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Yıl 2022, Cilt: 11 Sayı: 4, 109 - 138, 01.10.2022
https://doi.org/10.36360/1560-011-004-006

Öz

Kaynakça

  • “Major Central Bank Balance Sheets (Total Assets Less Eliminations from Consolidation),” FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Loui, retrieved from https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/WALCL, on May 24, 2022.
  • See, among others, John Maynard Keynes, A Treatise on Money, (London: Macmillan, 1930); Jacques Le Bourva, “Money Creation and Credit Multipliers,” Review of Political Economy, Vol. 4, No. 4 (1992), pp. 447-466; Basil J. Moore, “The Endogenous Money Supply,” Journal of Post Keynesian Economics, Vol. 10 No. 3(1988), pp. 372-385.
  • See, among others, William Mitchell, L. Randall Wray, and Martin Watts, Macroeconomics, (London: Red Globe Press, 2019); Stephanie Kelton, “The Deficit Myth: Modern Monetary Theory and the Birth of the People's Economy,” Public Affairs, (2020); L. Randall Wray, Understanding Modern Money, Vol. 11, (Cheltenham: Edward Elgar, 1998); Thomas I. Palley, “The e-Money Revolution: Challenges and Implications for Monetary Policy,” Journal of Post Keynesian Economics, Vol. 24,No. 2 (2002), pp. 217-233; Thomas I. Palley, “Endogenous Money and the Business Cycle,” Journal of Economics, Vol. 65 (1997), pp. 133-149; Thomas I. Palley, “Money, Fiscal Policy, and Interest Rates: A Critique of Modern Monetary Theory,” Review of Political Economy, Vol. 27,No.1(2015), pp. 1-23.
  • Bilal Bağış, “Güney Asya’nın 'Ilk Günahı' ve Borç Krizi,” AA Analysis, (August 23, 2022).
  • Finn E. Kydland and Edward C. Prescott, “Rules Rather than Discretion: The Inconsistency of Optimal Plans,” Journal of Political Economy, Vol. 85,No.3(1977), pp. 473-491; Kenneth Rogoff, “The Optimal Degree of Commitment to an Intermediate Monetary Target,” Quarterly Journal of Economics, Vol. 100,No. 4 (1985), pp. 1169-1189; Carl Walsh, “Optimal Contracts for Central Bankers,” The American Economic Review, Vol. 85, No. 1(1995), pp. 150-167.
  • CBDCs are digital central bank liability that are expected to replace the physical currency currently used. They are digital forms of paper money, a country’s fiat currency; Bilal Bagis, “Central Banking in the New Era,” Eurasian Journal of Economics and Finance, Vol. 5, No. 4(2017), pp. 197-225.
  • “Stablecoins: Implications for Monetary Policy, Financial Stability, Market Infrastructure and Payments, and Banking Supervision in the Euro Area,” European Central Bank (ECB) Occasional Paper Series, (September 2020); “Report on Stable coins,” Treasury Department (President’s Working Group on Financial Markets, the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation, and the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency),(November 2021), retrieved from https://home.treasury.gov/system/files/136/StableCoinReport_Nov1_508.pdf.
  • Digital renminbi. May also be called ‘digital RMB’, e-Renminbi, e-RMB and e-CNY. Or the ‘Digital Currency Electronic Payment (DCEP)’, as it is officially called.
  • Raghuram G. Rajan, “Has Financial Development Made the World Riskier?” 2005 Economic Policy Symposium Proceedings, Jackson Hole, WY: Federal Reserve Bank, (2005), pp. 313-369.
  • Modern private venture cryptocurrencies run on a distributed-ledger technology called block chains. In this setup, a number of devices distributed around the world need to verify the accuracy of any transaction. Stable coins, however, are a new form of cryptocurrency that is pegged to a reserve asset, a fiat currency, or a commodity. They aim to keep a stable value. Examples include Tether, USD Coin, Libra, and DAI; See, “COVID-19, Crypto, and Climate: Navigating Challenging Transitions,” International Monetary Fund (IMF) Global Financial Stability Report, (October 2021), retrieved from https://www.elibrary.imf.org/view/books/082/465808-9781513595603-en/465808-9781513595603-en-book.xml; Francesca Carapella and Jean Flemming, “Central Bank Digital Currency: A Literature Review,” FEDS Notes, (November 9, 2020), retrieved from https://www.federalreserve.gov/econres/notes/feds-notes/central-bank-digital-currency-aliterature-review-20201109.htm.
  • Raphael Auer, Giulio Cornelli and Jon Frost, “Rise of the Central Bank Digital Currencies: Drivers, Approaches and Technologies,” BIS Working Papers, No. 880 (August 2020); Klaus Lober and AertHouben, “Central Bank Digital Currencies,” BIS Report, Committee on Payments and Market Infrastructures, (March 12, 2018).
  • “COVID-19, Crypto, and Climate: Navigating Challenging Transitions,” International Monetary Fund (IMF) Global Financial Stability Report; Carapella and Flemming, “Central Bank Digital Currency: A Literature Review”; Auer,et al., “Rise of the Central Bank Digital Currencies: Drivers, Approaches and Technologies”; Sergio Luis Náñez Alonso, Javier Jorge-Vazquez, and Ricardo Francisco Reier Forradellas, “Central Banks Digital Currency: Detection of Optimal Countries for the Implementation of a CBDC and the Implication for Payment Industry Open Innovation” Journal of Open Innovation: Technology, Market, and Complexity, Vol. 7, No. 72 (2021); Linda Schilling, Jesus Fernandez-Villaverde, and Harald Uhlig, “Central Bank Digital Currency: When Price and Bank Stability Collide,” NBER Working Paper, No. 28237 (2020).
  • Negative interest rate (NIR) means that keeping deposits, reserves, or cash in any account requires an interest payment to the bank (to a conventional bank or a central bank). This is, in a way, another way of telling banks (or depositors) that liquid assets such as cash are costly and that it is a privilege that requires some tax payment by the cash holder.
  • John M. Keynes, “Activities 1940-1944: Shaping the Post-War World – The Clearing Union,” in Moggridge, D. (Ed.), The Collected Writings of John Maynard Keynes, (London: Macmillan, 1980).
  • Barry Eichengreen, Exorbitant Privilege: The Rise and Fall of the Dollar and the Future of the International Monetary System, (Oxford: Oxford University Press, 2010).
  • Gary Gorton, “Reputation Formation in Early Bank Note Markets,” Journal of Political Economy, Vol. 104, No. 2 (1996).
  • Walter Engert, Ben S. C. Fung, and Scott Hendry, “Is a Cashless Society Problematic?” Bank of Canada Staff Working Paper, Vol. 12, (2018); Janet Hua Jiang and Enchuan Shao, “The Cash Paradox,” Review of Economic Dynamics, Vol. 36, (2020), pp. 177-197.
