THE RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN SYSTEMATIC RISK AND FINANCIAL RATIOS: A SECTORAL ASSESSMENT WITHIN THE SCOPE OF BORSA ISTANBUL
Yıl 2026,
Cilt: 8 Sayı: 1
,
92
-
106
,
28.03.2026
Gültekin Topaloğlu
,
Tezcan Abasız
Öz
This study investigates the connection between systematic risk and firm-level financial metrics for companies listed in the Borsa Istanbul Industrial Index. Employing time-series analytical techniques, it assesses the association between a sector's systematic risk, proxied by the beta coefficient, and its core profitability indicators: return on assets (ROA), return on equity (ROE), net profit margin (NM), and operating profit margin (OPR). The model utilizes a quarterly dataset spanning the decade from 2015 to 2024. The results indicate that ROA exerts a mitigating influence on the beta coefficient, whereas ROE demonstrates a positive and statistically robust link with systematic risk. Conversely, neither net profit margin nor operating profit margin were found to have a discernible long-term relationship with the market risk measure. Additionally, a long-term cointegration relationship among the variables is identified, indicating that systematic risk and profitability ratios move together over time. The study provides sector-level empirical evidence for evaluating financial risk in Turkish industrial sector
Etik Beyan
I declare that this study is an original work and that I have complied with scientific ethical principles and rules at all stages of the research, including the preparation, data collection, analysis, and presentation of information
Kaynakça
-
Altunöz, U. (2022) “Do The Velocity of Money and the Money Demand Stable? Empiric Analysis with the Determinants of the Money Demand”, Hacettepe Üniversitesi İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Fakültesi Dergisi, 40(2), 249-271.
-
Akıncı, M., and Yılmaz, Ö. (2012) “Per Capita Income Convergence Among European Union Countries: Haldane–Hall Approach”, Marmara Üniversitesi Avrupa Araştırmaları Enstitüsü Avrupa Araştırmaları Dergisi, 20(2), 39-61.
-
Altman, E. I. (1968) “Financial Ratios, Discriminant Analysis and the Prediction of Corporate Bankruptcy”, The Journal of Finance, 23(4), 589-609.
-
Aydemir, A. F., and Demir, O. “Busan Limanındaki Konteyner Trafik Hacminin Ardışık Bai-Perron Yöntemi ile Analizi”, The Analysis of Container Traffic Volume at Busan Port Using the Sequential Bai-Perron Method.
-
Aygören, H., and Sarıtaş, H. (2007) “Is a Correction Necessary for Beta Estimation?”, Akdeniz İİBF Dergisi, 7(14), 110-121.
-
Breen, W. J., and Lerner, E. M. (1973) “Corporate Financial Strategies and Market Measures of Risk and Return”, The Journal of Finance, 28(2), 339-351.
-
Ceylan, R. and Başer, S. (2014) “The Analysis of the Long-Run Relationship Between Oil Consumption and Real GDP in Turkey Through Johansen Co-Integration Method”, Business and Economics Research Journal, 5(2), 47-60.
-
Chen, N. F., Roll, R., and Ross, S. A. (1986) “Economic Forces and the Stock Market”, The Journal of Business, 59(3), 383-403
-
Chee-Wooi, H. and Chyn-Hwa, L. (2010) “The Determinants of Systematic Risk Exposures of Airline Industry in East Asia”, World Applied Sciences Journal, 10: 91-98.
-
Damodaran, A. (2012) “Investment valuation: Tools and Techniques for Determining the Value of Any Asset”, John Wiley & Sons.
-
Demir, E., and Bahar, O. (2022) “The Relationship between Tourism Revenues and External Borrowing: An Empirical Analysis on Turkey”, International Journal of Social Sciences and Education Research, 8(1), 87-98.
-
Faeza, A. and Eslamb, B. (2013) “The Effect of Financial Ratios on Systematic Risk Index”, Management Science Letters, 3, 2775–2780.
-
Fama, E. F., and French, K. R. (1993) “Common Risk Factors in the Returns on Stocks and Bonds”, Journal of Financial Economics, 33(1), 3-56.
-
Fama, E. F., and French, K. R. (2015) “A Five-Factor Asset Pricing Model”, Journal of Financial Economics, 116(1), 1-22.
Hammoudeh, S. and Al-Gudhea, S. (2006) “Pricing Risk, Oil and Financial Factors in Saudi Sector Index Returns”, Middle Eastern and North African Economies, Vol.8
-
Kamran, M., and Malik, Q. A. (2018) “Do Financial Variables Affect the Systematic Risk in Sugar Industry?”, Pakistan Administrative Review, 2(2), 234-242.
