BibTex RIS Kaynak Göster

Türkiye’de Suç Oranlarının Sürekliliği

Yıl 2012, Cilt: 5 Sayı: 1, 85 - 92, 01.04.2012

Öz

In this article it is investigated the convergence of crime rates in 81 provinces in Turkey during the 1998–2006 period by applying unit root persistence methodology. The IPS (Im-Peseran Shin ) tests illustrated that one cannot reject the null hypothesis of unit root for the assault, swindling, smuggling, opposition to the bankruptcy and enforcement law, production and use of drug and bribery of each state relative to a reference unit. The results, therefore, illustrate a very strong form of persistence for 81 provinces in Turkey assault, swindling, smuggling, opposition to the bankruptcy and enforcement law, production and use of drug and bribery crimes.

Kaynakça

  • BECKER Gary S. (1968), “Crime and Punishment: An Economic Approach”, Journal of Political Economy, 76: 1169–1217.
  • CHEUNG, Yin and Antonio PASCULA (2004), “Testing for Output Convergence a Re- Examination”, Oxford Economic Papers, 56: 45–63.
  • CORMAN, Hope and Naci MOCAN (2000), “A Time-Series Analysis of Crime and Drug Use in New York City”, American Economic Review, June 2000, 90(3): 584–604.
  • CÖMERTLER, Necmiye ve Muhsin KAR (2007), "Türkiye'de Suç Oranının Sosyo- Ekonomik Belirleyicileri: Yatay Kesit Analizi", Ankara Üniversitesi, Siyasal Bilgiler Fakülte Dergisi, 62-2: 37-57.
  • DEADMAN, Derek and Ziggy MACDONALD (2002), “Why Has Crime Fallen? An Economic Perspective”, Institute of Economic Affairs, Published by Blackwell Publishers, Oxford.
  • EHRLICH, Isaac (1973), “Participation İn İllegitimate Activities:A Theoretical And Empirical İnvestigation”, Journal of Political Economy, 81: 521–65.
  • FLEISSING, Adrian and Jack STRAUSS (2001), “Unit-Root Tests of OECD Stochastic Convergence”, Review of International Economics, 9(1): 153–162.
  • FOUNTAS, Stilianos and Wu JYH (1999), “Testing for Real Interest Rate Convergence in European Countries”, Scottish Journal of Political Economy, 46: 158–74.
  • GUNDLACH, Erich (1997), “Regional convergence of output per worker in China: a Neo- classical Interpretation”, Asian Economic Journal, 11: 423–442.
  • HOLMES, Mark (2000), “Convergence in International Output: Evidence from Panel Data Unit Root Tests”, Business Cycle Volatility and Economic Growth Research Paper, No. 00–6.
  • HOLMES, Mark (2002), “Panel Data Evidence on Inflation Convergence in the European Union”, Applied Economics Letters, Vol. 9(3): 155–158.
  • JENKINS Michael and Petya MADZHAROVA (2008), “Real Interest Rate Convergence Under Euro”, Applied Economics Letters, 15: 473-476.
  • JOSEPH, Chen and David GİLES (2004), “Gender Convergence in Crime: Evidence from Canadian Adult Offence Charge Data”, Journal of Criminal Justice, 32: 593-606.
  • KARMEL, Tom (1996), “Educational Choice and the Gender Wage Gap in the Australian Labour Market, Department of Employment, Education”, Training and Youth Affairs, Canberra.
  • KOCENDA, Evzen (2001), “Macroeconomic Convergence in Transition Countries”, Journal of Comparative Economics, 29: 1-23.
  • KOCENDA, Evzen and David PAPELL (1997), “Inflation Convergence within the European Union: A Panel Data Analysis”, International Journal of Finance & Economics, 2(3): 189–98.
  • KUTAN, Ali and Taner YİĞİT (2002), “Nominal and Real Stochastic Convergence within the Transition Economies and to the European Union: Evidence from Panel Data”, Center for European Integration Studies, Working Paper, B21.
  • LEVITT, Steven (1996), “The Effect of Prison Population Size on Crime Rates: Evidence from Prison Overcrowding Litigation,” Quarterly Journal of Economics, 111: 319–351.
  • LEVITT, Steven (1995), “Using Electoral Cycles in Police Hiring to Estimate the Effect of Police on Crime,” NBER Working Paper, No: 4991.
  • LEVITT, Steven (1998), “Juvenile Crime and Punishment”, Journal of Political Economy, 106 (December): 1156–1185.
  • LIMA, Marcos and Marcelo RESENDE (2007), “Convergence of Per Capita GDP in Brazil: An Empirical Note”, Applied Economic Letters, 14: 333–335.
  • MENTZ, Marku and Sebastian STEFFEN (2003), “Inflation Convergence after the Introduction of the Euro”, CFS Working Paper, No. 2003/30.
  • MICHEAL, Jenkins and Petya MADZHAROVA (2007), “Real Interest Rate Convergence Under the Euro”, Applied Economics Letters: 1–4.
  • PARESH K. Narayan, (2007), “Do health expenditures 'catch-up'? Evidence from OECD countries”, Health Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 16(10): 993-1008.
  • OKUNADE, Albert; Mustafa KARAKUŞ ve Charles OKEKE (2004), “Determinants of Health Expenditure Growth of the OECD Countries: Jackknife Re-Sampling Plan Estimates,” Health Care Management Science, 7(3): 173-183.
  • PAZARLIOĞLU, Vedat ve Timur TURGUTLU (2007), “Gelir, İşsizlik ve Suç: Türkiye Üzerine Bir İnceleme”, Finans Politik & Ekonomik Yorumlar, Cilt: 44, Sayı:513: 63–70.
  • SARAÇOĞLU, Bedriye ve Nükhet DOĞAN (2005), “Avrupa Birliği ve Avrupa Birliği’ne Aday Ülkelerin Yakınsama Analizi”, İstanbul VII. Ulusal Ekonometri ve İstatistik Sempozyumu, 26–27 Mayıs 2005.
  • SJOQUIST, David Lawrence (1973), “Property crime and economic behavior: some empirical results”, American Economic Review, 63: 439–446
  • STRAUSS, Jack (2000), “There a Permanent Component in US real GDP”, Economic Letters, 66: 137–142.
  • TOROSLU, Nevzat (1998), Ceza Hukuku, Savaş Yayınevi, İstanbul.
  • YAMAK, Nebiye ve Ferhat TOPBAŞ (2005), “Suç ve İşsizlik Arasındaki Nedensellik İlişkisi”, 14. İstatistik ve Araştırma Sempozyumu, Ankara: 705-715.
  • WOLFGANG, Marvin (1961), “Pioneers in Criminology: Cesare Lombroso”, The Journal of Criminal Law, Criminology and Police Science, 52, No.4: 1835-1909.
  • YILMAZ, Kuday (2007), “Inflation Targeting and Convergence within Turkey”, http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=1021281, Erişim Tarihi: 08.07.2010.
  • WANG, Zijun (2008), “The Convergence of Health care Expenditures in The US States”, Health Economics, 18(1): 55-70.
  • WU, Yanrui, (2000), “Is China’s economic growth sustainable? A productivity analysis”, China Economic Review, 11: 278–296.

