THE ANALYSIS OF WIND DATA WITH RAYLEIGH DISTRIBUTION AND OPTIMUM TURBINE AND COST ANALYSIS IN ELMADAĞ,TURKEY

Öz

In this study, wind energy potential of Elmadağ region is analyzed statistically by using the data of wind speed that is measured hourly between 2012-2013 years, then economic analysis of wind investment in the region has been studied. Wind turbine parameters and wind speed distribution in the region play an important role to get energy. Therefore, firstly, Rayleigh statistical method is used for the research of region’s wind energy potential. Wind speed data of region, scale parameters value, energy density quantity, the most common wind speed, speed values that have maximum contribution to energy generation are calculated monthly and annually with this method. In the second part of the study, amount of energy generation and capacity factors are calculated annually by using three different turbines. Finally, cost analysis of investment is made by various calculation methods and economic profitability is calculated. According to results, the most convenient and profitable turbine is determined by comparison.

Anahtar Kelimeler

• Wind energy potential, energy generation, cost analysis

Kaynakça

1. 1 blank line (10-point font with single spacin
2. '' Global Statistics'', Global Wind Energy Council, 2013.
3. Energy and Natural Resources Directorate, Wind, Available: http://www.enerji.gov.tr/index.php?dil=tr&sf=webpages &b=ruzgar&bn=231&hn=&nm=384&id=40696 (Access date: 19.07.2014)
4. Anonym, ''Turkey Wind Statistics Report’’, Turkey Wind Energy Association, 36 page, January, 2014.
5. M. Çalışkan, ''Turkey Wind Energy Potential’’, General Directorate of Renewable Energy, 25 page, 2010.
6. The General Directorate of Meterology, 2013.
7. Anonym, ''Wind Energy Investment Project Feasibility’’, mdn Financial Consulting, 8 page, 2011.
8. T. Arslan, Y. M. Bulut, A.A. Yavuz, ''Comparitive Study of Numerical Methods for Determining Weibull parameters for Wind Energy Potential’’, Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Vol. 40, pp.820-825, August, 2014.

9. Masters, M., G., ''Renewable and Efficient Electric Power Systems'', John Wiley&Sons, USA, 2004.
10. M. Kurban, Hocaoğlu. F.O., Y.M. Kantar, ''Rüzgar enerjisi Potansiyelinin Tahmininde Kullanılan İki Farklı İstatiksel Dağılımın Karşılaştırmalı Analizi’’, Pamukkale Üniversitesi Mühendislik Bilimleri Dergisi, Vol. 13, pp. 103-109, 2007.
11. M. Dahbi, A. Benatiallah, M. Sellam, ''The Analysis of Wind Power Potential in Sahara Site of Algerida-an Estimation Using the Weibull Density Function’’, Vol. 36, pp. 179-188, 2013.
12. Ali. N. Çelik, ''Review of Turkey’s current energy status:A case study for wind energy potential of Çanakkale province’’, Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Vol. 15, pp. 2743-2749, August, 2011.
13. Y. Yalçın, ''Determination of The Energy Production Potential, The Cost Analysis and The Payback Period For a Wind Power Plant Planned To Be Constructed In The Terkos Region, Master's Thesis, Istanbul Technical University, 2010.
14. B. Başaran,''Wind Energy Plant, Study For Esentepe Campus'', , Master's Thesis,Sakarya University, 2010.
15. Anonym, Enercon Wind Energy Converters, ''Product Overview''.
16. 1 bk line (10-point font with spacing