Araştırma Makalesi
BibTex RIS Kaynak Göster

REVEALING REGIONAL EMPLOYMENT PERFORMANCE: EXPLORING PERSPECTIVES BEYOND TRADITIONAL GROWTH APPROACHES

Yıl 2024, Cilt: 4 Sayı: 2, 150 - 168, 28.10.2024

Öz

The objective of this study is to evaluate non-growth-related factors influencing employment, delving beyond conventional perspectives. This research aims to unveil the relationships between overall employment performance and other different factors that impact regional economies. Moreover, it becomes feasible to identify the differences and similarities present across various economic regions by adopting an employment-centric approach.For this purpose, a research covering a decade was conducted in specific regional zones, examining the difference between growth and unemployment trends within Türkiye, a nation often classified as developing.The data encompasses the years 2010 to 2020. Data beyond 2020 were not included in the study by virtue of the unpredictable impacts of the Covid-19 pandemic. In order to avoid data loss in the study, missing data were interpolated based on time series analysis. Additionally, the data were transformed to achieve stationarity and freed from autocorrelation effects. Through causality analysis, empirical findings were obtained at a relatively micro level by pinpointing factors demonstrating a causal relationship with employment.Based on the research findings, employment performance displays regional variation independent of the country's macro-level data. These variations may be influenced by factors such as local dynamicsto each region. Observations reveal that in underdeveloped countries lacking geographical homogeneity, regional micro-level data tend to contain more reliable information than macro-level data. Therefore, there's an increasing emphasis on decision-makers having a deeper perspective and directing their attention to local economic regions before making pivotal economic decisions.This article questions the established relationship between employment performance and geography. This research is original as it attempts to identify factors that coincide with employment performance by considering sectoral structure, foreign trade, market size, sectoral diversity and demographic structure within local areas.