Türkiye’de Suç Oranlarının Sürekliliği

Yıl 2012, Cilt: 5 Sayı: 1, 85 - 92, 01.04.2012

Öz

Bu çalışmada Türkiye’deki 81 ilde gerçekleşen suç oranları (1998–2006) yakınsaması birim kök süreklilik metodolojisi uygulanarak incelenmiştir. IPS (Im Peseran Shin) testlerinde yaralama, dolandırıcılık, kaçakçılık, icra iflas kanununa karşı gelme, uyuşturucu madde kullanımı ve imali ile rüşvet suçları için birim kökün yokluğu hipotezi reddedilememiştir. Sonuçta, Türkiye’de 81 il için 16 ayrı başlık olarak ele alınarak yapılan analizde, 6 suç sınıfının güçlü bir şekilde süreklilik sergilediği görülmektedir.

Kaynakça

  • BECKER Gary S. (1968), “Crime and Punishment: An Economic Approach”, Journal of Political Economy, 76: 1169–1217.
  • CHEUNG, Yin and Antonio PASCULA (2004), “Testing for Output Convergence a Re- Examination”, Oxford Economic Papers, 56: 45–63.
  • CORMAN, Hope and Naci MOCAN (2000), “A Time-Series Analysis of Crime and Drug Use in New York City”, American Economic Review, June 2000, 90(3): 584–604.
  • CÖMERTLER, Necmiye ve Muhsin KAR (2007), "Türkiye'de Suç Oranının Sosyo- Ekonomik Belirleyicileri: Yatay Kesit Analizi", Ankara Üniversitesi, Siyasal Bilgiler Fakülte Dergisi, 62-2: 37-57.
  • DEADMAN, Derek and Ziggy MACDONALD (2002), “Why Has Crime Fallen? An Economic Perspective”, Institute of Economic Affairs, Published by Blackwell Publishers, Oxford.
  • EHRLICH, Isaac (1973), “Participation İn İllegitimate Activities:A Theoretical And Empirical İnvestigation”, Journal of Political Economy, 81: 521–65.
  • FLEISSING, Adrian and Jack STRAUSS (2001), “Unit-Root Tests of OECD Stochastic Convergence”, Review of International Economics, 9(1): 153–162.
  • FOUNTAS, Stilianos and Wu JYH (1999), “Testing for Real Interest Rate Convergence in European Countries”, Scottish Journal of Political Economy, 46: 158–74.
  • GUNDLACH, Erich (1997), “Regional convergence of output per worker in China: a Neo- classical Interpretation”, Asian Economic Journal, 11: 423–442.
  • HOLMES, Mark (2000), “Convergence in International Output: Evidence from Panel Data Unit Root Tests”, Business Cycle Volatility and Economic Growth Research Paper, No. 00–6.
  • HOLMES, Mark (2002), “Panel Data Evidence on Inflation Convergence in the European Union”, Applied Economics Letters, Vol. 9(3): 155–158.
  • JENKINS Michael and Petya MADZHAROVA (2008), “Real Interest Rate Convergence Under Euro”, Applied Economics Letters, 15: 473-476.
  • JOSEPH, Chen and David GİLES (2004), “Gender Convergence in Crime: Evidence from Canadian Adult Offence Charge Data”, Journal of Criminal Justice, 32: 593-606.
  • KARMEL, Tom (1996), “Educational Choice and the Gender Wage Gap in the Australian Labour Market, Department of Employment, Education”, Training and Youth Affairs, Canberra.
  • KOCENDA, Evzen (2001), “Macroeconomic Convergence in Transition Countries”, Journal of Comparative Economics, 29: 1-23.
