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Abstract

Water demand can be defined as, the amount of water, needed by domestic, commercial, official institutions and industrial consumers. There are various factors such as population, employment situation, economic cycles, technology, weather conditions, water price and water saving programs which have important effects on the water demand. Local population growth, global warming change in the urban green spaces, industrial growth and improving living standards are increasingly becoming important in the growth of these effects. Besides, water usage behaviours of consumers have a great importance on the water demand

Keywords

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KENTSEL SU SUNUMUNDA BİR YÖNETİM ARACI OLARAK SU TALEP TAHMİNİ

Öz

Su talebi, evsel, ticari, resmi kurum ve endüstriyel tüketim gruplarının ihtiyaç duyduğu su miktarı olarak tanımlanabilir. Su talebi üzerinde; nüfus, istihdam, ekonomik döngüler, teknoloji, hava koşulları, fiyat ve koruma programları gibi çeşitli faktörler önemli etkilere sahiptirler. Bu etkilerin artmasında yerel nüfus artışı, küresel ısınma, kentsel yeşil alan miktarındaki değişim, endüstriyel büyüme ve yaşam standartlarındaki ilerleme gibi çeşitli faktörler giderek önem kazanmaktadır. Bununla birlikte, su talebi üzerinde tüketicilerin su kullanım davranışları oldukça büyük öneme sahiptir.

Günümüzde birçok ülke için su azlığı (kıtlığı), temel bir problem haline gelmiştir. Bu nedenle, su yönetiminde verimlilik sağlamak için su politikaları ve alışkanlıkların gözden geçirilmesi gerekmektedir. Bu durum ayrıca, su sistemlerinin daha iyi planlanmasını ve tasarımını, daha etkin işletimini ve yönetimini gündeme getirmiştir. Bunun içinde doğru su talep tahmini anahtar konumdadır. Su talep tahmini genellikle kısa, orta ve uzun dönem şeklinde planlanır. Tahmin dönemleri kullanım amaçlarına, tahmin modeli tiplerine ve farklı güvenilirlik seviyelerine göre değişiklik göstermektedir.

Anahtar Kelimeler

• Su, Su Talebi, Su Talep Tahmini

Kaynakça

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