Kaynakça

  • Baldwin, J. & Brown, W. (2004). “Regional manufacturing employment volatility in Canada: the effects of specialization and trade”, Papers in Regional Science, 83(3), pp. 519-541.
  • Barro, R. J. (1990). “Government Spending in A Simple Model of Endogenous Growth”, Journal of Political Economy, 98(5), pp. 103- 125.
  • Begovic, B. (1992). “Industrial diversification and city size: the case of Yugoslavia”, Urban Studies, 29(1), pp.77–88.
  • Bradley, R.&Gans, J. S.(1998). “Growth in Australian Cities”, The Economic Record, 74(226), pp. 266-278.
  • Brewer, H. L. &Moomaw, R. L. (1985). “A note on population size, industrial diversification and regional economic instability”, Urban Studies, 22, pp. 349–354
  • Duran, H. E. (2017). “Bölgesel istihdam dalgalanmalarının şiddeti, sebep ve sonuçları: Türkiye örneği.”Yıldız Teknik Üniversitesi Mimarlık Fakültesi E-DergisiMegaron, 12(2), 280-291.
  • Clark, J. S.& Stabler, J. C.(1991). “Gibrat's Law and The Growth of Canadian Cities”, Urban Studies, 28(4), pp. 635-639.
  • Cardella, A. & Paletti, A. (2018). “ICTs and value creation in public sector: manufacturing logic vs service logic”. Information Polity, 23, pp. 125–141.
  • Da Mata, D., Deichman, U., Henderson, J. V., Lall, S. V.& Wang, H. G. (2005). “Examining the Growth Patterns of Brazilian Cities”,Policy Research Working Paper Series, 3724, The World Bank.
  • De Long, J. B.&Shleifer, A. (1993). “Princes and Merchants: European City Growth Before the Industrial Revolution”, Journal of Law & Economics, 36(2), pp. 671-702.
  • Domar, E. D.(1946). “Capital Expansion, Rate of Growth and Employment”, Econometrica, 14(2), pp. 137-147.
  • Duranton, G. (2004).Some economics for Zipf’s Law, Romer and Simon Unified: Mimeo.
  • Ergül, M., & Soylu, Ö. B. (2022). “Türkiye’de Ticari Açıklık ve Sanayide Enerji Tüketimi İlişkisi”, DicleÜniversitesi İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Fakültesi Dergisi, 12(24), pp. 34-48.
  • Ezcurra, R. (2010). “Unemployment Volatility and Regional Specialization in the European Union”, Regional Studies, 45(8), pp.1121–1137.
  • Flesiher, B. M. & Rhodes, G. (1976). “Unemployment and the Labor Force Participation of Married Men and Women: A Simultaneous Model”, The Review of Economics and Statistics, 58(4), pp. 398-406.
  • Filiztekin, A. (1998) “Convergence Across Industries and Provinces in Turkey?”, Koc University Working Paper No. 1998/08. Fine, B. (2000). “Critical survey. Endogenous growth theory: A critical assessment”,Cambridge Journalof Economics, 24(2), pp. 245-265.
  • Friedman, J. (1969). “The Role of Cities in National Development”, American Behavioral Scientist, 12(5), pp. 13-21.
  • Gabaix, X. (1999). “Zipf's Law and The Growth of Cities”, The American Economic Review, 89(2), pp. 129 -132.
  • Gezici, F. ve Hewings, G. (2004) “Regional Convergence and the Economic Performance of Peripheral Areas in Turkey”, Review of Urban and Regional Development Studies, sayı 16(2), s.113-133.
  • Glaeser, E. L., Scheinkman, J. A. &Shleifer, S. A. (1995). “Economic Growth in A Cross-section of Cities”, Journal of Monetary Economics, 36(1), pp. 117-143.
  • Harrod, R. F. (1948).Towards A Dynamic Economics, UK: McMillan.
  • Hoselitz, B. F. (1955). “The City, The Factory, and Economic Growth”, The American Economic Review, 45(2), pp. 166-184.
  • Jacobs, J. (1969).The Economy of Cities, USA: Vintage Books
  • Jaimovich, N. & Siu, H. E. (2009). “The Young, the Old, and the Restless: Demographics and Business Cycle Volatility”, American Economic Review, 99(3), pp. 804-26.
  • Karaca, O. (2004). “Türkiye’de bölgeler arası gelir farklılıkları: yakınsama var mı?”, Türkiye Ekonomi Kurumu tartışma metni, 2004/7.
  • Kong, Q., Peng, D., Ni, Y., Jiang, X., & Wang, Z. (2021). “Trade openness and economic growth qualityof China: Empirical analysis using ARDL model”,Finance Research Letters, 38, 101488.
  • Kort, J. (1981). “Regional economic instability and industrial diversification in the US”,Land Economics, 57, pp. 596–608.
  • Lee, A. T. & Miller, P. W. (2000). “Poor quality jobs: do they lead to churning.”In: John Mangan (Ed.) Understanding and reducing unemployment: national and state perspectives. Office of Economic and Statistical Research, Queensland Treasury, Brisbane. Lucas, R. E. (1988). “On the Mechanics of Economic Development”, Journal of Monetary Economics, 22, pp. 3-42.
  • Malizia, E. E. & Ke, S. (1993). “The influence of economic diversity on employment and stability”, Journal of Regional Science, 33(2), pp. 221–235.
  • Moore, M. H. (1995). Creating Public Value: Strategic Management in Government. Cambridge MA: Harvard University Press.
  • Nabatchi, T. (2017). “Public Values Frames in Administration and Governance”,Perspectives on Public Management and Governance, 1(1), pp. 59–72.
  • Owyang, M. T. & Wall, H. J. (2009). “Regional VARs and the channels of monetary policy”, Applied Economics Letters, 16(12), pp. 1191-1194
  • Panagiotopoulos, P., Klievink, B. & Cordella, A. (2019). “Public Value Creation in Digital Government”, Government Information Quarterly, 36(4), pp. 101421
  • Ragan, K, &Trehan, B. (1998). “Cities and Growth”, FRBSF Economic Letter, 11, pp. 98-127.
  • Ramsey, F. P. (1928). “A Mathematical Theory of Saving”,The Economic Journal, 38(152), pp. 543-559.
  • Rauch, J. E.(1991). “Productivity Gains from Geographic Concentration of Human Capital: evidence from The Cities”, NBER Working Papers National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  • Rodriquez-Pose, R. & Fratesi, U. (2007). “Regional business cycles and the emergence of sheltered economies in the southern periphery of Europe”, Growth and Change, 38, 2(2), pp. 280-291.
  • Romer, P. M. (1986). “Increasing Returns and Long Run Growth”, Journal of Political Economy, 94(5), pp. 1002-1037. Romer, P. M. (1990). “Endogenous Technological Change”, Journal of Political Economy, 98(5), pp. 71-102.
  • Romer, P. M. (1994). “The Origins of Endogenous Growth”, Journal of Economic Perspectiv, 8(1), pp. 3-22.
  • Solow, R. M.(1956). “A Contribution to The Theory of Economic Growth”, Quarterly Journal of Economics, 70, pp. 65-95.
  • Talbot, C. (2011). “Paradoxes and Prospects of ‘Public Value’”. Public Money & Management, 31(1), pp. 27–34.
  • Trendle, B. (2006). “Regional economic instability: the role of industrial diversification and spatial spillovers”,Annals Regional Science, 40, pp. 767–778.
  • TÜİK. (2022). Turkish Statistical Institute: Ankara
  • Viledecans Marsal, E. (2002). “The Growth of Cities: Does Agglomeration Matter?”Working Papers,Institut d'Economia de Barcelona (IEB), No 2002/3.
  • Yıldırım, J., Öcal, N. vel Özyıldırım, S. (2009) “Income inequality and economic convergence in Turkey: A spatial effect analysis”, International Regional Science Review, sayı 32(2), s. 221-254.

