Data Mining for the e-Learning Risk Management
Year 2019,
Volume: 20 Issue: 3, 181 - 196, 01.07.2019
Oksana Gushchına
,
Andrew Ochepovsky
Abstract
The article shows the role of data mining methods at the stages of the e-learning risk management for the various
participants. The article proves the e-learning system fundamentally contains heterogeneous information, for
its processing it is not enough to use the methods of mathematical analysis but it is necessary to apply the
new educational methods of data mining. It determines the basic types of e-learning risks for the elimination
or minimization of which proactive manners are applied that aimed at testing and planning other actions.
The article gives the rationales for the use of various data mining methods at the different stages of the risk
management: 1) for quality authentication of the risks the classification based on using the method called
“decision tree” is applied; 2) for making the analysis of risks the brainstorm method for mind map creation
is used. The mind map displays the e-learning risk groups that are then rated on the prioritization criteria
with the help of expert evaluation method; 3) for the assessment of probability of risk impact on organization
of e-learning the expert evaluation method, cluster analysis and bow-tie analysis are used. The article shows
that the data mining methods are able to not only classify educational risks but also identify the causes and
anticipate possible impacts on the final outcome. Having a great deal of information obtained through the
process of the e-learning risk management and using it in data mining, it is possible to determine the reasons
and the taken actions depend more the minimization of risks and strengthen the effectiveness of the e-learning.
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Year 2019,
Volume: 20 Issue: 3, 181 - 196, 01.07.2019
Oksana Gushchına
,
Andrew Ochepovsky
References
- Apurva, Dube, Pradnya, Gotmare (2017) “Semantics Based Document Clustering” // Int. J. Sci. Res. in
Computer Science and Engineering, vol-5(4), Issue.4, pp. 26-31.
Baker, R. S. J. D. (2010) ‘Data mining for education’, International encyclopedia of education, no. 7(3), pp.
112-118.
Barik, N., & Karforma, S. (2012) ‘Risks and remedies in e-learning system’, International Journal of Network
Security & Its Applications, no. 4(1), pp. 51-59.
Bienkowski, M., Feng, M., & Means, B. (2012) ‘Enhancing teaching and learning through educational data
mining and learning analytics: An issue brief’, US Department of Education, Office of Educational
Technology, no. 1, pp. 1-57.
Bishop, C. M. (2006) Pattern Recognition and Machine Learning, Information Science and Statistics, Springer.
Bozinoff, M., Tankosic, M. (2014) ‘E-Learning Risks Management as Competitive Advantage in Institutions
of Higher Education’. Proceedings of the 14th International Conference on Applied Computer Science
(ACS ‘14) “Modern computer applications in science and education“, Cambridge, MA, pp. 164-170.
Ceylan, G., Ozturk, G., Kamisli, Ozturk, Z. and Aydin, S. (2015). “Student Success Prediction for the Mega
University of Turkey”, 27th European Conference on Operational Research
Chubarova, O.I. (2005) ‘Educational risk as an economic category, its essence’ Polzunovskii vestnik, no. 1,
pp. 199-208.
Dolzhenko, A.V. (2016) ‘The content of information competence of the teacher in the environment of
e-learning’, Bulletin of the Taganrog Institute named after A.P. Chekhov, no. 1, pp.121-123.
Dringus, L., Ellis, T. (2005) ‘Using data mining as a strategy for assessing asynchronous discussion forums’,
Computer & Education Journal, no. 45, pp. 141-160.
Duke, V.A., Flegontov, A.V., Fomina, I.K. (2011) ‘Application of technologies for the intellectual analysis of
data in the natural sciences, engineering and humanitarian fields’, Proceedings of the Russian State
Pedagogical University named after. AI Herzen, no. 138, pp. 77-84.
Gafarova, L.M., Zavyalova, I.G., Mustafin, N.N. (2015) ‘On the features of the application of the Pearson
consensus criterion X2’, ESGI, no. 4(8), pp. 63-67.
Gorlushkina, N.N., Kotsyuba, I.Yu., Khlopotov, M.V. (2015) ‘Tasks and methods of intellectual analysis of
educational data for decision support], GTR, no. 1, pp. 472-482.
Hanna, M. (2004) ‘Data Mining in the e-learning domain’, Campus-Wide Information Systems, no. 21(1),
pp. 29-34.
He, W. (2013) ‘A survey of security risks of mobile social media through blog mining and an extensive
literature search’, Information Management and Computer Security, no. 21(5), pp. 381-400.
