Araştırma Makalesi

Exchange Rate Shock and Its Impact on Import: The Case of Turkey

Cilt: 2 Sayı: 1 21 Mayıs 2019
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Exchange Rate Shock and Its Impact on Import: The Case of Turkey

Öz

Factors affecting foreign trade have always been an area of interest. Foreign exchange rates are a variable that comes to the fore due to other factors. In many applied studies, the effects of changes in exchange rates on imports and exports were examined. In many studies, although there are no supporting findings, explanatory and contributing results have been reached. In this study, the volatility of exchange rate was determined by using a new method, Markov Switching ARCH econometrics, and the effect of foreign exchange shocks was investigated. As a result of the regression, it was seen that the import value was affected by the risks caused by the uncertainty of exchange rate.

Anahtar Kelimeler

Kaynakça

  1. Akaike, H. (1973). Maximum Likelihood Estimation of Gaussian Autoregressive Moving Average Models, Biometrika, 60, 255-65.
  2. Akdi, Y. (2003). Zaman serileri snalizi. Bıçaklar Kitabevi, Ankara.
  3. Arize. C., A, Shwiff, S. S. (1998). Does exchange-Rate volatility affect import flows in G-7 countries? Evidence from cointegration models. Applied Economics, 30, 1269-1276.
  4. Arize. C., A, Osang, T., Slottje, D. J, Y. (2000). “Exchange-Rate Volatility and Foreign Trade: Evidence From Thirteen LDC’s”, Journal of Business and Economic Statistics, 18(1), 10-17.
  5. Baum. C. F., Çağlayan, M., & Özkan, N. (2004). Nonlinear effects of exchange rate volatility on the volume of bilateral exports. Journal of Applied, 19, 1-23.
  6. Broll, U., Eckwert, B. (1999). Exchange rate volatility and international trade. Southern Economic Journal, 66(1), 178-185.
  7. Calderon, C., A. Chong., & Loayza, N. (2000). Determinants of current account deficits in developing conutries. World Bank Policy Research Working Paper, No: 2398,1-37.
  8. Choudhig, T. (2006). Exchange rate volatility and united kingdom trade: Evidence from Canada, Japan and New Zealand. Empirical Economics, Springer.

Ayrıntılar

Birincil Dil

İngilizce

Konular

-

Bölüm

Araştırma Makalesi

Yazarlar

Yayımlanma Tarihi

21 Mayıs 2019

Gönderilme Tarihi

22 Ocak 2019

Kabul Tarihi

26 Mart 2019

Yayımlandığı Sayı

Yıl 2019 Cilt: 2 Sayı: 1

Kaynak Göster

APA
Durmuş, A. (2019). Exchange Rate Shock and Its Impact on Import: The Case of Turkey. İnsan ve Sosyal Bilimler Dergisi, 2(1), 102-112. https://izlik.org/JA89UG53FP
AMA
1.Durmuş A. Exchange Rate Shock and Its Impact on Import: The Case of Turkey. JOHASS. 2019;2(1):102-112. https://izlik.org/JA89UG53FP
Chicago
Durmuş, Aydoğan. 2019. “Exchange Rate Shock and Its Impact on Import: The Case of Turkey”. İnsan ve Sosyal Bilimler Dergisi 2 (1): 102-12. https://izlik.org/JA89UG53FP.
EndNote
Durmuş A (01 Mayıs 2019) Exchange Rate Shock and Its Impact on Import: The Case of Turkey. İnsan ve Sosyal Bilimler Dergisi 2 1 102–112.
IEEE
[1]A. Durmuş, “Exchange Rate Shock and Its Impact on Import: The Case of Turkey”, JOHASS, c. 2, sy 1, ss. 102–112, May. 2019, [çevrimiçi]. Erişim adresi: https://izlik.org/JA89UG53FP
ISNAD
Durmuş, Aydoğan. “Exchange Rate Shock and Its Impact on Import: The Case of Turkey”. İnsan ve Sosyal Bilimler Dergisi 2/1 (01 Mayıs 2019): 102-112. https://izlik.org/JA89UG53FP.
JAMA
1.Durmuş A. Exchange Rate Shock and Its Impact on Import: The Case of Turkey. JOHASS. 2019;2:102–112.
MLA
Durmuş, Aydoğan. “Exchange Rate Shock and Its Impact on Import: The Case of Turkey”. İnsan ve Sosyal Bilimler Dergisi, c. 2, sy 1, Mayıs 2019, ss. 102-1, https://izlik.org/JA89UG53FP.
Vancouver
1.Aydoğan Durmuş. Exchange Rate Shock and Its Impact on Import: The Case of Turkey. JOHASS [Internet]. 01 Mayıs 2019;2(1):102-1. Erişim adresi: https://izlik.org/JA89UG53FP