-
Karadeniz, E., Kandır, S. Y., and İskenderoğlu, Ö. (2015) “Determinants of Systematic Risk: Evidence from Borsa İstanbul Tourism Companies”, Çukurova Üniversitesi Sosyal Bilimler Enstitüsü Dergisi, 24(1), 189-202.
-
Kaygın, C. Y., and Güngör, B. (2019) “The Relationship between Financial Ratios and Risk (Beta): The Case of BIST”, İşletme Araştırmaları Dergisi, 11(3), 1883-1896.
-
Lee, J. S., and Jang, S. S. (2007) “The Systematic-Risk Determinants of the US Airline Industry”, Tourism Management, 28(2), 434-442.
-
Lintner, J. (1965) “The Valuation of Risk Assets and the Selection of Risky Investments in Stock Portfolios and Capital Budgets”, The Review of Economics and Statistics, 47(1), 13-37.
-
Rosenberg, B., and McKibben, W. (1973) “The Prediction of Systematic and Specific Risk in Common Stocks”, Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, 8(2), 317-333.
-
Rowe, T. and Kim, J. S. (2010) “Analyzing the Relationship between Systematic Risk and Financial Variables in the Casino Industry”, UNLV Gaming. Research & Review Journal, 14(2), 47-58.
-
Sharpe, W. F. (1964) “Capital Asset Prices: A Theory of Market Equilibrium under Conditions of Risk”, The Journal of Finance, 19(3), 425-442.
-
Tanrıöven, C., and Aksoy, E. E. (2011) “The Determinants of Systematic Risk: Sectorial Comparison in ISE”, Muhasebe ve Finansman Dergisi (51), 119-138.
-
Uyar, U. and Çağlak, E. (2019) “Systematic Risk – Financial Ratios Relationship Based on Cement Industry: The Comparison of Main Cement Manufacturer Countries”, Muhasebe ve Finansman Dergisi, 81, 231- 248.
SİSTEMATİK RİSK İLE FİNANSAL ORANLAR ARASINDAKİ İLİŞKİ: BORSA İSTANBUL KAPSAMINDA SEKTÖREL BİR DEĞERLENDİRME
Yıl 2026,
Cilt: 8 Sayı: 1
,
92
-
106
,
28.03.2026
Gültekin Topaloğlu
,
Tezcan Abasız
Öz
Bu çalışma, Borsa İstanbul Sanayi Endeksi’nde yer alan firmalar için sistematik risk ile finansal oranlar arasındaki ilişkiyi analiz etmektedir. Sistematik riskin bir göstergesi olan beta katsayısı ile aktif karlılığı (ROA), özsermaye karlılığı (ROE), net kar marjı (NM) ve faaliyet kar marjı (OPR) arasındaki ilişki eşbütünleşme analizi kullanılarak 2015–2024 dönemine ait çeyreklik frekanstaki veri seti kullanılarak test edilmiştir. Bulgular, ROA’nın beta katsayısı üzerinde negatif bir etkiye sahip olduğunu, ROE’nin ise sistematik risk üzerinde pozitif ve istatistiksel olarak anlamlı bir etki yarattığını göstermektedir. Buna karşılık, net kâr marjı ve faaliyet kâr marjının uzun dönemde anlamlı bir etkisi bulunmamaktadır. Ayrıca değişkenler arasında uzun dönemli bir eşbütünleşme ilişkisinin varlığı ayrıca tespit edilmiştir. Elde edilen sonuçlar, Türk sanayi sektörünün finansal riskinin değerlendirilmesine yönelik sektör düzeyinde önemli ampirik kanıtlar sunmaktadır
Etik Beyan
Çalışmanın, özgün bir çalışma olduğunu; çalışmanın hazırlık, veri toplama, analiz ve bilgilerin sunumu olmak üzere tüm aşamalarından bilimsel etik ilke ve kurallarına uygun davrandığımı beyan ederim
Kaynakça
-
Altunöz, U. (2022) “Do The Velocity of Money and the Money Demand Stable? Empiric Analysis with the Determinants of the Money Demand”, Hacettepe Üniversitesi İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Fakültesi Dergisi, 40(2), 249-271.
-
Akıncı, M., and Yılmaz, Ö. (2012) “Per Capita Income Convergence Among European Union Countries: Haldane–Hall Approach”, Marmara Üniversitesi Avrupa Araştırmaları Enstitüsü Avrupa Araştırmaları Dergisi, 20(2), 39-61.
