Araştırma Makalesi
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Korkunun Emaresi mi Gücün Göstergesi mi?: Siha’ların Türkiye Siyasetindeki Rolü

Yıl 2025, Cilt: 4 Sayı: 7, 284 - 301, 31.12.2025
https://izlik.org/JA82XY52WJ

Öz

Türkiye son yıllarda küresel silah ihracatçıları listesinde yükselmeye devam etmektedir. Yerli savaş teknolojilerine, özellikle silahlı insansız hava araçlarına yapılan yoğun yatırımlar, bu trende katkıda bulunan merkezi bir unsur haline gelmiştir. Eleştirilere rağmen, Türk uzmanlığı insansız hava araçlarında toplumun farklı kesimlerinden olumlu geri dönüşler almaktadır. İster dış politika aracı olsun ister iç politika aracı, Türk insansız hava araçları, çeşitli bölgesel çatışmalarda kendilerini etkili bir şekilde kanıtladıkları için savaşın doğasını değiştirmektedir. UCAV üretiminin Türk dış politikasındaki başarılı etkisi daha fazla tartışılabilecek iken, sınırlar içinde aldıkları destek konusunda şüpheye pek az yer kalmaya başlamıştır. Bu makale, bu desteğin AKP hükümetinin artan iç kamuoyu maliyetlerini bertaraf etmek amacıyla kasıtlı bir siyasi stratejinin sonucu olarak mı yoksa iktidar partisinin manifestosuna bakıldığında Yeni-Osmanlıcı politikalarının yan eylemi olarak mı hedeflendiğini daha fazla araştırmayı amaçlamaktadır.