  • “Assessment of Risks to Financial Stability from Crypto-Assets,” Financial Stability Board (FSB), retrieved from https://www.fsb.org/2022/02/assessment-of-risks-to-financial-stability-from-crypto-assets/, on February 28, 2022.
  • “COVID-19, Crypto, and Climate: Navigating Challenging Transitions,” International Monetary Fund Global Financial Stability Report.
  • Jiang and Shao, “The Cash Paradox.”
  • Náñez Alonso, et al., “Central Banks Digital Currency: Detection of Optimal Countries for the Implementation of a CBDC and the Implication for Payment Industry Open Innovation.”
  • Anneke Kosse and Ilaria Mattei, “Gaining Momentum – Results of the 2021 BIS Survey on Central Bank Digital Currencies,” BIS Papers, No. 125 (May 2022).
  • “Central Bank Digital Currency Tracker,” Atlantic Council Research, retrieved from https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/cbdctracker/, on May 25, 2022.
  • “Central Bank Digital Currency Tracker,” Atlantic Council Research; Igor Mikhalev, KajBurchardi, Igor Struchkov, Bihao Song, and Jonas Gross, “CBDC Tracker,” White Paper, retrieved from https://cbdctracker.org/cbdc-tracker-whitepaper.pdf, on January 31, 2021.
  • In Türkiye, the Dijital Türk Lirası İş Birliği Platformu was created by the CBRT in 2021 (together with Tubitak-Bilgem, Aselsan ve Havelsan) to promote research, development, and coordination efforts regarding digital currencies.
  • Countries with a CBDC project canceled or decommissioned (red), countries where the first explanatory CBDC research project is conducted (green), those in an advanced research stage and have published a CBDC proof of concept (purple), countries that have developed and tested a CBDC in a real environment (orange), and countries that have a CBDC officially launched (blue). Mikhalev, et al., “CBDC Tracker.”
  • Kosse and Mattei, “Gaining Momentum – Results of the 2021 BIS Survey on Central Bank Digital Currencies.”
  • “Central Bank Digital Currencies: Foundational Principles and Core Features,” Bank for International Settlements (BIS), retrieved from https://www.bis.org/publ/othp33.pdf, on October 30, 2022.
  • Kosse and Mattei, “Gaining Momentum – Results of the 2021 BIS Survey on Central Bank Digital Currencies.”
  • “Money and Payments: The U.S. Dollar in the Age of Digital Transformation,” Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, retrieved from https://www.federalreserve.gov/publications/money-and-payments-discussion-paper.htm, on January 21, 2022.
  • “Ensuring Responsible Development of Digital Assets,” The White House Executive Order, retrieved from https://www.whitehouse.gov/briefing-room/presidential-actions/2022/03/09/executive-order-on-ensuring-responsible-development-of-digital-assets/, on March 9, 2022.
  • Mohamed A. El-Erian, The Only Game in Town: Central Banks, Instability, and Avoiding the Next Collapse, (New York: Random House, 2016).
  • Maurice Obstfeld and Kenneth Rogoff, Foundations of International Macroeconomics, (Cambridge, MA: MIT Press, 1996).
  • Jiang and Shao, “The Cash Paradox.”
  • Milton Friedman, “The Role of Monetary Policy,” American Economic Review, Vol. 58, No. 1 (1968), pp. 1-17; Carl E. Walsh, Monetary Theory and Policy, 3rd ed., (Cambridge, Mass: MIT Press, 2010); Jacques Le Bourva, “Money Creation and Credit Multipliers,” Review of Political Economy, Vol. 4, No. 4 (1992), pp. 447-466.
  • In E1, ‘m’ is the money multiplier, ‘r’ is required reserve ratio, ‘c’ is currency in circulation and ‘e’ is excess reserve ratio. In the best-case scenario, ‘c’ and ‘e’ are expected to be equal to zero such that money multiplier would be equal to: ‘𝑚= 1𝑟⁄’.
  • Jiang and Shao, “The Cash Paradox.”
  • Paul Krugman, “It’s Baack! Japan’s Slump and the Return of the Liquidity Trap,” Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, Vol. 29, No. 2 (1998), pp. 137-187. Walter Engert, Ben S. C. Fung, and Scott Hendry, “Is a Cashless Society Problematic?” Bank of Canada, retrieved from https://www.bankofcanada.ca/wp-content/uploads/2018/10/sdp2018-12.pdf, on October 30, 2018.
  • Schilling, et al., “Central Bank Digital Currency: When Price and Bank Stability Collide.”
  • Douglas W. Diamond and Philip H. Dybvig, “Bank Runs, Deposit Insurance, and Liquidity,” Journal of Political Economy, Vol. 91, No. 3 (1983), pp. 401-419; Mark Gertler and Nobuhiro Kiyotaki, “Banking, Liquidity, and Bank Runs in an Infinite Horizon Economy,” American Economic Review, Vol. 105, No. 7 (2015), pp. 2011-2043.
  • Douglas Arner, Raphael Auer, and Jon Frost, “Stable coins: Risks, Potential and Regulation,” BIS Working Papers, No. 905 (November 2020). Silvio Gesell, The Natural Economic Order, translated by Philip Pye, (London: M.A., 1958); John M. Keynes, The General Theory of Employment, Interest and Money, (London: Macmillian and Co Ltd, 1961). Bilal Bağış, “Savaş, Kripto Ekonomi veDijitalleşme,” AA Analysis, (March 31, 2022).
  • “Central Bank Digital Currencies for Cross-Border Payments,” Committee on Payments and Market Infrastructures (CPMI), retrieved from https://www.bis.org/publ/othp38.pdf, on July 30, 2021.
  • Kosse and Mattei, “Gaining Momentum – Results of the 2021 BIS Survey on Central Bank Digital Currencies.”
  • David Tercero Lucas, “Central Bank Digital Currencies and Financial Stability in a Modern Monetary System,” Working papers GEAR, (May 26, 2022); Gertler and Kiyotaki, “Banking, Liquidity, and Bank Runs in an Infinite Horizon Economy.” Gorton, “Reputation Formation in Early Bank Note Markets.”
  • Diamond and Dybvig, “Bank Runs, Deposit Insurance, and Liquidity”; Lucas, “Central Bank Digital Currencies and Financial Stability in a Modern Monetary System.”
  • Ricardo J. Caballero and Arvind Krishnamurthy, “Collective Risk Management in a Flight to Quality Episode,” Journal of Finance, Vol. 63, (2008), pp. 2195-2230;Ben Bernanke, Mark Gertler and Simon Gilchrist, “The Financial Accelerator and the Flight to Quality,” Review of Economics and Statistics, Vol. 78, (1996), pp. 1-15.
  • Raphael Auer, Holti Banka, Nana Yaa Boakye-Adjei, Ahmed Faragallah, Jon Frost, Harish Natarajan, and JermyPrenio, “Central Bank Digital Currencies: A New Tool in the Financial Inclusion Toolkit?” FSI Insights Paper, No. 41 (April 2022); Lober and Houben, “Central Bank Digital Currencies.”
  • Krugman, “It’s Baack! Japan’s Slump and the Return of the Liquidity Trap”; Michael Woodford, Interest and Prices: Foundations of a Theory of Monetary Policy, (Princeton: Princeton University Press, 2003).