REVEALING REGIONAL EMPLOYMENT PERFORMANCE: EXPLORING PERSPECTIVES BEYOND TRADITIONAL GROWTH APPROACHES

Yıl 2024, Cilt: 4 Sayı: 2, 150 - 168, 28.10.2024

Öz

The objective of this study is to evaluate non-growth-related factors influencing employment, delving beyond conventional perspectives. This research aims to unveil the relationships between overall employment performance and other different factors that impact regional economies. Moreover, it becomes feasible to identify the differences and similarities present across various economic regions by adopting an employment-centric approach.For this purpose, a research covering a decade was conducted in specific regional zones, examining the difference between growth and unemployment trends within Türkiye, a nation often classified as developing.The data encompasses the years 2010 to 2020. Data beyond 2020 were not included in the study by virtue of the unpredictable impacts of the Covid-19 pandemic. In order to avoid data loss in the study, missing data were interpolated based on time series analysis. Additionally, the data were transformed to achieve stationarity and freed from autocorrelation effects. Through causality analysis, empirical findings were obtained at a relatively micro level by pinpointing factors demonstrating a causal relationship with employment.Based on the research findings, employment performance displays regional variation independent of the country's macro-level data. These variations may be influenced by factors such as local dynamicsto each region. Observations reveal that in underdeveloped countries lacking geographical homogeneity, regional micro-level data tend to contain more reliable information than macro-level data. Therefore, there's an increasing emphasis on decision-makers having a deeper perspective and directing their attention to local economic regions before making pivotal economic decisions.This article questions the established relationship between employment performance and geography. This research is original as it attempts to identify factors that coincide with employment performance by considering sectoral structure, foreign trade, market size, sectoral diversity and demographic structure within local areas.

