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Türkiye’de Kamuoyunun SerbestTicaret ve Küreselleşme Algısı ve BuAlgının Temel Dinamikleri

Yıl 2016, Sayı: 614, 83 - 94, 01.04.2016

Öz

Bu makalede Türkiye’de bireylerin dış ticarette liberalleşme ve serbest ticaret anlaşmalarına ne ölçüde destek verdikleri ve bu desteğin altında yatan faktörler Türkiye temsili, 1485 kişiden oluşan bir örneklemde gerçekleştirilen anket çalışması üzerinden incelenmektedir. Gerçekleştirilen lojistik regresyon analizinde elde edilen sonuçlara göre, daha genç, kişi başına düşen hane halkı gelir seviyesi daha yüksek, milliyetçilik seviyesi daha az, ekonomik durumundan daha fazla tatmin olan ve ekonomik liberalizasyonun olası sonuçları hakkında daha fazla bilgi sahibi kişilerin başka ülkelerle imzalanan serbest ticaret anlaşmalarına ve küreselleşmeye daha fazla destek verdikleri görülmüştür. Buna karşılık, literatürde etkileri tartışılan cinsiyet, ideolojik oryantasyon, ve eğitim seviyesi gibi çeşitli faktörlerin bireylerin ticaretin liberalizasyonu ve küreselleşme konularındaki tutumlarına herhangi bir etkisi olduğuna dair bir bulgu elde edilememiştir.