  • KOCENDA, Evzen and David PAPELL (1997), “Inflation Convergence within the European Union: A Panel Data Analysis”, International Journal of Finance & Economics, 2(3): 189–98.
  • KUTAN, Ali and Taner YİĞİT (2002), “Nominal and Real Stochastic Convergence within the Transition Economies and to the European Union: Evidence from Panel Data”, Center for European Integration Studies, Working Paper, B21.
  • LEVITT, Steven (1996), “The Effect of Prison Population Size on Crime Rates: Evidence from Prison Overcrowding Litigation,” Quarterly Journal of Economics, 111: 319–351.
  • LEVITT, Steven (1995), “Using Electoral Cycles in Police Hiring to Estimate the Effect of Police on Crime,” NBER Working Paper, No: 4991.
  • LEVITT, Steven (1998), “Juvenile Crime and Punishment”, Journal of Political Economy, 106 (December): 1156–1185.
  • LIMA, Marcos and Marcelo RESENDE (2007), “Convergence of Per Capita GDP in Brazil: An Empirical Note”, Applied Economic Letters, 14: 333–335.
  • MENTZ, Marku and Sebastian STEFFEN (2003), “Inflation Convergence after the Introduction of the Euro”, CFS Working Paper, No. 2003/30.
  • MICHEAL, Jenkins and Petya MADZHAROVA (2007), “Real Interest Rate Convergence Under the Euro”, Applied Economics Letters: 1–4.
  • PARESH K. Narayan, (2007), “Do health expenditures 'catch-up'? Evidence from OECD countries”, Health Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 16(10): 993-1008.
  • OKUNADE, Albert; Mustafa KARAKUŞ ve Charles OKEKE (2004), “Determinants of Health Expenditure Growth of the OECD Countries: Jackknife Re-Sampling Plan Estimates,” Health Care Management Science, 7(3): 173-183.
  • PAZARLIOĞLU, Vedat ve Timur TURGUTLU (2007), “Gelir, İşsizlik ve Suç: Türkiye Üzerine Bir İnceleme”, Finans Politik & Ekonomik Yorumlar, Cilt: 44, Sayı:513: 63–70.
  • SARAÇOĞLU, Bedriye ve Nükhet DOĞAN (2005), “Avrupa Birliği ve Avrupa Birliği’ne Aday Ülkelerin Yakınsama Analizi”, İstanbul VII. Ulusal Ekonometri ve İstatistik Sempozyumu, 26–27 Mayıs 2005.
  • SJOQUIST, David Lawrence (1973), “Property crime and economic behavior: some empirical results”, American Economic Review, 63: 439–446
  • STRAUSS, Jack (2000), “There a Permanent Component in US real GDP”, Economic Letters, 66: 137–142.
  • TOROSLU, Nevzat (1998), Ceza Hukuku, Savaş Yayınevi, İstanbul.
  • YAMAK, Nebiye ve Ferhat TOPBAŞ (2005), “Suç ve İşsizlik Arasındaki Nedensellik İlişkisi”, 14. İstatistik ve Araştırma Sempozyumu, Ankara: 705-715.
  • WOLFGANG, Marvin (1961), “Pioneers in Criminology: Cesare Lombroso”, The Journal of Criminal Law, Criminology and Police Science, 52, No.4: 1835-1909.
  • YILMAZ, Kuday (2007), “Inflation Targeting and Convergence within Turkey”, http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=1021281, Erişim Tarihi: 08.07.2010.
  • WANG, Zijun (2008), “The Convergence of Health care Expenditures in The US States”, Health Economics, 18(1): 55-70.
  • WU, Yanrui, (2000), “Is China’s economic growth sustainable? A productivity analysis”, China Economic Review, 11: 278–296.
Toplam 35 adet kaynakça vardır.

