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Improving Cellular Traffic Prediction with Temporal Embeddings: A Time2Vec-LSTM Approach

Cilt: 10 Sayı: 2 8 Eylül 2025
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Improving Cellular Traffic Prediction with Temporal Embeddings: A Time2Vec-LSTM Approach

Öz

The network traffic prediction has to be reliable for better resource allocation and congestion management in present-day telecommunications. In this paper, a novel hybrid Time2Vec-enhanced LSTM method is presented for somewhat more accurate traffic volume forecasting. The model exploits both historical traffic behavior and temporal features enriched by Time2Vec, such as hour and day, to represent the linear or periodic dependencies embedded in cellular traffic. Unlike traditional static time encodings or raw time features, the learnable Time2Vec embeddings enable the model to better capture daily and hourly fluctuations in network traffic. The study carried out experiments with a real-world dataset that had been collected from an LTE base station located in Kandahar Province of Afghanistan, with hourly uplink, downlink, and total traffic volumes recorded for 30 days. Performance was measured in terms of the Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) and coefficient of determination (R2). The results show that the proposed Time2Vec-enhanced LSTM consistently outperforms Deep Learning (DL), statistical, and Machine Learning (ML) models across all traffic types. The learnable temporal embeddings are useful as they allow greater accuracy and better capture of trends. Ablation studies have supported that forecasting is far better with adaptive Time2Vec encoding than with models without or with a fixed-time feature, suggesting that learnable temporal features are essential for precise and robust cellular traffic prediction.

Anahtar Kelimeler

Kaynakça

  1. [1] J. Xiao, Y. Cong, W. Zhang, and W. Weng, “A cellular traffic prediction method based on diffusion convolutional GRU and multi-head attention mechanism,” Cluster Computing, vol. 28, no. 2, p. 125, 2025.
  2. [2] H. Riaz, S. Öztürk, and A. Çalhan, “A Robust Handover Optimization Based on Velocity-Aware Fuzzy Logic in 5G Ultra-Dense Small Cell HetNets,” Electronics, vol. 13, no. 17, Art. no. 17, Jan. 2024, doi: 10.3390/electronics13173349.
  3. [3] H. Riaz, S. Öztürk, S. Aldirmaz-Colak, and A. Çalhan, “A Handover Decision Optimization Method Based on Data-Driven MLP in 5G Ultra-Dense Small Cell HetNets,” J Netw Syst Manage, vol. 33, no. 2, p. 31, Feb. 2025, doi: 10.1007/s10922-025-09903-6.
  4. [4] O. Aouedi, V. A. Le, K. Piamrat, and Y. Ji, “Deep Learning on Network Traffic Prediction: Recent Advances, Analysis, and Future Directions,” ACM Comput. Surv., vol. 57, no. 6, p. 151:1-151:37, Feb. 2025, doi: 10.1145/3703447.
  5. [5] X. Wang et al., “A Survey on Deep Learning for Cellular Traffic Prediction,” Intelligent Computing, vol. 3, p. 0054, Jan. 2024, doi: 10.34133/icomputing.0054.
  6. [6] H. Riaz, P. Güneş, H. Benli, and F. H. Ahmadzai, “A Comparative Analysis of Machine Learning Models for Cellular Load Prediction: Insights from Real-World Data,” Journal of Emerging Trends in Engineering Research, vol. 13, no. 4, pp. 73–81, 2025.
  7. [7] A. Azari, P. Papapetrou, S. Denic, and G. Peters, “Cellular traffic prediction and classification: A comparative evaluation of LSTM and ARIMA,” presented at the Discovery Science: 22nd International Conference, DS 2019, Split, Croatia, October 28–30, 2019, Proceedings 22, Springer, 2019, pp. 129–144.
  8. [8] S. Medhn, B. Seifu, A. Salem, and D. Hailemariam, “Mobile data traffic forecasting in UMTS networks based on SARIMA model: The case of Addis Ababa, Ethiopia,” presented at the 2017 IEEE AFRICON, IEEE, 2017, pp. 285–290.

Ayrıntılar

Birincil Dil

İngilizce

Konular

Nöral Ağlar, Kablosuz Haberleşme Sistemleri ve Teknolojileri (Mikro Dalga ve Milimetrik Dalga dahil)

Bölüm

Araştırma Makalesi

Erken Görünüm Tarihi

20 Ağustos 2025

Yayımlanma Tarihi

8 Eylül 2025

Gönderilme Tarihi

8 Mayıs 2025

Kabul Tarihi

8 Ağustos 2025

Yayımlandığı Sayı

Yıl 2025 Cilt: 10 Sayı: 2

Kaynak Göster

APA
Riaz, H., Öztürk, S., & Güneş, P. (2025). Improving Cellular Traffic Prediction with Temporal Embeddings: A Time2Vec-LSTM Approach. International Journal of Engineering Technologies IJET, 10(2), 48-56. https://doi.org/10.19072/ijet.1695391
AMA
1.Riaz H, Öztürk S, Güneş P. Improving Cellular Traffic Prediction with Temporal Embeddings: A Time2Vec-LSTM Approach. IJET. 2025;10(2):48-56. doi:10.19072/ijet.1695391
Chicago
Riaz, Hamidullah, Sıtkı Öztürk, ve Peri Güneş. 2025. “Improving Cellular Traffic Prediction with Temporal Embeddings: A Time2Vec-LSTM Approach”. International Journal of Engineering Technologies IJET 10 (2): 48-56. https://doi.org/10.19072/ijet.1695391.
EndNote
Riaz H, Öztürk S, Güneş P (01 Eylül 2025) Improving Cellular Traffic Prediction with Temporal Embeddings: A Time2Vec-LSTM Approach. International Journal of Engineering Technologies IJET 10 2 48–56.
IEEE
[1]H. Riaz, S. Öztürk, ve P. Güneş, “Improving Cellular Traffic Prediction with Temporal Embeddings: A Time2Vec-LSTM Approach”, IJET, c. 10, sy 2, ss. 48–56, Eyl. 2025, doi: 10.19072/ijet.1695391.
ISNAD
Riaz, Hamidullah - Öztürk, Sıtkı - Güneş, Peri. “Improving Cellular Traffic Prediction with Temporal Embeddings: A Time2Vec-LSTM Approach”. International Journal of Engineering Technologies IJET 10/2 (01 Eylül 2025): 48-56. https://doi.org/10.19072/ijet.1695391.
JAMA
1.Riaz H, Öztürk S, Güneş P. Improving Cellular Traffic Prediction with Temporal Embeddings: A Time2Vec-LSTM Approach. IJET. 2025;10:48–56.
MLA
Riaz, Hamidullah, vd. “Improving Cellular Traffic Prediction with Temporal Embeddings: A Time2Vec-LSTM Approach”. International Journal of Engineering Technologies IJET, c. 10, sy 2, Eylül 2025, ss. 48-56, doi:10.19072/ijet.1695391.
Vancouver
1.Hamidullah Riaz, Sıtkı Öztürk, Peri Güneş. Improving Cellular Traffic Prediction with Temporal Embeddings: A Time2Vec-LSTM Approach. IJET. 01 Eylül 2025;10(2):48-56. doi:10.19072/ijet.1695391

Cited By

ijet@gelisim.edu.tr

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