العملات الرقمية والسياسة المالية في الحقبة الجديدة

Yıl 2022, Cilt: 11 Sayı: 4, 109 - 138, 01.10.2022
https://doi.org/10.36360/1560-011-004-006

Öz

بُنيَ الهيكل المالي القديم والنظام المالي الحديث على أساس العملات المادية، ويمثل التغيير في الأدوات حلًّا مؤسسيًّا لعدد من الألغاز الحديثة. بعد الأزمة المالية العالمية في 2008-2010 وجائحة كورونا في عام 2020 أعربت بنوك عديدة، منها بنوك مركزية، عن اهتمامها بإدخال العملات الرقمية إلى جانب إدخال العملات المشفرة الجديدة كليًّا والعملات المعدنية المستقرة. ومن ثَمّ، فإن مميزات عملات البنك المركزي الرقمية الجديدة وعيوبها- من أحدث الموضوعات التي هي محل النقاش الموسع. كما يتوقع أيضا أن تسهم تلك العملات في دعم الاستقرار المالي ورفع كفاءة السياسة المالية. فالبنوك المركزية ستزيد من سلطاتها على العرض المالي والتحكم فيه معزِّزة مكاناتها وسلطتها المركزية داخل النظام المالي.

Kaynakça

  • “Major Central Bank Balance Sheets (Total Assets Less Eliminations from Consolidation),” FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Loui, retrieved from https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/WALCL, on May 24, 2022.
  • See, among others, John Maynard Keynes, A Treatise on Money, (London: Macmillan, 1930); Jacques Le Bourva, “Money Creation and Credit Multipliers,” Review of Political Economy, Vol. 4, No. 4 (1992), pp. 447-466; Basil J. Moore, “The Endogenous Money Supply,” Journal of Post Keynesian Economics, Vol. 10 No. 3(1988), pp. 372-385.
  • See, among others, William Mitchell, L. Randall Wray, and Martin Watts, Macroeconomics, (London: Red Globe Press, 2019); Stephanie Kelton, “The Deficit Myth: Modern Monetary Theory and the Birth of the People's Economy,” Public Affairs, (2020); L. Randall Wray, Understanding Modern Money, Vol. 11, (Cheltenham: Edward Elgar, 1998); Thomas I. Palley, “The e-Money Revolution: Challenges and Implications for Monetary Policy,” Journal of Post Keynesian Economics, Vol. 24,No. 2 (2002), pp. 217-233; Thomas I. Palley, “Endogenous Money and the Business Cycle,” Journal of Economics, Vol. 65 (1997), pp. 133-149; Thomas I. Palley, “Money, Fiscal Policy, and Interest Rates: A Critique of Modern Monetary Theory,” Review of Political Economy, Vol. 27,No.1(2015), pp. 1-23.
  • Bilal Bağış, “Güney Asya’nın 'Ilk Günahı' ve Borç Krizi,” AA Analysis, (August 23, 2022).
  • Finn E. Kydland and Edward C. Prescott, “Rules Rather than Discretion: The Inconsistency of Optimal Plans,” Journal of Political Economy, Vol. 85,No.3(1977), pp. 473-491; Kenneth Rogoff, “The Optimal Degree of Commitment to an Intermediate Monetary Target,” Quarterly Journal of Economics, Vol. 100,No. 4 (1985), pp. 1169-1189; Carl Walsh, “Optimal Contracts for Central Bankers,” The American Economic Review, Vol. 85, No. 1(1995), pp. 150-167.
  • CBDCs are digital central bank liability that are expected to replace the physical currency currently used. They are digital forms of paper money, a country’s fiat currency; Bilal Bagis, “Central Banking in the New Era,” Eurasian Journal of Economics and Finance, Vol. 5, No. 4(2017), pp. 197-225.
  • “Stablecoins: Implications for Monetary Policy, Financial Stability, Market Infrastructure and Payments, and Banking Supervision in the Euro Area,” European Central Bank (ECB) Occasional Paper Series, (September 2020); “Report on Stable coins,” Treasury Department (President’s Working Group on Financial Markets, the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation, and the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency),(November 2021), retrieved from https://home.treasury.gov/system/files/136/StableCoinReport_Nov1_508.pdf.
  • Digital renminbi. May also be called ‘digital RMB’, e-Renminbi, e-RMB and e-CNY. Or the ‘Digital Currency Electronic Payment (DCEP)’, as it is officially called.
  • Raghuram G. Rajan, “Has Financial Development Made the World Riskier?” 2005 Economic Policy Symposium Proceedings, Jackson Hole, WY: Federal Reserve Bank, (2005), pp. 313-369.
  • Modern private venture cryptocurrencies run on a distributed-ledger technology called block chains. In this setup, a number of devices distributed around the world need to verify the accuracy of any transaction. Stable coins, however, are a new form of cryptocurrency that is pegged to a reserve asset, a fiat currency, or a commodity. They aim to keep a stable value. Examples include Tether, USD Coin, Libra, and DAI; See, “COVID-19, Crypto, and Climate: Navigating Challenging Transitions,” International Monetary Fund (IMF) Global Financial Stability Report, (October 2021), retrieved from https://www.elibrary.imf.org/view/books/082/465808-9781513595603-en/465808-9781513595603-en-book.xml; Francesca Carapella and Jean Flemming, “Central Bank Digital Currency: A Literature Review,” FEDS Notes, (November 9, 2020), retrieved from https://www.federalreserve.gov/econres/notes/feds-notes/central-bank-digital-currency-aliterature-review-20201109.htm.
