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Kamu borçlanmasının politik iktisadi temelleri

Yıl 2019, Cilt: 2 Sayı: 1, 15 - 28, 27.06.2019

Öz

Maliye politikası araçları; hane halkları, bölgeler ve kuşaklararası bir
yeniden dağıtım mekanizması olduğundan politik tartışmaların merkezinde
kalmıştır. Özellikle, 1929 Buhranından sonra hükümetin geliri yeniden dağıtıcı
rolü önem kazanmıştır. Diğer yandan; maliye politikası uygulamalarının
yarattığı bütçe açıkları, söz konusu açıkların büyük ölçüde borçlanma yolu ile
finanse edilmesi ve buna bağlı olarak hükümetlerin borç yükümlülüklerinde
meydana gelen sürekli artışlar, borçlanmanın ekonomi üzerinde yarattığı
etkileri önemli kılmaktadır. Bununla birlikte, uzun bir süre boyunca
hükümetlerin uyguladıkları politikalardan ziyade belirli iktisadi amaçları
gerçekleştirmek adına hangi politikaları izlemesi gerektiği analiz edilmiştir.
Ancak bu analizler aynı iktisadi koşullara sahip ülkelerin bütçe açığı,
enflasyon ve borç dinamiklerinin birbirlerinden farklılık göstermesi durumunu
tam olarak açıklayamamaktadır. İktisadi açıdan birçok konuda benzerlik gösteren
ülkelerin kurumsal ve politik açılardan; seçim yasaları, siyasi partilerin
yapısı, bütçe kanunları, merkez bankaları, politik istikrarsızlık ve sosyal
kutuplaşma gibi birçok farklılıkları bulunmaktadır. Bu çerçevede, bütçe
açıkları ve borç stokunda meydana gelen değişimlerin analiz edilmesinde politik
süreç içerisindeki kurumsal farklılıkların göz önünde bulundurulması
gerekliliği ortaya çıkmıştır. Çalışmanın amacı kamu borçlanmasının nedenlerinin
politik iktisat yaklaşımları çerçevesinde ortaya koyulmasıdır.

