Volatility Transmissions between Oil Prices and Emerging Market Sectors: Implications for Portfolio Management and Hedging Strategies

Yıl 2014, Cilt: 4 Sayı: 3, 442 - 447, 01.09.2014

Sercan Demiralay Hatice Gaye Gencer

Öz

This paper investigates the mechanisms of return and volatility transmissions between oil prices and five emerging market sector returns. For the empirical method, we utilize a recent and novel technique: Vector Autoregressive-Asymmetric GARCH (VAR-AGARCH) model. We find some significant cross shock and volatility linkages between oil prices and the sectors. However, our results manifest that the sector indices are not affected equally or simultaneously by movements in oil prices. Additionally, we compute the optimal holding weights and hedge ratios for the two-asset portfolio consisting of oil and each sector index. Our empirical findings have potential implications for investors and portfolio managers.

Anahtar Kelimeler

Emerging sector indices, oil prices, volatility transmission, optimal weights, hedge ratios