  • Raphael Auer, Giulio Cornelli and Jon Frost, “Rise of the Central Bank Digital Currencies: Drivers, Approaches and Technologies,” BIS Working Papers, No. 880 (August 2020); Klaus Lober and AertHouben, “Central Bank Digital Currencies,” BIS Report, Committee on Payments and Market Infrastructures, (March 12, 2018).
  • “COVID-19, Crypto, and Climate: Navigating Challenging Transitions,” International Monetary Fund (IMF) Global Financial Stability Report; Carapella and Flemming, “Central Bank Digital Currency: A Literature Review”; Auer,et al., “Rise of the Central Bank Digital Currencies: Drivers, Approaches and Technologies”; Sergio Luis Náñez Alonso, Javier Jorge-Vazquez, and Ricardo Francisco Reier Forradellas, “Central Banks Digital Currency: Detection of Optimal Countries for the Implementation of a CBDC and the Implication for Payment Industry Open Innovation” Journal of Open Innovation: Technology, Market, and Complexity, Vol. 7, No. 72 (2021); Linda Schilling, Jesus Fernandez-Villaverde, and Harald Uhlig, “Central Bank Digital Currency: When Price and Bank Stability Collide,” NBER Working Paper, No. 28237 (2020).
  • Negative interest rate (NIR) means that keeping deposits, reserves, or cash in any account requires an interest payment to the bank (to a conventional bank or a central bank). This is, in a way, another way of telling banks (or depositors) that liquid assets such as cash are costly and that it is a privilege that requires some tax payment by the cash holder.
  • John M. Keynes, “Activities 1940-1944: Shaping the Post-War World – The Clearing Union,” in Moggridge, D. (Ed.), The Collected Writings of John Maynard Keynes, (London: Macmillan, 1980).
  • Barry Eichengreen, Exorbitant Privilege: The Rise and Fall of the Dollar and the Future of the International Monetary System, (Oxford: Oxford University Press, 2010).
  • Gary Gorton, “Reputation Formation in Early Bank Note Markets,” Journal of Political Economy, Vol. 104, No. 2 (1996).
  • Walter Engert, Ben S. C. Fung, and Scott Hendry, “Is a Cashless Society Problematic?” Bank of Canada Staff Working Paper, Vol. 12, (2018); Janet Hua Jiang and Enchuan Shao, “The Cash Paradox,” Review of Economic Dynamics, Vol. 36, (2020), pp. 177-197.
  • “Assessment of Risks to Financial Stability from Crypto-Assets,” Financial Stability Board (FSB), retrieved from https://www.fsb.org/2022/02/assessment-of-risks-to-financial-stability-from-crypto-assets/, on February 28, 2022.
  • “COVID-19, Crypto, and Climate: Navigating Challenging Transitions,” International Monetary Fund Global Financial Stability Report.
  • Jiang and Shao, “The Cash Paradox.”
  • Náñez Alonso, et al., “Central Banks Digital Currency: Detection of Optimal Countries for the Implementation of a CBDC and the Implication for Payment Industry Open Innovation.”
  • Anneke Kosse and Ilaria Mattei, “Gaining Momentum – Results of the 2021 BIS Survey on Central Bank Digital Currencies,” BIS Papers, No. 125 (May 2022).
  • “Central Bank Digital Currency Tracker,” Atlantic Council Research, retrieved from https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/cbdctracker/, on May 25, 2022.
  • “Central Bank Digital Currency Tracker,” Atlantic Council Research; Igor Mikhalev, KajBurchardi, Igor Struchkov, Bihao Song, and Jonas Gross, “CBDC Tracker,” White Paper, retrieved from https://cbdctracker.org/cbdc-tracker-whitepaper.pdf, on January 31, 2021.
  • In Türkiye, the Dijital Türk Lirası İş Birliği Platformu was created by the CBRT in 2021 (together with Tubitak-Bilgem, Aselsan ve Havelsan) to promote research, development, and coordination efforts regarding digital currencies.
  • Countries with a CBDC project canceled or decommissioned (red), countries where the first explanatory CBDC research project is conducted (green), those in an advanced research stage and have published a CBDC proof of concept (purple), countries that have developed and tested a CBDC in a real environment (orange), and countries that have a CBDC officially launched (blue). Mikhalev, et al., “CBDC Tracker.”
  • Kosse and Mattei, “Gaining Momentum – Results of the 2021 BIS Survey on Central Bank Digital Currencies.”