Kaynakça

  • Agénor, P.R. ve Montiel, P.J. (2008). Development macroeconomics. New Jersey: Princeton University Press.
  • Aghion, P. ve Bolton, P. (1990). Government domestic debt and the risk of default: A political-economic model of the strategic role of debt. R. Dornbusch ve M. Draghi (Eds), Public Debt Management: Theory and History (ss. 315-347) içinde. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.
  • Alesina, A. ve Drazen, A. (1991). Why are stabilizations delayed? The American Economic Review, 81(5), 1170-1188.
  • Alesina, A. ve Passalacqua, A. (2016). Political economy of government debt. J.B. Taylor ve H. Uhlig (Eds), Handbook of Macroeconomics (ss. 2599-2651) içinde. North Holland: Elseveir.
  • Alesina, A. ve Perotti, R. (1995). The political economy of budget deficits. Staff Papers of International Monetary Fund, 42(1), 1-31.
  • Alesina, A. ve Tabellini, G. (1990). A positive theory of fiscal deficits and government debt. Review of Economic Studies, 57(3), 403-414.
  • Ball, L. ve Mankiw, G. (1995). What do budget deficits do? Reserach paper of National Bureau of Economic Research, No: w5263.
  • Barro, R.J. (1974). Are government bonds net wealth? Journal of Political Economy, 82(6), 1095-1117.
  • Barro, R.J. (1979). On the determination of the public debt. Journal of Political Economy, 87(5), 940-971.
  • Barro, R.J. (1986). U.S. deficits since world war I. The Scandinavian Journal of Economics, 88(1), 195-222.
  • Barro, R.J. (1989). The ricardian approach to budget deficits. Journal of Economic Perspectives, 2, 37-54.
  • Barsky, R.B., Mankiw, G. ve Zeldes, S.P. (1986). Ricardian consumers with Keynesian propensities. American Economic Review, 76(4), 676-691.
  • Bernheim, D. (1987). Ricardian equivalence: An evaluation of theory and evidence. S. Fischer (Ed), National Bureau of Economic Research Macroeconomics Annual 1987 (ss. 263-316) içinde, USA: MIT Press.
  • Breyer, F. (1994). The political economy of ıntergenerational redistribution. European Journal of Political Economy, 10(1), 61-84.
  • Buchanan, J.M. (1967). Public finance in democratic process. Chapel Hill: University of North Carolina Press.
  • Buchanan, J.M. ve Wagner, R.E. (1977). Democracy in deficit: The political legacy of Lord Keynes. New York: Academic Press.
  • Calvo, G.A. (1988). Servicing the public debt: The role of expectations. The American Economic Review, 78(4), 647-661.
  • Calvo, G.A. ve Guidotti, P.E. (1990). Indexation and maturity of government bonds: An explanatory model. R. Dornbusch ve M. Draghi (Eds), Public Debt Management: Theory and History (ss. 52-86) içinde. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.
  • Carlin, W. ve Soskice, D.W. (2014). Macroeconomics: Institutions, instability, and the financial system. England: Oxford University Press.
  • Chan, L.K. (1983). Uncertainty and the neutrality of government financing policy. Journal of Monetary Economics, 11(3), 351-372.
  • Christiano, L.J. ve Fitzgerald, T.J. (2000). Understanding the fiscal theory of the price level. Economic Review, 36(2), 1-38.
  • Crain, M.W. ve Tollison, R.D. (1993). Time ınconsistency and fiscal policy: Empirical analysis of U.S. States, 1969-89. Journal of Public Economics, 51(2), 153-159.
  • Cukierman, A. ve Meltzer, A.H. (1989). A political theory of government debt and deficits in a neo-Ricardian framework. American Economic Review, 79(4), 713-732.
  • Dollery, B.E. ve Worthington, A.C. (1996). The empirical analysis of fiscal illusion. Journal of Economic Surveys, 10(3), 261-297.
  • Dornbusch, R. (1998). Debt and monetary policy: The policy issues. G. Calvo ve M. King (Eds), The Debt Burden and Its Consequences for Monetary Policy (ss. 3-23) içinde. London: Palgrave Macmillan.
  • Drazen, A. ve Grilli, V. (1993). The benefit of crises for economic reforms. The American Economic Review, 83(3), 598-607.
  • Easterly, W. ve Schmidt-Hebbel, K. (1991). The Macroeconomics of Public Sector Deficits: A Synthesis. Research papar of The World Bank, No: 775.
  • Edwards, S. ve Tabellini, G. (1991). Explaining fiscal policies and ınflation in developing countries. Journal of International Money and Finance, 10, 16-48.
  • Evans, P. (1987). Do budget deficits raise nominal ınterest rates?: Evidence from six countries. Journal of Monetary Economics, 20(2), 281-300.
  • Feldstein, M. (1982). Government deficits and aggregate demand. Journal of Monetary Economics, 9(1), 1-20.
  • Franzese, R. J. (2002). The Positive Political Economy of Public Debt: An Empirical Examination of the OECD Postwar Experience. doi:10.2139/ssrn.1084130, Erişim Tarihi: 24.04.2018
