PETROL FİYATLARININ CO2 EMİSYONUNA ASİMETRİK ETKİSİ

Yıl 2024, Cilt: 46 Sayı: 2, 380 - 403, 24.10.2024

Numan Kışlacık , Halil Altıntaş

https://doi.org/10.14780/muiibd.1434085

Öz

Kapitalist anlayışının getirdiği sonsuz büyüme isteği doğayla birlikte insanlığı da tehdit etmekte, her geçen gün daha kirli, ekolojik krizin derinleştiği dünya karşımıza çıkmaktadır. Bu çalışmanın amacı, Türkiye için 1971-2021 dönemi yıllık verilerle petrol fiyatlarının CO2 emisyonu üzerine doğrusal olmayan ARDL eşbütünleşme yöntemiyle (NARDL) asimetrik etkisini incelemek ve yenilenebilir enerjinin önemine dikkat çekmektir. Çalışmanın sonucunda kişi başına düşen gelir istatiksel olarak anlamsız çıkmıştır. Diğer değişkenler incelendiğinde, kişi başına düşen enerji kullanımı arttıkça kişi başına düşen CO2 emisyonu artmaktadır. Bu sonuç bir diğer değişkenimiz olan yenilenebilir elektrik üretiminin sonuçları ile desteklemektedir. Yenilenebilir elektrik üretimi %1 arttığında kişi başına düşen CO2 emisyonu %0.23 azalmaktadır. Petrol fiyatlarının uzun dönemde CO2 üzerinde asimetrik etkisi ise şoklara göre değişmektedir. Petrol fiyatlarındaki %1’lik artış kişi başına düşen CO2 emisyonunu %0.046 azaltmaktadır. Petrol fiyatlarında negatif şoklarda meydana gelen %1’lik artış, CO2 salınımını %0.027 arttırmaktadır. Bu sonuçlardan hareketle Türkiye’deki CO2 emisyonu petrol fiyatlarından asimetrik şekilde etkilenmekte ve bu dengesizliği engellemek için yenilenebilir enerji üretimi kritik bir rol üstlenmektedir.

Anahtar Kelimeler

Petrol Fiyatları, CO2 Emisyonu, NARDL, Türkiye, Yenilenebilir Enerji

Etik Beyan

Derginize göndermiş olduğumuz "PETROL FİYATLARININ CO2 EMİSYONUNA ASİMETRİK ETKİSİ" isimli makalede derginizin "ETİK İLKELER VE YAYIN POLİTİKASI" başlığında yer verilen ilkelere uyulduğunu beyan ederiz.

Kaynakça

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