The Analysis of the Relationship Between Exports, Economic Growth, and Types of Loans in Turkey (2007-2024)
Öz
This study examines the relationship between economic growth, exports, and various credit types in Turkey between 2007-2024. It analyzes both short and long-term dynamics using Granger causality tests and ARDL methods. The results show a bidirectional causality between SME credits and growth, unidirectional causality from growth to manufacturing credits, from exports to export credits, and from export credits to inflation. ARDL models reveal that exports and the real effective exchange rate have a significant positive relationship with growth, while SME credits negatively affect growth. The study highlights the varying impacts of credit types and macroeconomic variables on exports and growth.
Anahtar Kelimeler
Credits, Export, Growth, ARDL method, Granger Causality Relationship
Kaynakça
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