Kaynakça

  • A Brief History of Drones | Imperial War Museums. Accessed March 12, 2025. Https://Www.Iwm.Org.Uk/History/A-Brief-History-Of-Drones.
  • Albayrak, Didem Özdemir, And Kürşad Turan. "Neo-Ottomanism in Turkish Foreign Policy Through the Lenses of the Principal-Agent Theory." Journal Of Security, Strategy and Political Studies 1, No. 1 (2016): 129-154.
  • Ateş, Hazal, Mehmet Nayır, And Safure Cantürk. “Parola: Büyük Ekonomi.” Sabah, April 16, 2011. Https://Www.Sabah.Com.Tr/Ekonomi/2011/04/17/Parola-Buyuk-Ekonomi.
  • Bekdil, Burak. "Erdoğan's Regional Charm Offensive." Middle East Quarterly (2022).
  • Boyle, Michael J. The Drone Age: How Drone Technology Will Change War and Peace. Oxford University Press, 2020.
  • Chamayou, Gržgoire. A Theory of the Drone. New Press, The, 2015.
  • Cumhuriyet Halk Partisi. "Cumhurbaşkanı Adayı Kılıçdaroğlu Kocaeli'de: Savunma Sanayii Milli Meseledir; Sağcısı, Solcusu, Ortacısı Olmaz." CHP.Org.Tr. 30 Nisan 2023. Https://Chp.Org.Tr/Haberler/Cumhurbaskani-Adayi-Kilicdaroglu-Kocaeli-De-Savunma-Sanayii-Milli-Meseledir-Sagcisi-Solcusu-Ortacisi-Olmaz.
  • Cumhuriyet Halk Partisi. "CHP Lideri Kılıçdaroğlu'ndan SİHA Tepkisi: 'Türkiye'nin Egemenlik Haklarına Bir Başka Ülkenin Müdahalesini Kabul Etmiyoruz'." CHP.Org.Tr. 3 Kasım 2022. Https://Chp.Org.Tr/Haberler/Chp-Lideri-Kilicdaroglundan-Sha-Tepkisi-Turkiyenin-Egemenlik-Haklarina-Bir-Baska-Ulkenin-Mudahalesini-Kabul-Etmiyoruz.
  • De Mesquita, Bruce Bueno, Alastair Smith, Randolph M. Siverson, And James D. Morrow. The Logic of Political Survival. MIT Press, 2005.
  • Dost, Pınar. “The West Must Learn from Turkey’s Transformation from the Ashes of the Ottoman Empire to a Rising Middle Power.” Atlantic Council, November 2, 2023. Https://Www.Atlanticcouncil.Org/Blogs/Turkeysource/The-West-Must-Learn-From-Turkeys-Transformation-From-The-Ashes-Of-The-Ottoman-Empire-To-A-Rising-Middle-Power/.
  • Egeli, Sıtkı, Serhat Güvenç, Çağlar Kurç, and Arda Mevlütoğlu. From Client to Competitor: The Rise of Türkiye’s Defence Industry. London: International Institute for Strategic Studies; Center for Foreign Policy and Peace Research; CATS Network, May 2024.
  • Ernest, Nicholas, David Carroll, Corey Schumacher, Matthew Clark, Kelly Cohen, And Gene Lee. "Genetic Fuzzy Based Artificial Intelligence for Unmanned Combat Aerial Vehicle Control in Simulated Air Combat Missions." Journal Of Defense Management 6, No. 1 (2016): 2167-0374
  • Fearon, James D. "Domestic Political Audiences and the Escalation of International Disputes." American Political Science Review 88, No. 3 (1994): 577-592.
  • Global Firepower - 2025 World Military Strength Rankings. Global Firepower - World Military Strength. Accessed March 12, 2025. Https://Www.Globalfirepower.Com/.
  • Gontijo, Lorenzo CB, And Roberson S. Barbosa. "Erdoğan’s Pragmatism and the Ascension of AKP in Turkey: Islam and Neo‐Ottomanism." Digest Of Middle East Studies 29, No. 1 (2020): 76-91.
  • Gostev, Aleksandr, And Koba Liklikadze. “Analysis: Erdogan Hoping Russian Invasion of Ukraine Can Bolster Turkish Regional Power.” Radiofreeeurope/Radioliberty, April 30, 2022. Https://Www.Rferl.Org/A/Ukraine-Erdogan-Russia-Regional-Power/31828327.Html.
  • Guest, Tim. “Key Programmes Bolster Türkiye’s Defence-Export Boom.” European Security & Defence, July 21, 2025. Euro-SD. Https://Euro-Sd.Com/2025/07/Articles/45450/Key-Programmes-Bolster-Turkiyes-Defence-Export-Boom/.
  • Horowitz, Michael, Joshua A. Schwartz, And Matthew Fuhrmann. "Who’s Prone to Drone? A Global Time-Series Analysis of Armed Uninhabited Aerial Vehicle Proliferation." Conflict Management and Peace Science 39, No. 2 (2022): 119-142.
  • Hudson, Leila, Colin S. Owens, And Matt Flannes. "Drone Warfare: Blowback from the New American Way of War." Middle East Policy 18, No. 3 (2011): 122-132.
