Harvesting Prosperity: The Long-Run Impact of Food Exports on Agricultural Growth

Öz

This study examines the impact of food exports on agricultural value-added in developing economies. Using panel data from 2000-2019, long-run relationships are analyzed via PMG, AMG, and CCE-MG estimators. Results confirm that food exports enhance agricultural value-added, while higher GDP per capita reduces agriculture’s share in GDP, reflecting structural transformation. The impact of mechanization varies, while higher education levels accelerate labor shifts toward industry and services. Findings suggest that export-driven agricultural policies can boost economic growth but must balance food security concerns. Supporting smallholder access to technology and agricultural vocational training is crucial for sustainable development.

Anahtar Kelimeler

• Food Exports
• Agricultural Value Added
• PMG
• AMG
• CCE-MG

Refah Hasadı: Gıda İhracatının Tarımsal Büyüme Üzerindeki Uzun Dönem Etkisi

Öz

Bu çalışma, gıda ihracatının tarımsal katma değer üzerindeki etkisini gelişmekte olan ülkeler için incelemektedir. 2000-2019 dönemi panel verisi kullanılarak PMG, AMG ve CCE-MG tahmincileri ile uzun dönem ilişkiler analiz edilmiştir. Sonuçlar, gıda ihracatının tarımsal katma değeri artırdığını ancak kişi başına düşen gelirin tarımın ekonomideki payını azalttığını göstermektedir. Mekanizasyonun etkisi modelleme yöntemlerine bağlı olarak değişirken, eğitim seviyesinin artması tarımdan sanayi ve hizmet sektörlerine iş gücü kaymasını hızlandırmaktadır. Sonuçlar, ihracata dayalı tarım politikalarının ekonomik büyümeyi destekleyebileceğini ancak gıda güvenliğiyle dengelenmesi gerektiğini göstermektedir. Tarımda verimlilik artırıcı eğitim programları ve küçük çiftçilerin teknolojiye erişimi desteklenmelidir.

Anahtar Kelimeler

• Gıda İhracatı
• Tarımsal Katma Değer
• PMG
• AMG
• CCE-MG

Kaynakça

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