TESTING THE VALIDITY OF EXCHANGE RATE DETERMINATION APPROACHES FOR TURKEY
Öz
This paper investigates the two of the exchange rate determination approaches for Turkey. Efficient
Market Hypothesis (EMH) in weak form is tested by using overnight, weekly, monthly, quarterly and
yearly forward exchange rates and spot exchange rates for Turkish Lira/US Dollar and Turkish Lira/
Euro. Weekly data is used to test EMH for 2002:11-2015:06 period. Other approach empirically tested
in this paper is Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) Hypothesis for Turkey. Whether or not this approach
is valid is determined with monthly data covering the 2002:11-2015:03 period. In this study, LP and
LM unit root tests with two structural breaks is applied as method in addition to KPSS and Augmented
Dickey-Fuller unit root tests. Our findings don’t support the evidence that PPP hypothesis is valid but
support that market efficiency in weak form is valid.
Anahtar Kelimeler
Kaynakça
- AKDİ, Yılmaz ve diğerleri, “Testing the PPP Hypothesis for G-7 Countries”, Applied Economics Letters, 16(1), 2009, s.99–101.
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- CUESTAS, Juan C., Regis, Paulo J., “Testing For PPP ın Australia: Evidence From Unit Root Test Against Nonlinear Trend Stationarity Alternatives”, Economics Bulletin, 3, 2008, s. 1-8.
- CUESTAS, Juan C., “Purchasing Power Parity in Central and Eastern European Countries: an Analysis of Unit Roots and Nonlinearities”, Applied Economics Letters, 16(1), 2009, s.87-94.
Ayrıntılar
Birincil Dil
Türkçe
Konular
Ekonomi
Bölüm
Araştırma Makalesi
Yayımlanma Tarihi
25 Aralık 2016
Gönderilme Tarihi
25 Aralık 2016
Kabul Tarihi
1 Aralık 2016
Yayımlandığı Sayı
Yıl 2016 Cilt: 38 Sayı: 2
Cited By
Reel Döviz Kurları Üzerindeki Şoklar Geçici Mi, Kalıcı Mı? Dalgacık Tabanlı Birim Kök Testleri İle Kırılgan Sekizli Ülkeleri İçin Bir Uygulama
Süleyman Demirel Üniversitesi Vizyoner Dergisi
https://doi.org/10.21076/vizyoner.832853
