Electoral realignments in the June 7th – November 1st elections: The Tokat city example

Öz

In the elections held on the dates November 1st, 2015 and June 7th, 2015 a very big electoral realignment was observed in record time. During this short interval of five months, the society was faced with intense political propaganda and social problems. In this study, a research was conducted for determining how much influence political propaganda and social events in association with political propaganda have on vote transition between parties. Within the scope of the study; Collected data was analyzed using descriptive and inferential methods. In addition, as a result of dunn tests made with Friedman chi-square and Post hoc comparisons, the correlation between the questions regarding transition from one party to another was examined and very obvious agglomerations were detected in some realignments.

Anahtar Kelimeler

• Electoral Realignment,Propaganda,Political Communication

Kaynakça

1. Aksoy A. (1994). Türk Medyasını Anlamak.Birikim Dergisi, sayı:61.
2. Aziz, A. (2003). Siyasal iletişim. Ankara:Nobel Yayın Dağıtım.
3. Bali, R. N. (2002). Tarz-ı Hayat'tan Life Style'a (Vol. 81). İstanbul:İletişim Yayınları.
4. Çakır, H. ve Biçer, A. (2015). Türkiye yerel seçimlerinde seçmen tercihlerini etkileyen kriterler: 30 Mart 2014 yerel seçimleri Kayseri örneği, Erciyes iletişim dergisi “akademia”, 1, 98-112.
5. Çobanoğlu, Ş. (2007). Suskunluk sarmalı ve siyasal iletişim. Fide Yayınları.
6. Dahl R.,A., (1963) Modern Political Analysis. New Jersey: Prentice-Hall.
7. Devran, Y. (2003). Siyasal Kampanya Yönetimi: Mesaj. Strateji ve Taktikler, İstanbul: AND Yayınları.
8. Doğan A. and Göker G. (2013). Political Communication Studies, Ankara: Nobel Publications.

9. Frank, M. W. (1996). Aggregate electoral change in United States presidential elections, 1828--1992: A reevaluation of realignment theory. University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign.
10. Gökçe O., Akgün B. and Karaçor S., (2002) The Anatomy of the November 3rd Elections: Continuity and Change in Turkish Politics. Social and Economic Studies Magazine, year:2, number:4.
11. Gschwend, T. ve Zittel, T. (2015). Do constituency candidates matter in German Federal Elections? The personal vote as an interactive process, Electoral studies, 39, 338-349.
12. Hammond, J. L. (1976). Minor parties and electoral realignments. American Politics Quarterly, 4(1), 63-85.
13. Iyengar S., (1992). The Accessibility Bias in Politics: Television News and Public Opinion. New York: Paragon House.
14. İrvan, S. (2002). Medya, kültür, siyaset. İkinci basım. Ankara: Alp Yayınevi.
15. Kavanagh, D., (1995), Election Campaigning The New Marketing of Politics, Blackwell Publishers, Cambridge.
16. Köker, E., & Kejanlıoğlu, B. (2004). 2002 Seçim Kampanyalarında Ulusal Basın. İletişim: Araştırmaları, 2(1), 39-70.
17. Laciner, O. (1996). “Secim Sonuçları Uzerine”, Birikim, Sayı: 81, Ocak, s.3-10.
18. Lawrence, D. G. (1997). The collapse of the democratic presidential majority: Realignment, dealignment, and electoral change from Franklin Roosevelt to Bill Clinton. Westview Press.
19. Mayhew, D. R. (2004). Electoral realignments: A critique of an American genre. Yale University Press.
20. Paulson, A. C. (2007). Electoral Realignment and the Outlook for American Democracy. Upne.
21. Rawson, M. (1997). Forecasting Realignment: An Analysis of the 1993 Canadian Federal Election (Doctoral dissertation, The University of Western Ontario).
22. Reed, S. R., & McElwain, K. M. (Eds.). (2009). Political change in Japan: electoral behavior, party realignment, and the Koizumi reforms. Walter H. Shorenstein Asia-Pacific Research Center.
23. Seyfettin, E. (2004). Politics Economy Relations from the Perspective of the Theory of Political Conjuncture Movements. İstanbul: Değişim Publishing.
24. Sitembölükbaşı, Ş. (2005). 2002 Genel Seçimlerinde 1995 ve 1999 Yıllarına Göre Seçmenlerin Gözünde Öncelikli Sorunlar ve Parti Tabanlarındaki Oy Kaymaları: Isparta Örnek Olayı. Süleyman Demirel Üniversitesi İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Fakültesi Dergisi, 10(1).
25. Speel, R. W. (2010). Changing Patterns of Voting in the Northern United States: Electoral Realignment, 1952-1996. Penn State Press.
26. Shelley, F. M., Zerr, K. J., & Proffer, A. M. (2007). The civil rights movement and recent electoral realignment in the south. southeastern geographer, 47(1), 13-26.
27. Taşkin, B. (2015) Voter Turnout in Turkey's Parliamentary and Local Elections (1950–2014): Does Participation Increase when Competition Decreases?, Turkish Studies, 16:4, 465-486, DOI: 10.1080/14683849.2015.1101350
28. Tunçer, M., Arıman, Y. (2016). Impact of Family and Surroundings, Over-All Economic Outlook, and Tax on Political Preferences of Voters: The Case of Trabzon. International Journal of Social Sciences and Education Research, 2 (1), 268-283.
29. Vaishnouve, M. ve Swanson, R. (2015). Does good economics make for good politics? Evidence from Indian States, India rewiew,3, 279-311.
30. Zelden, C. L. (2012). Nixon, the Supreme Court, and the Politics of Electoral Realignment. Reviews in American History, 40(4), 705-710.
31. Wood, T. (2015, Nisan). The 2014 parliamentary elections in Solomon Islands, Electoral studies, 39, 153-177.