Araştırma Makalesi
BibTex RIS Kaynak Göster

Yıl 2025, Cilt: 10 Sayı: 2, 519 - 530, 11.11.2025
https://doi.org/10.26650/JTL.2025.1636717

Öz

Kaynakça

  • Agarwal, A., & Ojha, R. (2024). Prioritizing implications of Industry-4.0 on the sustainable development goals: A perspective from the analytic hierarchy process in manufacturing operations. Journal of Cleaner Production, 444, 141189. google scholar
  • Aguocha, N. M. (2018). Stowaways: A threat to maritime security and the curse of shipowners (Doctoral dissertation, University of KwaZulu-Natal). https://researchspace.ukzn.ac.za/server/api/core/bitstreams/3ea9315b-d173-4a51-9489-4eedbdd82cf0/content google scholar
  • Akyuz, E., & Celik, M. (2016). A hybrid human error probability determination approach: The case of cargo loading operation in oil/ chemical tanker ship. Journal of Loss Prevention in the Process Industries, 43, 424-431. google scholar
  • Arici, S. S., Akyuz, E., & Arslan, O. (2020). Application of fuzzy bow-tie risk analysis to maritime transportation: The case of ship collision during the STS operation. Ocean Engineering, 217, 107960. google scholar
  • Arici, S. S., Tekeli, M. M., Sezer, S. I., Akyuz, E., Arslan, O., & Aydin, M. (2024). Prediction of human error probability in helicopter to ship transfer operation under an evidential reasoning extended CREAM approach. International Journal of Occupational Safety and Ergonomics, 1-12. google scholar
  • Camliyurt, G., Choi, S. A., Kim, S. R., Guzel, A. T., & Park, Y. S. (2022). Risk Assessment for Marine Pilot Occupational Accidents using Fault Tree and Event Tree Analysis. Journal of Navigation and Port Research, 46(5), 400-408. google scholar
  • Ceylan, B. O. (2023). Shipboard compressor system risk analysis by using rule-based fuzzy FMEA for preventing major marine accidents. Ocean Engineering, 272, 113888. google scholar
  • Chen, Y. H., Chen, S. L., & Wu, C. H. (2005, October 24–26). The impact of stowaways and illegal migrants by sea: A case study in Taiwan. Proceedings of the International Association of Maritime Universities (IAMU). google scholar
  • Chen, Y., Xie, S., & Tian, Z. (2022). Risk assessment of buried gas pipelines based on improved cloud-variable weight theory. Reliability Engineering & System Safety, 221, 108374. google scholar
  • Darko, A., Chan, A. P. C., Ameyaw, E. E., Owusu, E. K., Pärn, E., & Edwards, D. J. (2019). Review of application of analytic hierarchy process (AHP) in construction. International Journal of Construction Management, 19(5), 436-452. google scholar
  • de Maya, B. N., Komianos, A., Wood, B., de Wolff, L., Kurt, R. E., & Turan, O. (2022). A practical application of the Hierarchical Task Analysis (HTA) and Human Error Assessment and Reduction Technique (HEART) to identify the major errors with mitigating actions taken after fire detection onboard passenger vessels. Ocean Engineering, 253, 111339. google scholar
  • Elidolu, G., Teixeira, Â. P., & Arslanoğlu, Y. (2024). A risk assessment of inhibited cargo operations in maritime transportation: a case of handling styrene monomer. Ocean Engineering, 312, 119049. google scholar Erdem, P., & Akyuz, E. (2021). An interval type-2 fuzzy SLIM approach to predict human error in maritime transportation. Ocean engineering, 232, 109161. google scholar
  • Guo, B., Zang, W., Yang, X., Huang, X., Zhang, R., Wu, H., … & Zhang, Y. (2020). Improved evaluation method of the soil wind erosion intensity based on the cloud–AHP model under the stress of global climate change. Science of the Total Environment, 746, 141271. google scholar
  • Hocek, H., Yazır, D., Aygün, C., & Özdemir, Ü. (2024). The effect of failure on energy efficiency in maritime vessels autopilot systems. Ocean & Coastal Management, 259, 107451. google scholar
  • IMO. (2018). Resolution Fal.13(42). Revised Guidelines on the Prevention of Access By Stowaways and the Allocation of Responsibilities to Seek the Successful Resolution of Stowaway Cases. google scholar
  • IMO. (2019). Consideration and Analysis of Reports and Information on Persons Rescued at Sea and Stowaways. Facilitation Committee, 43rd session, Agenda item 13, FAL 43/13. google scholar
  • Islam, R., Khan, F., Abbassi, R., & Garaniya, V. (2018). Human error probability assessment during maintenance activities of marine systems. Safety and Health at Work, 9(1), 42-52. google scholar
  • Kirichenko, D., & Sabadash, Y. (2018). Stowaways on Ships: Measures for the Prevention. In Crimean Marine Science Research And Technology Conference 2018 (pp. 53-57). google scholar
  • Kong, D., Lin, Z., Li, W., & He, W. (2024). Development of an improved Bayesian network method for maritime accident safety assessment based on multiscale scenario analysis theory. Reliability Engineering & System Safety, 251, 110344. google scholar
