Derleme
BibTex RIS Kaynak Göster

COVID-19 Pandemisinin Türkiye’nin İhracatı Üzerine Etkileri İçin Bir Analiz

Yıl 2021, Cilt: 6 Sayı: 1, 272 - 283, 29.06.2021

İsmail Cem Ay

Öz

COVID-19 Pandemisi, dünya ekonomisi ve ülke ekonomileri üzerinde, önemli daraltıcı etkilere yol açmıştır. COVID-19 Pandemisinin, toplum ve birey sağlığı üzerindeki olumsuz etkilerini azaltmak için, hükümetlerce alınan kısıtlayıcı tedbirler ekonomi üzerinde daraltıcı etkiler meydana getirmiştir. COVID-19 Pandemisinin ne kadar süreceğine dair belirsizlikler de, tüketiciler ve yatırımcıların beklentilerini bozarak, tüketim ve yatırım malları taleplerinin ertelenmesine yol açmıştır. Diğer yandan, ülkelerin kıt olan bazı tıbbi malzeme ve tüketim malları üzerine ihracat kısıtlamaları getirmeleri ve ayrıca dış ticarette korumacılık eğilimlerinin yükselmesi, uluslararası ticaretin daralmasına yol açmıştır. Bu bağlamda, bu çalışmanın amacı, COVID-19 Pandemisinin, Türkiye’nin ihracatı üzerine etkilerini analiz etmektir. Çalışmada, COVID-19 Pandemisinin Türkiye’nin ihracatı üzerine etkileri, BEC ve ISIC sınıflamalarına göre, toplam ihracattaki değişim, ihracat miktar ve ihracat birim değer endekslerindeki değişim dikkate alınarak, analiz edilmiştir. Çalışma sonuçlarına göre, COVID-19 Pandemisinin Türkiye’nin ihracatına yönelik daraltıcı etkilerinin, 2020’nin ilk aylarında başladığı özellikle Nisan ve Mayıs aylarında daralmanın zirve yaptığı gözlemlenmiştir. Haziran ayı ile ekonomide toparlanma başlamasına karşın, salgının yeni dalgaları ile karşılaşılması, kısıtlayıcı tedbirlerin tekrar devreye sokulmasına yol açmıştır. Salgındaki dalgalanma, ekonomideki ve dış ticaretteki dalgalanmayı belirleyici hale getirmiştir. Dünya ekonomisinde, salgının ekonomi ve toplum sağlığı üzerindeki olumsuz etkilerini azaltmada, uluslararası işbirliği ve koordinasyonun artırılması önemli bir politika olacaktır.

