KALKINMA GÖSTERGESİ OLARAK ORTALAMA YAŞAM BEKLENTİSİNE GÖRE TÜRKİYE’ NİN AB İÇİNDEKİ KONUMU: KRİTİKLER VE ÇOK DEĞİŞKENLİ İSTATİSTİK UYGULAMALARI

Yıl 2008, Sayı: 7, 51 - 87, 05.09.2011

Murat Çiftçi

Öz

Yaşam beklentisi, kalkınma göstergelerinden birisidir. Birleşmiş Milletler tarafından yayınlanan beşeri
kalkınma raporlarında da kalkınma göstergesi olarak kullanılmaktadır. Ancak bu kullanım, yeterli değildir.
Çünkü doğuşta yaşama beklentisi, gelecekteki durumu gösterebilir. Bu sebeple bu makalede, bütün istatistiksel
uygulamalar, beş farklı yaş grubu için hesaplanan yaşam beklentilerine dayandırılmıştır. Yapılan faktör,
kümeleme ve diskriminant analizleri neticesinde, Türkiye AB içinde ortalama yaşam beklentisi açısından en
geri üçüncü ülke olduğu sonucuna varılmıştır.

Anahtar Kelimeler

Demografi, sosyal politika, kalkınma iktisadı, beşeri kalkınma, çok değişkenli istatistik

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