  • Kusakci, S., Yilmaz, M. K., Kusakci, A. O., Sowe, S., & Nantembelele, F. A. (2022). Towards sustainable cities: A sustainability assessment study for metropolitan cities in Turkey via a hybridized IT2F-AHP and COPRAS approach. Sustainable Cities and Society, 78, 103655. google scholar
  • Li, D., Liu, C., & Gan, W. (2009). A new cognitive model: Cloud model. International Journal of Intelligent Systems, 24(3), 357-375. google scholar
  • Li, F., Zhang, L., Dong, S., Xu, L., Zhang, H., & Chen, L. (2024). Risk assessment of bolt-gasket-flange connection (BGFC) failures at hydrogen transfer stations based on improved FMEA. International Journal of Hydrogen Energy, 50, 700-716. google scholar
  • Liu, H. C., Luan, X., Li, Z., & Wu, J. (2017). Linguistic Petri nets based on cloud model theory for knowledge representation and reasoning. IEEE Transactions on Knowledge and Data Engineering, 30(4), 717-728. google scholar
  • Liu, J., Wang, D., Lin, Q., & Deng, M. (2023). Risk assessment based on FMEA combining DEA and cloud model: A case application in robot- assisted rehabilitation. Expert Systems with Applications, 214, 119119. google scholar
  • Moslem, S. (2024). A novel parsimonious spherical fuzzy analytic hierarchy process for sustainable urban transport solutions. Engineering Applications of Artificial Intelligence, 128, 107447. google scholar
  • Pei, H., Gong, H., Ding, M., Ma, Y., Wang, Z., & Xin, Q. (2024). A CREAM model optimization method based on fatigue testing experiments and machine learning techniques for maritime transportation applications. Ocean Engineering, 311, 118868. google scholar
  • Raiyan, A., Das, S., & Islam, M. R. (2017). Event tree analysis of marine accidents in Bangladesh. Procedia Engineering, 194, 276-283. google scholar
  • Ransikarbum, K., & Pitakaso, R. (2024). Multi-objective optimization design of sustainable biofuel network with integrated fuzzy analytic hierarchy process. Expert Systems with Applications, 240, 122586. google scholar
  • Saaty, T. L. (1990). How to make a decision: the analytic hierarchy process. European Journal of Operational Research, 48(1), 9-26. google scholar
  • Sezer, S. I., Akyuz, E., & Gardoni, P. (2023). Prediction of human error probability under Evidential Reasoning extended SLIM approach: The case of tank cleaning in chemical tanker. Reliability Engineering & System Safety, 238, 109414. google scholar
  • Sezer, S. I., Ceylan, B. O., Akyuz, E., & Gardoni, P. (2024). Improved Z-number and fault tree analysis to predict the risk of air pollution due to ship boiler operation. Marine Pollution Bulletin, 206, 116801. google scholar
  • Temel, B., Sakar, C., & Buber, M. (2024). Fuzzy bow-tie analysis for mitigating self-heating risks in maritime coal transportation. Marine Pollution Bulletin, 209, 117122. google scholar
  • Thanki, S., Govindan, K., & Thakkar, J. (2016). An investigation on lean-green implementation practices in Indian SMEs using analytical hierarchy process (AHP) approach. Journal Of Cleaner Production, 135, 284-298. google scholar
  • Tunçel, A. L., Akyuz, E., & Arslan, O. (2021). An Extended Event Tree Risk Analysis Under Fuzzy Logic Environment: The Case of Fire in Ship Engine Room. Journal of ETA Maritime Science, 9(3). google scholar
  • United Nations Conference on Trade and Development (UNCTAD)(2024). Review of Maritime Transport. Geneva: UNCTAD. google scholar
  • Wan, J., Baumler, R., & Dalaklis, D. (2024). Identifying key safety investments needed for arctic shipping via a fuzzy analytic hierarchy process (FAHP) approach. Journal of International Maritime Safety, Environmental Affairs, and Shipping, 8(4), 2422710. google scholar
  • Wang, J. Q., Peng, L., Zhang, H. Y., & Chen, X. H. (2014). Method of multi-criteria group decision-making based on cloud aggregation operators with linguistic information. Information Sciences, 274, 177-191. google scholar
  • Xie, S., Dong, S., Chen, Y., Peng, Y., & Li, X. (2021). A novel risk evaluation method for fire and explosion accidents in oil depots using bow-tie analysis and risk matrix analysis method based on cloud model theory. Reliability Engineering & System Safety, 215, 107791. google scholar
  • Zhang, H., Wang, T., Ding, Z., Zhang, X., & Han, L. (2020). Uncertainty analysis of impact factors of eco-environmental vulnerability based on cloud theory. Ecological Indicators, 110, 105864. google scholar
  • Zhang, J., Jin, M., Wan, C., Dong, Z., & Wu, X. (2024). A Bayesian network-based model for risk modeling and scenario deduction of collision accidents of inland intelligent ships. Reliability Engineering & System Safety, 243, 109816. google scholar
  • Zhou, X., Cheng, L., & Li, M. (2020). Assessing and mapping maritime transportation risk based on spatial fuzzy multi-criteria decision making: A case study in the South China sea. Ocean Engineering, 208, 107403. google scholar