  • Grilli, V., Masciandaro, D. ve Tabellini, G. (1991). Political and monetary ınstitutions and public financial policies in the industrial countries. Economic Policy, 6(13), 341-392.
  • Haque, N.U. ve Montiel, P. (1989). Consumption in developing countries: Tests for liquidity constraints and finite horizons. The Review of Economics and Statistics, 71(3), 408-415.
  • Haug, A.A. (1990). Ricardian equivalence, rational expectations and the permanent ıncome hypothesis. Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, 22(3), 305-326.
  • Hercowitz, Z. ve Strawczynski, M. (2004). Cyclical ratcheting in government spending: Evidence from the OECD. The Review of Economics and Statistics, 86(1), 353-361.
  • Kochin, L.A. (1974). Are future taxes anticipated by consumers?: Comment. Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, 6(3), 385-394.
  • Kormendi, R. (1983). Government debt, government spending, and private sector behavior. American Economic Review, 73(5), 994-1010.
  • Lambertini, L. (2003). Are Budget Deficits Used Strategically?. Boston College Working Papers in Economics.
  • Leiderman, L. ve Blejer, M.I. (1988). Modeling and testing ricardian equivalence: A survey. IMF Staff Papers, 35(1), 1-35.
  • Lucas, R.E. ve Stokey, N.L. (1983). Optimal fiscal and monetary policy in an economy without capital. Journal of Monetary Economics, 12(1), 55-93.
  • Mankiw, G. (2013). Macroeconomics (8th Edition). International editiom: Palgrave Macmillan.
  • Mankiw, G. ve Elmendrof, D. (1999). Government debt. J.B. Taylor ve M. Woodford (Eds), Handbook of Macroeconomics (ss. 1615-1669) içinde. Amsterdam: Elsevier.
  • Masson, P. ve Mussa, M. (1995). Long-term tendencies in budget deficits and debt. Budget Deficits and Debt: Issues and Options: A Symposium, Jackson Hole, Wyoming, August 31-September 2 (ss. 5-55) içinde. Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City.
  • Milesi- Ferretti, G.M. (1995). Do good or do well? Public debt management in a two- party economy. Economics and Politics, 7(1), 59-78.
  • Miller, V. (1997). Political instability and debt maturity. Economic Inquiry, 35(1), 12-27.
  • Missale, A. (1999). Public debt management. Oxford: Oxford University Press.
  • Oates, W. (1988). On the nature and measurement of fiscal illusion: A survey. G. Brennan, B.S. Grewel ve P. Groenwegel (Eds), Taxation and Fiscal Federalism: Essays in Honour of Russell Mathews (ss. 65-82) içinde. Sydney: Australian National University Press.
  • Persson, M., Persson, T. ve Svensson, L.E. (1987). Time consistency of fiscal and monetary policy. Econometrica, 55(6), 1419-1431.
  • Persson, T. ve Svensson, L. E. (1989). Why a Stubborn conservative would run a deficit: Policy with time- inconsistent preferences. The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 104(2), 325-345.
  • Pettersson‐Lidbom, P. (2001). An empirical investigation of the strategic use of debt. Journal of Political Economy, 109(3), 570-583.
  • Ricciuti, R. (2003). Assessing Ricardian equivalence. Journal of Economic Surveys, 17(1), 56-78.
  • Roubini, N. ve Sachs, J.D. (1989). Political and Economic determinants of budget deficits in the ındustrial democracies. European Economic Review, 33(5), 903-933.
  • Samuelson, P.A. ve Nordhaus, W.D. (2009). Economics (19th Edition). New York: McGraw-Hill.
  • Sargent, T.J. ve Wallace, N. (1981). Some unpleasant monetarist arithmetic. Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis Quarterly Review, 5(3), 1-17.
  • Seater, J. J. (1993). Ricardian equivalence. Journal of Economic Literature, 31(1), 142-190.
  • Spolaore, E. (2004). Adjustments in different government systems. Economics ve Politics, 16(2), 117-146.
  • Stiglitz, J.E. (1983). On the relevance or irrelevance of public financial policy. Reserach paper of National Bureau of Economic Research, No: 1057.
  • Tabellini, G. (1991). The Politics of intergenerational redistribution. Journal of Political Economy, 99(2), 335-357.
  • Tanner, J.E. (1979). Fiscal policy and consumer behavior. The Review of Economics and Statistics, 61(2), 317-321.
  • Velasco, A. (1999). A model of endogenous fiscal deficits and delayed fiscal reforms. J. Poterba ve J. von Hagen (Eds), Fiscal Institutions and Fiscal Performance (ss. 37-58) içinde. University of Chicago Press.
  • Wilcox, D.W. (1989). The sustainability of government deficits: Implications of the present-value borrowing. Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, 21(3), 291-306.
  • Woodford, M. (1995). Price-level determinacy without control of a monetary aggregate. Carnegie-Rochester Conference Series on Public Policy, 43, 1-46.