Kaynakça

  • Baldwin, J. & Brown, W. (2004). “Regional manufacturing employment volatility in Canada: the effects of specialization and trade”, Papers in Regional Science, 83(3), pp. 519-541.
  • Barro, R. J. (1990). “Government Spending in A Simple Model of Endogenous Growth”, Journal of Political Economy, 98(5), pp. 103- 125.
  • Begovic, B. (1992). “Industrial diversification and city size: the case of Yugoslavia”, Urban Studies, 29(1), pp.77–88.
  • Bradley, R.&Gans, J. S.(1998). “Growth in Australian Cities”, The Economic Record, 74(226), pp. 266-278.
  • Brewer, H. L. &Moomaw, R. L. (1985). “A note on population size, industrial diversification and regional economic instability”, Urban Studies, 22, pp. 349–354
  • Duran, H. E. (2017). “Bölgesel istihdam dalgalanmalarının şiddeti, sebep ve sonuçları: Türkiye örneği.”Yıldız Teknik Üniversitesi Mimarlık Fakültesi E-DergisiMegaron, 12(2), 280-291.
  • Clark, J. S.& Stabler, J. C.(1991). “Gibrat's Law and The Growth of Canadian Cities”, Urban Studies, 28(4), pp. 635-639.
  • Cardella, A. & Paletti, A. (2018). “ICTs and value creation in public sector: manufacturing logic vs service logic”. Information Polity, 23, pp. 125–141.
  • Da Mata, D., Deichman, U., Henderson, J. V., Lall, S. V.& Wang, H. G. (2005). “Examining the Growth Patterns of Brazilian Cities”,Policy Research Working Paper Series, 3724, The World Bank.
  • De Long, J. B.&Shleifer, A. (1993). “Princes and Merchants: European City Growth Before the Industrial Revolution”, Journal of Law & Economics, 36(2), pp. 671-702.
  • Domar, E. D.(1946). “Capital Expansion, Rate of Growth and Employment”, Econometrica, 14(2), pp. 137-147.
  • Duranton, G. (2004).Some economics for Zipf’s Law, Romer and Simon Unified: Mimeo.
  • Ergül, M., & Soylu, Ö. B. (2022). “Türkiye’de Ticari Açıklık ve Sanayide Enerji Tüketimi İlişkisi”, DicleÜniversitesi İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Fakültesi Dergisi, 12(24), pp. 34-48.
  • Ezcurra, R. (2010). “Unemployment Volatility and Regional Specialization in the European Union”, Regional Studies, 45(8), pp.1121–1137.
  • Flesiher, B. M. & Rhodes, G. (1976). “Unemployment and the Labor Force Participation of Married Men and Women: A Simultaneous Model”, The Review of Economics and Statistics, 58(4), pp. 398-406.
  • Filiztekin, A. (1998) “Convergence Across Industries and Provinces in Turkey?”, Koc University Working Paper No. 1998/08. Fine, B. (2000). “Critical survey. Endogenous growth theory: A critical assessment”,Cambridge Journalof Economics, 24(2), pp. 245-265.
  • Friedman, J. (1969). “The Role of Cities in National Development”, American Behavioral Scientist, 12(5), pp. 13-21.
  • Gabaix, X. (1999). “Zipf's Law and The Growth of Cities”, The American Economic Review, 89(2), pp. 129 -132.
  • Gezici, F. ve Hewings, G. (2004) “Regional Convergence and the Economic Performance of Peripheral Areas in Turkey”, Review of Urban and Regional Development Studies, sayı 16(2), s.113-133.
  • Glaeser, E. L., Scheinkman, J. A. &Shleifer, S. A. (1995). “Economic Growth in A Cross-section of Cities”, Journal of Monetary Economics, 36(1), pp. 117-143.
  • Harrod, R. F. (1948).Towards A Dynamic Economics, UK: McMillan.
  • Hoselitz, B. F. (1955). “The City, The Factory, and Economic Growth”, The American Economic Review, 45(2), pp. 166-184.
  • Jacobs, J. (1969).The Economy of Cities, USA: Vintage Books
  • Jaimovich, N. & Siu, H. E. (2009). “The Young, the Old, and the Restless: Demographics and Business Cycle Volatility”, American Economic Review, 99(3), pp. 804-26.
  • Karaca, O. (2004). “Türkiye’de bölgeler arası gelir farklılıkları: yakınsama var mı?”, Türkiye Ekonomi Kurumu tartışma metni, 2004/7.
