TÜRKİYE EKONOMİSİNDE ENERJİ TÜKETİMİNİN KARBON EMİSYONU ÜZERİNDEKİ ETKİSİ

Abstract

Bu çalışmanın temel amacı, 1960-2014 döneminde Türkiye ekonomisinde Çevresel Kuznets Eğrisi (ÇKE) hipotezi bağlamında enerji tüketiminin karbon emisyonu üzerindeki etkisini ampirik olarak araştırmaktır. Literatüre bağlı olarak ekonomik büyüme, ticari açıklık ve finansal gelişme diğer bağımsız değişkenler olarak ampirik modellere ilave edilmektedir. Ng-Perron ve PP testleri kullanılarak değişkenlerin durağanlık analizi gerçekleştirilmektedir. Değişkenler arasındaki eşbütünleşmenin varlığı Johansen-Juselius ve Phillips-Ouliaris testleri yardımıyla analiz edilmektedir. Uzun dönem parametreleri ise Genelleştirilmiş Momentler Metodu (GMM) ve Dinamik OLS (DOLS) tahmincileri ile tahmin edilmektedir. Ampirik sonuçlar, değişkenlerin birinci farkında durağan ve eşbütünleşik olduğunu ortaya koymaktadır. ÇKE hipotezinin varlığı Türkiye ekonomisi için desteklenmektedir. Ampirik sonuçlar aynı zamanda enerji tüketiminin karbon emisyonunu artırdığını göstermektedir. Çalışma, Türkiye ekonomisi için önemli politika çıkarımları sunabilmektedir.

Keywords

• Karbon Emisyonu,Enerji Tüketimi,Eşbütünleşme,GMM,DOLS,Türkiye

THE IMPACT OF ENERGY CONSUMPTION ON CARBON EMISSIONS IN TURKISH ECONOMY

Abstract

The main aim of this study is to emprically investigate the impact of energy consumption on carbon emissions in Turkish economy over the period of 1960-2014 in the context of Environmental Kuznets Curve (EKC) hypothesis. Based on the existing literature, economic growth, trade openness and financial development are added to the empirical models as other independent variables. The stationarity properties of the variables are conducted by the Ng-Perron and PP tests. The presence of cointegration between the variables is analyzed by the Johansen-Juselius and Phillips-Ouliaris tests. The long run parameters are estimated by the Generalized Method of Moments (GMM) and Dynamic OLS (DOLS) estimators. Empirical results indicate that the variables are stationary at their first difference and cointegrated. The presence of EKC hypothesis is confirmed for Turkish economy. Empirical results also indicate that energy consumption increases carbon emissions. The study can provide important policy implications for Turkish economy.

Keywords

• Carbon Emissions,Energy Consumption,Cointegration,GMM,DOLS,Turkey

References

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