Ayrıntılar

Birincil Dil Türkçe
Bölüm Makaleler
Yazarlar

Alper Aslan Bu kişi benim

Oğuz Öcal Bu kişi benim

Yayımlanma Tarihi 1 Nisan 2012
Yayımlandığı Sayı Yıl 2012 Cilt: 5 Sayı: 1

Kaynak Göster

APA Aslan, A., & Öcal, O. (2012). Türkiye’de Suç Oranlarının Sürekliliği. Niğde Üniversitesi İktisadi Ve İdari Bilimler Fakültesi Dergisi, 5(1), 85-92.
AMA Aslan A, Öcal O. Türkiye’de Suç Oranlarının Sürekliliği. Niğde Üniversitesi İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Fakültesi Dergisi. Nisan 2012;5(1):85-92.
Chicago Aslan, Alper, ve Oğuz Öcal. “Türkiye’de Suç Oranlarının Sürekliliği”. Niğde Üniversitesi İktisadi Ve İdari Bilimler Fakültesi Dergisi 5, sy. 1 (Nisan 2012): 85-92.
EndNote Aslan A, Öcal O (01 Nisan 2012) Türkiye’de Suç Oranlarının Sürekliliği. Niğde Üniversitesi İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Fakültesi Dergisi 5 1 85–92.
IEEE A. Aslan ve O. Öcal, “Türkiye’de Suç Oranlarının Sürekliliği”, Niğde Üniversitesi İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Fakültesi Dergisi, c. 5, sy. 1, ss. 85–92, 2012.
ISNAD Aslan, Alper - Öcal, Oğuz. “Türkiye’de Suç Oranlarının Sürekliliği”. Niğde Üniversitesi İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Fakültesi Dergisi 5/1 (Nisan 2012), 85-92.
JAMA Aslan A, Öcal O. Türkiye’de Suç Oranlarının Sürekliliği. Niğde Üniversitesi İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Fakültesi Dergisi. 2012;5:85–92.
MLA Aslan, Alper ve Oğuz Öcal. “Türkiye’de Suç Oranlarının Sürekliliği”. Niğde Üniversitesi İktisadi Ve İdari Bilimler Fakültesi Dergisi, c. 5, sy. 1, 2012, ss. 85-92.
Vancouver Aslan A, Öcal O. Türkiye’de Suç Oranlarının Sürekliliği. Niğde Üniversitesi İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Fakültesi Dergisi. 2012;5(1):85-92.