Enerji Tüketimi ve Finansal Gelişme: Saklı Eşbütünleşme ile MENA Ülkelerinden Kanıtlar

Öz

Enerji, ekonomilerin gelişmeleri hakkında ipucu veren önemli bir parametredir. Ülkelerdeki enerji tüketimi ekonomik yapıyı özetlemektedir. Günümüzde ekonomik büyümenin reel sektör belirleyicileri dışında dikkat çeken bileşeni finansal gelişme olarak kabul edilmektedir. Bu çalışmada enerji tüketimi ve finansal gelişme ilişkisi MENA ülkeleri için incelenmiştir. 1980-2017 dönemini ele alan araştırmada ekonometrik analizler Hatemi J (2011) Panel Saklı Eşbütünleşme Testi ve Panel VECM analizi ile gerçekleştirilmiştir. Test sonuçları değişkenlerin orijinal değerleri arasında eşbütünleşme olmadığını, fakat pozitif ve negatif bileşenlerinin bazıları arasında uzun dönemli bir ilişkinin olduğunu göstermiştir. Dolayısıyla seriler arasında saklı eşbütünleşme olduğu tespit edilmiştir. Bu bulgular ışığında değişkenlerinin bileşenleri arasında eşbütünleşme ve özellikle de uzun dönem nedensellik ilişkisi olması finansal gelişme göstergelerindeki değişikliğin enerji tüketimi üzerinde etkili olduğunu ortaya koymaktadır.

Anahtar Kelimeler

• Enerji
• Finansal Gelişme
• MENA Ülkeleri
• Panel Saklı Eşbütünleşme

Energy Consumption and Financial Development: Evidence from MENA Countries with Panel Hidden Cointegration

Öz

Energy is an important parameter that gives clues about the developments in economies. Energy consumption (EC) in countries gives a summary of the economic structures of those countries. Today, the attention-grabbing component of economic growth, apart from the real sector determinants, is considered to be financial development. In this study, the relationship between EC and financial development in MENA countries is examined. Econometric analyzes are carried out by Hatemi J (2011) Panel Hidden Cointegration Test and Panel VECM analysis in the study covering the period between 1980 and 2017. The test results have showed that there is no cointegration between the original values of the variables, but there is a long-term relationship between some of the positive and negative components. Therefore, it has been determined that there is a hidden cointegration between the series. In light of these findings, the cointegration and especially the long-term causality relationship between the components of the variables reveal that the change in financial development indicators is effective on energy consumption.

Anahtar Kelimeler

• Energy
• Financial Development
• MENA Countries
• Panel Hidden Cointegration

Kaynakça

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