  • Ivaylo, Hristov. "Neo-Ottomanism-Emergence, Ideology and Political Doctrine." Social Evolution & History 18, No. 1 (2019): 139-156.
  • Jakoubek Stážista, Christopher. “Turkish ‘Drone’ Diplomacy - Security Outlines.” Security Outlines - Česko-Slovenský Portál O Bezpečnosti, January 18, 2023. Https://Www.Securityoutlines.Cz/Turkish-Drone-Diplomacy/.
  • Kahvecioglu, Sinem, And Hakan Oktal. "Turkish UAV Capabilities as A New Competitor in the Market." International Journal of Intelligent Unmanned Systems 2, No. 3 (2014): 183-191.
  • Kurç, Çağlar, Sıtkı Egeli, Arda Mevlütoğlu, And Serhat Güvenç. Türkiye’s Defence Industry: Which Way Forward? London: International Institute for Strategic Studies, 2024.
  • Levitsky, Steven, And Lucan A. Way. Competitive Authoritarianism: Hybrid Regimes After the Cold War. Cambridge University Press, 2010.
  • Masuhr, Niklas. "Turkey’s New Outlook: Power Projection in the Middle East and Beyond." In Strategic Trends 2021: Key Developments in Global Affairs, Pp. 53-76. Center For Security Studies (CSS), ETH Zürich, 2021.
  • Modebadze, Valeri. "The Importance of Drones in Modern Warfare and Armed Conflicts." Kutbilim Sosyal Bilimler ve Sanat Dergisi 1, No. 2 (2021): 89-98.
  • Moravcsik, Andrew. "Introduction: Integrating International and Domestic Theories of International Bargaining." In Double-Edged Diplomacy: International Bargaining and Domestic Politics, Pp. 3-42. University Of California Press, 2023.
  • Ozkan, Behlül. "Turkey, Davutoglu and the Idea of Pan-Islamism." Survival 56, No. 4 (2014): 119-140.
  • Pattnaik, Jajati K., And Chandan K. Panda. "Interrogating Erdogan’s Neo-Ottoman Geopolitical Imagination." Journal Of Liberty and International Affairs 8, No. 3 (2022): 338-355.
  • Pinto, Anouck Gabriela Côrte-Réal. "A Neo-Liberal Exception? The Defense Industry ‘Turkification’ Project." Development Policy 299 (2017).
  • Precedence Research. Military Drones Market Size, Share, And Trends, 2025 To 2034. Last Updated May 29, 2025.
  • Precedence Research. Https://Www.Precedenceresearch.Com/Military-Drones-Market Putnam, Robert D. "Diplomacy and Domestic Politics: The Logic of Two-Level Games." In International Organization, Pp. 437-470. Routledge, 2017.
  • Rosenau, James N. Along the Domestic-Foreign Frontier: Exploring Governance in a Turbulent World. No. 53. Cambridge University Press, 1997.
  • Soyaltin-Colella, Digdem, And Tolga Demiryol. "Unusual Middle Power Activism and Regime Survival: Turkey’s Drone Warfare and Its Regime-Boosting Effects." Third World Quarterly 44, No. 4 (2023): 724-743.
  • Stein, Arthur A., And Steven E. Lobell. "Geostructuralism And International Politics: The End of the Cold War and the Regionalization of International Security." Regional Orders: Building Security in A New World (1997): 101-22.
  • Stockholm International Peace Research Institute (SIPRI). (2025). SIPRI Arms Transfers Database. Retrieved From Https://Doi.Org/10.55163/SAFC1241.
  • UNROCA. ROCA (United Nations Register of Conventional Arms). Accessed March 12, 2025. Https://Www.Unroca.Org/.
  • Walsh, James Igoe. "Is Technology the Answer? The Limits of Combat Drones in Countering Insurgents." Coercion: The Power to Hurt in International Politics (2018): 160-178.
  • Williams, Paul D. "Security Studies: An Introduction." In Security Studies, Pp. 23-34. Routledge, 2012.
  • Yavuz, M. Hakan. "Social And Intellectual Origins of Neo-Ottomanism: Searching for A Post-National Vision." Die Welt Des Islams 56, No. 3-4 (2016): 438-465.
  • Yavuz, M. Hakan. "Turkish Identity and Foreign Policy in Flux: The Rise of Neo‐Ottomanism." Critique: Journal For Critical Studies of the Middle East 7, No. 12 (1998): 19-41.
  • Yılmaz, Serdar, And Murat Yorulmaz. "The Effects of Turkish Defense Industry’s Transformation on Turkish Foreign Policy." İnsan Ve Toplum Bilimleri Araştır

