Yıl 2019, Cilt 2019 , Sayı 2, Sayfalar 7 - 13 2019-12-11

IS THERE AN ASYMMETRIC RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN EXPORTS AND IMPORTS IN TURKEY?: AN EMPIRICAL EVIDENCE
TÜRKIYE’NIN İHRACATI VE İTHALATI ARASINDA ASİMETRİK BİR İLİŞKİ VAR MIDIR?: AMPİRİK KANITLAR

Cüneyt KOYUNCU [1] , Hüseyin Safa ÜNAL [2]



This study tries to find out if there is an asymmetric relationship between the value of imported goods and the value of the exported goods in Turkey for the monthly periods of 1960:1-2019:8. According to empirical results, the linkage between imports and exports is nonlinear. Thus, NARDL approach is conducted in order to determine the existence of any asymmetric relationship. It is found that there is an asymmetric relationship between the series in the long run but not in the short run. 1% increase in the exports results in a 0.746% increase in the imports of Turkey. On the other hand, when the exports decrease by 1%, it decreases the imports by 0.669% in Turkey. Model diagnostic tests show no autocorrelation, heteroscedasticity or misspecification problems in the model.



Bu çalışma Türkiye’nin ithalat ve ihracat malları arasında, 1960:1-2019:8 periyodu için asimetrik bir ilişki olup olmadığını bulmayı amaçlamaktadır. Aylık veri kullanılmıştır. Ampirik sonuçlara göre, ithalat ve ihracat arasında doğrusal olmayan bir bağlantı bulunmaktadır. Bu sebeple, herhangi bir asimetrik ilişkiyi tespit etmek için NARDL metodu kullanılmıştır. Seriler arasında uzun dönemli asimetrik ilişki bulunduğu saptanmasına rağmen, kısa dönemde bu ilişkinin varlığı tespit edilememiştir. Türkiye’nin ihracatında gerçekleşen %1’lik bir artış, ithalatında %0.746’lık bir yükselmeyle sonuçlanmaktadır. Diğer yandan, ihracatta oluşan %1’lik bir düşüş, ithalatı %0.669 oranında azaltmaktadır. Model diagnostik testleri otokorelasyon, değişen varyans (heteroskedasticity) ve yanlış model belirlenmesi (misspesification) gibi sorunların bulunmadığını göstermektedir.


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Birincil Dil en
Bölüm 2019/2 Makaleler
Yazarlar

Yazar: Cüneyt KOYUNCU
Kurum: BILECIK SEYH EDEBALI UNIVERSITY, FACULTY OF ECONOMICS AND ADMINISTRATIVE SCIENCES, DEPARTMENT OF ECONOMICS
Ülke: Turkey


Yazar: Hüseyin Safa ÜNAL
Kurum: BILECIK SEYH EDEBALI UNIVERSITY, FACULTY OF ECONOMICS AND ADMINISTRATIVE SCIENCES, DEPARTMENT OF ECONOMICS
Ülke: Turkey


Tarihler

Yayımlanma Tarihi : 11 Aralık 2019

Bibtex @araştırma makalesi { sbm647244, journal = {Sosyal Bilimler Metinleri}, issn = {1308-4453}, eissn = {1308-4895}, address = {Namık Kemal Üniversitesi Sosyal Bilimler Enstitüsü, Namık Kemal Mahallesi, Kampüs Cad. No: 1 Rektörlük Binası Kat: 3 Değirmenaltı Yerleşkesi 59030 Tekirdağ/TÜRKİYE}, publisher = {Namık Kemal Üniversitesi}, year = {2019}, volume = {2019}, pages = {7 - 13}, doi = {}, title = {IS THERE AN ASYMMETRIC RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN EXPORTS AND IMPORTS IN TURKEY?: AN EMPIRICAL EVIDENCE}, key = {cite}, author = {Koyuncu, Cüneyt and Ünal, Hüseyin Safa} }
APA Koyuncu, C , Ünal, H . (2019). IS THERE AN ASYMMETRIC RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN EXPORTS AND IMPORTS IN TURKEY?: AN EMPIRICAL EVIDENCE . Sosyal Bilimler Metinleri , 2019 (2) , 7-13 . Retrieved from https://dergipark.org.tr/tr/pub/sbm/issue/50581/647244
MLA Koyuncu, C , Ünal, H . "IS THERE AN ASYMMETRIC RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN EXPORTS AND IMPORTS IN TURKEY?: AN EMPIRICAL EVIDENCE" . Sosyal Bilimler Metinleri 2019 (2019 ): 7-13 <https://dergipark.org.tr/tr/pub/sbm/issue/50581/647244>
Chicago Koyuncu, C , Ünal, H . "IS THERE AN ASYMMETRIC RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN EXPORTS AND IMPORTS IN TURKEY?: AN EMPIRICAL EVIDENCE". Sosyal Bilimler Metinleri 2019 (2019 ): 7-13
RIS TY - JOUR T1 - IS THERE AN ASYMMETRIC RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN EXPORTS AND IMPORTS IN TURKEY?: AN EMPIRICAL EVIDENCE AU - Cüneyt Koyuncu , Hüseyin Safa Ünal Y1 - 2019 PY - 2019 N1 - DO - T2 - Sosyal Bilimler Metinleri JF - Journal JO - JOR SP - 7 EP - 13 VL - 2019 IS - 2 SN - 1308-4453-1308-4895 M3 - UR - Y2 - 2019 ER -
EndNote %0 Sosyal Bilimler Metinleri IS THERE AN ASYMMETRIC RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN EXPORTS AND IMPORTS IN TURKEY?: AN EMPIRICAL EVIDENCE %A Cüneyt Koyuncu , Hüseyin Safa Ünal %T IS THERE AN ASYMMETRIC RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN EXPORTS AND IMPORTS IN TURKEY?: AN EMPIRICAL EVIDENCE %D 2019 %J Sosyal Bilimler Metinleri %P 1308-4453-1308-4895 %V 2019 %N 2 %R %U
ISNAD Koyuncu, Cüneyt , Ünal, Hüseyin Safa . "IS THERE AN ASYMMETRIC RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN EXPORTS AND IMPORTS IN TURKEY?: AN EMPIRICAL EVIDENCE". Sosyal Bilimler Metinleri 2019 / 2 (Aralık 2019): 7-13 .
AMA Koyuncu C , Ünal H . IS THERE AN ASYMMETRIC RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN EXPORTS AND IMPORTS IN TURKEY?: AN EMPIRICAL EVIDENCE. Sosyal Bilimler Metinleri. 2019; 2019(2): 7-13.
Vancouver Koyuncu C , Ünal H . IS THERE AN ASYMMETRIC RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN EXPORTS AND IMPORTS IN TURKEY?: AN EMPIRICAL EVIDENCE. Sosyal Bilimler Metinleri. 2019; 2019(2): 7-13.
IEEE C. Koyuncu ve H. Ünal , "IS THERE AN ASYMMETRIC RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN EXPORTS AND IMPORTS IN TURKEY?: AN EMPIRICAL EVIDENCE", Sosyal Bilimler Metinleri, c. 2019, sayı. 2, ss. 7-13, Ara. 2019