Kaynakça

  • ARDANAZ, Martin, M. MURILLO, and Pablo M. PINTO. (2013) “Sensitivity to Issue Framing on Trade Policy Preferences: Evidence from a Survey Experiment.” International Organization 67, no. 02: 411–37.
  • BAKER, Andy. (2005) “Who Wants to Globalize? Consumer Tastes and Labor Markets in a Theory of Trade Policy Beliefs.” American Journal of Political Science 49, no. 4: 924–38.
  • ———. (2003) “Why Is Trade Reform so Popular in Latin America?: A Consumption-Based Theory of Trade Policy Preferences.” World Politics 55, no. 03: 423–55.
  • BALISTRERI, Edward J. (1997) “The Performance of the Heckscher-Ohlin-Vanek Model in Predicting Endogenous Policy Forces at the Individual Level.” Canadian Journal of Economics, 1–17.
  • BEAULIEU, Eugene. (2002) “Factor or Industry Cleavages in Trade Policy? An Empirical Analysis of the Stolper–Samuelson Theorem.” Economics & Politics 14, no. 2: 99–131.
  • BROCK, William A., and Stephen P. MAGEE. (1978) “The Economics of Special Interest Politics: The Case of the Tariff.” The American Economic Review, 246–50.
  • CITRIN, Jack, Ernst B. HAAS, Christopher MUSTE, and Beth REINGOLD. (1994) “Is American Nationalism Changing? Implications for Foreign Policy.” International Studies Quarterly, 1–31.
  • CLINE, William R. (1989) “Macroeconomic Influences on Trade Policy.” The American Economic Review, 123–27.
  • COHEN, Edward S. (2001) “Globalization and the Boundaries of the State: A Framework for Analyzing the Changing Practice of Sovereignty.” Governance 14, no. 1: 75–97
  • DORUSSEN, Han, and Michael TAYLOR. (2003) Economic Voting. Routledge.
  • DUINA, Francesco G. (2006) The Social Construction of Free Trade: The European Union, NAFTA, and Mercosur. Princeton University Press.
  • FISS, Peer C., and Paul M. HIRSCH. (2005) “The Discourse of Globalization: Framing and Sensemaking of an Emerging Concept.” American Sociological Review 70, no. 1: 29–52.
  • GABEL, Matthew J. (1998) “Economic Integration and Mass Politics: Market Liberalization and Public Attitudes in the European Union.” American Journal of Political Science, 936–53.
  • GOFF, Patricia M. (2000) “Invisible Borders: Economic Liberalization and National Identity.” International Studies Quarterly 44, no. 4: 533–62.
  • HAY, Colin, and Ben ROSAMOND. (2002) “Globalization, European Integration and the Discursive Construction of Economic Imperatives.” Journal of European Public Policy 9, no. 2: 147–67.
  • HERRMANN, Richard K., Philip E. TETLOCK, and Matthew N. DIASCRO. (2001) “How Americans Think about Trade: Reconciling Conflicts among Money, Power, and Principles.” International Studies Quarterly 45, no. 2: 191–218.
  • INGLEHART, Ronald, Neil NEVITTE, and Miguel BASANEZ. (1996) The North American Trajectory: Cultural, Economic, and Political Ties among the United States, Canada, and Mexico. Cambridge Univ Press.
  • IRWIN, Douglas A. (1996) “Trade Policies and the Semiconductor Industry.” In The Political Economy of American Trade Policy, 11–72. University of Chicago Press.
  • KAPLINSKY, Raphael. Globalization, poverty and inequality: Between a rock and a hard place. John Wiley & Sons, 2013.
  • LEWIS-BECK, Michael S., and Mary STEGMAIER. (2000) “Economic Determinants of Electoral Outcomes.” Annual Review of Political Science 3, no. 1: 183–219.
  • MACKUEN, Michael B., Robert S. ERIKSON, and James A. STIMSON. (1992) “Peasants or Bankers? The American Electorate and the US Economy.” American Political Science Review 86, no. 03: 597–611.
  • MARGALIT, Yotam. (2012) “Lost in Globalization: International Economic Integration and the Sources of Popular discontent1.” International Studies Quarterly 56, no. 3: 484–500.
  • MARKUS, Gregory B. (1992) “The Impact of Personal and National Economic Conditions on Presidential Voting, 1956- 1988.” American Journal of Political Science, 829–34.
  • ———. (1988) “The Impact of Personal and National Economic Conditions on the Presidential Vote: A Pooled Cross-Sectional Analysis.” American Journal of Political Science, 137–54.
  • MAYDA, Anna Maria, and Dani RODRIK. (2005) “Why Are Some People (and Countries) More Protectionist than Others?” European Economic Review 49, no. 6: 1393–1430.
  • MEDRANO, Juan Díez, and Michael BRAUN. (2012) “Uninformed Citizens and Support for Free Trade.” Review of International Political Economy 19, no. 3: 448–76.
  • MIDFORD, Paul. (1993) “International Trade and Domestic Politics: Improving on Rogowski’s Model of Political Alignments.” International Organization 47, no. 04: 535–64.
  • NADEAU, Richard, and Michael S. LEWIS-BECK. (2001) “National Economic Voting in US Presidential Elections.” Journal of Politics 63, no. 1: 159–81.
  • OHLIN, Bertil. (1933) “International and Interregional Trade.” Harvard Economic Studies, Cambridge, MA. O’ROURKE, Kevin H., and Richard SINNOTT. (2006) “The Determinants of Individual Attitudes towards Immigration.” European Journal of Political Economy 22, no. 4: 838–61.
  • RANKIN, David M. (2001) “Identities, Interests, and Imports.” Political Behavior 23, no. 4: 351–76.
  • SCHEVE, Kenneth F., and Matthew J. SLAUGHTER. (2006) “Public Opinion, International Economic Integration, and the Welfare State.” Globalization and Self-Determination: Is the Nation-State Under Siege?, 51. ———. (2001) “What Determines Individual Trade-Policy Preferences?” Journal of International Economics 54, no. 2: 267–92. STOLPER, Wolfgang F., and Paul A. SAMUELSON. (1941) “Protection and Real Wages.” The Review of Economic Studies 9, no. 1: 58–73.
  • SURANOVIC, Steven, and Robert WINTHROP. (2014) “Trade Liberalization and Culture.” Global Economy Journal 14, no. 1: 57–78.
  • UNCTAD (Birleşmiş Milletler Ticaret ve Kalkınma Konferansı) (2015) “Key Statistics and Trends in International Trade 2015.” Son ziyaret: February 2, 2016. http://unctad.org/en/PublicationsLibrary/ditctab2015d1_en.pdf.
  • URBATSCH, Robert. (2013) “A Referendum on Trade Theory: Voting on Free Trade in Costa Rica.” International Organization 67, no. 01: 197–214.
  • WALSTAD, William B. (1997) “The Effect of Economic Knowledge on Public Opinion of Economic Issues.” The Journal of Economic Education 28, no. 3: 195–205.

‘Laissez-Passer’? The Public Opinion on Free Trade and Globalization and the Underlying Dynamics in Turkey

Yıl 2016, Sayı: 614, 83 - 94, 01.04.2016

Öz

This article investigates to what extent individuals in Turkey support trade liberalization and signing of free trade agreements with other countries and the underlying dynamics of their attitudes. The logistic regression analysis conducted on the data acquired through a nationally representative survey with 1596 participants reveals that those who are younger, less nationalist, more content about their current economic situation, earn more and possess higher level of knowledge on the possible consequences of economic liberalization are more supportive to signing FTA’s and the process of globalization. On the other hand, some factors which have been identified as possibly influential dynamics in the literature such as sex, income, occupation, ideology and education did not attain any statistical significance in our analysis. Keywords: Public Opinion, Free