Show of force or fear?: The role of Uavs in Turkish politics

Yıl 2025, Cilt: 4 Sayı: 7, 284 - 301, 31.12.2025
https://izlik.org/JA82XY52WJ

Öz

Turkiye has been climbing the list of global arms exporters in recent years. The intensive investments in domestic warfare technologies, especially in armed drones, have been a central element contributing to this trend. Despite criticisms, Turkish expertise in unmanned combat aerial vehicles has received positive comebacks from different segments of society. Whether it has been a foreign or domestic policy tool, the Turkish drones have been changing the nature of warfare as they proved themselves more than effective in various regional combats. Although the UCAV production’s successful effect on Turkish foreign policy can be further debated, there can be little or no doubt about the support they received within the borders. This paper aims to further explore whether this backing was aimed as the result of an intentional political strategy of the AKP government to repel the growing domestic audience costs or as the side action of neo-Ottoman policies of the ruling party in retrospect of its manifesto.

Kaynakça

  • A Brief History of Drones | Imperial War Museums. Accessed March 12, 2025. Https://Www.Iwm.Org.Uk/History/A-Brief-History-Of-Drones.
  • Albayrak, Didem Özdemir, And Kürşad Turan. "Neo-Ottomanism in Turkish Foreign Policy Through the Lenses of the Principal-Agent Theory." Journal Of Security, Strategy and Political Studies 1, No. 1 (2016): 129-154.
  • Ateş, Hazal, Mehmet Nayır, And Safure Cantürk. “Parola: Büyük Ekonomi.” Sabah, April 16, 2011. Https://Www.Sabah.Com.Tr/Ekonomi/2011/04/17/Parola-Buyuk-Ekonomi.
  • Bekdil, Burak. "Erdoğan's Regional Charm Offensive." Middle East Quarterly (2022).
  • Boyle, Michael J. The Drone Age: How Drone Technology Will Change War and Peace. Oxford University Press, 2020.
  • Chamayou, Gržgoire. A Theory of the Drone. New Press, The, 2015.
  • Cumhuriyet Halk Partisi. "Cumhurbaşkanı Adayı Kılıçdaroğlu Kocaeli'de: Savunma Sanayii Milli Meseledir; Sağcısı, Solcusu, Ortacısı Olmaz." CHP.Org.Tr. 30 Nisan 2023. Https://Chp.Org.Tr/Haberler/Cumhurbaskani-Adayi-Kilicdaroglu-Kocaeli-De-Savunma-Sanayii-Milli-Meseledir-Sagcisi-Solcusu-Ortacisi-Olmaz.
  • Cumhuriyet Halk Partisi. "CHP Lideri Kılıçdaroğlu'ndan SİHA Tepkisi: 'Türkiye'nin Egemenlik Haklarına Bir Başka Ülkenin Müdahalesini Kabul Etmiyoruz'." CHP.Org.Tr. 3 Kasım 2022. Https://Chp.Org.Tr/Haberler/Chp-Lideri-Kilicdaroglundan-Sha-Tepkisi-Turkiyenin-Egemenlik-Haklarina-Bir-Baska-Ulkenin-Mudahalesini-Kabul-Etmiyoruz.
  • De Mesquita, Bruce Bueno, Alastair Smith, Randolph M. Siverson, And James D. Morrow. The Logic of Political Survival. MIT Press, 2005.
  • Dost, Pınar. “The West Must Learn from Turkey’s Transformation from the Ashes of the Ottoman Empire to a Rising Middle Power.” Atlantic Council, November 2, 2023. Https://Www.Atlanticcouncil.Org/Blogs/Turkeysource/The-West-Must-Learn-From-Turkeys-Transformation-From-The-Ashes-Of-The-Ottoman-Empire-To-A-Rising-Middle-Power/.
  • Egeli, Sıtkı, Serhat Güvenç, Çağlar Kurç, and Arda Mevlütoğlu. From Client to Competitor: The Rise of Türkiye’s Defence Industry. London: International Institute for Strategic Studies; Center for Foreign Policy and Peace Research; CATS Network, May 2024.
  • Ernest, Nicholas, David Carroll, Corey Schumacher, Matthew Clark, Kelly Cohen, And Gene Lee. "Genetic Fuzzy Based Artificial Intelligence for Unmanned Combat Aerial Vehicle Control in Simulated Air Combat Missions." Journal Of Defense Management 6, No. 1 (2016): 2167-0374
  • Fearon, James D. "Domestic Political Audiences and the Escalation of International Disputes." American Political Science Review 88, No. 3 (1994): 577-592.
  • Global Firepower - 2025 World Military Strength Rankings. Global Firepower - World Military Strength. Accessed March 12, 2025. Https://Www.Globalfirepower.Com/.
  • Gontijo, Lorenzo CB, And Roberson S. Barbosa. "Erdoğan’s Pragmatism and the Ascension of AKP in Turkey: Islam and Neo‐Ottomanism." Digest Of Middle East Studies 29, No. 1 (2020): 76-91.
  • Gostev, Aleksandr, And Koba Liklikadze. “Analysis: Erdogan Hoping Russian Invasion of Ukraine Can Bolster Turkish Regional Power.” Radiofreeeurope/Radioliberty, April 30, 2022. Https://Www.Rferl.Org/A/Ukraine-Erdogan-Russia-Regional-Power/31828327.Html.
  • Guest, Tim. “Key Programmes Bolster Türkiye’s Defence-Export Boom.” European Security & Defence, July 21, 2025. Euro-SD. Https://Euro-Sd.Com/2025/07/Articles/45450/Key-Programmes-Bolster-Turkiyes-Defence-Export-Boom/.