-
Altman, E. I. (1968) “Financial Ratios, Discriminant Analysis and the Prediction of Corporate Bankruptcy”, The Journal of Finance, 23(4), 589-609.
-
Aydemir, A. F., and Demir, O. “Busan Limanındaki Konteyner Trafik Hacminin Ardışık Bai-Perron Yöntemi ile Analizi”, The Analysis of Container Traffic Volume at Busan Port Using the Sequential Bai-Perron Method.
-
Aygören, H., and Sarıtaş, H. (2007) “Is a Correction Necessary for Beta Estimation?”, Akdeniz İİBF Dergisi, 7(14), 110-121.
-
Breen, W. J., and Lerner, E. M. (1973) “Corporate Financial Strategies and Market Measures of Risk and Return”, The Journal of Finance, 28(2), 339-351.
-
Ceylan, R. and Başer, S. (2014) “The Analysis of the Long-Run Relationship Between Oil Consumption and Real GDP in Turkey Through Johansen Co-Integration Method”, Business and Economics Research Journal, 5(2), 47-60.
-
Chen, N. F., Roll, R., and Ross, S. A. (1986) “Economic Forces and the Stock Market”, The Journal of Business, 59(3), 383-403
-
Chee-Wooi, H. and Chyn-Hwa, L. (2010) “The Determinants of Systematic Risk Exposures of Airline Industry in East Asia”, World Applied Sciences Journal, 10: 91-98.
-
Damodaran, A. (2012) “Investment valuation: Tools and Techniques for Determining the Value of Any Asset”, John Wiley & Sons.
-
Demir, E., and Bahar, O. (2022) “The Relationship between Tourism Revenues and External Borrowing: An Empirical Analysis on Turkey”, International Journal of Social Sciences and Education Research, 8(1), 87-98.
-
Faeza, A. and Eslamb, B. (2013) “The Effect of Financial Ratios on Systematic Risk Index”, Management Science Letters, 3, 2775–2780.
-
Fama, E. F., and French, K. R. (1993) “Common Risk Factors in the Returns on Stocks and Bonds”, Journal of Financial Economics, 33(1), 3-56.
-
Fama, E. F., and French, K. R. (2015) “A Five-Factor Asset Pricing Model”, Journal of Financial Economics, 116(1), 1-22.
Hammoudeh, S. and Al-Gudhea, S. (2006) “Pricing Risk, Oil and Financial Factors in Saudi Sector Index Returns”, Middle Eastern and North African Economies, Vol.8
-
Kamran, M., and Malik, Q. A. (2018) “Do Financial Variables Affect the Systematic Risk in Sugar Industry?”, Pakistan Administrative Review, 2(2), 234-242.
-
Karadeniz, E., Kandır, S. Y., and İskenderoğlu, Ö. (2015) “Determinants of Systematic Risk: Evidence from Borsa İstanbul Tourism Companies”, Çukurova Üniversitesi Sosyal Bilimler Enstitüsü Dergisi, 24(1), 189-202.
-
Kaygın, C. Y., and Güngör, B. (2019) “The Relationship between Financial Ratios and Risk (Beta): The Case of BIST”, İşletme Araştırmaları Dergisi, 11(3), 1883-1896.
-
Lee, J. S., and Jang, S. S. (2007) “The Systematic-Risk Determinants of the US Airline Industry”, Tourism Management, 28(2), 434-442.
-
Lintner, J. (1965) “The Valuation of Risk Assets and the Selection of Risky Investments in Stock Portfolios and Capital Budgets”, The Review of Economics and Statistics, 47(1), 13-37.
-
Rosenberg, B., and McKibben, W. (1973) “The Prediction of Systematic and Specific Risk in Common Stocks”, Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, 8(2), 317-333.
-
Rowe, T. and Kim, J. S. (2010) “Analyzing the Relationship between Systematic Risk and Financial Variables in the Casino Industry”, UNLV Gaming. Research & Review Journal, 14(2), 47-58.
-
Sharpe, W. F. (1964) “Capital Asset Prices: A Theory of Market Equilibrium under Conditions of Risk”, The Journal of Finance, 19(3), 425-442.
-
Tanrıöven, C., and Aksoy, E. E. (2011) “The Determinants of Systematic Risk: Sectorial Comparison in ISE”, Muhasebe ve Finansman Dergisi (51), 119-138.
-
Uyar, U. and Çağlak, E. (2019) “Systematic Risk – Financial Ratios Relationship Based on Cement Industry: The Comparison of Main Cement Manufacturer Countries”, Muhasebe ve Finansman Dergisi, 81, 231- 248.