölüm

Araştırma Makalesi

Yazarlar

Fikriye Ataman ^*
0000-0002-0257-7730
Türkiye

Yayımlanma Tarihi

25 Ocak 2025

Gönderilme Tarihi

12 Mayıs 2024

Kabul Tarihi

17 Eylül 2024

Yayımlandığı Sayı

Yıl 2025 Cilt: 15 Sayı: 1

IZ

https://izlik.org/JA95MB33WR

Kaynak Göster

RIS / Bibtex

APA

Ataman, F. (2025). Fotovoltaik Verilerin Tahminlemesinde Hiper Parametre Etkisinin İncelenmesi. EMO Bilimsel Dergi, 15(1), 27-40. https://izlik.org/JA95MB33WR

AMA

1.Ataman F. Fotovoltaik Verilerin Tahminlemesinde Hiper Parametre Etkisinin İncelenmesi. EMO Bilimsel Dergi. 2025;15(1):27-40. https://izlik.org/JA95MB33WR

Chicago

Ataman, Fikriye. 2025. “Fotovoltaik Verilerin Tahminlemesinde Hiper Parametre Etkisinin İncelenmesi”. EMO Bilimsel Dergi 15 (1): 27-40. https://izlik.org/JA95MB33WR.

EndNote

Ataman F (01 Ocak 2025) Fotovoltaik Verilerin Tahminlemesinde Hiper Parametre Etkisinin İncelenmesi. EMO Bilimsel Dergi 15 1 27–40.

IEEE

[1]F. Ataman, “Fotovoltaik Verilerin Tahminlemesinde Hiper Parametre Etkisinin İncelenmesi”, EMO Bilimsel Dergi, c. 15, sy 1, ss. 27–40, Oca. 2025, [çevrimiçi]. Erişim adresi: https://izlik.org/JA95MB33WR

ISNAD

Ataman, Fikriye. “Fotovoltaik Verilerin Tahminlemesinde Hiper Parametre Etkisinin İncelenmesi”. EMO Bilimsel Dergi 15/1 (01 Ocak 2025): 27-40. https://izlik.org/JA95MB33WR.

JAMA

1.Ataman F. Fotovoltaik Verilerin Tahminlemesinde Hiper Parametre Etkisinin İncelenmesi. EMO Bilimsel Dergi. 2025;15:27–40.

MLA

Ataman, Fikriye. “Fotovoltaik Verilerin Tahminlemesinde Hiper Parametre Etkisinin İncelenmesi”. EMO Bilimsel Dergi, c. 15, sy 1, Ocak 2025, ss. 27-40, https://izlik.org/JA95MB33WR.

Vancouver

1.Fikriye Ataman. Fotovoltaik Verilerin Tahminlemesinde Hiper Parametre Etkisinin İncelenmesi. EMO Bilimsel Dergi [Internet]. 01 Ocak 2025;15(1):27-40. Erişim adresi: https://izlik.org/JA95MB33WR