Kaynakça

  • ARDANAZ, Martin, M. MURILLO, and Pablo M. PINTO. (2013) “Sensitivity to Issue Framing on Trade Policy Preferences: Evidence from a Survey Experiment.” International Organization 67, no. 02: 411–37.
  • BAKER, Andy. (2005) “Who Wants to Globalize? Consumer Tastes and Labor Markets in a Theory of Trade Policy Beliefs.” American Journal of Political Science 49, no. 4: 924–38.
  • ———. (2003) “Why Is Trade Reform so Popular in Latin America?: A Consumption-Based Theory of Trade Policy Preferences.” World Politics 55, no. 03: 423–55.
  • BALISTRERI, Edward J. (1997) “The Performance of the Heckscher-Ohlin-Vanek Model in Predicting Endogenous Policy Forces at the Individual Level.” Canadian Journal of Economics, 1–17.
  • BEAULIEU, Eugene. (2002) “Factor or Industry Cleavages in Trade Policy? An Empirical Analysis of the Stolper–Samuelson Theorem.” Economics & Politics 14, no. 2: 99–131.
  • BROCK, William A., and Stephen P. MAGEE. (1978) “The Economics of Special Interest Politics: The Case of the Tariff.” The American Economic Review, 246–50.
  • CITRIN, Jack, Ernst B. HAAS, Christopher MUSTE, and Beth REINGOLD. (1994) “Is American Nationalism Changing? Implications for Foreign Policy.” International Studies Quarterly, 1–31.
  • CLINE, William R. (1989) “Macroeconomic Influences on Trade Policy.” The American Economic Review, 123–27.
  • COHEN, Edward S. (2001) “Globalization and the Boundaries of the State: A Framework for Analyzing the Changing Practice of Sovereignty.” Governance 14, no. 1: 75–97
  • DORUSSEN, Han, and Michael TAYLOR. (2003) Economic Voting. Routledge.
  • DUINA, Francesco G. (2006) The Social Construction of Free Trade: The European Union, NAFTA, and Mercosur. Princeton University Press.
  • FISS, Peer C., and Paul M. HIRSCH. (2005) “The Discourse of Globalization: Framing and Sensemaking of an Emerging Concept.” American Sociological Review 70, no. 1: 29–52.
  • GABEL, Matthew J. (1998) “Economic Integration and Mass Politics: Market Liberalization and Public Attitudes in the European Union.” American Journal of Political Science, 936–53.
  • GOFF, Patricia M. (2000) “Invisible Borders: Economic Liberalization and National Identity.” International Studies Quarterly 44, no. 4: 533–62.
  • HAY, Colin, and Ben ROSAMOND. (2002) “Globalization, European Integration and the Discursive Construction of Economic Imperatives.” Journal of European Public Policy 9, no. 2: 147–67.
  • HERRMANN, Richard K., Philip E. TETLOCK, and Matthew N. DIASCRO. (2001) “How Americans Think about Trade: Reconciling Conflicts among Money, Power, and Principles.” International Studies Quarterly 45, no. 2: 191–218.
  • INGLEHART, Ronald, Neil NEVITTE, and Miguel BASANEZ. (1996) The North American Trajectory: Cultural, Economic, and Political Ties among the United States, Canada, and Mexico. Cambridge Univ Press.
  • IRWIN, Douglas A. (1996) “Trade Policies and the Semiconductor Industry.” In The Political Economy of American Trade Policy, 11–72. University of Chicago Press.
  • KAPLINSKY, Raphael. Globalization, poverty and inequality: Between a rock and a hard place. John Wiley & Sons, 2013.
  • LEWIS-BECK, Michael S., and Mary STEGMAIER. (2000) “Economic Determinants of Electoral Outcomes.” Annual Review of Political Science 3, no. 1: 183–219.
  • MACKUEN, Michael B., Robert S. ERIKSON, and James A. STIMSON. (1992) “Peasants or Bankers? The American Electorate and the US Economy.” American Political Science Review 86, no. 03: 597–611.
  • MARGALIT, Yotam. (2012) “Lost in Globalization: International Economic Integration and the Sources of Popular discontent1.” International Studies Quarterly 56, no. 3: 484–500.
  • MARKUS, Gregory B. (1992) “The Impact of Personal and National Economic Conditions on Presidential Voting, 1956- 1988.” American Journal of Political Science, 829–34.
  • ———. (1988) “The Impact of Personal and National Economic Conditions on the Presidential Vote: A Pooled Cross-Sectional Analysis.” American Journal of Political Science, 137–54.
  • MAYDA, Anna Maria, and Dani RODRIK. (2005) “Why Are Some People (and Countries) More Protectionist than Others?” European Economic Review 49, no. 6: 1393–1430.
  • MEDRANO, Juan Díez, and Michael BRAUN. (2012) “Uninformed Citizens and Support for Free Trade.” Review of International Political Economy 19, no. 3: 448–76.
  • MIDFORD, Paul. (1993) “International Trade and Domestic Politics: Improving on Rogowski’s Model of Political Alignments.” International Organization 47, no. 04: 535–64.
  • NADEAU, Richard, and Michael S. LEWIS-BECK. (2001) “National Economic Voting in US Presidential Elections.” Journal of Politics 63, no. 1: 159–81.
  • OHLIN, Bertil. (1933) “International and Interregional Trade.” Harvard Economic Studies, Cambridge, MA. O’ROURKE, Kevin H., and Richard SINNOTT. (2006) “The Determinants of Individual Attitudes towards Immigration.” European Journal of Political Economy 22, no. 4: 838–61.
  • RANKIN, David M. (2001) “Identities, Interests, and Imports.” Political Behavior 23, no. 4: 351–76.
  • SCHEVE, Kenneth F., and Matthew J. SLAUGHTER. (2006) “Public Opinion, International Economic Integration, and the Welfare State.” Globalization and Self-Determination: Is the Nation-State Under Siege?, 51. ———. (2001) “What Determines Individual Trade-Policy Preferences?” Journal of International Economics 54, no. 2: 267–92. STOLPER, Wolfgang F., and Paul A. SAMUELSON. (1941) “Protection and Real Wages.” The Review of Economic Studies 9, no. 1: 58–73.
  • SURANOVIC, Steven, and Robert WINTHROP. (2014) “Trade Liberalization and Culture.” Global Economy Journal 14, no. 1: 57–78.
  • UNCTAD (Birleşmiş Milletler Ticaret ve Kalkınma Konferansı) (2015) “Key Statistics and Trends in International Trade 2015.” Son ziyaret: February 2, 2016. http://unctad.org/en/PublicationsLibrary/ditctab2015d1_en.pdf.
  • URBATSCH, Robert. (2013) “A Referendum on Trade Theory: Voting on Free Trade in Costa Rica.” International Organization 67, no. 01: 197–214.
  • WALSTAD, William B. (1997) “The Effect of Economic Knowledge on Public Opinion of Economic Issues.” The Journal of Economic Education 28, no. 3: 195–205.
Toplam 35 adet kaynakça vardır.

