Monitoring of Land Use/Land Cover Change and Statistical Analysis of Change within the Scope of Urban Sprawl; North Cyprus Case

Year 2024, Volume: 9 Issue: 1, 195 - 211, 30.07.2024

Çiğdem Esendağlı , Serdar Selim

https://doi.org/10.30785/mbud.1435714

Abstract

Monitoring land use and land cover (LULC) change is one of the main methods used in assessing landscape dynamics and defining environmental health at different spatio-temporal scales. In this study, the LULC changes between 2013 and 2021 in some centers (Lefkoşa, Girne, Gazimağusa, and Lapta) located in the Northern Cyprus Island were monitored through UA and GIS technologies, and a projection for the year 2050 was created within the scope of the settlements. The results showed that, specifically for settlements, there was an increase of 65.59% in the Girne region, 33.60% in the Lapta region, 66.87% in the Lefkoşa region, and 83.50% in the Gazimağusa region, and this increase was mostly in the north and west directions. As a result of statistical analysis, the 2050 projection reveals that settlement centers will spread significantly. It is anticipated that the results of this study will be a reference for decision-makers within the scope of land management and urban settlement planning in Northern Cyprus.

Keywords

Land use and land cover, change detection, urban sprawl, Landsat 8 OLI, supervised classification.

Arazi Kullanımı/Arazi Örtüsü Değişiminin İzlenmesi ve Kentsel Yayılma Kapsamında Değişimin İstatistiksel Analizi; Kuzey Kıbrıs Örneği

Abstract

Arazi kullanımı ve arazi örtüsü (AKAÖ) değişiminin izlenmesi, peyzaj dinamiklerinin değerlendirilmesinde ve farklı mekânsal-zamansal ölçeklerde çevre sağlığının tanımlanmasında kullanılan temel yöntemlerden biridir. Bu çalışmada da uzaktan algılama (UA) ve coğrafi bilgi sistemleri (CBS) teknolojileri vasıtasıyla Kıbrıs Adası’nın kuzeyinde yer alan bazı merkezlerdeki (Lefkoşa, Girne, Gazimağusa ve Lapta) 2013-2021 yılları arasındaki AKAÖ değişimi izlenmiş ve yerleşimler kapsamında 2050 yılına yönelik projeksiyon oluşturulmuştur Sonuçlar, yerleşim yerleri özelinde Girne bölgesinde %65,59, Lapta bölgesinde %33,60, Lefkoşa bölgesinde %66,87 ve Gazimağusa bölgesinde %83,50 artış olduğunu ve bu artışın çoğunlukla kuzey ve batı yönlü olduğunu göstermiştir. İstatistiksel analizler sonucu 2050 yılı projeksiyonu, yerleşim merkezlerinin önemli oranda yayılım göstereceğini ortaya koymaktadır. Bu çalışma sonuçlarının, Kuzey Kıbrıs özelinde arazi yönetimi ve kentsel yerleşim planlaması kapsamında karar vericilere referans olacağı öngörülmektedir.

Keywords

Arazi kullanımı ve arazi örtüsü, değişim tespiti, kentsel yayılma, Landsat 8 OLI, kontrollü sınıflandırma.

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