İşsizlik ve Sağlık Göstergeleri: Türkiye Örneği

Öz

Bu çalışma, işsizlik oranlarındaki değişimler ve sağlık göstergeleri arasındaki ilişkiyi, ulusal ve bölgesel düzeyde veriler kullanarak, Türkiye için incelemektedir. Ulusal verilere dayalı zaman serisi modelleri ve bölgesel veri setine bağlı sabit etkiler modelleri farklı sağlık göstergeleri için tahmin edilmektedir. 1960-2015 yıllarını kapsayan zaman serisi analiz sonuçlarına göre işsizlik oranı ile farklı sağlık göstergeleri arasında istatistiksel olarak anlamlı korelasyonlar bulunmuştur. İşsizlik oranı ile yaşam beklentisi arasında negatif ve konjonktür yanlısı bir ilişki gözlemlenirken işsizlik oranı ile doğum oranı, kaba ölüm oranı ve bebek ölüm oranı arasında pozitif ve konjonktür karşıtı ilişkiler olduğu gözlemlenmiştir. Zaman serisi analizinde ortaya çıkan bulgularla işsizlik oranı ile bebek ölüm oranı, doğum oranı ve ekonomik nedenlere bağlı intihar sayısı arasında pozitif ve konjonktür karşıtı ilişkiler bulunmuştur ve bu ilişkiler istatistiksel olarak anlamlıdır. İşsizlik oranı ile kaba ölüm oranı arasında negatif ve konjonktür yanlısı bir korelasyon gözlemlenmiştir, ancak bu korelasyon istatistiksel olarak anlamlı bulunmamıştır.

Anahtar Kelimeler

• İşsizlik, Sağlık Çıktıları, Türkiye, Zaman Serileri Analizi, Panel Veri Modelleri

Unemployment and Health Indicators: Case of Turkey

Öz

This study examines the relationship between unemployment rate and health indicators for Turkey by using data at national and regional levels. Time series models and fixed effects models are estimated for different health indicators. According to time series analysis results covering 1960-2015, statistically significant correlations are revealed between unemployment rate and different health indicators. We have observed that there was a negative and procyclical relationship between unemployment rate and life expectancy, while there is a positive and countercyclical relationship between unemployment rate and the birth rate, mortality rate and infant mortality rate. The findings in the time series analysis show positive and countercyclical relationships between unemployment rate and infant mortality rate, birth rate and suicide number due to economic reasons and these relationships are statistically significant. A negative and procyclical correlation between unemployment rate and mortality rate is observed, but this correlation is not statistically significant

Anahtar Kelimeler

• Unemployment, Health Outcomes, Turkey, Time Series Analysis, Panel Data Models

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