Application of the cloud theory and AHP methods for stowaway incidents on ships

Yıl 2025, Cilt: 10 Sayı: 2, 519 - 530, 11.11.2025
https://doi.org/10.26650/JTL.2025.1636717

Öz

Stowaway incidents on board not only cause serious legal and economic problems but also threaten operational safety and the lives of stowaways. The aim of this paper is to perform a safety assessment of stowaway incidents. In this context, the main criteria and sub-criteria that cause stowaway cases are established. The importance levels of these criteria are determined by weighting. To achieve this, a cloud model-based analytical hierarchy process (AHP) approach is applied. While the AHP weights the criteria, the cloud model (CM) deals with uncertainties. This approach can also be applied to other safety assessments. In the evaluation, the port-related (2) and ship-related (1) main criteria were identified as relatively critical elements. Moreover, sub-criteria 1.3 (Regular monitoring and patrolling of onboard areas) under main criterion 1, sub-criteria 2.1 (Socioeconomic situation) under main criteria 2, and sub-criteria 3.1 (Duration of the operation) under main criterion 3 were determined as relatively critical factors. The findings of the study provide valuable insights and a roadmap for strategic planning to ship crew, shipowners, terminal authorities and safety researchers in terms of identifying priority areas for the prevention of stowaways.

Kaynakça

  • Agarwal, A., & Ojha, R. (2024). Prioritizing implications of Industry-4.0 on the sustainable development goals: A perspective from the analytic hierarchy process in manufacturing operations. Journal of Cleaner Production, 444, 141189. google scholar
  • Aguocha, N. M. (2018). Stowaways: A threat to maritime security and the curse of shipowners (Doctoral dissertation, University of KwaZulu-Natal). https://researchspace.ukzn.ac.za/server/api/core/bitstreams/3ea9315b-d173-4a51-9489-4eedbdd82cf0/content google scholar
  • Akyuz, E., & Celik, M. (2016). A hybrid human error probability determination approach: The case of cargo loading operation in oil/ chemical tanker ship. Journal of Loss Prevention in the Process Industries, 43, 424-431. google scholar
  • Arici, S. S., Akyuz, E., & Arslan, O. (2020). Application of fuzzy bow-tie risk analysis to maritime transportation: The case of ship collision during the STS operation. Ocean Engineering, 217, 107960. google scholar
  • Arici, S. S., Tekeli, M. M., Sezer, S. I., Akyuz, E., Arslan, O., & Aydin, M. (2024). Prediction of human error probability in helicopter to ship transfer operation under an evidential reasoning extended CREAM approach. International Journal of Occupational Safety and Ergonomics, 1-12. google scholar
  • Camliyurt, G., Choi, S. A., Kim, S. R., Guzel, A. T., & Park, Y. S. (2022). Risk Assessment for Marine Pilot Occupational Accidents using Fault Tree and Event Tree Analysis. Journal of Navigation and Port Research, 46(5), 400-408. google scholar
  • Ceylan, B. O. (2023). Shipboard compressor system risk analysis by using rule-based fuzzy FMEA for preventing major marine accidents. Ocean Engineering, 272, 113888. google scholar
  • Chen, Y. H., Chen, S. L., & Wu, C. H. (2005, October 24–26). The impact of stowaways and illegal migrants by sea: A case study in Taiwan. Proceedings of the International Association of Maritime Universities (IAMU). google scholar
  • Chen, Y., Xie, S., & Tian, Z. (2022). Risk assessment of buried gas pipelines based on improved cloud-variable weight theory. Reliability Engineering & System Safety, 221, 108374. google scholar