  • “Central Bank Digital Currencies: Foundational Principles and Core Features,” Bank for International Settlements (BIS), retrieved from https://www.bis.org/publ/othp33.pdf, on October 30, 2022.
  • Kosse and Mattei, “Gaining Momentum – Results of the 2021 BIS Survey on Central Bank Digital Currencies.”
  • “Money and Payments: The U.S. Dollar in the Age of Digital Transformation,” Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, retrieved from https://www.federalreserve.gov/publications/money-and-payments-discussion-paper.htm, on January 21, 2022.
  • “Ensuring Responsible Development of Digital Assets,” The White House Executive Order, retrieved from https://www.whitehouse.gov/briefing-room/presidential-actions/2022/03/09/executive-order-on-ensuring-responsible-development-of-digital-assets/, on March 9, 2022.
  • Mohamed A. El-Erian, The Only Game in Town: Central Banks, Instability, and Avoiding the Next Collapse, (New York: Random House, 2016).
  • Maurice Obstfeld and Kenneth Rogoff, Foundations of International Macroeconomics, (Cambridge, MA: MIT Press, 1996).
  • Jiang and Shao, “The Cash Paradox.”
  • Milton Friedman, “The Role of Monetary Policy,” American Economic Review, Vol. 58, No. 1 (1968), pp. 1-17; Carl E. Walsh, Monetary Theory and Policy, 3rd ed., (Cambridge, Mass: MIT Press, 2010); Jacques Le Bourva, “Money Creation and Credit Multipliers,” Review of Political Economy, Vol. 4, No. 4 (1992), pp. 447-466.
  • In E1, ‘m’ is the money multiplier, ‘r’ is required reserve ratio, ‘c’ is currency in circulation and ‘e’ is excess reserve ratio. In the best-case scenario, ‘c’ and ‘e’ are expected to be equal to zero such that money multiplier would be equal to: ‘𝑚= 1𝑟⁄’.
  • Jiang and Shao, “The Cash Paradox.”
  • Paul Krugman, “It’s Baack! Japan’s Slump and the Return of the Liquidity Trap,” Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, Vol. 29, No. 2 (1998), pp. 137-187. Walter Engert, Ben S. C. Fung, and Scott Hendry, “Is a Cashless Society Problematic?” Bank of Canada, retrieved from https://www.bankofcanada.ca/wp-content/uploads/2018/10/sdp2018-12.pdf, on October 30, 2018.
  • Schilling, et al., “Central Bank Digital Currency: When Price and Bank Stability Collide.”
  • Douglas W. Diamond and Philip H. Dybvig, “Bank Runs, Deposit Insurance, and Liquidity,” Journal of Political Economy, Vol. 91, No. 3 (1983), pp. 401-419; Mark Gertler and Nobuhiro Kiyotaki, “Banking, Liquidity, and Bank Runs in an Infinite Horizon Economy,” American Economic Review, Vol. 105, No. 7 (2015), pp. 2011-2043.
  • Douglas Arner, Raphael Auer, and Jon Frost, “Stable coins: Risks, Potential and Regulation,” BIS Working Papers, No. 905 (November 2020). Silvio Gesell, The Natural Economic Order, translated by Philip Pye, (London: M.A., 1958); John M. Keynes, The General Theory of Employment, Interest and Money, (London: Macmillian and Co Ltd, 1961). Bilal Bağış, “Savaş, Kripto Ekonomi veDijitalleşme,” AA Analysis, (March 31, 2022).
  • “Central Bank Digital Currencies for Cross-Border Payments,” Committee on Payments and Market Infrastructures (CPMI), retrieved from https://www.bis.org/publ/othp38.pdf, on July 30, 2021.
  • Kosse and Mattei, “Gaining Momentum – Results of the 2021 BIS Survey on Central Bank Digital Currencies.”
  • David Tercero Lucas, “Central Bank Digital Currencies and Financial Stability in a Modern Monetary System,” Working papers GEAR, (May 26, 2022); Gertler and Kiyotaki, “Banking, Liquidity, and Bank Runs in an Infinite Horizon Economy.” Gorton, “Reputation Formation in Early Bank Note Markets.”
  • Diamond and Dybvig, “Bank Runs, Deposit Insurance, and Liquidity”; Lucas, “Central Bank Digital Currencies and Financial Stability in a Modern Monetary System.”
  • Ricardo J. Caballero and Arvind Krishnamurthy, “Collective Risk Management in a Flight to Quality Episode,” Journal of Finance, Vol. 63, (2008), pp. 2195-2230;Ben Bernanke, Mark Gertler and Simon Gilchrist, “The Financial Accelerator and the Flight to Quality,” Review of Economics and Statistics, Vol. 78, (1996), pp. 1-15.
  • Raphael Auer, Holti Banka, Nana Yaa Boakye-Adjei, Ahmed Faragallah, Jon Frost, Harish Natarajan, and JermyPrenio, “Central Bank Digital Currencies: A New Tool in the Financial Inclusion Toolkit?” FSI Insights Paper, No. 41 (April 2022); Lober and Houben, “Central Bank Digital Currencies.”
  • Krugman, “It’s Baack! Japan’s Slump and the Return of the Liquidity Trap”; Michael Woodford, Interest and Prices: Foundations of a Theory of Monetary Policy, (Princeton: Princeton University Press, 2003).

