Yıl 2019, Cilt 20 , Sayı 4, Sayfalar 149 - 159 2019-10-01

Survival and Risk Analysis in MOOCS

Manuel Medina LABRADOR [1] , Gustavo R. Garcia VARGAS [2] , Jorge ALVARADO [3] , Mario CAICEDO [4]


The most significant disadvantage in the use of MOOCs is their high drop out rates, which reaches between 88.3% and 90%. This research examined the desertion from 15 MOOCs, the following factors and their relation to desertion were assessed, characteristics of the students (gender, language, educational level, age, interest in the final certificate) and aspects of the courses (data lost at the time of registration, duration of the MOOC, course discipline, number of total questions and by evaluation). The results, based on survival analysis, indicate the probability of desertion is the highest on the first and last weeks of the MOOC. Our findings show that the probability of dropout is affected by the number of questions in each evaluation, the educational level of the participants, their age and their interest in the certificate. Missing data in the registration form was found to be associated with desertion being a significant pre-dictor of risk of quitting. Finally, the lack of interest in the certificate was found to be a predictor of the highest risk of dropping out. Possible strategies to reduce the desertion behavior at MOOCs are discussed.

MOOC, desertion, survival analysis, risk analysis
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Bölüm Articles
Yazarlar

Orcid: 0000-0001-6781-9481
Yazar: Manuel Medina LABRADOR (Sorumlu Yazar)

Orcid: 0000-0002-1035-9194
Yazar: Gustavo R. Garcia VARGAS

Orcid: 0000-0001-8331-2031
Yazar: Jorge ALVARADO

Orcid: 0000-0002-4964-040X
Yazar: Mario CAICEDO

Tarihler

Yayımlanma Tarihi : 1 Ekim 2019

Bibtex @araştırma makalesi { tojde640561, journal = {Turkish Online Journal of Distance Education}, issn = {1302-6488}, address = {}, publisher = {Anadolu Üniversitesi}, year = {2019}, volume = {20}, pages = {149 - 159}, doi = {10.17718/tojde.640561}, title = {Survival and Risk Analysis in MOOCS}, key = {cite}, author = {LABRADOR, Manuel Medina and VARGAS, Gustavo R. Garcia and ALVARADO, Jorge and CAICEDO, Mario} }
APA LABRADOR, M , VARGAS, G , ALVARADO, J , CAICEDO, M . (2019). Survival and Risk Analysis in MOOCS. Turkish Online Journal of Distance Education , 20 (4) , 149-159 . DOI: 10.17718/tojde.640561
MLA LABRADOR, M , VARGAS, G , ALVARADO, J , CAICEDO, M . "Survival and Risk Analysis in MOOCS". Turkish Online Journal of Distance Education 20 (2019 ): 149-159 <https://dergipark.org.tr/tr/pub/tojde/issue/49972/640561>
Chicago LABRADOR, M , VARGAS, G , ALVARADO, J , CAICEDO, M . "Survival and Risk Analysis in MOOCS". Turkish Online Journal of Distance Education 20 (2019 ): 149-159
RIS TY - JOUR T1 - Survival and Risk Analysis in MOOCS AU - Manuel Medina LABRADOR , Gustavo R. Garcia VARGAS , Jorge ALVARADO , Mario CAICEDO Y1 - 2019 PY - 2019 N1 - doi: 10.17718/tojde.640561 DO - 10.17718/tojde.640561 T2 - Turkish Online Journal of Distance Education JF - Journal JO - JOR SP - 149 EP - 159 VL - 20 IS - 4 SN - 1302-6488- M3 - doi: 10.17718/tojde.640561 UR - https://doi.org/10.17718/tojde.640561 Y2 - 2019 ER -
EndNote %0 Turkish Online Journal of Distance Education Survival and Risk Analysis in MOOCS %A Manuel Medina LABRADOR , Gustavo R. Garcia VARGAS , Jorge ALVARADO , Mario CAICEDO %T Survival and Risk Analysis in MOOCS %D 2019 %J Turkish Online Journal of Distance Education %P 1302-6488- %V 20 %N 4 %R doi: 10.17718/tojde.640561 %U 10.17718/tojde.640561
ISNAD LABRADOR, Manuel Medina , VARGAS, Gustavo R. Garcia , ALVARADO, Jorge , CAICEDO, Mario . "Survival and Risk Analysis in MOOCS". Turkish Online Journal of Distance Education 20 / 4 (Ekim 2019): 149-159 . https://doi.org/10.17718/tojde.640561
AMA LABRADOR M , VARGAS G , ALVARADO J , CAICEDO M . Survival and Risk Analysis in MOOCS. Turkish Online Journal of Distance Education. 2019; 20(4): 149-159.
Vancouver LABRADOR M , VARGAS G , ALVARADO J , CAICEDO M . Survival and Risk Analysis in MOOCS. Turkish Online Journal of Distance Education. 2019; 20(4): 159-149.