Herlina, Latipa Sari, Dewi, Suranti Mrs.and Leni, Natalia Zulita (2017) “Implementation of k-means
clustering method for electronic learning model” // International Conference on Information
and Communication Technology (IconICT) IOP Publishing IOP Conf. Series: Journal of Physics:
Conference Series, Volume 930.
Hussain, M. et al. (2018) “Student Engagement Predictions in an e-Learning System and Their Impact on
Student Course Assessment Scores” // Computational Intelligence and Neuroscience, vol 2018.
Ilyina, T.S., Zakharov, N.Yu. (2016) ‘Management of educational risks’, Vestnik VGUIT, no. 4(70), pp.
290-295.
Kamisli, Ozturk, Z., Erzurum, Cicek, Z.I. and Ergul, Z (2017), “Sentiment Analysis an Application to
Anadolu University,” Acta Physica Polonica A, vol. 132, no. 3, pp. 753–755.
196
Karun, K., Isaac, E. (2013) ‘Cogitative Analysis on K-Means Clustering Algorithm and its Variants’,
International Journal of Advanced Research in Computer and Communication Engineering [online]
Available at: https://www.ijarcce.com/upload/2013/april/49%20-%20kavitha%20KARUN%20
-%20Cogitative%20Analysis%20on%20K-Means.pdf
Kavitha, G., Raj, L. (2017) ‘Educational Data Mining and Learning Analytics’, Educational Assistance for
Teaching and Learning. International Journal of Computer and Organization Trends (IJCOT), no
7(2), pp. 21-25.
Khakimov, D.R. (2016) ‘Application in the educational process of mental maps’, Educational resources and
technologies, no. 1(13), pp. 3-8.
Khlopotov, M.V. (2014) Models and algorithms for intellectual analysis of educational data for decision support,
Dissertation cand. tech. sciences, St. Petersburg.
Khodyreva, E.A. (2017) ‘Problems of Risk Management of Innovative Educational Projects’, Concept, no.
2, pp. 165-172.
Liang, K. et al. (2017) “Online Behavior Analysis-Based Student Profile for Intelligent E-Learning” // Journal
of Electrical and Computer Engineering, vol 2017.
Matveenko, Yu. I. (2012) ‘Modern approaches to the study of risk’, Izvestiya TulGU. Humanitarian sciences,
no. 1-1, pp. 165-173.
Monk, D. (2005) ‘Using data mining for e-learning decision making’, Electronic Journal of e-Learning, no.
3 (1), pp. 41-54.
Muller, H. (2007) Compilation of mental maps. Method of generation and structuring of ideas, Moscow:
OMEGA-L.
Nozdrina, L.V. (2012) ‘Risk management of e-learning projects’, OTO, no. 1, pp. 395-413.
Panyajamorn T. et al. (2018) “Effectiveness of E-Learning Design and Affecting Variables in Thai Public
Schools” // Malaysian Journal of Learning and Instruction, vol 15. no. 1, pp. 1-34.
Pena-Ayala, A. (2014) ‘Educational data mining: A survey and a data mining-based analysis of recent works’,
Expert systems with applications, no. 41(4), pp. 1432-1462.
Rawat, B., & Dwivedi, S. K. (2019). “Discovering Learners’ Characteristics Through Cluster Analysis for
Recommendation of Courses in E-Learning Environment” // International Journal of Information
and Communication Technology Education, vol 15, no 1, Article 4, pp. 42-66.
Romero, C., Ventura, S. (2006) Data mining in e-learning, Witpress Boston.
Romero, C., Ventura, S. (2013) ‘Data mining in education’, Wiley interdisciplinary reviews. Data mining and
knowledge discovery, no. 3(1), pp. 12-27.
Ruggeri, K., Farrington, C., Brayne, C. (2013) ‘A global model for effective use and evaluation of e-learning
in health’. Telemedicine and e-Health, val 19, no 4, pp. 312-321.
Scheuer, O., & McLaren, B. M. (2012). ‘Educational data mining’. In Encyclopedia of the Sciences of Learning,
Springer US, pp. 1075-1079.
Sultanov, I.A. (2016) ‘Action Plan for Project Risk Management’, Projectimo [online] Available at: http://
projectimo.ru/upravlenie-riskami/riski-proekta.html
Wu, Q. et al. (2016) “Clustering of online learning resources via minimum spanning tree” //Asian Association
of Open Universities Journal, vol. 11, Issue: 2, pp.197-215.
Wu, Pengfei, et al. (2018) “Using a Learner-Topic Model for Mining Learner Interests in Open Learning
Environments” // Journal of Educational Technology & Society, vol. 21, no. 2, pp. 192–204.