Gelir Eşitsizliği, Enflasyon ve Büyüme Arasındaki Asimetrik İlişkiler: Türkiye Örneği

Öz

Bu çalışmanın amacı; Türkiye’de gelir eşitsizliği, enflasyon ve ekonomik büyüme arasındaki asimetrik nedensellik ilişkisinin varlığını araştırmaktır. Öncelikle enflasyondan gelir eşitsizliğine doğru anlamlı bir simetrik nedensellik ilişkisinin olduğu tespit edilmiştir. Asimetrik nedensellik bağlamındaki bulgular, gelir eşitsizliğindeki bir artışın enflasyonu azaltıcı yönde bir etki yarattığına dair kanıtlar sunmuştur. Ayrıca gelir eşitsizliğindeki azalışların enflasyonu azaltıcı bir etki yarattığı tespit edilmiştir. Gelir eşitsizliği ve büyüme arasındaki ilişki ele alındığında, simetrik nedensellik testi sonuçlarına göre çift yönlü nedensellik ilişkisinin olduğu saptanmıştır. Söz konusu değişkenler arasındaki ilişki asimetrik nedensellik bağlamında ele alındığında ekonomik büyümedeki azalışın gelir eşitsizliğini azalttığı, gelir eşitsizliğindeki artışın ekonomik büyümeyi azalttığı görülmüştür. Ayrıca, gelir eşitsizliğindeki azalışın ekonomik büyüme üzerinde artırıcı yönde bir etki yarattığına dair kanıtlara ulaşılmıştır.

Anahtar Kelimeler

• Gelir Eşitsizliği
• Enflasyon
• Ekonomik Büyüme
• Asimetrik Nedensellik

Asymmetric Relationships Between Income Inequality, Inflation and Growth: The Case Of Turkey

Öz

This study aims to investigate the existence of asymmetric causalty between income inequality, inflation, and economic growth in Turkey. First of all, it is found that there is a significant symmetric causality relationship between inflation and income inequality. The findings in the context of asymmetric causality provide evidence that an increase in income inequality has a dampening effect on inflation. Moreover, decreases in income inequality have been found to have a disinflationary impact. Regarding the relationship between income inequality and growth, the results of the symmetric causality test indicate that there is a bidirectional causality relationship. When the relationship between these variables is analyzed in the context of asymmetric causality, it is observed that a decrease in economic growth decreases income inequality. In contrast, an increase in income inequality decreases economic growth. Moreover, there is evidence that a decrease in income inequality has an increasing effect on economic growth.

Anahtar Kelimeler

• Income Inequality
• Inflation
• Economic Growth
• Asymmetric Causality

Kaynakça

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