Ayrıntılar

Birincil Dil Türkçe
Bölüm Research Article
Yazarlar

Osman Sabri Kıratlı

Yayımlanma Tarihi 1 Nisan 2016
Yayımlandığı Sayı Yıl 2016 Sayı: 614

Kaynak Göster

APA Kıratlı, O. S. (2016). Türkiye’de Kamuoyunun SerbestTicaret ve Küreselleşme Algısı ve BuAlgının Temel Dinamikleri. Finans Politik Ve Ekonomik Yorumlar(614), 83-94.
AMA Kıratlı OS. Türkiye’de Kamuoyunun SerbestTicaret ve Küreselleşme Algısı ve BuAlgının Temel Dinamikleri. FPEYD. Nisan 2016;(614):83-94.
Chicago Kıratlı, Osman Sabri. “Türkiye’de Kamuoyunun SerbestTicaret Ve Küreselleşme Algısı Ve BuAlgının Temel Dinamikleri”. Finans Politik Ve Ekonomik Yorumlar, sy. 614 (Nisan 2016): 83-94.
EndNote Kıratlı OS (01 Nisan 2016) Türkiye’de Kamuoyunun SerbestTicaret ve Küreselleşme Algısı ve BuAlgının Temel Dinamikleri. Finans Politik ve Ekonomik Yorumlar 614 83–94.
IEEE O. S. Kıratlı, “Türkiye’de Kamuoyunun SerbestTicaret ve Küreselleşme Algısı ve BuAlgının Temel Dinamikleri”, FPEYD, sy. 614, ss. 83–94, Nisan 2016.
ISNAD Kıratlı, Osman Sabri. “Türkiye’de Kamuoyunun SerbestTicaret Ve Küreselleşme Algısı Ve BuAlgının Temel Dinamikleri”. Finans Politik ve Ekonomik Yorumlar 614 (Nisan 2016), 83-94.
JAMA Kıratlı OS. Türkiye’de Kamuoyunun SerbestTicaret ve Küreselleşme Algısı ve BuAlgının Temel Dinamikleri. FPEYD. 2016;:83–94.
MLA Kıratlı, Osman Sabri. “Türkiye’de Kamuoyunun SerbestTicaret Ve Küreselleşme Algısı Ve BuAlgının Temel Dinamikleri”. Finans Politik Ve Ekonomik Yorumlar, sy. 614, 2016, ss. 83-94.
Vancouver Kıratlı OS. Türkiye’de Kamuoyunun SerbestTicaret ve Küreselleşme Algısı ve BuAlgının Temel Dinamikleri. FPEYD. 2016(614):83-94.