İHRACAT GELİŞMİŞLİĞİ VE BÜYÜMEYE ETKİSİ: MENA ÜLKELERİ ÜZERİNE BİR ÇALIŞMA

Yıl 2021, Cilt: 43 Sayı: 2, 285 - 301, 31.12.2021

Erhan Aslanoğlu Oral Erdoğan Pınar Deniz

https://doi.org/10.14780/muiibd.1052078

Öz

Bu çalışma, öncelikle 2004-2016 dönemi için, OPEC üyesi olan ve olmayan ülkeler arasında bir karşılaştırma
yapmak için Orta Doğu ve Kuzey Afrika (MENA) ülkelerinin ihracat gelişmişliğini hesaplamaktadır. İkinci
olarak, ihracat karmaşıklığının kişi başı GSYİH’daki büyüme oranları üzerindeki etkisini incelemek için çok
sayıda makroekonomik değişken kontrolü altında, kısa ve uzun vadeli ampirik analizler uygulanmaktadır.
Son olarak, büyümede oranlarındaki varyansın ayrıştırılması için Panel VAR analizi yöntem olarak
kullanılmaktadır. Ampirik bulgular, petrol fiyatları ve OPEC üyeliği gösteren değişkenlerin kontrolü
altında, ihracat gelişmişliğinin büyüme oranları üzerindeki olumlu etkisini göstermektedir ve ihracat
gelişmişliğinin çok sayıdaki aday değişken arasından büyüme oranlarını açıklamada anahtar değişken
olduğu görülmektedir.

Anahtar Kelimeler

İhracat gelişmişliği, Ekonomik büyüme, MENA ülkeleri

EXPORT SOPHISTICATION AND ITS IMPACT ON GROWTH: CASE STUDY FOR MENA COUNTRIES

Öz

This study initially calculates export sophistication of Middle East and North Africa (MENA) countries to
make a comparison in the region and in between OPEC and non-OPEC countries for 2004-2016 period.
Secondly, short and long run empirical analysis are applied to examine the effect of export sophistication
on GDP per capita growth controlling for several macroeconomic variables. Lastly, panel VAR is utilized
to decompose the variation in growth rate. Empirical findings suggest positive effect of sophistication on
growth rate controlling for oil prices and OPEC membership and export sophistication is observed to be
the key variable to explain the variation in growth rate out of several candidate variables.

Anahtar Kelimeler

Export sophistication, Economic growth, MENA countries

Kaynakça

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