Political economic foundations of government debt

Yıl 2019, Cilt: 2 Sayı: 1, 15 - 28, 27.06.2019

Öz

Fiscal policy tools have long been at the center
of political debates due to being redistribution mechanism between households,
regions and generations. In particular, income redistributive role of the
governments gained importance after the 1929 Crisis. On the other hand; the
fiscal deficits created by fiscal policy implementations, the financing of
these deficits mostly through borrowing and the continuous increases in the
debt obligations of the governments make the effects of government debt on the
economy important. It has been analyzed for a long time which policies should
be followed by the governments in order to achieve certain economic goals
rather than policies governments implemented. However, these analyses do not
fully explain the differences between the budget deficit, inflation and debt
dynamics of the countries in which have the same economic conditions. There are
many institutional and political differences such as election laws, the
structure of political parties, budget laws, central banks, political
instability and social polarization between countries, which are similar in
terms of economic aspect. In this context, the necessity for considering the
institutional differences in the political process in analyzing the changes in
budget deficits and debt stock has arisen. The aim of this study is to reveal
the reasons for public borrowing within the framework of political economy
approaches.

Kaynakça

  • Agénor, P.R. ve Montiel, P.J. (2008). Development macroeconomics. New Jersey: Princeton University Press.
  • Aghion, P. ve Bolton, P. (1990). Government domestic debt and the risk of default: A political-economic model of the strategic role of debt. R. Dornbusch ve M. Draghi (Eds), Public Debt Management: Theory and History (ss. 315-347) içinde. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.
  • Alesina, A. ve Drazen, A. (1991). Why are stabilizations delayed? The American Economic Review, 81(5), 1170-1188.
  • Alesina, A. ve Passalacqua, A. (2016). Political economy of government debt. J.B. Taylor ve H. Uhlig (Eds), Handbook of Macroeconomics (ss. 2599-2651) içinde. North Holland: Elseveir.
  • Alesina, A. ve Perotti, R. (1995). The political economy of budget deficits. Staff Papers of International Monetary Fund, 42(1), 1-31.
  • Alesina, A. ve Tabellini, G. (1990). A positive theory of fiscal deficits and government debt. Review of Economic Studies, 57(3), 403-414.
  • Ball, L. ve Mankiw, G. (1995). What do budget deficits do? Reserach paper of National Bureau of Economic Research, No: w5263.
  • Barro, R.J. (1974). Are government bonds net wealth? Journal of Political Economy, 82(6), 1095-1117.
  • Barro, R.J. (1979). On the determination of the public debt. Journal of Political Economy, 87(5), 940-971.
  • Barro, R.J. (1986). U.S. deficits since world war I. The Scandinavian Journal of Economics, 88(1), 195-222.
  • Barro, R.J. (1989). The ricardian approach to budget deficits. Journal of Economic Perspectives, 2, 37-54.
  • Barsky, R.B., Mankiw, G. ve Zeldes, S.P. (1986). Ricardian consumers with Keynesian propensities. American Economic Review, 76(4), 676-691.
  • Bernheim, D. (1987). Ricardian equivalence: An evaluation of theory and evidence. S. Fischer (Ed), National Bureau of Economic Research Macroeconomics Annual 1987 (ss. 263-316) içinde, USA: MIT Press.
  • Breyer, F. (1994). The political economy of ıntergenerational redistribution. European Journal of Political Economy, 10(1), 61-84.
  • Buchanan, J.M. (1967). Public finance in democratic process. Chapel Hill: University of North Carolina Press.