Digital Currencies and Monetary Policy in the New Era

Yıl 2022, Cilt: 11 Sayı: 4, 109 - 138, 01.10.2022
https://doi.org/10.36360/1560-011-004-006

Öz

The centuries-old financial structure and the modern financial system are built on physical currencies. An institutional solution to many modern puzzles is about the instrument change. After the global financial crisis of 2008-2009 and the COVID-19 pandemic of 2020, along with the introduction of all-new cryptocurrencies and stable coins, even many central banks have voiced an interest in the introduction of digital currencies. Hence, the pros and cons of the new central bank digital currencies (CBDC)are the newest widely discussed topic. (CBDC)should also contribute to financial stability and increase monetary policy efficacy. Central banks will once more gain greater power over the money supply and its control, reinforcing their position and central power within the financial system.

Kaynakça

  • “Major Central Bank Balance Sheets (Total Assets Less Eliminations from Consolidation),” FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Loui, retrieved from https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/WALCL, on May 24, 2022.
  • See, among others, John Maynard Keynes, A Treatise on Money, (London: Macmillan, 1930); Jacques Le Bourva, “Money Creation and Credit Multipliers,” Review of Political Economy, Vol. 4, No. 4 (1992), pp. 447-466; Basil J. Moore, “The Endogenous Money Supply,” Journal of Post Keynesian Economics, Vol. 10 No. 3(1988), pp. 372-385.
  • See, among others, William Mitchell, L. Randall Wray, and Martin Watts, Macroeconomics, (London: Red Globe Press, 2019); Stephanie Kelton, “The Deficit Myth: Modern Monetary Theory and the Birth of the People's Economy,” Public Affairs, (2020); L. Randall Wray, Understanding Modern Money, Vol. 11, (Cheltenham: Edward Elgar, 1998); Thomas I. Palley, “The e-Money Revolution: Challenges and Implications for Monetary Policy,” Journal of Post Keynesian Economics, Vol. 24,No. 2 (2002), pp. 217-233; Thomas I. Palley, “Endogenous Money and the Business Cycle,” Journal of Economics, Vol. 65 (1997), pp. 133-149; Thomas I. Palley, “Money, Fiscal Policy, and Interest Rates: A Critique of Modern Monetary Theory,” Review of Political Economy, Vol. 27,No.1(2015), pp. 1-23.
  • Bilal Bağış, “Güney Asya’nın 'Ilk Günahı' ve Borç Krizi,” AA Analysis, (August 23, 2022).
  • Finn E. Kydland and Edward C. Prescott, “Rules Rather than Discretion: The Inconsistency of Optimal Plans,” Journal of Political Economy, Vol. 85,No.3(1977), pp. 473-491; Kenneth Rogoff, “The Optimal Degree of Commitment to an Intermediate Monetary Target,” Quarterly Journal of Economics, Vol. 100,No. 4 (1985), pp. 1169-1189; Carl Walsh, “Optimal Contracts for Central Bankers,” The American Economic Review, Vol. 85, No. 1(1995), pp. 150-167.
  • CBDCs are digital central bank liability that are expected to replace the physical currency currently used. They are digital forms of paper money, a country’s fiat currency; Bilal Bagis, “Central Banking in the New Era,” Eurasian Journal of Economics and Finance, Vol. 5, No. 4(2017), pp. 197-225.
  • “Stablecoins: Implications for Monetary Policy, Financial Stability, Market Infrastructure and Payments, and Banking Supervision in the Euro Area,” European Central Bank (ECB) Occasional Paper Series, (September 2020); “Report on Stable coins,” Treasury Department (President’s Working Group on Financial Markets, the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation, and the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency),(November 2021), retrieved from https://home.treasury.gov/system/files/136/StableCoinReport_Nov1_508.pdf.
  • Digital renminbi. May also be called ‘digital RMB’, e-Renminbi, e-RMB and e-CNY. Or the ‘Digital Currency Electronic Payment (DCEP)’, as it is officially called.
  • Raghuram G. Rajan, “Has Financial Development Made the World Riskier?” 2005 Economic Policy Symposium Proceedings, Jackson Hole, WY: Federal Reserve Bank, (2005), pp. 313-369.
  • Modern private venture cryptocurrencies run on a distributed-ledger technology called block chains. In this setup, a number of devices distributed around the world need to verify the accuracy of any transaction. Stable coins, however, are a new form of cryptocurrency that is pegged to a reserve asset, a fiat currency, or a commodity. They aim to keep a stable value. Examples include Tether, USD Coin, Libra, and DAI; See, “COVID-19, Crypto, and Climate: Navigating Challenging Transitions,” International Monetary Fund (IMF) Global Financial Stability Report, (October 2021), retrieved from https://www.elibrary.imf.org/view/books/082/465808-9781513595603-en/465808-9781513595603-en-book.xml; Francesca Carapella and Jean Flemming, “Central Bank Digital Currency: A Literature Review,” FEDS Notes, (November 9, 2020), retrieved from https://www.federalreserve.gov/econres/notes/feds-notes/central-bank-digital-currency-aliterature-review-20201109.htm.
  • Raphael Auer, Giulio Cornelli and Jon Frost, “Rise of the Central Bank Digital Currencies: Drivers, Approaches and Technologies,” BIS Working Papers, No. 880 (August 2020); Klaus Lober and AertHouben, “Central Bank Digital Currencies,” BIS Report, Committee on Payments and Market Infrastructures, (March 12, 2018).
  • “COVID-19, Crypto, and Climate: Navigating Challenging Transitions,” International Monetary Fund (IMF) Global Financial Stability Report; Carapella and Flemming, “Central Bank Digital Currency: A Literature Review”; Auer,et al., “Rise of the Central Bank Digital Currencies: Drivers, Approaches and Technologies”; Sergio Luis Náñez Alonso, Javier Jorge-Vazquez, and Ricardo Francisco Reier Forradellas, “Central Banks Digital Currency: Detection of Optimal Countries for the Implementation of a CBDC and the Implication for Payment Industry Open Innovation” Journal of Open Innovation: Technology, Market, and Complexity, Vol. 7, No. 72 (2021); Linda Schilling, Jesus Fernandez-Villaverde, and Harald Uhlig, “Central Bank Digital Currency: When Price and Bank Stability Collide,” NBER Working Paper, No. 28237 (2020).
  • Negative interest rate (NIR) means that keeping deposits, reserves, or cash in any account requires an interest payment to the bank (to a conventional bank or a central bank). This is, in a way, another way of telling banks (or depositors) that liquid assets such as cash are costly and that it is a privilege that requires some tax payment by the cash holder.
  • John M. Keynes, “Activities 1940-1944: Shaping the Post-War World – The Clearing Union,” in Moggridge, D. (Ed.), The Collected Writings of John Maynard Keynes, (London: Macmillan, 1980).
  • Barry Eichengreen, Exorbitant Privilege: The Rise and Fall of the Dollar and the Future of the International Monetary System, (Oxford: Oxford University Press, 2010).