Anahtar Kelimeler

COVID-19 Pandemisi Türkiye Ekonomisi Makro Ekonomi Uluslararası Ticaret

Kaynakça

  • Adıgüzel, M. (2020). COVID-19 pandemisinin Türkiye ekonomisine ekilerinin makroekonomik analizi. İstanbul Ticaret Üniversitesi Sosyal Bilimler Dergisi, 19(37), 191-221.
  • Akçacı, T., & Çınaroğlu, M. S. (2020). Yeni koronavirüs (COVID-19) salgınının lojistik ve ticarete etkisi. Gaziantep Üniversitesi Sosyal Bilimler Dergisi, 19 (COVID-19 Special Issue), 447-456.
  • Baldwin, R., & Freeman, R. (2020). Trade conflict in the age of covid-19. VoxEU. org, 22.
  • Barichello, R. (2020). The COVID‐19 pandemic: Anticipating its effects on Canada's agricultural trade. Canadian Journal of Agricultural Economics/Revue Canadienne D'agroeconomie, 68(2), 219-224.
  • Barua, S. (2020). COVID-19 pandemic and world trade: Some analytical notes. Available at SSRN 3577627.
  • Barua, S. (2020). Understanding coronanomics: The economic implications of the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic (No. 99693). University Library of Munich, Germany.
  • Brown, G., & Susskind, D. (2020). International cooperation during the COVID-19 pandemic. Oxford Review of Economic Policy, 36(Supplement_1), 64-76.
  • Carreño, I., Dolle, T., Medina, L., & Brandenburger, M. (2020). The implications of the covid-19 pandemic on trade. European Journal of Risk Regulation, 11(2), 402-410.
  • Chang, S. L., Harding, N., Zachreson, C., Cliff, O. M., & Prokopenko, M. (2020). Modelling transmission and control of the COVID-19 pandemic in Australia. Nature Communications, 11(1), 1-13.
  • Gereffi, G. (2020). What does the COVID-19 pandemic teach us about global value chains? The case of medical supplies. Journal of International Business Policy, 3(3), 287-301.
  • Gruszczynski, L. (2020). The COVID-19 pandemic and international trade: Temporary turbulence or paradigm shift?. European Journal of Risk Regulation, 11(2), 337-342.
  • Hobbs, J. E. (2020). Food supply chains during the COVID‐19 pandemic. Canadian Journal of Agricultural Economics/Revue Canadienne D'agroeconomie, 68(2), 171-176.
  • Jean, S. (2020). How the COVID-19 pandemic is reshaping the trade landscape and what to do about it. Intereconomics, 55, 135-139.
  • Kerr, W. A. (2020). The COVID‐19 pandemic and agriculture: Short and long‐run implications for international trade relations. Canadian Journal of Agricultural Economics/Revue Canadienne D'agroeconomie, 68(2), 225-229.
  • Kokudo, N., & Sugiyama, H. (2020). Call for international cooperation and collaboration to effectively tackle the COVID-19 pandemic. Global Health & Medicine, 2(2), 60-62.
  • Türkiye Cumhuriyet Merkez Bankası (TCMB). (Erişim: 15 Şubat 2021), https://evds2.tcmb.gov.tr/index.php?/evds/serieMarket
  • Siche, R. (2020). What is the impact of COVID-19 disease on agriculture?. Scientia Agropecuaria, 11(1), 3-6.
  • Susskind, D., & Vines, D. (2020). The economics of the COVID-19 pandemic: An assessment. Oxford Review of Economic Policy, 36(Supplement_1), 1-13.
  • Verschuur, J., Koks, E. E., & Hall, J. W. (2021). Observed impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic on global trade. Nature Human Behaviour, 1-3.
  • Vidya, C. T., & Prabheesh, K. P. (2020). Implications of COVID-19 pandemic on the global trade networks. Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, 56(10), 2408-2421.

An Analysis for The Effects of COVID-19 Pandemic On the Export of Turkey

Yıl 2021, Cilt: 6 Sayı: 1, 272 - 283, 29.06.2021

İsmail Cem Ay

Öz

The COVID-19 Pandemic has had significant constricting effects on the world economy and the economies of the country. Restrictive measures taken by governments in order to reduce the negative effects of the COVID-19 Pandemic on the health of society and individuals have had a constrictive effect on the economy. Uncertainties about how long the COVID-19 Pandemic will last have also distorted the expectations of consumers and investors, causing the demands for consumption and investment goods to be delayed. On the other hand, the countries imposing export restrictions on some scarce medical supplies and consumer goods, as well as the increase in protectionist tendencies in foreign trade, led to the contraction of international trade. In this context, the aim of this study is to analyse the effects of COVID-19 Pandemic on Turkey's exports. The effects of COVID-19 Pandemic on Turkey's exports, it is analysed by considering changes in the total export, considering changes in export quantity and export unit value index according to BEC and ISIC classification. According to the study, the contractionary effects of COVID-19 Pandemic on Turkey's exports, which began in the first months of 2020 in particular has been observed that the contraction peaked in April and May. Although the recovery in the economy started in June, the encounter with new waves of COVID-19 Pandemic led to the reintroduction of restrictive measures. The fluctuation in COVID-19 Pandemic has become determinant in the fluctuation in the economy and foreign trade. In the world economy, increasing international cooperation and coordination will be an important policy in reducing the negative effects of COVID-19 Pandemic on the economy and public health.