  • Horowitz, Michael, Joshua A. Schwartz, And Matthew Fuhrmann. "Who’s Prone to Drone? A Global Time-Series Analysis of Armed Uninhabited Aerial Vehicle Proliferation." Conflict Management and Peace Science 39, No. 2 (2022): 119-142.
  • Hudson, Leila, Colin S. Owens, And Matt Flannes. "Drone Warfare: Blowback from the New American Way of War." Middle East Policy 18, No. 3 (2011): 122-132.
  • Ivaylo, Hristov. "Neo-Ottomanism-Emergence, Ideology and Political Doctrine." Social Evolution & History 18, No. 1 (2019): 139-156.
  • Jakoubek Stážista, Christopher. “Turkish ‘Drone’ Diplomacy - Security Outlines.” Security Outlines - Česko-Slovenský Portál O Bezpečnosti, January 18, 2023. Https://Www.Securityoutlines.Cz/Turkish-Drone-Diplomacy/.
  • Kahvecioglu, Sinem, And Hakan Oktal. "Turkish UAV Capabilities as A New Competitor in the Market." International Journal of Intelligent Unmanned Systems 2, No. 3 (2014): 183-191.
  • Kurç, Çağlar, Sıtkı Egeli, Arda Mevlütoğlu, And Serhat Güvenç. Türkiye’s Defence Industry: Which Way Forward? London: International Institute for Strategic Studies, 2024.
  • Levitsky, Steven, And Lucan A. Way. Competitive Authoritarianism: Hybrid Regimes After the Cold War. Cambridge University Press, 2010.
  • Masuhr, Niklas. "Turkey’s New Outlook: Power Projection in the Middle East and Beyond." In Strategic Trends 2021: Key Developments in Global Affairs, Pp. 53-76. Center For Security Studies (CSS), ETH Zürich, 2021.
  • Modebadze, Valeri. "The Importance of Drones in Modern Warfare and Armed Conflicts." Kutbilim Sosyal Bilimler ve Sanat Dergisi 1, No. 2 (2021): 89-98.
  • Moravcsik, Andrew. "Introduction: Integrating International and Domestic Theories of International Bargaining." In Double-Edged Diplomacy: International Bargaining and Domestic Politics, Pp. 3-42. University Of California Press, 2023.
  • Ozkan, Behlül. "Turkey, Davutoglu and the Idea of Pan-Islamism." Survival 56, No. 4 (2014): 119-140.
  • Pattnaik, Jajati K., And Chandan K. Panda. "Interrogating Erdogan’s Neo-Ottoman Geopolitical Imagination." Journal Of Liberty and International Affairs 8, No. 3 (2022): 338-355.
  • Pinto, Anouck Gabriela Côrte-Réal. "A Neo-Liberal Exception? The Defense Industry ‘Turkification’ Project." Development Policy 299 (2017).
  • Precedence Research. Military Drones Market Size, Share, And Trends, 2025 To 2034. Last Updated May 29, 2025.
  • Precedence Research. Https://Www.Precedenceresearch.Com/Military-Drones-Market Putnam, Robert D. "Diplomacy and Domestic Politics: The Logic of Two-Level Games." In International Organization, Pp. 437-470. Routledge, 2017.
  • Rosenau, James N. Along the Domestic-Foreign Frontier: Exploring Governance in a Turbulent World. No. 53. Cambridge University Press, 1997.
  • Soyaltin-Colella, Digdem, And Tolga Demiryol. "Unusual Middle Power Activism and Regime Survival: Turkey’s Drone Warfare and Its Regime-Boosting Effects." Third World Quarterly 44, No. 4 (2023): 724-743.
  • Stein, Arthur A., And Steven E. Lobell. "Geostructuralism And International Politics: The End of the Cold War and the Regionalization of International Security." Regional Orders: Building Security in A New World (1997): 101-22.
  • Stockholm International Peace Research Institute (SIPRI). (2025). SIPRI Arms Transfers Database. Retrieved From Https://Doi.Org/10.55163/SAFC1241.
  • UNROCA. ROCA (United Nations Register of Conventional Arms). Accessed March 12, 2025. Https://Www.Unroca.Org/.
  • Walsh, James Igoe. "Is Technology the Answer? The Limits of Combat Drones in Countering Insurgents." Coercion: The Power to Hurt in International Politics (2018): 160-178.
  • Williams, Paul D. "Security Studies: An Introduction." In Security Studies, Pp. 23-34. Routledge, 2012.
  • Yavuz, M. Hakan. "Social And Intellectual Origins of Neo-Ottomanism: Searching for A Post-National Vision." Die Welt Des Islams 56, No. 3-4 (2016): 438-465.
  • Yavuz, M. Hakan. "Turkish Identity and Foreign Policy in Flux: The Rise of Neo‐Ottomanism." Critique: Journal For Critical Studies of the Middle East 7, No. 12 (1998): 19-41.
  • Yılmaz, Serdar, And Murat Yorulmaz. "The Effects of Turkish Defense Industry’s Transformation on Turkish Foreign Policy." İnsan Ve Toplum Bilimleri Araştır
Toplam 42 adet kaynakça vardır.

Ayrıntılar

Birincil Dil İngilizce
Konular Savunma Çalışmaları, Türk Siyasal Hayatı, Uluslararası Siyaset
Bölüm Araştırma Makalesi
Yazarlar

Begüm Özbudaklı 0000-0002-4914-9653

Gönderilme Tarihi 12 Mart 2025
Kabul Tarihi 30 Kasım 2025
Yayımlanma Tarihi 31 Aralık 2025
IZ https://izlik.org/JA82XY52WJ
Yayımlandığı Sayı Yıl 2025 Cilt: 4 Sayı: 7

Kaynak Göster

Chicago Özbudaklı, Begüm. 2025. “Show of force or fear?: The role of Uavs in Turkish politics”. Telakki Sosyal Bilimler Dergisi 4 (7): 284-301. https://izlik.org/JA82XY52WJ.