Orta ve Doğu Avrupa Ülkelerinde Cari İşlemler Dengesi Sürdürülebilirliğin Ampirik Analizi

Yıl 2020, Cilt: 4 Sayı: 2, 103 - 118, 31.12.2020

Elmas Demircioğlu Karabıyık Hakan Çetinoğlu

Öz

Çalışmada, Orta ve Doğu Avrupa Ülkelerinde cari işlemler dengesinin sürdürülebilirliğinin analizi için, teorik literatürde vurgulandığı üzerinde
Cari İşlemler Dengesi /GSYİH (%) değişkenin durağanlığı Pesaran (2007) tarafından geliştirilen birim kök testi kullanılarak analiz edilmiştir.
Çalışmadaki ekonometrik sonuçlara göre, hem ülke bazında hem panel bazında Orta ve Doğu Avrupa Ülkeleri grubu için, cari işlemler
dengesinin sürdürülebilirliği sorunu tespit edilmiştir. Sonuç olarak, ülkeler cari işlemler dengesinin sürdürülebilirliğini yakında izleyerek doğru
politika ve stratejileri gerektiğinde uygulamaları, cari işlemler dengesinin sürdürülebilirliğinin sağlanması açısından büyük önem arz
etmektedir

Anahtar Kelimeler

Cari İşlemler Dengesi, Sürdürülebilirlik, Orta Ve Doğu Avrupa Ülkeleri

Teşekkür

Değerli bilgilerin yer aldığı derginizin bu sayısında makalemi değerlendirilmek üzere saygılarımla bilgilerinize sunarım.

AN EMPIRICAL ANALYSIS OF CURRENT ACCOUNT SUSTAINABILITY IN CENTRAL AND EASTERN EUROPEAN COUNTRIES

Öz

ity of the Current Account Balance / GDP (%) variable emphasized in the theoretical literature was analyzed using the unit root test
developed by Pesaran (2007). According to the econometric results of the study, the problem of sustainability of the current account balance
has been identified for the Central and Eastern European countries group both on country basis and panel basis. As a result, countries should
closely monitor the sustainability of the current account balance and implement the right policies and strategies when necessary, which is of
great importance in terms of ensuring the sustainability of the current account balance.

Anahtar Kelimeler

Current Account Balance, Sustainability, Central and Eastern European Countries

Kaynakça

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