Belirsizlik Çağında Stratejik Düşünme ve Denizcilik Stratejisi

Yıl 2025, Cilt: 1 Sayı: 2, 22 - 74, 03.09.2025

Salim Alqassmi

Öz

Zengin bir tarihsel analiz ve çağdaş bilim dokusundan yararlanarak hazırlanan bu makale, 1990'dan 2030'a kadar Basra Körfezi ve Akdeniz'in karşılaştırmalı bir incelemesi yoluyla denizcilik stratejisinin devam eden evrimini incelemektedir. En başarılı deniz güçlerinin ekonomik, politik ve askeri boyutları sürekli olarak değişen küresel gerçeklere yanıt veren uyarlanabilir stratejilere dönüştürdüğünü göstermektedir. Özellikle, teknolojik yeniliğin, çevresel dönüşümün ve çok kutuplu rekabetin yeniden canlanmasının etkisi, modern denizcilik doktrinini önemli ölçüde şekillendirdi ve siber savaş ve korsanlık gibi ortaya çıkan tehditlere çevik yanıtlar verilmesini gerektirdi. Makale aynı zamanda, klasik teorisyenlerin ve tarihsel vaka çalışmalarının kalıcı önemine dikkat çekerek, zaman içinde test edilmiş stratejik ilkelerin ileri görüşlü inovasyonla sentezinin, hızla değişen ve belirsiz bir uluslararası manzarada çıkarlarını korumaya ve deniz hakimiyetini sürdürmeye çalışan uluslar için hayati önem taşıdığını ortaya koymaktadır. Bu yaklaşım, günümüzün deniz güvenliği ortamının oynaklığı ve öngörülemezliği arasında gezinmek için çok önemlidir.

Anahtar Kelimeler

Denizcilik Stratejisi , Evrim , Çok Kutuplu Rekabet , Uyarlanabilirlik , Teknolojik Evrim

Teşekkür

Yazar, bu makalenin hazırlanmasındaki paha biçilmez katkıları için tez danışmanları Paris Amerikan Üniversitesi'nden Profesör Hall Gardner ve Şiraz Üniversitesi'nden Dr. Yousuf Qorashi'ye içten teşekkürlerini sunar.

Strategic Thinking and Maritime Strategy – In an Era of Uncertainty

Öz

Drawing from a rich tapestry of historical analysis and contemporary scholarship, this article examines the ongoing evolution of maritime strategy through a comparative study of the Persian Gulf and the Mediterranean from 1990 to 2030. It demonstrates that the most successful maritime powers have consistently fused economic, political, and military dimensions into adaptable strategies that respond to changing global realities. Notably, the influence of technological innovation, environmental transformation, and the resurgence of multipolar competition have significantly shaped modern naval doctrine, necessitating agile responses to emerging threats such as cyberwarfare and piracy. The article also spotlights the enduring relevance of classical theorists and historical case studies, arguing that the synthesis of time-tested strategic principles with forward-thinking innovation is vital for nations striving to protect their interests and maintain maritime dominance amid a rapidly changing and uncertain international landscape. This approach is crucial for navigating the volatility and unpredictability of today’s maritime security environment.

Anahtar Kelimeler

Maritime Strategy , Evolution , Multipolar Competition , Adaptability , Technological Evolution

Teşekkür

The author would like to express their sincere gratitude to their thesis advisors, Professor Hall Gardner of the American University of Paris and Dr. Yousuf Qorashi of the Shiraz University, for their invaluable contributions to the preparation of this article.

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