How the Crude Oil Market Affects the Natural Gas Market? Demand and Supply Shocks

Cilt: 6 Sayı: 2 1 Haziran 2016
  • Narjes Zamani
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How the Crude Oil Market Affects the Natural Gas Market? Demand and Supply Shocks

Abstract

In this paper, the global structural relationship between the prices of crude oil and natural gas is investigated using the recently introduced decomposition of the real price of crude oil by Kilian (2009). A four-variable structural vector autoregressive model (SVAR) for oil and natural gas markets is developed for this investigation. We find some evidence that the crude oil market affects the natural gas market through a combination of demand shocks rather than through oil supply shocks. The uncertainty about future oil supply causes precautionary demand in the oil market, which shifts to the natural gas market and increases the natural gas price as the primary substitute for oil. Meanwhile, global demand shocks influence both crude oil and natural gas prices, which leads to similar fluctuations in the prices of oil and natural gas. Consequently, demand shocks link oil and natural gas markets and produce similar changes in their prices

Keywords

Ayrıntılar

Birincil Dil

İngilizce

Konular

-

Bölüm

-

Yazarlar

Narjes Zamani Bu kişi benim

Yayımlanma Tarihi

1 Haziran 2016

Gönderilme Tarihi

1 Haziran 2016

Kabul Tarihi

-

Yayımlandığı Sayı

Yıl 2016 Cilt: 6 Sayı: 2

Kaynak Göster

APA
Zamani, N. (2016). How the Crude Oil Market Affects the Natural Gas Market? Demand and Supply Shocks. International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, 6(2), 217-221. https://izlik.org/JA48JY59PP
AMA
1.Zamani N. How the Crude Oil Market Affects the Natural Gas Market? Demand and Supply Shocks. IJEEP. 2016;6(2):217-221. https://izlik.org/JA48JY59PP
Chicago
Zamani, Narjes. 2016. “How the Crude Oil Market Affects the Natural Gas Market? Demand and Supply Shocks”. International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy 6 (2): 217-21. https://izlik.org/JA48JY59PP.
EndNote
Zamani N (01 Haziran 2016) How the Crude Oil Market Affects the Natural Gas Market? Demand and Supply Shocks. International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy 6 2 217–221.
IEEE
[1]N. Zamani, “How the Crude Oil Market Affects the Natural Gas Market? Demand and Supply Shocks”, IJEEP, c. 6, sy 2, ss. 217–221, Haz. 2016, [çevrimiçi]. Erişim adresi: https://izlik.org/JA48JY59PP
ISNAD
Zamani, Narjes. “How the Crude Oil Market Affects the Natural Gas Market? Demand and Supply Shocks”. International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy 6/2 (01 Haziran 2016): 217-221. https://izlik.org/JA48JY59PP.
JAMA
1.Zamani N. How the Crude Oil Market Affects the Natural Gas Market? Demand and Supply Shocks. IJEEP. 2016;6:217–221.
MLA
Zamani, Narjes. “How the Crude Oil Market Affects the Natural Gas Market? Demand and Supply Shocks”. International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, c. 6, sy 2, Haziran 2016, ss. 217-21, https://izlik.org/JA48JY59PP.
Vancouver
1.Narjes Zamani. How the Crude Oil Market Affects the Natural Gas Market? Demand and Supply Shocks. IJEEP [Internet]. 01 Haziran 2016;6(2):217-21. Erişim adresi: https://izlik.org/JA48JY59PP