EN
TR
Perform Time-series Predictions in the R Development Environment by Combining Statistical-based Models with a Decomposition-based Approach
Öz
The analysis of a time-series (TS) measured or obtained by observing any area is an important step in characterizing a desired system or a phenomenon and predicting its future behavior. More precisely, predicting the value of an unknown variable is the objective of a predictive model used for TS. While doing this, it analyzes the relationships between past data well and reveals future predictions.
In this study, the prediction method contrasts the decomposition-based approach with non-decomposition-based approaches. In the comparison process, prediction metrics for assessment, such as RMSE, MAE, MPE, and MAPE were used for method achievements and the results obtained were discussed.
The experimental outcomes showed that the proposed decomposition-based approach performs better than non-decomposition-based approach in TS prediction processes.
Anahtar Kelimeler
Kaynakça
- Artasanchez A., Joshi P. Artificial Intelligence with Python, Packt Publishing, Birmingham, UK, 2020.
- Pala Z., Atici R. Forecasting Sunspot Time Series Using Deep Learning Methods, Solar Physics, 294 (50), 1-14, 2019.
- Nielsen A. Practical Time Series Analysis Prediction with Statistics and Machine Learning, O’Reilly Media, Inc., Sebastopol, CA, USA, 2020.
- Pala Z. Using Decomposition-based Approaches to Time Series Forecasting in R Environment, International Conference on Data Science, Machine Learning and Statistics, Van, June 26-29, 2019.
- Pala Z., Ünlük İ.H., Şahin Ç. Forecasting Low Frequency Electromagnetic Fields Values Time Series Using Python, International Conference on Innovative Engineering Applications (CIEA’ 2018), 20-22 Sep, Sivas, Turkey, 2017.
- Mills T.C. Applied Time Series Analysis A Practical Guide to Modeling and Forecasting, Academic Press, London, UK, 2019.
- Hyndman R.J., Athanasopoulos G. Forecasting: Principles and Practice (second ed.), Monash University, Australia, 2018.
- Cleveland, R. B., Cleveland, W. S., McRae, J. E., & Terpenning, I. J. STL: A seasonal-trend decomposition procedure based on loess. Journal of Official Statistics, 6 (1), 3–33, 1990.
Ayrıntılar
Birincil Dil
İngilizce
Konular
Yazılım Mühendisliği
Bölüm
Araştırma Makalesi
Yayımlanma Tarihi
27 Aralık 2020
Gönderilme Tarihi
17 Aralık 2020
Kabul Tarihi
21 Aralık 2020
Yayımlandığı Sayı
Yıl 2020 Cilt: 1 Sayı: 1
APA
Pala, Z., & Pala, A. F. (2020). Perform Time-series Predictions in the R Development Environment by Combining Statistical-based Models with a Decomposition-based Approach. Muş Alparslan Üniversitesi Mühendislik Mimarlık Fakültesi Dergisi, 1(1), 55-63. https://izlik.org/JA82BW85GY
AMA
1.Pala Z, Pala AF. Perform Time-series Predictions in the R Development Environment by Combining Statistical-based Models with a Decomposition-based Approach. Muş Alparslan Üniversitesi Mühendislik Mimarlık Fakültesi Dergisi. 2020;1(1):55-63. https://izlik.org/JA82BW85GY
Chicago
Pala, Zeydin, ve Ahmet Faruk Pala. 2020. “Perform Time-series Predictions in the R Development Environment by Combining Statistical-based Models with a Decomposition-based Approach”. Muş Alparslan Üniversitesi Mühendislik Mimarlık Fakültesi Dergisi 1 (1): 55-63. https://izlik.org/JA82BW85GY.
EndNote
Pala Z, Pala AF (01 Aralık 2020) Perform Time-series Predictions in the R Development Environment by Combining Statistical-based Models with a Decomposition-based Approach. Muş Alparslan Üniversitesi Mühendislik Mimarlık Fakültesi Dergisi 1 1 55–63.
IEEE
[1]Z. Pala ve A. F. Pala, “Perform Time-series Predictions in the R Development Environment by Combining Statistical-based Models with a Decomposition-based Approach”, Muş Alparslan Üniversitesi Mühendislik Mimarlık Fakültesi Dergisi, c. 1, sy 1, ss. 55–63, Ara. 2020, [çevrimiçi]. Erişim adresi: https://izlik.org/JA82BW85GY
ISNAD
Pala, Zeydin - Pala, Ahmet Faruk. “Perform Time-series Predictions in the R Development Environment by Combining Statistical-based Models with a Decomposition-based Approach”. Muş Alparslan Üniversitesi Mühendislik Mimarlık Fakültesi Dergisi 1/1 (01 Aralık 2020): 55-63. https://izlik.org/JA82BW85GY.
JAMA
1.Pala Z, Pala AF. Perform Time-series Predictions in the R Development Environment by Combining Statistical-based Models with a Decomposition-based Approach. Muş Alparslan Üniversitesi Mühendislik Mimarlık Fakültesi Dergisi. 2020;1:55–63.
MLA
Pala, Zeydin, ve Ahmet Faruk Pala. “Perform Time-series Predictions in the R Development Environment by Combining Statistical-based Models with a Decomposition-based Approach”. Muş Alparslan Üniversitesi Mühendislik Mimarlık Fakültesi Dergisi, c. 1, sy 1, Aralık 2020, ss. 55-63, https://izlik.org/JA82BW85GY.
Vancouver
1.Zeydin Pala, Ahmet Faruk Pala. Perform Time-series Predictions in the R Development Environment by Combining Statistical-based Models with a Decomposition-based Approach. Muş Alparslan Üniversitesi Mühendislik Mimarlık Fakültesi Dergisi [Internet]. 01 Aralık 2020;1(1):55-63. Erişim adresi: https://izlik.org/JA82BW85GY