Testing Import-Led Growth Hypothesis in North Cyprus: An Empirical Investigation From Cointegration and Causality Tests

Yıl 2011, Cilt: 2 Sayı: 2, 27 - 38, 01.08.2011

Salih Katırcıoğlu Elif Katırcıoğlu

Öz

Mevcut çalışma, Türkiye Cumhuriyeti’nden başka bir ülke tarafından tanınmayan ve 40 yıldan fazla bir süredir, Kıbrıs sorunun çözümsüzlüğünden dolayı ekonomik sancıları yaşayan, Kuzey Kıbrıs Türk Cumhuriyeti’nde, İthalat’a Dayalı Büyüme Hipotezi’ni test etmeyi hedeflemektedir. Mevcut çalışmada uygulanan eşbütünleme testleri, ithalat ile reel gelir arasında uzun dönemli bir denge ilişkisinin olduğunu ortaya koymaktadır; ithalat'ın katkısı ile reel gelir uzun dönem dengesine 99%’luk hızla yaklaşmaktadır. Fakat, Granger nedensellik testleri, Kuzey Kıbrıs için ithalata dayalı büyüme hipotezinin varlığını onaylamamaktadır

Anahtar Kelimeler

İthalata Dayalı Büyüme, Ekonomik Büyüme, Eşbütünleme

Kaynakça

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