THE NEXUS BETWEEN CENTRAL BANK INDEPENDANCY AND INFLATION: A TIME SERIES ANALYSIS OF THE TURKISH ECONOMY

Cilt: 1 Sayı: 2 9 Temmuz 2014
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THE NEXUS BETWEEN CENTRAL BANK INDEPENDANCY AND INFLATION: A TIME SERIES ANALYSIS OF THE TURKISH ECONOMY

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The aim of this study is to discuss and analyse the relationship between central bank independency and inflation in the case of Turkey.  In order to achieve this goal, Johansen’s approach to cointegration analysis is employed and the vector error correction model of the same approach is applied by using the annual data of Turkey covering the period of 1970-2012.

The estimation results show that there exist a strong negative relationship between central bank independency and inflation both in short run and long run. That is, increasing level of central bank independency decreases the inflation rate in Turkey. Therefore, our study supports the dominant view in the literature that independent central banks more successful in combating inflation.

Anahtar Kelimeler

Central Bank Independency, Inflation, Johansen’s Cointegration Analysis, Vector Error Correction Model.

Kaynakça

  1. Ayhan, B. ve Üstüner, Y. (2010). Merkez bankalarının bağımsızlığı ekseninde Türkiye Cumhuriyet Merkez Bankası. Amme İdaresi Dergisi, 43(1), 57-80.
  2. Alesina, A. (1988). Macroeconomics and politics. İçinde S. Fischer (ed.), NBER Macroeconomics Annual Vol.3 (13-62), MIT Press
  3. Alesina, A. ve Summers, L. H. (1993). Central bank independence and macroeconomic performance: Some comperative evidence. Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, 25(2), 151-162.
  4. Bade, R. ve Parkin, M. (1988). Central bank laws and monetary policy. Yayınlanmamış çalışma, Department of Economics, University of Western Ontario, Canada, Kaynak: http://economics.uwo.ca/people/parkin_docs/CentralBankLaws.pdf, Erişim:Ocak, 2014
  5. Barro, R. J. ve Gordon, D. B. (1983). Rules, discretion and reputation in a model of monetary policy. Journal of Monetary Economics, 12, 101-121 Baydur, C. M. ve
  6. Süslü, B. (2007). Avrupa Merkez Bankası ve TCMB’nin
  7. bağımsızlıklarının karşılaştırılması ve ekonomiye etkileri. Yönetim ve Ekonomi, 14(1), 43-66.
  8. Bozkurt, H. (2007). Zaman Serileri Analizi. Bursa: Ekin Kitabevi.
  9. Campillo, M. ve Miron, J. A. (1997). Why does inflation differ across countries?. İçinde C.D. Romer ve D. H. Romer (ed.), Reducing Inflation: Motivation and Strategy (ss. 335-362). University of Chicago Press.
  10. Cukierman, A. (1993). Centrla bank independence, political influence and macroeconomic performance: A survey of recent developments. Cuadernos de Economia, 30(91), 271- 291.

Kaynak Göster

APA
Beşkaya, A., & Güdenoğlu, E. (2014). THE NEXUS BETWEEN CENTRAL BANK INDEPENDANCY AND INFLATION: A TIME SERIES ANALYSIS OF THE TURKISH ECONOMY. Bankacılık ve Finansal Araştırmalar Dergisi, 1(2), 43-66. https://izlik.org/JA94XB79XH
AMA
1.Beşkaya A, Güdenoğlu E. THE NEXUS BETWEEN CENTRAL BANK INDEPENDANCY AND INFLATION: A TIME SERIES ANALYSIS OF THE TURKISH ECONOMY. BAFAD. 2014;1(2):43-66. https://izlik.org/JA94XB79XH
Chicago
Beşkaya, Ahmet, ve Erdem Güdenoğlu. 2014. “THE NEXUS BETWEEN CENTRAL BANK INDEPENDANCY AND INFLATION: A TIME SERIES ANALYSIS OF THE TURKISH ECONOMY”. Bankacılık ve Finansal Araştırmalar Dergisi 1 (2): 43-66. https://izlik.org/JA94XB79XH.
EndNote
Beşkaya A, Güdenoğlu E (01 Temmuz 2014) THE NEXUS BETWEEN CENTRAL BANK INDEPENDANCY AND INFLATION: A TIME SERIES ANALYSIS OF THE TURKISH ECONOMY. Bankacılık ve Finansal Araştırmalar Dergisi 1 2 43–66.
IEEE
[1]A. Beşkaya ve E. Güdenoğlu, “THE NEXUS BETWEEN CENTRAL BANK INDEPENDANCY AND INFLATION: A TIME SERIES ANALYSIS OF THE TURKISH ECONOMY”, BAFAD, c. 1, sy 2, ss. 43–66, Tem. 2014, [çevrimiçi]. Erişim adresi: https://izlik.org/JA94XB79XH
ISNAD
Beşkaya, Ahmet - Güdenoğlu, Erdem. “THE NEXUS BETWEEN CENTRAL BANK INDEPENDANCY AND INFLATION: A TIME SERIES ANALYSIS OF THE TURKISH ECONOMY”. Bankacılık ve Finansal Araştırmalar Dergisi 1/2 (01 Temmuz 2014): 43-66. https://izlik.org/JA94XB79XH.
JAMA
1.Beşkaya A, Güdenoğlu E. THE NEXUS BETWEEN CENTRAL BANK INDEPENDANCY AND INFLATION: A TIME SERIES ANALYSIS OF THE TURKISH ECONOMY. BAFAD. 2014;1:43–66.
MLA
Beşkaya, Ahmet, ve Erdem Güdenoğlu. “THE NEXUS BETWEEN CENTRAL BANK INDEPENDANCY AND INFLATION: A TIME SERIES ANALYSIS OF THE TURKISH ECONOMY”. Bankacılık ve Finansal Araştırmalar Dergisi, c. 1, sy 2, Temmuz 2014, ss. 43-66, https://izlik.org/JA94XB79XH.
Vancouver
1.Ahmet Beşkaya, Erdem Güdenoğlu. THE NEXUS BETWEEN CENTRAL BANK INDEPENDANCY AND INFLATION: A TIME SERIES ANALYSIS OF THE TURKISH ECONOMY. BAFAD [Internet]. 01 Temmuz 2014;1(2):43-66. Erişim adresi: https://izlik.org/JA94XB79XH