  • Darko, A., Chan, A. P. C., Ameyaw, E. E., Owusu, E. K., Pärn, E., & Edwards, D. J. (2019). Review of application of analytic hierarchy process (AHP) in construction. International Journal of Construction Management, 19(5), 436-452. google scholar
  • de Maya, B. N., Komianos, A., Wood, B., de Wolff, L., Kurt, R. E., & Turan, O. (2022). A practical application of the Hierarchical Task Analysis (HTA) and Human Error Assessment and Reduction Technique (HEART) to identify the major errors with mitigating actions taken after fire detection onboard passenger vessels. Ocean Engineering, 253, 111339. google scholar
  • Elidolu, G., Teixeira, Â. P., & Arslanoğlu, Y. (2024). A risk assessment of inhibited cargo operations in maritime transportation: a case of handling styrene monomer. Ocean Engineering, 312, 119049. google scholar Erdem, P., & Akyuz, E. (2021). An interval type-2 fuzzy SLIM approach to predict human error in maritime transportation. Ocean engineering, 232, 109161. google scholar
  • Guo, B., Zang, W., Yang, X., Huang, X., Zhang, R., Wu, H., … & Zhang, Y. (2020). Improved evaluation method of the soil wind erosion intensity based on the cloud–AHP model under the stress of global climate change. Science of the Total Environment, 746, 141271. google scholar
  • Hocek, H., Yazır, D., Aygün, C., & Özdemir, Ü. (2024). The effect of failure on energy efficiency in maritime vessels autopilot systems. Ocean & Coastal Management, 259, 107451. google scholar
  • IMO. (2018). Resolution Fal.13(42). Revised Guidelines on the Prevention of Access By Stowaways and the Allocation of Responsibilities to Seek the Successful Resolution of Stowaway Cases. google scholar
  • IMO. (2019). Consideration and Analysis of Reports and Information on Persons Rescued at Sea and Stowaways. Facilitation Committee, 43rd session, Agenda item 13, FAL 43/13. google scholar
  • Islam, R., Khan, F., Abbassi, R., & Garaniya, V. (2018). Human error probability assessment during maintenance activities of marine systems. Safety and Health at Work, 9(1), 42-52. google scholar
  • Kirichenko, D., & Sabadash, Y. (2018). Stowaways on Ships: Measures for the Prevention. In Crimean Marine Science Research And Technology Conference 2018 (pp. 53-57). google scholar
  • Kong, D., Lin, Z., Li, W., & He, W. (2024). Development of an improved Bayesian network method for maritime accident safety assessment based on multiscale scenario analysis theory. Reliability Engineering & System Safety, 251, 110344. google scholar
  • Kusakci, S., Yilmaz, M. K., Kusakci, A. O., Sowe, S., & Nantembelele, F. A. (2022). Towards sustainable cities: A sustainability assessment study for metropolitan cities in Turkey via a hybridized IT2F-AHP and COPRAS approach. Sustainable Cities and Society, 78, 103655. google scholar
  • Li, D., Liu, C., & Gan, W. (2009). A new cognitive model: Cloud model. International Journal of Intelligent Systems, 24(3), 357-375. google scholar
  • Li, F., Zhang, L., Dong, S., Xu, L., Zhang, H., & Chen, L. (2024). Risk assessment of bolt-gasket-flange connection (BGFC) failures at hydrogen transfer stations based on improved FMEA. International Journal of Hydrogen Energy, 50, 700-716. google scholar
  • Liu, H. C., Luan, X., Li, Z., & Wu, J. (2017). Linguistic Petri nets based on cloud model theory for knowledge representation and reasoning. IEEE Transactions on Knowledge and Data Engineering, 30(4), 717-728. google scholar
  • Liu, J., Wang, D., Lin, Q., & Deng, M. (2023). Risk assessment based on FMEA combining DEA and cloud model: A case application in robot- assisted rehabilitation. Expert Systems with Applications, 214, 119119. google scholar