  • Gary Gorton, “Reputation Formation in Early Bank Note Markets,” Journal of Political Economy, Vol. 104, No. 2 (1996).
  • Walter Engert, Ben S. C. Fung, and Scott Hendry, “Is a Cashless Society Problematic?” Bank of Canada Staff Working Paper, Vol. 12, (2018); Janet Hua Jiang and Enchuan Shao, “The Cash Paradox,” Review of Economic Dynamics, Vol. 36, (2020), pp. 177-197.
  • “Assessment of Risks to Financial Stability from Crypto-Assets,” Financial Stability Board (FSB), retrieved from https://www.fsb.org/2022/02/assessment-of-risks-to-financial-stability-from-crypto-assets/, on February 28, 2022.
  • “COVID-19, Crypto, and Climate: Navigating Challenging Transitions,” International Monetary Fund Global Financial Stability Report.
  • Jiang and Shao, “The Cash Paradox.”
  • Náñez Alonso, et al., “Central Banks Digital Currency: Detection of Optimal Countries for the Implementation of a CBDC and the Implication for Payment Industry Open Innovation.”
  • Anneke Kosse and Ilaria Mattei, “Gaining Momentum – Results of the 2021 BIS Survey on Central Bank Digital Currencies,” BIS Papers, No. 125 (May 2022).
  • “Central Bank Digital Currency Tracker,” Atlantic Council Research, retrieved from https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/cbdctracker/, on May 25, 2022.
  • “Central Bank Digital Currency Tracker,” Atlantic Council Research; Igor Mikhalev, KajBurchardi, Igor Struchkov, Bihao Song, and Jonas Gross, “CBDC Tracker,” White Paper, retrieved from https://cbdctracker.org/cbdc-tracker-whitepaper.pdf, on January 31, 2021.
  • In Türkiye, the Dijital Türk Lirası İş Birliği Platformu was created by the CBRT in 2021 (together with Tubitak-Bilgem, Aselsan ve Havelsan) to promote research, development, and coordination efforts regarding digital currencies.
  • Countries with a CBDC project canceled or decommissioned (red), countries where the first explanatory CBDC research project is conducted (green), those in an advanced research stage and have published a CBDC proof of concept (purple), countries that have developed and tested a CBDC in a real environment (orange), and countries that have a CBDC officially launched (blue). Mikhalev, et al., “CBDC Tracker.”
  • Kosse and Mattei, “Gaining Momentum – Results of the 2021 BIS Survey on Central Bank Digital Currencies.”
  • “Central Bank Digital Currencies: Foundational Principles and Core Features,” Bank for International Settlements (BIS), retrieved from https://www.bis.org/publ/othp33.pdf, on October 30, 2022.
  • Kosse and Mattei, “Gaining Momentum – Results of the 2021 BIS Survey on Central Bank Digital Currencies.”
  • “Money and Payments: The U.S. Dollar in the Age of Digital Transformation,” Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, retrieved from https://www.federalreserve.gov/publications/money-and-payments-discussion-paper.htm, on January 21, 2022.
  • “Ensuring Responsible Development of Digital Assets,” The White House Executive Order, retrieved from https://www.whitehouse.gov/briefing-room/presidential-actions/2022/03/09/executive-order-on-ensuring-responsible-development-of-digital-assets/, on March 9, 2022.
  • Mohamed A. El-Erian, The Only Game in Town: Central Banks, Instability, and Avoiding the Next Collapse, (New York: Random House, 2016).
  • Maurice Obstfeld and Kenneth Rogoff, Foundations of International Macroeconomics, (Cambridge, MA: MIT Press, 1996).
  • Jiang and Shao, “The Cash Paradox.”
  • Milton Friedman, “The Role of Monetary Policy,” American Economic Review, Vol. 58, No. 1 (1968), pp. 1-17; Carl E. Walsh, Monetary Theory and Policy, 3rd ed., (Cambridge, Mass: MIT Press, 2010); Jacques Le Bourva, “Money Creation and Credit Multipliers,” Review of Political Economy, Vol. 4, No. 4 (1992), pp. 447-466.
  • In E1, ‘m’ is the money multiplier, ‘r’ is required reserve ratio, ‘c’ is currency in circulation and ‘e’ is excess reserve ratio. In the best-case scenario, ‘c’ and ‘e’ are expected to be equal to zero such that money multiplier would be equal to: ‘𝑚= 1𝑟⁄’.
  • Jiang and Shao, “The Cash Paradox.”
  • Paul Krugman, “It’s Baack! Japan’s Slump and the Return of the Liquidity Trap,” Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, Vol. 29, No. 2 (1998), pp. 137-187. Walter Engert, Ben S. C. Fung, and Scott Hendry, “Is a Cashless Society Problematic?” Bank of Canada, retrieved from https://www.bankofcanada.ca/wp-content/uploads/2018/10/sdp2018-12.pdf, on October 30, 2018.
  • Schilling, et al., “Central Bank Digital Currency: When Price and Bank Stability Collide.”
  • Douglas W. Diamond and Philip H. Dybvig, “Bank Runs, Deposit Insurance, and Liquidity,” Journal of Political Economy, Vol. 91, No. 3 (1983), pp. 401-419; Mark Gertler and Nobuhiro Kiyotaki, “Banking, Liquidity, and Bank Runs in an Infinite Horizon Economy,” American Economic Review, Vol. 105, No. 7 (2015), pp. 2011-2043.
  • Douglas Arner, Raphael Auer, and Jon Frost, “Stable coins: Risks, Potential and Regulation,” BIS Working Papers, No. 905 (November 2020). Silvio Gesell, The Natural Economic Order, translated by Philip Pye, (London: M.A., 1958); John M. Keynes, The General Theory of Employment, Interest and Money, (London: Macmillian and Co Ltd, 1961). Bilal Bağış, “Savaş, Kripto Ekonomi veDijitalleşme,” AA Analysis, (March 31, 2022).
  • “Central Bank Digital Currencies for Cross-Border Payments,” Committee on Payments and Market Infrastructures (CPMI), retrieved from https://www.bis.org/publ/othp38.pdf, on July 30, 2021.
  • Kosse and Mattei, “Gaining Momentum – Results of the 2021 BIS Survey on Central Bank Digital Currencies.”
  • David Tercero Lucas, “Central Bank Digital Currencies and Financial Stability in a Modern Monetary System,” Working papers GEAR, (May 26, 2022); Gertler and Kiyotaki, “Banking, Liquidity, and Bank Runs in an Infinite Horizon Economy.” Gorton, “Reputation Formation in Early Bank Note Markets.”
  • Diamond and Dybvig, “Bank Runs, Deposit Insurance, and Liquidity”; Lucas, “Central Bank Digital Currencies and Financial Stability in a Modern Monetary System.”
  • Ricardo J. Caballero and Arvind Krishnamurthy, “Collective Risk Management in a Flight to Quality Episode,” Journal of Finance, Vol. 63, (2008), pp. 2195-2230;Ben Bernanke, Mark Gertler and Simon Gilchrist, “The Financial Accelerator and the Flight to Quality,” Review of Economics and Statistics, Vol. 78, (1996), pp. 1-15.
  • Raphael Auer, Holti Banka, Nana Yaa Boakye-Adjei, Ahmed Faragallah, Jon Frost, Harish Natarajan, and JermyPrenio, “Central Bank Digital Currencies: A New Tool in the Financial Inclusion Toolkit?” FSI Insights Paper, No. 41 (April 2022); Lober and Houben, “Central Bank Digital Currencies.”
  • Krugman, “It’s Baack! Japan’s Slump and the Return of the Liquidity Trap”; Michael Woodford, Interest and Prices: Foundations of a Theory of Monetary Policy, (Princeton: Princeton University Press, 2003).
Toplam 48 adet kaynakça vardır.

