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Identifying and Assessing Suspension Risks of Public Infrastructure Projects

Yıl 2025, Sayı: Advanced Online Publication

Fehmi Samet Demirci , Ozan Okudan , Gökhan Demirdöğen , Zeynep Işık

https://doi.org/10.18400/tjce.1647446

Öz

Purpose: The long construction period of public infrastructure projects increases the probability of facing political and economic turmoil, which might be triggered by national and/or international instabilities. Combined with the chronic peculiarity of these projects, such as delays and cost overruns, political and economic turmoil could lead to the temporary suspension of public infrastructure projects since the governments and/or public authorities fail to allocate sufficient financial resources. However, suspension decision for public infrastructure projects poses a wide range of risks that are widely neglected in the literature. Thus, this study proposes a suspension risk management framework by identifying and assessing the risks that may arise after the suspension of public infrastructure projects. The study also investigates perception differences among the leading stakeholders of the public infrastructure projects to ensure that the stakeholders could formalize shared risk response strategies. Initially, a comprehensive literature review and focus group discussion (FGD) sessions were conducted to identify the suspension risks. Next, the questionnaire survey and fuzzy TOPSIS analysis were jointly implemented to determine the significance of each risk. Finally, Cronbach’s alpha analysis and the Mann-Whitney U test were implemented to examine the reliability of the dataset and the perception differences. The results indicated that the suspension decision of infrastructure projects has financial, technical, managerial, social, and environmental implications. Therefore, the suspension risks proposed in this study should be analyzed deeply before the suspension decision is given. Besides, the results pinpointed risks such as “Uncertainties due to constant changes in the contract,” “Financial losses arising from the judicial and/or alternative dispute resolution processes,” and “Administrative difficulties in obtaining financing in the re-starting period” as the most critical suspension risk factors, necessitating urgent and comprehensive risk response strategies. Lastly, the Mann-Whitney U test validated that the proposed framework could be implemented by contracting parties to formulate shared risk response strategies in infrastructure projects.

Anahtar Kelimeler

: Public infrastructure projects economic and political turmoil suspension of construction contracts risk management fuzzy TOPSIS MCDM cronbach’s alpha analysis mann-whitney U test

Kaynakça

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Identifying and Assessing Suspension Risks of Public Infrastructure Projects

Yıl 2025, Sayı: Advanced Online Publication

Fehmi Samet Demirci , Ozan Okudan , Gökhan Demirdöğen , Zeynep Işık

https://doi.org/10.18400/tjce.1647446

Öz

Purpose: The long construction period of public infrastructure projects increases the probability of facing political and economic turmoil, which might be triggered by national and/or international instabilities. Combined with the chronic peculiarity of these projects, such as delays and cost overruns, political and economic turmoil could lead to the temporary suspension of public infrastructure projects since the governments and/or public authorities fail to allocate sufficient financial resources. However, suspension decision for public infrastructure projects poses a wide range of risks that are widely neglected in the literature. Thus, this study proposes a suspension risk management framework by identifying and assessing the risks that may arise after the suspension of public infrastructure projects. The study also investigates perception differences among the leading stakeholders of the public infrastructure projects to ensure that the stakeholders could formalize shared risk response strategies. Initially, a comprehensive literature review and focus group discussion (FGD) sessions were conducted to identify the suspension risks. Next, the questionnaire survey and fuzzy TOPSIS analysis were jointly implemented to determine the significance of each risk. Finally, Cronbach’s alpha analysis and the Mann-Whitney U test were implemented to examine the reliability of the dataset and the perception differences. The results indicated that the suspension decision of infrastructure projects has financial, technical, managerial, social, and environmental implications. Therefore, the suspension risks proposed in this study should be analyzed deeply before the suspension decision is given. Besides, the results pinpointed risks such as “Uncertainties due to constant changes in the contract,” “Financial losses arising from the judicial and/or alternative dispute resolution processes,” and “Administrative difficulties in obtaining financing in the re-starting period” as the most critical suspension risk factors, necessitating urgent and comprehensive risk response strategies. Lastly, the Mann-Whitney U test validated that the proposed framework could be implemented by contracting parties to formulate shared risk response strategies in infrastructure projects.

Anahtar Kelimeler

: Public infrastructure projects economic and political turmoil suspension of construction contracts risk management fuzzy TOPSIS MCDM cronbach’s alpha analysis mann-whitney U test

Kaynakça

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Toplam 102 adet kaynakça vardır.

Ayrıntılar

Birincil Dil İngilizce
Konular Yapı İşletmesi
Bölüm Araştırma Makalesi
Yazarlar

Fehmi Samet Demirci 0009-0001-6575-495X

Ozan Okudan 0000-0001-7816-2761

Gökhan Demirdöğen 0000-0002-2929-2399

Zeynep Işık 0000-0002-8650-4423

Gönderilme Tarihi 26 Şubat 2025
Kabul Tarihi 28 Ağustos 2025
Erken Görünüm Tarihi 5 Eylül 2025
Yayımlandığı Sayı Yıl 2025 Sayı: Advanced Online Publication

Kaynak Göster

APA Demirci, F. S., Okudan, O., Demirdöğen, G., Işık, Z. (2025). Identifying and Assessing Suspension Risks of Public Infrastructure Projects. Turkish Journal of Civil Engineering(Advanced Online Publication). https://doi.org/10.18400/tjce.1647446
AMA Demirci FS, Okudan O, Demirdöğen G, Işık Z. Identifying and Assessing Suspension Risks of Public Infrastructure Projects. tjce. Eylül 2025;(Advanced Online Publication). doi:10.18400/tjce.1647446
Chicago Demirci, Fehmi Samet, Ozan Okudan, Gökhan Demirdöğen, ve Zeynep Işık. “Identifying and Assessing Suspension Risks of Public Infrastructure Projects”. Turkish Journal of Civil Engineering, sy. Advanced Online Publication (Eylül 2025). https://doi.org/10.18400/tjce.1647446.
EndNote Demirci FS, Okudan O, Demirdöğen G, Işık Z (01 Eylül 2025) Identifying and Assessing Suspension Risks of Public Infrastructure Projects. Turkish Journal of Civil Engineering Advanced Online Publication
IEEE F. S. Demirci, O. Okudan, G. Demirdöğen, ve Z. Işık, “Identifying and Assessing Suspension Risks of Public Infrastructure Projects”, tjce, sy. Advanced Online Publication, Eylül2025, doi: 10.18400/tjce.1647446.
ISNAD Demirci, Fehmi Samet vd. “Identifying and Assessing Suspension Risks of Public Infrastructure Projects”. Turkish Journal of Civil Engineering Advanced Online Publication (Eylül2025). https://doi.org/10.18400/tjce.1647446.
JAMA Demirci FS, Okudan O, Demirdöğen G, Işık Z. Identifying and Assessing Suspension Risks of Public Infrastructure Projects. tjce. 2025. doi:10.18400/tjce.1647446.
MLA Demirci, Fehmi Samet vd. “Identifying and Assessing Suspension Risks of Public Infrastructure Projects”. Turkish Journal of Civil Engineering, sy. Advanced Online Publication, 2025, doi:10.18400/tjce.1647446.
Vancouver Demirci FS, Okudan O, Demirdöğen G, Işık Z. Identifying and Assessing Suspension Risks of Public Infrastructure Projects. tjce. 2025(Advanced Online Publication).