  • Buchanan, J.M. ve Wagner, R.E. (1977). Democracy in deficit: The political legacy of Lord Keynes. New York: Academic Press.
  • Calvo, G.A. (1988). Servicing the public debt: The role of expectations. The American Economic Review, 78(4), 647-661.
  • Calvo, G.A. ve Guidotti, P.E. (1990). Indexation and maturity of government bonds: An explanatory model. R. Dornbusch ve M. Draghi (Eds), Public Debt Management: Theory and History (ss. 52-86) içinde. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.
  • Carlin, W. ve Soskice, D.W. (2014). Macroeconomics: Institutions, instability, and the financial system. England: Oxford University Press.
  • Chan, L.K. (1983). Uncertainty and the neutrality of government financing policy. Journal of Monetary Economics, 11(3), 351-372.
  • Christiano, L.J. ve Fitzgerald, T.J. (2000). Understanding the fiscal theory of the price level. Economic Review, 36(2), 1-38.
  • Crain, M.W. ve Tollison, R.D. (1993). Time ınconsistency and fiscal policy: Empirical analysis of U.S. States, 1969-89. Journal of Public Economics, 51(2), 153-159.
  • Cukierman, A. ve Meltzer, A.H. (1989). A political theory of government debt and deficits in a neo-Ricardian framework. American Economic Review, 79(4), 713-732.
  • Dollery, B.E. ve Worthington, A.C. (1996). The empirical analysis of fiscal illusion. Journal of Economic Surveys, 10(3), 261-297.
  • Dornbusch, R. (1998). Debt and monetary policy: The policy issues. G. Calvo ve M. King (Eds), The Debt Burden and Its Consequences for Monetary Policy (ss. 3-23) içinde. London: Palgrave Macmillan.
  • Drazen, A. ve Grilli, V. (1993). The benefit of crises for economic reforms. The American Economic Review, 83(3), 598-607.
  • Easterly, W. ve Schmidt-Hebbel, K. (1991). The Macroeconomics of Public Sector Deficits: A Synthesis. Research papar of The World Bank, No: 775.
  • Edwards, S. ve Tabellini, G. (1991). Explaining fiscal policies and ınflation in developing countries. Journal of International Money and Finance, 10, 16-48.
  • Evans, P. (1987). Do budget deficits raise nominal ınterest rates?: Evidence from six countries. Journal of Monetary Economics, 20(2), 281-300.
  • Feldstein, M. (1982). Government deficits and aggregate demand. Journal of Monetary Economics, 9(1), 1-20.
  • Franzese, R. J. (2002). The Positive Political Economy of Public Debt: An Empirical Examination of the OECD Postwar Experience. doi:10.2139/ssrn.1084130, Erişim Tarihi: 24.04.2018
  • Grilli, V., Masciandaro, D. ve Tabellini, G. (1991). Political and monetary ınstitutions and public financial policies in the industrial countries. Economic Policy, 6(13), 341-392.
  • Haque, N.U. ve Montiel, P. (1989). Consumption in developing countries: Tests for liquidity constraints and finite horizons. The Review of Economics and Statistics, 71(3), 408-415.
  • Haug, A.A. (1990). Ricardian equivalence, rational expectations and the permanent ıncome hypothesis. Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, 22(3), 305-326.
  • Hercowitz, Z. ve Strawczynski, M. (2004). Cyclical ratcheting in government spending: Evidence from the OECD. The Review of Economics and Statistics, 86(1), 353-361.
  • Kochin, L.A. (1974). Are future taxes anticipated by consumers?: Comment. Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, 6(3), 385-394.
  • Kormendi, R. (1983). Government debt, government spending, and private sector behavior. American Economic Review, 73(5), 994-1010.
  • Lambertini, L. (2003). Are Budget Deficits Used Strategically?. Boston College Working Papers in Economics.
  • Leiderman, L. ve Blejer, M.I. (1988). Modeling and testing ricardian equivalence: A survey. IMF Staff Papers, 35(1), 1-35.
  • Lucas, R.E. ve Stokey, N.L. (1983). Optimal fiscal and monetary policy in an economy without capital. Journal of Monetary Economics, 12(1), 55-93.