Ayrıntılar

Birincil Dil Arapça
Konular Küreselleşme, Uluslararası İlişkilerde Siyaset, Güvenlik Çalışmaları
Bölüm Araştırma Makaleleri
Yazarlar

Bilal Bağış 0000-0003-2314-8991

Yayımlanma Tarihi 1 Ekim 2022
Yayımlandığı Sayı Yıl 2022 Cilt: 11 Sayı: 4

Kaynak Göster

APA Bağış, B. (2022). العملات الرقمية والسياسة المالية في الحقبة الجديدة. Rouya Türkiyyah, 11(4), 109-138. https://doi.org/10.36360/1560-011-004-006
AMA Bağış B. العملات الرقمية والسياسة المالية في الحقبة الجديدة. Rouya Türkiyyah. Ekim 2022;11(4):109-138. doi:10.36360/1560-011-004-006
Chicago Bağış, Bilal. “العملات الرقمية والسياسة المالية في الحقبة الجديدة”. Rouya Türkiyyah 11, sy. 4 (Ekim 2022): 109-38. https://doi.org/10.36360/1560-011-004-006.
EndNote Bağış B (01 Ekim 2022) العملات الرقمية والسياسة المالية في الحقبة الجديدة. Rouya Türkiyyah 11 4 109–138.
IEEE B. Bağış, “العملات الرقمية والسياسة المالية في الحقبة الجديدة”, Rouya Türkiyyah, c. 11, sy. 4, ss. 109–138, 2022, doi: 10.36360/1560-011-004-006.
ISNAD Bağış, Bilal. “العملات الرقمية والسياسة المالية في الحقبة الجديدة”. Rouya Türkiyyah 11/4 (Ekim 2022), 109-138. https://doi.org/10.36360/1560-011-004-006.
JAMA Bağış B. العملات الرقمية والسياسة المالية في الحقبة الجديدة. Rouya Türkiyyah. 2022;11:109–138.
MLA Bağış, Bilal. “العملات الرقمية والسياسة المالية في الحقبة الجديدة”. Rouya Türkiyyah, c. 11, sy. 4, 2022, ss. 109-38, doi:10.36360/1560-011-004-006.
Vancouver Bağış B. العملات الرقمية والسياسة المالية في الحقبة الجديدة. Rouya Türkiyyah. 2022;11(4):109-38.