  • Moslem, S. (2024). A novel parsimonious spherical fuzzy analytic hierarchy process for sustainable urban transport solutions. Engineering Applications of Artificial Intelligence, 128, 107447. google scholar
  • Pei, H., Gong, H., Ding, M., Ma, Y., Wang, Z., & Xin, Q. (2024). A CREAM model optimization method based on fatigue testing experiments and machine learning techniques for maritime transportation applications. Ocean Engineering, 311, 118868. google scholar
  • Raiyan, A., Das, S., & Islam, M. R. (2017). Event tree analysis of marine accidents in Bangladesh. Procedia Engineering, 194, 276-283. google scholar
  • Ransikarbum, K., & Pitakaso, R. (2024). Multi-objective optimization design of sustainable biofuel network with integrated fuzzy analytic hierarchy process. Expert Systems with Applications, 240, 122586. google scholar
  • Saaty, T. L. (1990). How to make a decision: the analytic hierarchy process. European Journal of Operational Research, 48(1), 9-26. google scholar
  • Sezer, S. I., Akyuz, E., & Gardoni, P. (2023). Prediction of human error probability under Evidential Reasoning extended SLIM approach: The case of tank cleaning in chemical tanker. Reliability Engineering & System Safety, 238, 109414. google scholar
  • Sezer, S. I., Ceylan, B. O., Akyuz, E., & Gardoni, P. (2024). Improved Z-number and fault tree analysis to predict the risk of air pollution due to ship boiler operation. Marine Pollution Bulletin, 206, 116801. google scholar
  • Temel, B., Sakar, C., & Buber, M. (2024). Fuzzy bow-tie analysis for mitigating self-heating risks in maritime coal transportation. Marine Pollution Bulletin, 209, 117122. google scholar
  • Thanki, S., Govindan, K., & Thakkar, J. (2016). An investigation on lean-green implementation practices in Indian SMEs using analytical hierarchy process (AHP) approach. Journal Of Cleaner Production, 135, 284-298. google scholar
  • Tunçel, A. L., Akyuz, E., & Arslan, O. (2021). An Extended Event Tree Risk Analysis Under Fuzzy Logic Environment: The Case of Fire in Ship Engine Room. Journal of ETA Maritime Science, 9(3). google scholar
  • United Nations Conference on Trade and Development (UNCTAD)(2024). Review of Maritime Transport. Geneva: UNCTAD. google scholar
  • Wan, J., Baumler, R., & Dalaklis, D. (2024). Identifying key safety investments needed for arctic shipping via a fuzzy analytic hierarchy process (FAHP) approach. Journal of International Maritime Safety, Environmental Affairs, and Shipping, 8(4), 2422710. google scholar
  • Wang, J. Q., Peng, L., Zhang, H. Y., & Chen, X. H. (2014). Method of multi-criteria group decision-making based on cloud aggregation operators with linguistic information. Information Sciences, 274, 177-191. google scholar
  • Xie, S., Dong, S., Chen, Y., Peng, Y., & Li, X. (2021). A novel risk evaluation method for fire and explosion accidents in oil depots using bow-tie analysis and risk matrix analysis method based on cloud model theory. Reliability Engineering & System Safety, 215, 107791. google scholar
  • Zhang, H., Wang, T., Ding, Z., Zhang, X., & Han, L. (2020). Uncertainty analysis of impact factors of eco-environmental vulnerability based on cloud theory. Ecological Indicators, 110, 105864. google scholar
  • Zhang, J., Jin, M., Wan, C., Dong, Z., & Wu, X. (2024). A Bayesian network-based model for risk modeling and scenario deduction of collision accidents of inland intelligent ships. Reliability Engineering & System Safety, 243, 109816. google scholar
  • Zhou, X., Cheng, L., & Li, M. (2020). Assessing and mapping maritime transportation risk based on spatial fuzzy multi-criteria decision making: A case study in the South China sea. Ocean Engineering, 208, 107403. google scholar
Toplam 41 adet kaynakça vardır.