Anahtar Kelimeler

COVID-19 Pandemic Turkish Economy Macro Economy International Trade

Kaynakça

  • Adıgüzel, M. (2020). COVID-19 pandemisinin Türkiye ekonomisine ekilerinin makroekonomik analizi. İstanbul Ticaret Üniversitesi Sosyal Bilimler Dergisi, 19(37), 191-221.
  • Akçacı, T., & Çınaroğlu, M. S. (2020). Yeni koronavirüs (COVID-19) salgınının lojistik ve ticarete etkisi. Gaziantep Üniversitesi Sosyal Bilimler Dergisi, 19 (COVID-19 Special Issue), 447-456.
  • Baldwin, R., & Freeman, R. (2020). Trade conflict in the age of covid-19. VoxEU. org, 22.
  • Barichello, R. (2020). The COVID‐19 pandemic: Anticipating its effects on Canada's agricultural trade. Canadian Journal of Agricultural Economics/Revue Canadienne D'agroeconomie, 68(2), 219-224.
  • Barua, S. (2020). COVID-19 pandemic and world trade: Some analytical notes. Available at SSRN 3577627.
  • Barua, S. (2020). Understanding coronanomics: The economic implications of the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic (No. 99693). University Library of Munich, Germany.
  • Brown, G., & Susskind, D. (2020). International cooperation during the COVID-19 pandemic. Oxford Review of Economic Policy, 36(Supplement_1), 64-76.
  • Carreño, I., Dolle, T., Medina, L., & Brandenburger, M. (2020). The implications of the covid-19 pandemic on trade. European Journal of Risk Regulation, 11(2), 402-410.
  • Chang, S. L., Harding, N., Zachreson, C., Cliff, O. M., & Prokopenko, M. (2020). Modelling transmission and control of the COVID-19 pandemic in Australia. Nature Communications, 11(1), 1-13.
  • Gereffi, G. (2020). What does the COVID-19 pandemic teach us about global value chains? The case of medical supplies. Journal of International Business Policy, 3(3), 287-301.
  • Gruszczynski, L. (2020). The COVID-19 pandemic and international trade: Temporary turbulence or paradigm shift?. European Journal of Risk Regulation, 11(2), 337-342.
  • Hobbs, J. E. (2020). Food supply chains during the COVID‐19 pandemic. Canadian Journal of Agricultural Economics/Revue Canadienne D'agroeconomie, 68(2), 171-176.
  • Jean, S. (2020). How the COVID-19 pandemic is reshaping the trade landscape and what to do about it. Intereconomics, 55, 135-139.
  • Kerr, W. A. (2020). The COVID‐19 pandemic and agriculture: Short and long‐run implications for international trade relations. Canadian Journal of Agricultural Economics/Revue Canadienne D'agroeconomie, 68(2), 225-229.
  • Kokudo, N., & Sugiyama, H. (2020). Call for international cooperation and collaboration to effectively tackle the COVID-19 pandemic. Global Health & Medicine, 2(2), 60-62.
  • Türkiye Cumhuriyet Merkez Bankası (TCMB). (Erişim: 15 Şubat 2021), https://evds2.tcmb.gov.tr/index.php?/evds/serieMarket
  • Siche, R. (2020). What is the impact of COVID-19 disease on agriculture?. Scientia Agropecuaria, 11(1), 3-6.
  • Susskind, D., & Vines, D. (2020). The economics of the COVID-19 pandemic: An assessment. Oxford Review of Economic Policy, 36(Supplement_1), 1-13.
  • Verschuur, J., Koks, E. E., & Hall, J. W. (2021). Observed impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic on global trade. Nature Human Behaviour, 1-3.
  • Vidya, C. T., & Prabheesh, K. P. (2020). Implications of COVID-19 pandemic on the global trade networks. Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, 56(10), 2408-2421.
Toplam 20 adet kaynakça vardır.

Ayrıntılar

Birincil Dil Türkçe
Konular Ekonomi
Bölüm Derleme Makale
Yazarlar

İsmail Cem Ay 0000-0002-8915-8183

Yayımlanma Tarihi 29 Haziran 2021
Yayımlandığı Sayı Yıl 2021 Cilt: 6 Sayı: 1

Kaynak Göster

APA Ay, İ. C. (2021). COVID-19 Pandemisinin Türkiye’nin İhracatı Üzerine Etkileri İçin Bir Analiz. JOEEP: Journal of Emerging Economies and Policy, 6(1), 272-283.
 Kapak Resmi İndir

The sole purpose of JOEEP is to be a prestigious journal which contributes to scientific knowledge. In order to keep this purpose, JOEEP, adopts and follows the publication policies of world’s prestigious scientific journals. All original and qualified works which may contribute to the scientific knowledge, are evaluated through a rigorous editorial and peer review process. Hereby, JOEEP is a peer reviewed and scientific journal. It strictly depends on the scientific principles, rules and ethical framework that are required to this qualification.

JOEEP is published as two issues per year June and December and all publication policies and processes are conducted according to the international standards. JOEEP accepts and publishes the research articles in the fields of economics, political economy, fiscal economics, applied economics, business economics, labour economics and econometrics. JOEEP, without depending on any institution or organization, is a non-profit journal that has an International Editorial Board specialist on their fields. All “Publication Process” and “Writing Guidelines” are explained in the related title and it is expected from authors to Show a complete match to the rules. JOEEP is an open Access journal.