  • Mankiw, G. (2013). Macroeconomics (8th Edition). International editiom: Palgrave Macmillan.
  • Mankiw, G. ve Elmendrof, D. (1999). Government debt. J.B. Taylor ve M. Woodford (Eds), Handbook of Macroeconomics (ss. 1615-1669) içinde. Amsterdam: Elsevier.
  • Masson, P. ve Mussa, M. (1995). Long-term tendencies in budget deficits and debt. Budget Deficits and Debt: Issues and Options: A Symposium, Jackson Hole, Wyoming, August 31-September 2 (ss. 5-55) içinde. Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City.
  • Milesi- Ferretti, G.M. (1995). Do good or do well? Public debt management in a two- party economy. Economics and Politics, 7(1), 59-78.
  • Miller, V. (1997). Political instability and debt maturity. Economic Inquiry, 35(1), 12-27.
  • Missale, A. (1999). Public debt management. Oxford: Oxford University Press.
  • Oates, W. (1988). On the nature and measurement of fiscal illusion: A survey. G. Brennan, B.S. Grewel ve P. Groenwegel (Eds), Taxation and Fiscal Federalism: Essays in Honour of Russell Mathews (ss. 65-82) içinde. Sydney: Australian National University Press.
  • Persson, M., Persson, T. ve Svensson, L.E. (1987). Time consistency of fiscal and monetary policy. Econometrica, 55(6), 1419-1431.
  • Persson, T. ve Svensson, L. E. (1989). Why a Stubborn conservative would run a deficit: Policy with time- inconsistent preferences. The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 104(2), 325-345.
  • Pettersson‐Lidbom, P. (2001). An empirical investigation of the strategic use of debt. Journal of Political Economy, 109(3), 570-583.
  • Ricciuti, R. (2003). Assessing Ricardian equivalence. Journal of Economic Surveys, 17(1), 56-78.
  • Roubini, N. ve Sachs, J.D. (1989). Political and Economic determinants of budget deficits in the ındustrial democracies. European Economic Review, 33(5), 903-933.
  • Samuelson, P.A. ve Nordhaus, W.D. (2009). Economics (19th Edition). New York: McGraw-Hill.
  • Sargent, T.J. ve Wallace, N. (1981). Some unpleasant monetarist arithmetic. Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis Quarterly Review, 5(3), 1-17.
  • Seater, J. J. (1993). Ricardian equivalence. Journal of Economic Literature, 31(1), 142-190.
  • Spolaore, E. (2004). Adjustments in different government systems. Economics ve Politics, 16(2), 117-146.
  • Stiglitz, J.E. (1983). On the relevance or irrelevance of public financial policy. Reserach paper of National Bureau of Economic Research, No: 1057.
  • Tabellini, G. (1991). The Politics of intergenerational redistribution. Journal of Political Economy, 99(2), 335-357.
  • Tanner, J.E. (1979). Fiscal policy and consumer behavior. The Review of Economics and Statistics, 61(2), 317-321.
  • Velasco, A. (1999). A model of endogenous fiscal deficits and delayed fiscal reforms. J. Poterba ve J. von Hagen (Eds), Fiscal Institutions and Fiscal Performance (ss. 37-58) içinde. University of Chicago Press.
  • Wilcox, D.W. (1989). The sustainability of government deficits: Implications of the present-value borrowing. Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, 21(3), 291-306.
  • Woodford, M. (1995). Price-level determinacy without control of a monetary aggregate. Carnegie-Rochester Conference Series on Public Policy, 43, 1-46.
Toplam 62 adet kaynakça vardır.

Ayrıntılar

Birincil Dil Türkçe
Konular Ekonomi
Bölüm Araştırma Makaleleri
Yazarlar

Sevi Dokuzoğlu 0000-0002-2888-4755

Yayımlanma Tarihi 27 Haziran 2019
Gönderilme Tarihi 22 Mart 2019
Yayımlandığı Sayı Yıl 2019 Cilt: 2 Sayı: 1

Kaynak Göster

APA Dokuzoğlu, S. (2019). Kamu borçlanmasının politik iktisadi temelleri. Journal of Politics Economy and Management, 2(1), 15-28.

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