Ayrıntılar

Birincil Dil İngilizce
Konular Üretim ve Endüstri Mühendisliği (Diğer)
Bölüm Araştırma Makalesi
Yazarlar

Şükrü İlke Sezer 0000-0002-7302-747X

Gönderilme Tarihi 10 Şubat 2025
Kabul Tarihi 15 Mayıs 2025
Yayımlanma Tarihi 11 Kasım 2025
Yayımlandığı Sayı Yıl 2025 Cilt: 10 Sayı: 2

Kaynak Göster

APA Sezer, Ş. İ. (2025). Application of the cloud theory and AHP methods for stowaway incidents on ships. Journal of Transportation and Logistics, 10(2), 519-530. https://doi.org/10.26650/JTL.2025.1636717
AMA Sezer Şİ. Application of the cloud theory and AHP methods for stowaway incidents on ships. JTL. Kasım 2025;10(2):519-530. doi:10.26650/JTL.2025.1636717
Chicago Sezer, Şükrü İlke. “Application of the cloud theory and AHP methods for stowaway incidents on ships”. Journal of Transportation and Logistics 10, sy. 2 (Kasım 2025): 519-30. https://doi.org/10.26650/JTL.2025.1636717.
EndNote Sezer Şİ (01 Kasım 2025) Application of the cloud theory and AHP methods for stowaway incidents on ships. Journal of Transportation and Logistics 10 2 519–530.
IEEE Ş. İ. Sezer, “Application of the cloud theory and AHP methods for stowaway incidents on ships”, JTL, c. 10, sy. 2, ss. 519–530, 2025, doi: 10.26650/JTL.2025.1636717.
ISNAD Sezer, Şükrü İlke. “Application of the cloud theory and AHP methods for stowaway incidents on ships”. Journal of Transportation and Logistics 10/2 (Kasım2025), 519-530. https://doi.org/10.26650/JTL.2025.1636717.
JAMA Sezer Şİ. Application of the cloud theory and AHP methods for stowaway incidents on ships. JTL. 2025;10:519–530.
MLA Sezer, Şükrü İlke. “Application of the cloud theory and AHP methods for stowaway incidents on ships”. Journal of Transportation and Logistics, c. 10, sy. 2, 2025, ss. 519-30, doi:10.26650/JTL.2025.1636717.
Vancouver Sezer Şİ. Application of the cloud theory and AHP methods for stowaway incidents on ships. JTL. 2025;10(2):519-30.