Araştırma Makalesi

The Benefits of Uncertainty and Risk Assessment Studies on the M5 Metro Line (Istanbul - Turkey)

Cilt: 6 Sayı: 1 31 Mayıs 2023
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The Benefits of Uncertainty and Risk Assessment Studies on the M5 Metro Line (Istanbul - Turkey)

Öz

Uncertainty is often the most significant source of risk associated with a project in tunnel and underground construction. Unforeseen uncertainties can lead to significant construction problems leading to reduced tunnel advances and delays, cost increases, damage to existing infrastructure and/or damage to building equipment. The M5 metro line, which is the subject of the study, is located in Uskudar – Umraniye - Cekmekoy - Sancaktepe district on the Asian side of Istanbul. The line is approximately 17.5 km long and has 16 cut and cover stations. M5 metro line was used the four earth pressure balance (EPB) tunnel boring machines. The effect of uncertainty on risk assessment and decision-making is increasingly given priority, particularly for large infrastructure projects such as tunnels where uncertainty is often the primary source of risk. This article is intended to explain the tangible benefits of underground uncertainty and risk assessment of the M5 metro construction for underground project stakeholders, local authorities, designers, practitioners and researchers.

Anahtar Kelimeler

Destekleyen Kurum

no

Proje Numarası

no

Teşekkür

The author thanks to DOGUS CONSTRUCTION GROUP engineers and the ISTANBUL METROPOLITAN MUNICIPALITY managers for their supports.

Kaynakça

  1. [1] Lin P., Liu H.Y., Zhou W.Y., 2015. Experimental study of failure behavior of deep tunnels under high in-situ stresses. Tunneling and Underground Space Technology, 46, pp.28-45.
  2. [2] Zhong M.H., Zhang X.K., Liu T.M., Wei X., Fan W.C., 2003. Safety evaluation of engineering and construction projects in China. Journal of Loss Prevention in the Process Industries, 16(3), pp.201-207.
  3. [3] Liu T.M., Zhong M.H., Xing J.J., 2005. Industrial accidents: challenges for China’s economic and social development. Safety Science, 43(8), pp.503-522.
  4. [4] Xia Y., Xiong Z., Dong X., Lu H., 2017. Risk assessment and decision-making under uncertainty in tunnel and underground engineering. Entropy 19, 549. https://doi.org/10.3390/e19100549
  5. [5] Qian Q.H., 2014. Report on the strategy and countermeasure of safety risk management system for civil engineering in China. Consulting Research Project of Chinese Academy of Engineering.
  6. [6] Ozcelik M., 2020. Examination of uncertainties and risk sources in Dudullu-Bostanci (Istanbul) Metro construction. Arabian Journal of Geosciences, 13, 355. https://doi.org/10.1007/s12517-020-05400-z
  7. [7] Ozcelik M, Aydemir M.C., 2021. Evaluation of uncertainties in travertine rock mass for the Antalya (Turkey) Metro tunnel excavation, Journal of Taibah University for Science, 15(1), pp.295-302, https://doi.org/ 10.1080/16583655.2021.1978832
  8. [8] Hou W, Yang Q, Chen X, Xiao F, Chen Y., 2021. Uncertainty analysis and visualization of geological subsurface and its application in metro station construction. Frontiers in Earth Science, 15(3), pp.692–704. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11707-021-0897-6

Ayrıntılar

Birincil Dil

İngilizce

Konular

Genel Jeoloji

Bölüm

Araştırma Makalesi

Erken Görünüm Tarihi

31 Mayıs 2023

Yayımlanma Tarihi

31 Mayıs 2023

Gönderilme Tarihi

30 Aralık 2021

Kabul Tarihi

16 Ağustos 2022

Yayımlandığı Sayı

Yıl 2023 Cilt: 6 Sayı: 1

Kaynak Göster

APA
Özçelik, M. (2023). The Benefits of Uncertainty and Risk Assessment Studies on the M5 Metro Line (Istanbul - Turkey). Kocaeli Journal of Science and Engineering, 6(1), 13-25. https://doi.org/10.34088/kojose.1051138
AMA
1.Özçelik M. The Benefits of Uncertainty and Risk Assessment Studies on the M5 Metro Line (Istanbul - Turkey). KOJOSE. 2023;6(1):13-25. doi:10.34088/kojose.1051138
Chicago
Özçelik, Mehmet. 2023. “The Benefits of Uncertainty and Risk Assessment Studies on the M5 Metro Line (Istanbul - Turkey)”. Kocaeli Journal of Science and Engineering 6 (1): 13-25. https://doi.org/10.34088/kojose.1051138.
EndNote
Özçelik M (01 Mayıs 2023) The Benefits of Uncertainty and Risk Assessment Studies on the M5 Metro Line (Istanbul - Turkey). Kocaeli Journal of Science and Engineering 6 1 13–25.
IEEE
[1]M. Özçelik, “The Benefits of Uncertainty and Risk Assessment Studies on the M5 Metro Line (Istanbul - Turkey)”, KOJOSE, c. 6, sy 1, ss. 13–25, May. 2023, doi: 10.34088/kojose.1051138.
ISNAD
Özçelik, Mehmet. “The Benefits of Uncertainty and Risk Assessment Studies on the M5 Metro Line (Istanbul - Turkey)”. Kocaeli Journal of Science and Engineering 6/1 (01 Mayıs 2023): 13-25. https://doi.org/10.34088/kojose.1051138.
JAMA
1.Özçelik M. The Benefits of Uncertainty and Risk Assessment Studies on the M5 Metro Line (Istanbul - Turkey). KOJOSE. 2023;6:13–25.
MLA
Özçelik, Mehmet. “The Benefits of Uncertainty and Risk Assessment Studies on the M5 Metro Line (Istanbul - Turkey)”. Kocaeli Journal of Science and Engineering, c. 6, sy 1, Mayıs 2023, ss. 13-25, doi:10.34088/kojose.1051138.
Vancouver
1.Mehmet Özçelik. The Benefits of Uncertainty and Risk Assessment Studies on the M5 Metro Line (Istanbul - Turkey). KOJOSE. 01 Mayıs 2023;6(1):13-25. doi:10.34088/kojose.1051138