  • Kong, Q., Peng, D., Ni, Y., Jiang, X., & Wang, Z. (2021). “Trade openness and economic growth qualityof China: Empirical analysis using ARDL model”,Finance Research Letters, 38, 101488.
  • Kort, J. (1981). “Regional economic instability and industrial diversification in the US”,Land Economics, 57, pp. 596–608.
  • Lee, A. T. & Miller, P. W. (2000). “Poor quality jobs: do they lead to churning.”In: John Mangan (Ed.) Understanding and reducing unemployment: national and state perspectives. Office of Economic and Statistical Research, Queensland Treasury, Brisbane. Lucas, R. E. (1988). “On the Mechanics of Economic Development”, Journal of Monetary Economics, 22, pp. 3-42.
  • Malizia, E. E. & Ke, S. (1993). “The influence of economic diversity on employment and stability”, Journal of Regional Science, 33(2), pp. 221–235.
  • Moore, M. H. (1995). Creating Public Value: Strategic Management in Government. Cambridge MA: Harvard University Press.
  • Nabatchi, T. (2017). “Public Values Frames in Administration and Governance”,Perspectives on Public Management and Governance, 1(1), pp. 59–72.
  • Owyang, M. T. & Wall, H. J. (2009). “Regional VARs and the channels of monetary policy”, Applied Economics Letters, 16(12), pp. 1191-1194
  • Panagiotopoulos, P., Klievink, B. & Cordella, A. (2019). “Public Value Creation in Digital Government”, Government Information Quarterly, 36(4), pp. 101421
  • Ragan, K, &Trehan, B. (1998). “Cities and Growth”, FRBSF Economic Letter, 11, pp. 98-127.
  • Ramsey, F. P. (1928). “A Mathematical Theory of Saving”,The Economic Journal, 38(152), pp. 543-559.
  • Rauch, J. E.(1991). “Productivity Gains from Geographic Concentration of Human Capital: evidence from The Cities”, NBER Working Papers National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  • Rodriquez-Pose, R. & Fratesi, U. (2007). “Regional business cycles and the emergence of sheltered economies in the southern periphery of Europe”, Growth and Change, 38, 2(2), pp. 280-291.
  • Romer, P. M. (1986). “Increasing Returns and Long Run Growth”, Journal of Political Economy, 94(5), pp. 1002-1037. Romer, P. M. (1990). “Endogenous Technological Change”, Journal of Political Economy, 98(5), pp. 71-102.
  • Romer, P. M. (1994). “The Origins of Endogenous Growth”, Journal of Economic Perspectiv, 8(1), pp. 3-22.
  • Solow, R. M.(1956). “A Contribution to The Theory of Economic Growth”, Quarterly Journal of Economics, 70, pp. 65-95.
  • Talbot, C. (2011). “Paradoxes and Prospects of ‘Public Value’”. Public Money & Management, 31(1), pp. 27–34.
  • Trendle, B. (2006). “Regional economic instability: the role of industrial diversification and spatial spillovers”,Annals Regional Science, 40, pp. 767–778.
  • TÜİK. (2022). Turkish Statistical Institute: Ankara
  • Viledecans Marsal, E. (2002). “The Growth of Cities: Does Agglomeration Matter?”Working Papers,Institut d'Economia de Barcelona (IEB), No 2002/3.
  • Yıldırım, J., Öcal, N. vel Özyıldırım, S. (2009) “Income inequality and economic convergence in Turkey: A spatial effect analysis”, International Regional Science Review, sayı 32(2), s. 221-254.
Toplam 45 adet kaynakça vardır.

Ayrıntılar

Birincil Dil İngilizce
Konular İstihdam
Bölüm Araştırma Makaleleri
Yazarlar

Serdar Çakan 0000-0001-7444-9079

Yayımlanma Tarihi 28 Ekim 2024
Gönderilme Tarihi 23 Ekim 2024
Kabul Tarihi 28 Ekim 2024
Yayımlandığı Sayı Yıl 2024 Cilt: 4 Sayı: 2

Kaynak Göster

APA Çakan, S. (2024). REVEALING REGIONAL EMPLOYMENT PERFORMANCE: EXPLORING PERSPECTIVES BEYOND TRADITIONAL GROWTH APPROACHES. Kamu Ekonomisi Ve Kamu Mali Yönetimi Dergisi, 4(2), 150-168.