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TESTING THE VALIDITY OF EXCHANGE RATE DETERMINATION APPROACHES FOR TURKEY

Cilt: 38 Sayı: 2 25 Aralık 2016
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TESTING THE VALIDITY OF EXCHANGE RATE DETERMINATION APPROACHES FOR TURKEY

Öz

This paper investigates the two of the exchange rate determination approaches for Turkey. Efficient

Market Hypothesis (EMH) in weak form is tested by using overnight, weekly, monthly, quarterly and

yearly forward exchange rates and spot exchange rates for Turkish Lira/US Dollar and Turkish Lira/

Euro. Weekly data is used to test EMH for 2002:11-2015:06 period. Other approach empirically tested

in this paper is Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) Hypothesis for Turkey. Whether or not this approach

is valid is determined with monthly data covering the 2002:11-2015:03 period. In this study, LP and

LM unit root tests with two structural breaks is applied as method in addition to KPSS and Augmented

Dickey-Fuller unit root tests. Our findings don’t support the evidence that PPP hypothesis is valid but

support that market efficiency in weak form is valid.

Anahtar Kelimeler

Kaynakça

  1. AKDİ, Yılmaz ve diğerleri, “Testing the PPP Hypothesis for G-7 Countries”, Applied Economics Letters, 16(1), 2009, s.99–101.
  2. AL-KHAZALI, Osamah M. ve diğerleri, “Are Exchange Rate Movements Predictable in Asia-Pacific Markets? Evidence of Random Walk and Martingale Difference Processes”, International Review of Economics and Finance, 21,2012, s.221-231.
  3. BASHIR, Rizwana ve diğerleri, “The Efficiency of Foreign Exchange Markets in Pakistan: An Empirical Analysis”, The Lahore Journal of Economics, 19(1), 2014, s.133-149.
  4. BERKE, Burcu ve diğerleri, “Döviz Piyasasının Etkinliği: Türkiye için Bir Analiz”, Ege Akademik Bakış, 14(4), 2014, s.621-636.
  5. CEYLAN, R., Hakan, U., “Satın Alma Gücü Paritesi Hipotezi (SAGP)’nin OECD Ülkeleri için Test Edilmesi”, Sosyo-Ekonomi, 2, 2014, s.193-210.
  6. CHEUNG, Adrian W.K. ve diğerleri, “Are Euro Exchange Rates Markets Efficient? New Evidence from a Large Panel”, Griffith Discussion Papers, 2011(09), 2011, s.1-13.
  7. CUESTAS, Juan C., Regis, Paulo J., “Testing For PPP ın Australia: Evidence From Unit Root Test Against Nonlinear Trend Stationarity Alternatives”, Economics Bulletin, 3, 2008, s. 1-8.
  8. CUESTAS, Juan C., “Purchasing Power Parity in Central and Eastern European Countries: an Analysis of Unit Roots and Nonlinearities”, Applied Economics Letters, 16(1), 2009, s.87-94.

Ayrıntılar

Birincil Dil

Türkçe

Konular

Ekonomi

Bölüm

Araştırma Makalesi

Yayımlanma Tarihi

25 Aralık 2016

Gönderilme Tarihi

25 Aralık 2016

Kabul Tarihi

1 Aralık 2016

Yayımlandığı Sayı

Yıl 2016 Cilt: 38 Sayı: 2

Kaynak Göster

APA
Gözen, M. Ç., Koç, S., & Abasız, T. (2016). TESTING THE VALIDITY OF EXCHANGE RATE DETERMINATION APPROACHES FOR TURKEY. Marmara Üniversitesi İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Dergisi, 38(2), 111-128. https://doi.org/10.14780/muiibd.281331
AMA
1.Gözen MÇ, Koç S, Abasız T. TESTING THE VALIDITY OF EXCHANGE RATE DETERMINATION APPROACHES FOR TURKEY. Marmara Üniversitesi İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Dergisi. 2016;38(2):111-128. doi:10.14780/muiibd.281331
Chicago
Gözen, Mehmet Çağrı, Selçuk Koç, ve Tezcan Abasız. 2016. “TESTING THE VALIDITY OF EXCHANGE RATE DETERMINATION APPROACHES FOR TURKEY”. Marmara Üniversitesi İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Dergisi 38 (2): 111-28. https://doi.org/10.14780/muiibd.281331.
EndNote
Gözen MÇ, Koç S, Abasız T (01 Aralık 2016) TESTING THE VALIDITY OF EXCHANGE RATE DETERMINATION APPROACHES FOR TURKEY. Marmara Üniversitesi İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Dergisi 38 2 111–128.
IEEE
[1]M. Ç. Gözen, S. Koç, ve T. Abasız, “TESTING THE VALIDITY OF EXCHANGE RATE DETERMINATION APPROACHES FOR TURKEY”, Marmara Üniversitesi İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Dergisi, c. 38, sy 2, ss. 111–128, Ara. 2016, doi: 10.14780/muiibd.281331.
ISNAD
Gözen, Mehmet Çağrı - Koç, Selçuk - Abasız, Tezcan. “TESTING THE VALIDITY OF EXCHANGE RATE DETERMINATION APPROACHES FOR TURKEY”. Marmara Üniversitesi İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Dergisi 38/2 (01 Aralık 2016): 111-128. https://doi.org/10.14780/muiibd.281331.
JAMA
1.Gözen MÇ, Koç S, Abasız T. TESTING THE VALIDITY OF EXCHANGE RATE DETERMINATION APPROACHES FOR TURKEY. Marmara Üniversitesi İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Dergisi. 2016;38:111–128.
MLA
Gözen, Mehmet Çağrı, vd. “TESTING THE VALIDITY OF EXCHANGE RATE DETERMINATION APPROACHES FOR TURKEY”. Marmara Üniversitesi İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Dergisi, c. 38, sy 2, Aralık 2016, ss. 111-28, doi:10.14780/muiibd.281331.
Vancouver
1.Mehmet Çağrı Gözen, Selçuk Koç, Tezcan Abasız. TESTING THE VALIDITY OF EXCHANGE RATE DETERMINATION APPROACHES FOR TURKEY. Marmara Üniversitesi İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Dergisi. 01 Aralık 2016;38(2):111-28. doi:10.14780/muiibd.281331

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